Weather in Ogasawara

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 3:45 pm (GMT+9)

Now · clear sky 78 °F

Feels like: 78 °F
Low / high: 77 / 79 °F
Rain: 79% · 0.06 in
Wind: 17 mph E

→ 30.09 inHg · steady UV 7 · high

Today in Ogasawara: light drizzle, 77 °F to 79 °F, with a 79% chance of rain (0.06 in) and a moderate breeze from the east (17 mph). Tomorrow, drizzle, 78 °F to 79 °F and a 92% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Monday 2, at 80 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

79° 77°
Today
79° 78°
Fri 30
79° 78°
Sat 31
79° 76°
Sun 1
80° 77°
Mon 2
80° 77°
Tue 3
80° 78°
Wed 4
80° 79°
Thu 5
80° 79°
Fri 6
79° 78°
Sat 7
79° 77°
Sun 8
77° 76°
Mon 9
76° 74°
Tue 10
74° 73°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Light drizzle	77 / 79 °F	79% · 0.06 in	26 mph ENE	9.1 ft	8:12 am · 6:47 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Drizzle	78 / 79 °F	92% · 0.19 in	25 mph SE	9.3 ft	9:08 am · 7:23 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Overcast	78 / 79 °F	12%	20 mph N	9.2 ft	10:16 am · 8:06 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Overcast	76 / 79 °F	6%	27 mph NE	9.6 ft	11:44 am · 9:11 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	77 / 80 °F	24% · 0.04 in	23 mph E	8.5 ft	1:14 pm · 11:15 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	77 / 80 °F	35% · 0.02 in	15 mph SE	6.5 ft	2:11 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	78 / 80 °F	38% · 0.02 in	20 mph SE	7.2 ft	1:22 am · 2:48 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Partly cloudy	79 / 80 °F	39%	25 mph SSE	9.5 ft	2:48 am · 3:18 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Heavy drizzle	79 / 80 °F	34% · 0.37 in	51 mph S	22 ft	3:50 am · 3:45 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Heavy drizzle	78 / 79 °F	24% · 0.17 in	49 mph NNW	22 ft	4:41 am · 4:10 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light drizzle	77 / 79 °F	24% · 0.02 in	30 mph NNE	12 ft	5:25 am · 4:34 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Partly cloudy	76 / 77 °F	28%	21 mph N	10 ft	6:05 am · 4:58 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Partly cloudy	74 / 76 °F	31%	18 mph NNW	6.5 ft	6:43 am · 5:22 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Overcast	73 / 74 °F	31%	19 mph N	7.0 ft	7:21 am · 5:47 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear sky	Mainly clear	Light drizzle
Temperature	78°	77°	77°	78°	78°	79°	78°	77°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	2%	27%	69%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.01 in
Wind (mph)	14 NNE	12 NNE	12 NE	13 ENE	15 ENE	16 E	23 E	25 E
Humidity	73%	71%	70%	69%	68%	68%	81%	85%
UV	0	0	0	4	7	1	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	79°	79°	79°	79°	80°	80°	80°
AIFS	78°	80°	80°	79°	80°	80°	80°
GFS	79°	80°	79°	78°	80°	80°	79°
ICON	79°	80°	80°	80°	81°	81°	80°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.06 in	0.19 in	0	0	0.04 in	0.02 in	0.02 in
AIFS	0.05 in	0.17 in	0.02 in	0	0.01 in	0.17 in	0.09 in
GFS	0.04 in	0.09 in	0	0	0.01 in	0.05 in	0.06 in
ICON	0.03 in	0.19 in	0.06 in	0	0	0.38 in	0
Confidence	medium	high	medium	high	high	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	2634	2534	2027	2736	2335	1519	2026
AIFS	27	26	22	27	23	12	16
GFS	2829	2627	2427	3034	2532	1728	2234
ICON	1925	1824	1722	2534	2027	1418	2026
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	79%	92%	12%	6%	24%	35%	38%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	96%	97%	29%	6%	13%	39%	41%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

The next few weeks look normal for the time of year.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +1.6 °F	A bit above +26%	Normal +0.4 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal −0.2 °F	Normal	Normal +0.2 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal +0.4 °F	A bit below −22%	Normal +0.2 °F	76° / 75°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +0.9 °F	A bit below −22%	Normal +0.4 °F	76° / 74°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.5 °F	75° / 73°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.3 °F
December	Above +2.9 °F	A bit above +21%	Above +3.2 °F
January	Above +3.4 °F	A bit above +46%	Well above +4.5 °F
February	Above +3.8 °F	Above +57%	Well above +4.7 °F
March	Above +3.6 °F	A bit above +38%	Well above +4.0 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Ogasawara climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Ogasawara is from June to July and from November to December: highs of 72 °F to 82 °F, about 10 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Typhoon season: from July to October, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 50 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Ogasawara, about 2 a year; 31 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Nari, in July 2025.

68° 65°

JanJ
67° 64°

FebF
69° 66°

MarM
71° 69°

AprA
74° 73°

MayM
79° 78°

JunJ
82° 81°

JulJ
83° 82°

AugA
83° 81°

SepS
81° 80°

OctO
77° 75°

NovN
72° 70°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	68°	65°	2.42 in	8	4.8	71°	7.2 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	67°	64°	1.73 in	5	6.0	69°	6.4 ft	–
MarchMar	69°	66°	3.11 in	8	6.4	70°	5.9 ft	–
AprilApr	71°	69°	4.17 in	10	6.3	71°	5.2 ft	2
MayMay	74°	73°	6.58 in	13	6.4	74°	4.4 ft	3
JuneJun	79°	78°	4.08 in	10	8.2	78°	4.0 ft	3
JulyJul	82°	81°	3.76 in	10	9.8	82°	4.4 ft	8
AugustAug	83°	82°	5.20 in	13	9.1	83°	5.7 ft	10
SeptemberSep	83°	81°	4.45 in	11	8.5	83°	5.4 ft	15
OctoberOct	81°	80°	4.56 in	12	7.0	81°	6.3 ft	7
NovemberNov	77°	75°	3.80 in	9	5.5	78°	5.7 ft	2
DecemberDec	72°	70°	3.37 in	9	4.3	74°	6.3 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	71°	7.2 ft	–
Feb	69°	6.4 ft	–
Mar	70°	5.9 ft	–
Apr	71°	5.2 ft	2
May	74°	4.4 ft	3
Jun	78°	4.0 ft	3
Jul	82°	4.4 ft	8
Aug	83°	5.7 ft	10
Sep	83°	5.4 ft	15
Oct	81°	6.3 ft	7
Nov	78°	5.7 ft	2
Dec	74°	6.3 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 47.21 in of rain on about 118 days and about 2,500 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now78 °Ffeels like 78 °F

Tomorrow78 / 79 °F

It's 78 °F now (feels like 78 °F). Today, 77 °F to 79 °F; tomorrow, 78 °F to 79 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 79% 0.06 in
Fri 30 92% 0.19 in
Sat 31 12%
Sun 1 6%
Mon 2 24% 0.04 in
Tue 3 35% 0.02 in
Wed 4 38% 0.02 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 79%, with 0.06 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 92% and 0.19 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.01 in; last 3 days, 1.26 in; last 7 days, 1.26 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity71%

Dew point68 °F

Humidity is 71% now and the dew point is 68 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds16%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak7high

Fri 30: 7 · Sat 31: 5 · Sun 1: 4

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.9030.0030.1030.20 29.96

Steady now (−0.00 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.12 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 36

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Rain	77 / 81 °F	1.25 in	23 mph NNW
Tue 27	Light drizzle	79 / 81 °F	0.01 in	22 mph SW
Mon 26	Overcast	79 / 81 °F	0	13 mph SSE
Sun 25	Overcast	79 / 81 °F	0	17 mph ESE
Sat 24	Overcast	78 / 80 °F	0	19 mph E
Fri 23	Overcast	79 / 80 °F	0	21 mph E
Thu 22	Overcast	79 / 81 °F	0	13 mph ESE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Light drizzle	79 / 81 °F	0.06 in	19 mph SE
Tue 20	Light drizzle	79 / 81 °F	0.03 in	20 mph ESE
Mon 19	Light drizzle	79 / 80 °F	0.01 in	24 mph E
Sun 18	Overcast	79 / 81 °F	0	27 mph ENE
Sat 17	Overcast	79 / 81 °F	0	21 mph ENE
Fri 16	Drizzle	80 / 81 °F	0.05 in	15 mph ESE
Thu 15	Drizzle	78 / 81 °F	0.14 in	14 mph E
Wed 14	Light drizzle	79 / 81 °F	0.00 in	14 mph SW
Tue 13	Light drizzle	79 / 81 °F	0.04 in	14 mph WSW
Mon 12	Light drizzle	79 / 81 °F	0.02 in	17 mph NNW
Sun 11	Drizzle	78 / 81 °F	0.20 in	20 mph NNE
Sat 10	Light drizzle	78 / 82 °F	0.13 in	18 mph NNE
Fri 9	Partly cloudy	78 / 80 °F	0	27 mph NE
Thu 8	Light drizzle	80 / 81 °F	0.02 in	25 mph ENE
Wed 7	Light drizzle	81 / 83 °F	0.02 in	15 mph NNE
Tue 6	Light drizzle	82 / 83 °F	0.04 in	38 mph WNW
Mon 5	Drizzle	82 / 83 °F	0.26 in	40 mph N
Sun 4	Light drizzle	82 / 83 °F	0.03 in	33 mph NE
Sat 3	Drizzle	82 / 83 °F	0.04 in	26 mph ENE
Fri 2	Drizzle	80 / 83 °F	0.11 in	14 mph ENE
Thu 1	Mainly clear	81 / 84 °F	0	13 mph ESE
Wed 30	Light drizzle	81 / 83 °F	0.01 in	16 mph SE
Tue 29	Light drizzle	82 / 83 °F	0.01 in	13 mph SSE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in OgasawaraQuestions

What's the weather like today in Ogasawara?

Light drizzle, from 77 °F to 79 °F, with a moderate breeze from the east (17 mph) and a 79% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Ogasawara?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 92% (0.19 in): drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 76 °F and a high of 80 °F; the warmest day, Monday 2.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 7 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.09 inHg and steady: +0.14 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Ogasawara?

The best time to visit Ogasawara is from June to July and from November to December: highs of 72 °F to 82 °F, about 10 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Ogasawara in October?

In October, Ogasawara normally sees highs of 81 °F and lows of 80 °F, with about 12 rainy days (4.56 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 81 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Ogasawara?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 83 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 64 °F. The wettest is May (6.58 in) and the driest, February.

When is typhoon season in Ogasawara?

Typhoon season: from July to October, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 50 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Ogasawara, about 2 a year; 31 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Nari, in July 2025.

More about Ogasawara today

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 7.3 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 3:45 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from