Weather in Mtwapa
14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 5:31 am (GMT+3)- Feels like
- 84 °F
- Low / high
- 74 / 87 °F
- Rain
- 100% · 0.12 in
- Wind
- 3 mph WSW
Today in Mtwapa: drizzle, 74 °F to 87 °F, with a 100% chance of rain (0.12 in) and a light air from the west-southwest (3 mph). Tomorrow, drizzle, 74 °F to 86 °F and a 97% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Monday 2, at 89 °F.
Temperatures for the next 14 days
- Today
- Fri 30
- Sat 31
- Sun 1
- Mon 2
- Tue 3
- Wed 4
- Thu 5
- Fri 6
- Sat 7
- Sun 8
- Mon 9
- Tue 10
- Wed 11
Day by day
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind | Max wave | High tides | Model |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today · 29 | 74 / 87 °F | 100% · 0.12 in | 9 mph ESE | 3.8 ft | 5:38 am · 6:05 pm | ECMWF | |
| Fri 30 | 74 / 86 °F | 97% · 0.19 in | 9 mph ENE | 3.0 ft | 6:18 am · 6:47 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sat 31 | 74 / 84 °F | 100% · 0.28 in | 8 mph SE | 2.9 ft | 7:04 am · 7:39 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sun 1 | 73 / 86 °F | 81% · 0.18 in | 8 mph SE | 2.8 ft | 8:01 am · 8:52 pm | ECMWF | |
| Mon 2 | 73 / 89 °F | 84% · 0.06 in | 9 mph SE | 3.0 ft | 9:23 am · 10:42 pm | ECMWF | |
| Tue 3 | 75 / 88 °F | 97% · 0.12 in | 9 mph SSE | 3.1 ft | 11:14 am | ECMWF | |
| Wed 4 | 75 / 85 °F | 88% · 0.14 in | 10 mph SSE | 3.2 ft | 12:19 am · 12:43 pm | ECMWF | |
| Thu 5 | 75 / 86 °F | 71% · 0.03 in | 10 mph S | 3.7 ft | 1:21 am · 1:44 pm | ECMWF | |
| Fri 6 | 75 / 86 °F | 55% · 0.06 in | 10 mph S | 3.8 ft | 2:08 am · 2:31 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sat 7 | 74 / 87 °F | 78% · 0.17 in | 8 mph SSE | 3.6 ft | 2:46 am · 3:12 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sun 8 | 76 / 87 °F | 88% · 0.19 in | 8 mph ESE | — | 3:21 am · 3:47 pm | ECMWF | |
| Mon 9 | 76 / 86 °F | 92% · 0.17 in | 6 mph ESE | — | 3:53 am · 4:20 pm | ECMWF | |
| Tue 10 | 75 / 87 °F | 92% · 0.14 in | 9 mph SSE | — | 4:23 am · 4:50 pm | ECMWF | |
| Wed 11 | 75 / 87 °F | 84% · 0.07 in | 10 mph SSE | — | 4:52 am · 5:20 pm | ECMWF |
Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.
Today, every 3 hours
| Time | 12:00 am | 3:00 am | 6:00 am | 9:00 am | 12:00 pm | 3:00 pm | 6:00 pm | 9:00 pm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky | Mainly clear | Mainly clear | Mainly clear | Light drizzle | Light drizzle | Drizzle | Partly cloudy | Mainly clear |
| Temperature | 77° | 76° | 75° | 84° | 87° | 85° | 81° | 79° |
| Chance of rain | 0% | 0% | 0% | 16% | 100% | 96% | 8% | 0% |
| Rain | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.02 in | 0.02 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in |
| Wind (mph) | 3 SE | 3 SSW | 3 WSW | 4 E | 7 ESE | 9 ESE | 9 ESE | 3 E |
| Humidity | 93% | 95% | 97% | 75% | 69% | 73% | 80% | 90% |
| UV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Model | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF |
Do the models agree?
Medium confidenceThey broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.
What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.
| High (°F) | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 87° | 86° | 84° | 86° | 89° | 88° | 85° |
| AIFS | 86° | 85° | 83° | 85° | 85° | 85° | 86° |
| GFS | 87° | 89° | 87° | 87° | 88° | 88° | 89° |
| ICON | 85° | 86° | 85° | 84° | 84° | 86° | 85° |
| Confidence | high | high | high | high | high | high | high |
| Rain | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 0.12 in | 0.19 in | 0.28 in | 0.18 in | 0.06 in | 0.12 in | 0.14 in |
| AIFS | 0.10 in | 0.18 in | 0.46 in | 0.21 in | 0.19 in | 0.20 in | 0.09 in |
| GFS | 0 | 0.06 in | 0.04 in | 0.03 in | 0.02 in | 0 | 0 |
| ICON | 0.01 in | 0.01 in | 0.39 in | 0.07 in | 0.04 in | 0 | 0.05 in |
| Confidence | medium | medium | medium | medium | medium | low | medium |
| Wind (mph) | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 921 | 920 | 820 | 821 | 922 | 920 | 1024 |
| AIFS | 9 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| GFS | 1315 | 1518 | 1111 | 1115 | 1115 | 1317 | 1216 |
| ICON | 916 | 1119 | 814 | 1017 | 917 | 916 | 1017 |
| Confidence | high | high | high | high | high | high | high |
Chance of rain from the ensemble models
| Model | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF (51 scenarios) | 100% | 97% | 100% | 81% | 84% | 97% | 88% |
| GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) | 3% | 35% | 63% | 45% | 39% | 19% | 13% |
Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.
Outlook
How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.
Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, a bit drier and a slightly warmer sea.
Next 6 weeks
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain | Sea | Typical high / low |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 | A bit above +1.4 °F | A bit below −28% | A bit above +1.4 °F | — |
| Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 | A bit above +1.6 °F | A bit below −43% | A bit above +1.4 °F | — |
| Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 | A bit above +1.6 °F | Normal | A bit above +1.6 °F | 82° / 79° |
| Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 | A bit above +1.6 °F | Normal | A bit above +1.6 °F | 82° / 79° |
| Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 | A bit above +1.6 °F | Normal | A bit above +1.4 °F | 83° / 80° |
Coming months
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain | Sea |
|---|---|---|---|
| November | A bit above +1.6 °F | A bit above +30% | A bit above +1.6 °F |
| December | A bit above +2.0 °F | Normal | Above +1.8 °F |
| January | A bit above +2.2 °F | Above +52% | Above +2.0 °F |
| February | Above +3.1 °F | Above +76% | Above +3.2 °F |
| March | Above +2.7 °F | A bit above +46% | Above +3.1 °F |
Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.
Mtwapa climate by monthClimate by month
Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)The best time to visit Mtwapa is from July to September and from January to February: highs of 82 °F to 90 °F, about 4 rainy days a month and 5 hours of sunshine a day.
- JanJ
- FebF
- MarM
- AprA
- MayM
- JunJ
- JulJ
- AugA
- SepS
- OctO
- NovN
- DecD
- Highs and lows
- Monthly rainfall
- Best time
| Month | High | Low | Rain | Rainy daysDays | Sun (h/day) | Water | Waves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JanuaryJan | 89° | 73° | 0.89 in | 4 | 5.6 | 82° | 4.2 ft |
| FebruaryFeb | 90° | 74° | 0.57 in | 2 | 5.9 | 82° | 3.7 ft |
| MarchMar | 91° | 76° | 2.20 in | 9 | 5.3 | 84° | 3.0 ft |
| AprilApr | 89° | 75° | 6.41 in | 19 | 4.7 | 84° | 3.8 ft |
| MayMay | 86° | 73° | 11.63 in | 19 | 4.2 | 82° | 5.3 ft |
| JuneJun | 83° | 71° | 3.61 in | 10 | 4.9 | 80° | 5.9 ft |
| JulyJul | 82° | 69° | 2.65 in | 6 | 4.8 | 78° | 6.0 ft |
| AugustAug | 83° | 69° | 2.27 in | 4 | 5.1 | 78° | 5.5 ft |
| SeptemberSep | 84° | 70° | 2.44 in | 4 | 5.5 | 78° | 5.1 ft |
| OctoberOct | 86° | 72° | 5.08 in | 8 | 5.6 | 80° | 4.2 ft |
| NovemberNov | 87° | 74° | 4.08 in | 14 | 5.6 | 82° | 3.1 ft |
| DecemberDec | 89° | 74° | 2.40 in | 11 | 5.6 | 83° | 3.4 ft |
| Month | Water | Waves |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | 82° | 4.2 ft |
| Feb | 82° | 3.7 ft |
| Mar | 84° | 3.0 ft |
| Apr | 84° | 3.8 ft |
| May | 82° | 5.3 ft |
| Jun | 80° | 5.9 ft |
| Jul | 78° | 6.0 ft |
| Aug | 78° | 5.5 ft |
| Sep | 78° | 5.1 ft |
| Oct | 80° | 4.2 ft |
| Nov | 82° | 3.1 ft |
| Dec | 83° | 3.4 ft |
Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.
A normal year brings 44.21 in of rain on about 110 days and about 1,900 hours of sunshine.
1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses
Temperature
It's 75 °F now (feels like 84 °F). Today, 74 °F to 87 °F; tomorrow, 74 °F to 86 °F.
Chance of rain
Today the chance of rain reaches 100%, with 0.12 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 97% and 0.19 in.
Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.05 in; last 3 days, 0.95 in; last 7 days, 1.29 in.
Humidity and dew point
Humidity is 97% now and the dew point is 74 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.
The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.
Visibility and fog
Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.
The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.
UV index
Fri 30: 12 · Sat 31: 10 · Sun 1: 12
| Index | Level | What to do |
|---|---|---|
| 0–2 | low | No special protection needed. |
| 3–5 | moderate | Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday. |
| 6–7 | high | Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm. |
| 8–10 | very high | Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it. |
| 11+ | extreme | Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy. |
Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.
Barometric pressure
- ↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
- → Steady Anglers expect normal activity
- ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change
Rising now (+0.04 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.06 inHg. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.
Air and pollen
Previous days
The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 28 | Light drizzle | 74 / 88 °F | 0.06 in | 9 mph SSE |
| Tue 27 | Light showers | 74 / 85 °F | 0.61 in | 11 mph S |
| Mon 26 | Drizzle | 74 / 87 °F | 0.34 in | 13 mph S |
| Sun 25 | Drizzle | 76 / 89 °F | 0.22 in | 15 mph S |
| Sat 24 | Light drizzle | 74 / 91 °F | 0.01 in | 13 mph S |
| Fri 23 | Light drizzle | 74 / 89 °F | 0.04 in | 11 mph SSE |
| Thu 22 | Mainly clear | 74 / 89 °F | 0 | 11 mph SSE |
Show all 30 days
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 21 | Drizzle | 75 / 88 °F | 0.09 in | 10 mph SE |
| Tue 20 | Light drizzle | 74 / 89 °F | 0.11 in | 9 mph SE |
| Mon 19 | Light drizzle | 75 / 88 °F | 0.05 in | 9 mph SSE |
| Sun 18 | Light drizzle | 74 / 88 °F | 0.05 in | 10 mph SSE |
| Sat 17 | Light drizzle | 73 / 87 °F | 0.05 in | 13 mph SSE |
| Fri 16 | Light drizzle | 73 / 86 °F | 0.06 in | 13 mph S |
| Thu 15 | Light drizzle | 74 / 87 °F | 0.08 in | 12 mph SSE |
| Wed 14 | Light drizzle | 74 / 87 °F | 0.14 in | 13 mph S |
| Tue 13 | Light drizzle | 73 / 89 °F | 0.04 in | 13 mph S |
| Mon 12 | Light drizzle | 73 / 87 °F | 0.02 in | 12 mph SSE |
| Sun 11 | Light drizzle | 74 / 87 °F | 0.07 in | 13 mph SSE |
| Sat 10 | Light rain | 73 / 86 °F | 0.50 in | 12 mph S |
| Fri 9 | Drizzle | 74 / 87 °F | 0.13 in | 13 mph S |
| Thu 8 | Light drizzle | 74 / 87 °F | 0.04 in | 12 mph SSE |
| Wed 7 | Heavy drizzle | 74 / 86 °F | 0.22 in | 12 mph SSE |
| Tue 6 | Drizzle | 73 / 87 °F | 0.13 in | 12 mph SSE |
| Mon 5 | Light drizzle | 73 / 88 °F | 0.07 in | 13 mph S |
| Sun 4 | Drizzle | 73 / 86 °F | 0.18 in | 11 mph SSE |
| Sat 3 | Light drizzle | 72 / 88 °F | 0.02 in | 11 mph S |
| Fri 2 | Light drizzle | 72 / 86 °F | 0.06 in | 12 mph S |
| Thu 1 | Light drizzle | 71 / 87 °F | 0.01 in | 13 mph S |
| Wed 30 | Light drizzle | 73 / 87 °F | 0.07 in | 13 mph S |
| Tue 29 | Light drizzle | 74 / 86 °F | 0.08 in | 11 mph SSE |
These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.
Questions about the weather in MtwapaQuestions
What's the weather like today in Mtwapa?
Drizzle, from 74 °F to 87 °F, with a light air from the west-southwest (3 mph) and a 100% chance of rain.
Will it rain tomorrow in Mtwapa?
On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 97% (0.19 in): drizzle.
How warm will it be this week?
Between a low of 73 °F and a high of 89 °F; the warmest day, Monday 2.
What's the UV index today?
It reaches 10 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
Is the pressure rising or falling?
It's 29.91 inHg and rising: −0.01 inHg over the last 24 hours.
When is the best time to visit Mtwapa?
The best time to visit Mtwapa is from July to September and from January to February: highs of 82 °F to 90 °F, about 4 rainy days a month and 5 hours of sunshine a day.
What is the weather like in Mtwapa in October?
In October, Mtwapa normally sees highs of 86 °F and lows of 72 °F, with about 8 rainy days (5.08 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 80 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.
What are the warmest and wettest months in Mtwapa?
The warmest is March, with average highs of 91 °F, and the coldest July, with lows of 69 °F. The wettest is May (11.63 in) and the driest, February.
More about Mtwapa today
Weather near Mtwapa
- Vipingo 75 °F · mainly clear · 9.7 mi
- Jomvu 74 °F · mainly clear · 10 mi
- Ukunda 74 °F · partly cloudy · 28 mi
- Gazi 74 °F · partly cloudy · 37 mi
- Watamu 77 °F · clear · 45 mi
- Shimoni 74 °F · overcast · 55 mi
Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.
Learn more
Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 13 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).
Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 5:31 am (local time).
Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from