Weather in Ōarai

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 9:58 am (GMT+9)

Now · overcast 59 °F

Feels like: 54 °F
Low / high: 49 / 62 °F
Rain: 33%
Wind: 7 mph NE

→ 30.36 inHg · steady

Today in Ōarai: overcast, 49 °F to 62 °F, with a 33% chance of rain and a light breeze from the northeast (7 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 55 °F to 64 °F and a 59% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Saturday 31, at 73 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

62° 49°
Today
64° 55°
Fri 30
73° 51°
Sat 31
63° 50°
Sun 1
62° 56°
Mon 2
69° 50°
Tue 3
61° 56°
Wed 4
66° 53°
Thu 5
69° 50°
Fri 6
60° 50°
Sat 7
56° 51°
Sun 8
58° 46°
Mon 9
61° 46°
Tue 10
58° 45°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Overcast	49 / 62 °F	33%	8 mph NNE	3.0 ft	6:28 am · 4:36 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Overcast	55 / 64 °F	59%	4 mph WNW	5.6 ft	7:26 am · 5:06 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Mainly clear	51 / 73 °F	6%	11 mph NW	5.1 ft	8:37 am · 5:40 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	50 / 63 °F	34% · 0.02 in	8 mph N	4.1 ft	10:11 am · 6:19 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Drizzle	56 / 62 °F	47% · 0.11 in	7 mph N	4.2 ft	11:41 am · 7:29 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Overcast	50 / 69 °F	16%	11 mph ENE	3.4 ft	12:25 pm · 10:38 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light rain	56 / 61 °F	29% · 0.17 in	11 mph NE	4.9 ft	12:53 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light rain	53 / 66 °F	65% · 0.37 in	10 mph N	6.1 ft	12:43 am · 1:17 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Mainly clear	50 / 69 °F	47%	10 mph N	5.2 ft	1:56 am · 1:41 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Overcast	50 / 60 °F	16%	9 mph NNE	5.6 ft	2:50 am · 2:05 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light drizzle	51 / 56 °F	16% · 0.02 in	8 mph NE	5.1 ft	3:37 am · 2:30 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Partly cloudy	46 / 58 °F	18%	10 mph N	5.5 ft	4:20 am · 2:56 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	46 / 61 °F	21%	7 mph NNW	5.0 ft	5:00 am · 3:23 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Partly cloudy	45 / 58 °F	18%	7 mph N	3.5 ft	5:38 am · 3:50 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Overcast	Overcast
Temperature	49°	49°	50°	57°	62°	61°	57°	56°
Chance of rain	0%	2%	2%	0%	0%	2%	31%	27%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	6 NNW	6 N	5 N	8 NE	5 ENE	6 NE	4 NNE	4 NW
Humidity	58%	64%	68%	61%	54%	68%	82%	86%
UV	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	62°	64°	73°	63°	62°	69°	61°
AIFS	63°	64°	69°	64°	62°	64°	60°
GFS	60°	66°	71°	63°	63°	64°	61°
ICON	62°	66°	72°	63°	69°	67°	60°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	medium	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0	0	0	0.02 in	0.11 in	0	0.17 in
AIFS	0.04 in	0.17 in	0.06 in	0.03 in	0.17 in	0.05 in	0.52 in
GFS	0.00 in	0	0.01 in	0.00 in	0.43 in	0	0.04 in
ICON	0	0.01 in	0.00 in	0	0	0	0.05 in
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	high	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	815	48	1119	818	729	1126	1123
AIFS	9	4	9	9	6	10	12
GFS	911	1013	1319	1114	1416	1517	1618
ICON	612	27	716	511	715	614	919
Confidence	high	medium	high	high	medium	medium	medium

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	33%	59%	6%	34%	47%	16%	29%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	29%	39%	16%	28%	64%	32%	23%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

The next few weeks look normal for the time of year.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit below −1.1 °F	A bit above +27%	A bit above +0.5 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit below −1.1 °F	Normal	Normal −0.4 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal	Normal −0.2 °F	59° / 53°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	Normal −0.4 °F	57° / 51°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	A bit below −1.1 °F	55° / 49°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	Above +3.8 °F	A bit above +29%	Well above +4.7 °F
December	Above +3.4 °F	Above +61%	Well above +5.0 °F
January	Above +3.6 °F	A bit above +23%	Well above +6.7 °F
February	Above +4.7 °F	A bit above +33%	Well above +8.5 °F
March	Above +5.2 °F	A bit above +22%	Well above +10.1 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Ōarai climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Ōarai is from August to September and from May to June: highs of 69 °F to 83 °F, about 12 rainy days a month and 5 hours of sunshine a day.

Typhoon season: from July to October. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 35 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Ōarai, one or two a year; 12 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Peipah, in September 2025.

49° 30°

JanJ
49° 31°

FebF
54° 37°

MarM
62° 46°

AprA
69° 54°

MayM
73° 62°

JunJ
79° 68°

JulJ
83° 71°

AugA
77° 65°

SepS
69° 55°

OctO
61° 44°

NovN
53° 34°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	49°	30°	1.74 in	4	6.1	58°	5.2 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	49°	31°	2.46 in	5	5.9	55°	5.2 ft	–
MarchMar	54°	37°	3.99 in	8	5.6	56°	5.3 ft	–
AprilApr	62°	46°	4.46 in	9	5.6	58°	5.0 ft	–
MayMay	69°	54°	5.52 in	11	5.8	62°	4.5 ft	–
JuneJun	73°	62°	6.02 in	13	4.2	67°	4.3 ft	4
JulyJul	79°	68°	6.00 in	15	4.5	71°	4.1 ft	6
AugustAug	83°	71°	4.32 in	13	6.1	75°	4.7 ft	9
SeptemberSep	77°	65°	6.38 in	13	4.5	74°	5.3 ft	9
OctoberOct	69°	55°	8.84 in	10	4.1	69°	5.6 ft	7
NovemberNov	61°	44°	3.37 in	7	4.5	66°	4.8 ft	–
DecemberDec	53°	34°	2.59 in	5	5.0	62°	4.8 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	58°	5.2 ft	–
Feb	55°	5.2 ft	–
Mar	56°	5.3 ft	–
Apr	58°	5.0 ft	–
May	62°	4.5 ft	–
Jun	67°	4.3 ft	4
Jul	71°	4.1 ft	6
Aug	75°	4.7 ft	9
Sep	74°	5.3 ft	9
Oct	69°	5.6 ft	7
Nov	66°	4.8 ft	–
Dec	62°	4.8 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 55.70 in of rain on about 113 days and about 1,900 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now59 °Ffeels like 54 °F

Tomorrow55 / 64 °F

It's 59 °F now (feels like 54 °F). Today, 49 °F to 62 °F; tomorrow, 55 °F to 64 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 33%
Fri 30 59%
Sat 31 6%
Sun 1 34% 0.02 in
Mon 2 47% 0.11 in
Tue 3 16%
Wed 4 29% 0.17 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 33%. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 59% and 0.00 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.89 in; last 7 days, 2.08 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity58%

Dew point44 °F

Humidity is 58% now and the dew point is 44 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds96%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now1

Today's peak2low

Fri 30: 3 · Sat 31: 4 · Sun 1: 4

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8030.0030.2030.40 29.80

Steady now (+0.00 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.51 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 34

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light drizzle	50 / 63 °F	0.02 in	16 mph NNW
Tue 27	Light drizzle	60 / 67 °F	0.10 in	12 mph NNE
Mon 26	Light rain	62 / 67 °F	1.05 in	14 mph NE
Sun 25	Light rain	63 / 74 °F	0.39 in	8 mph NNW
Sat 24	Light rain	60 / 66 °F	0.52 in	5 mph NNW
Fri 23	Overcast	53 / 66 °F	0	8 mph NE
Thu 22	Light drizzle	56 / 70 °F	0.02 in	11 mph N

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Light drizzle	67 / 84 °F	0.05 in	22 mph SW
Tue 20	Light drizzle	65 / 74 °F	0.06 in	11 mph NE
Mon 19	Overcast	63 / 79 °F	0	13 mph SSW
Sun 18	Overcast	55 / 71 °F	0	10 mph ESE
Sat 17	Overcast	57 / 71 °F	0	7 mph NNE
Fri 16	Drizzle	58 / 74 °F	0.07 in	7 mph NNE
Thu 15	Light drizzle	60 / 67 °F	0.01 in	9 mph NE
Wed 14	Heavy drizzle	64 / 76 °F	0.24 in	9 mph WNW
Tue 13	Partly cloudy	62 / 74 °F	0	10 mph NNE
Mon 12	Overcast	62 / 73 °F	0	17 mph NNE
Sun 11	Clear sky	58 / 73 °F	0	12 mph NNE
Sat 10	Partly cloudy	59 / 75 °F	0	7 mph NNE
Fri 9	Partly cloudy	55 / 73 °F	0	7 mph NE
Thu 8	Mainly clear	56 / 71 °F	0	7 mph ENE
Wed 7	Overcast	62 / 75 °F	0	13 mph NNW
Tue 6	Drizzle	66 / 75 °F	0.03 in	15 mph NNE
Mon 5	Drizzle	63 / 72 °F	0.07 in	11 mph N
Sun 4	Light drizzle	62 / 70 °F	0.04 in	12 mph NE
Sat 3	Overcast	60 / 70 °F	0	8 mph ENE
Fri 2	Light drizzle	64 / 69 °F	0.07 in	12 mph NE
Thu 1	Light drizzle	66 / 78 °F	0.07 in	9 mph NNE
Wed 30	Heavy drizzle	64 / 70 °F	0.25 in	13 mph NNE
Tue 29	Rain	65 / 72 °F	1.06 in	8 mph SW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in ŌaraiQuestions

What's the weather like today in Ōarai?

Overcast, from 49 °F to 62 °F, with a light breeze from the northeast (7 mph) and a 33% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Ōarai?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 59% (0.00 in): overcast.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 49 °F and a high of 73 °F; the warmest day, Saturday 31.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 2 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.36 inHg and steady: +0.38 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Ōarai?

The best time to visit Ōarai is from August to September and from May to June: highs of 69 °F to 83 °F, about 12 rainy days a month and 5 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Ōarai in October?

In October, Ōarai normally sees highs of 69 °F and lows of 55 °F, with about 10 rainy days (8.84 in for the month) and 4 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 69 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Ōarai?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 83 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 30 °F. The wettest is October (8.84 in) and the driest, January.

When is typhoon season in Ōarai?

Typhoon season: from July to October. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 35 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Ōarai, one or two a year; 12 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Peipah, in September 2025.

More about Ōarai today

Weather near Ōarai

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 6.4 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 9:58 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from