Weather in Tosashimizu
14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 5:23 pm (GMT+9)- Feels like
- 71 °F
- Low / high
- 56 / 71 °F
- Rain
- 28% · 0.03 in
- Wind
- 4 mph SE
Today in Tosashimizu: light drizzle, 56 °F to 71 °F, with a 28% chance of rain (0.03 in) and a light breeze from the southeast (4 mph). Tomorrow, heavy drizzle, 65 °F to 76 °F and a 97% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 76 °F.
Temperatures for the next 14 days
- Today
- Fri 30
- Sat 31
- Sun 1
- Mon 2
- Tue 3
- Wed 4
- Thu 5
- Fri 6
- Sat 7
- Sun 8
- Mon 9
- Tue 10
- Wed 11
Day by day
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind | Max wave | High tides | Model |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today · 29 | 56 / 71 °F | 28% · 0.03 in | 8 mph E | 2.4 ft | 8:12 am · 7:17 pm | ECMWF | |
| Fri 30 | 65 / 76 °F | 97% · 0.46 in | 12 mph WNW | 3.1 ft | 9:05 am · 7:57 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sat 31 | 60 / 71 °F | 0% | 16 mph NW | 3.5 ft | 10:07 am · 8:45 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sun 1 | 54 / 69 °F | 1% | 8 mph NW | 5.6 ft | 11:26 am · 9:57 pm | ECMWF | |
| Mon 2 | 63 / 72 °F | 78% · 0.38 in | 12 mph W | 6.8 ft | 1:00 pm · 11:51 pm | ECMWF | |
| Tue 3 | 59 / 71 °F | 2% | 9 mph NW | 5.1 ft | 2:10 pm | ECMWF | |
| Wed 4 | 60 / 69 °F | 11% · 0.01 in | 7 mph NE | 5.7 ft | 1:44 am · 2:55 pm | ECMWF | |
| Thu 5 | 62 / 69 °F | 36% · 0.38 in | 12 mph N | 6.7 ft | 3:03 am · 3:30 pm | ECMWF | |
| Fri 6 | 57 / 67 °F | 13% · 0.06 in | 16 mph NW | 6.4 ft | 4:02 am · 4:01 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sat 7 | 56 / 65 °F | 10% | 10 mph N | 5.7 ft | 4:50 am · 4:29 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sun 8 | 52 / 65 °F | 10% | 10 mph NNW | 5.4 ft | 5:33 am · 4:56 pm | ECMWF | |
| Mon 9 | 50 / 66 °F | 15% | 13 mph NW | 5.6 ft | 6:12 am · 5:23 pm | ECMWF | |
| Tue 10 | 51 / 62 °F | 20% | 15 mph NW | 6.3 ft | 6:48 am · 5:49 pm | ECMWF | |
| Wed 11 | 49 / 61 °F | 10% | 7 mph NW | 5.5 ft | 7:24 am · 6:16 pm | ECMWF |
Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.
Today, every 3 hours
| Time | 12:00 am | 3:00 am | 6:00 am | 9:00 am | 12:00 pm | 3:00 pm | 6:00 pm | 9:00 pm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky | Clear | Clear | Clear | Clear sky | Partly cloudy | Light drizzle | Mainly clear | Partly cloudy |
| Temperature | 58° | 57° | 57° | 67° | 70° | 71° | 69° | 71° |
| Chance of rain | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
| Rain | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in |
| Wind (mph) | 5 NNW | 4 NNW | 6 NNW | 6 NE | 8 ENE | 6 ESE | 4 SE | 8 S |
| Humidity | 69% | 74% | 77% | 64% | 67% | 70% | 70% | 63% |
| UV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Model | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF |
Do the models agree?
Medium confidenceThey broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.
What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.
| High (°F) | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 71° | 76° | 71° | 69° | 72° | 71° | 69° |
| AIFS | 73° | 72° | 72° | 72° | 74° | 72° | 69° |
| GFS | 71° | 72° | 71° | 67° | 74° | 68° | 68° |
| ICON | 73° | 73° | 71° | 73° | 78° | 71° | 71° |
| Confidence | high | high | high | high | high | high | high |
| Rain | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 0.03 in | 0.46 in | 0 | 0 | 0.38 in | 0 | 0.01 in |
| AIFS | 0.03 in | 0.72 in | 0 | 0.01 in | 0.23 in | 0 | 0.04 in |
| GFS | 0 | 0.56 in | 0 | 0 | 0.13 in | 0 | 0 |
| ICON | 0.04 in | 0.36 in | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.14 in |
| Confidence | medium | high | high | high | medium | high | medium |
| Wind (mph) | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 816 | 1220 | 1628 | 814 | 1223 | 923 | 720 |
| AIFS | 8 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 17 | 10 | 9 |
| GFS | 1010 | 1318 | 1122 | 76 | 2229 | 810 | 74 |
| ICON | 515 | 619 | 1127 | 514 | 1228 | 619 | 1231 |
| Confidence | high | high | high | high | medium | high | high |
Chance of rain from the ensemble models
| Model | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF (51 scenarios) | 28% | 97% | 0% | 1% | 78% | 2% | 11% |
| GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) | 13% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 58% | 0% | 10% |
Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.
Outlook
How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.
Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.
Next 6 weeks
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain | Sea | Typical high / low |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 | Normal +0.2 °F | Below −52% | A bit above +1.1 °F | — |
| Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 | Normal +0.2 °F | A bit below −25% | A bit above +1.1 °F | — |
| Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 | A bit above +1.3 °F | Normal | A bit above +1.3 °F | 65° / 59° |
| Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 | A bit above +2.3 °F | A bit above +34% | A bit above +1.4 °F | 64° / 58° |
| Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 | A bit above +2.5 °F | Above +53% | A bit above +1.4 °F | 62° / 56° |
Coming months
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain | Sea |
|---|---|---|---|
| November | A bit above +2.0 °F | Normal | A bit above +0.9 °F |
| December | A bit above +1.8 °F | A bit above +48% | A bit above +1.1 °F |
| January | A bit above +1.8 °F | A bit above +22% | A bit above +1.1 °F |
| February | Above +2.9 °F | Normal | A bit above +1.3 °F |
| March | A bit above +2.0 °F | Normal | A bit above +1.1 °F |
Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.
Tosashimizu climate by monthClimate by month
Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)The best time to visit Tosashimizu is in August and in May: highs of 74 °F to 86 °F, about 12 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.
Typhoon season: from July to September, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 41 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Tosashimizu, one or two a year; 17 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Peipah, in September 2025.
- JanJ
- FebF
- MarM
- AprA
- MayM
- JunJ
- JulJ
- AugA
- SepS
- OctO
- NovN
- DecD
- Highs and lows
- Monthly rainfall
- Best time
| Month | High | Low | Rain | Rainy daysDays | Sun (h/day) | Water | Waves | Cyclones |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JanuaryJan | 53° | 39° | 2.40 in | 5 | 5.6 | 66° | 2.9 ft | – |
| FebruaryFeb | 55° | 40° | 3.82 in | 7 | 5.9 | 64° | 3.2 ft | – |
| MarchMar | 60° | 46° | 6.17 in | 10 | 6.2 | 65° | 3.3 ft | – |
| AprilApr | 67° | 54° | 8.15 in | 10 | 6.3 | 67° | 3.6 ft | – |
| MayMay | 74° | 61° | 10.04 in | 10 | 5.9 | 70° | 3.4 ft | 2 |
| JuneJun | 78° | 68° | 14.81 in | 15 | 4.1 | 75° | 3.6 ft | 4 |
| JulyJul | 84° | 75° | 14.01 in | 14 | 6.1 | 79° | 3.8 ft | 8 |
| AugustAug | 86° | 76° | 5.04 in | 13 | 7.3 | 82° | 4.3 ft | 10 |
| SeptemberSep | 82° | 71° | 12.79 in | 13 | 5.7 | 81° | 4.5 ft | 13 |
| OctoberOct | 74° | 62° | 9.77 in | 8 | 5.2 | 78° | 4.6 ft | 4 |
| NovemberNov | 66° | 53° | 4.75 in | 7 | 5.2 | 73° | 3.3 ft | – |
| DecemberDec | 57° | 43° | 3.81 in | 5 | 5.0 | 69° | 3.1 ft | – |
| Month | Water | Waves | Cyclones |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 66° | 2.9 ft | – |
| Feb | 64° | 3.2 ft | – |
| Mar | 65° | 3.3 ft | – |
| Apr | 67° | 3.6 ft | – |
| May | 70° | 3.4 ft | 2 |
| Jun | 75° | 3.6 ft | 4 |
| Jul | 79° | 3.8 ft | 8 |
| Aug | 82° | 4.3 ft | 10 |
| Sep | 81° | 4.5 ft | 13 |
| Oct | 78° | 4.6 ft | 4 |
| Nov | 73° | 3.3 ft | – |
| Dec | 69° | 3.1 ft | – |
Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.
A normal year brings 95.56 in of rain on about 116 days and about 2,100 hours of sunshine.
Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).
1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses
Temperature
It's 69 °F now (feels like 71 °F). Today, 56 °F to 71 °F; tomorrow, 65 °F to 76 °F.
Chance of rain
Today the chance of rain reaches 28%, with 0.03 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 97% and 0.46 in.
Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.01 in; last 3 days, 0.12 in; last 7 days, 1.82 in.
Humidity and dew point
Humidity is 71% now and the dew point is 59 °F.
The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.
Visibility and fog
Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.
The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.
UV index
Fri 30: 5 · Sat 31: 5 · Sun 1: 5
| Index | Level | What to do |
|---|---|---|
| 0–2 | low | No special protection needed. |
| 3–5 | moderate | Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday. |
| 6–7 | high | Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm. |
| 8–10 | very high | Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it. |
| 11+ | extreme | Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy. |
Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.
Barometric pressure
- ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
- → Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
- ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change
Steady now (−0.01 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.10 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.
Air and pollen
Previous days
The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 28 | Clear sky | 59 / 70 °F | 0 | 11 mph NW |
| Tue 27 | Drizzle | 66 / 78 °F | 0.03 in | 15 mph NW |
| Mon 26 | Light rain | 73 / 76 °F | 0.62 in | 15 mph ENE |
| Sun 25 | Light rain | 74 / 80 °F | 0.57 in | 14 mph SSW |
| Sat 24 | Drizzle | 71 / 80 °F | 0.21 in | 13 mph ESE |
| Fri 23 | Light rain | 67 / 72 °F | 0.37 in | 14 mph NE |
| Thu 22 | Overcast | 65 / 75 °F | 0 | 12 mph NNW |
Show all 30 days
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 21 | Light drizzle | 69 / 83 °F | 0.02 in | 15 mph W |
| Tue 20 | Light drizzle | 74 / 82 °F | 0.17 in | 9 mph S |
| Mon 19 | Light showers | 74 / 77 °F | 0.55 in | 11 mph SE |
| Sun 18 | Light rain | 71 / 77 °F | 0.45 in | 16 mph ESE |
| Sat 17 | Overcast | 60 / 76 °F | 0 | 13 mph E |
| Fri 16 | Overcast | 62 / 76 °F | 0 | 6 mph NW |
| Thu 15 | Overcast | 58 / 73 °F | 0 | 8 mph WNW |
| Wed 14 | Drizzle | 65 / 78 °F | 0.08 in | 15 mph NW |
| Tue 13 | Light drizzle | 67 / 80 °F | 0.03 in | 9 mph SSW |
| Mon 12 | Light drizzle | 68 / 78 °F | 0.01 in | 8 mph SSW |
| Sun 11 | Overcast | 69 / 78 °F | 0 | 6 mph ENE |
| Sat 10 | Light drizzle | 74 / 78 °F | 0.02 in | 14 mph ENE |
| Fri 9 | Drizzle | 70 / 77 °F | 0.17 in | 16 mph ENE |
| Thu 8 | Overcast | 61 / 75 °F | 0 | 7 mph NNE |
| Wed 7 | Mainly clear | 63 / 76 °F | 0 | 10 mph NNW |
| Tue 6 | Overcast | 68 / 79 °F | 0 | 13 mph NW |
| Mon 5 | Rain | 69 / 76 °F | 1.25 in | 18 mph NNE |
| Sun 4 | Light rain | 69 / 72 °F | 1.10 in | 18 mph NE |
| Sat 3 | Overcast | 70 / 77 °F | 0 | 9 mph ENE |
| Fri 2 | Overcast | 70 / 79 °F | 0 | 9 mph NNE |
| Thu 1 | Partly cloudy | 66 / 83 °F | 0 | 9 mph NW |
| Wed 30 | Drizzle | 73 / 80 °F | 0.02 in | 10 mph SSE |
| Tue 29 | Light rain | 73 / 78 °F | 0.46 in | 12 mph NE |
These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.
Questions about the weather in TosashimizuQuestions
What's the weather like today in Tosashimizu?
Light drizzle, from 56 °F to 71 °F, with a light breeze from the southeast (4 mph) and a 28% chance of rain.
Will it rain tomorrow in Tosashimizu?
On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 97% (0.46 in): heavy drizzle.
How warm will it be this week?
Between a low of 54 °F and a high of 76 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.
What's the UV index today?
It reaches 4 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
Is the pressure rising or falling?
It's 30.18 inHg and steady: +0.01 inHg over the last 24 hours.
When is the best time to visit Tosashimizu?
The best time to visit Tosashimizu is in August and in May: highs of 74 °F to 86 °F, about 12 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.
What is the weather like in Tosashimizu in October?
In October, Tosashimizu normally sees highs of 74 °F and lows of 62 °F, with about 8 rainy days (9.77 in for the month) and 5 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 78 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.
What are the warmest and wettest months in Tosashimizu?
The warmest is August, with average highs of 86 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 39 °F. The wettest is June (14.81 in) and the driest, January.
When is typhoon season in Tosashimizu?
Typhoon season: from July to September, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 41 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Tosashimizu, one or two a year; 17 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Peipah, in September 2025.
More about Tosashimizu today
Weather near Tosashimizu
- Shimoda 69 °F · mainly clear · 11 mi
- Sukumo 65 °F · mainly clear · 17 mi
- Mishōhirajō 69 °F · overcast · 26 mi
- Uwajima 68 °F · overcast · 38 mi
- Susaki 63 °F · light drizzle · 46 mi
- Yawatahama 68 °F · overcast · 56 mi
Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.
Learn more
Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 15 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).
Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 5:23 pm (local time).
Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from