Weather in Shosanbetsu

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 1:55 pm (GMT+9)

Now · heavy drizzle 44 °F

Feels like: 36 °F
Low / high: 38 / 46 °F
Rain: 100% · 0.69 in
Wind: 14 mph SSW

↘ 30.11 inHg · falling

Today in Shosanbetsu: snow, 38 °F to 46 °F, with a 100% chance of rain (0.69 in) and a moderate breeze from the south-southwest (14 mph). Tomorrow, heavy drizzle, 47 °F to 61 °F and a 81% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 61 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

46° 38°
Today
61° 47°
Fri 30
54° 39°
Sat 31
41° 39°
Sun 1
43° 41°
Mon 2
42° 40°
Tue 3
42° 39°
Wed 4
52° 37°
Thu 5
51° 37°
Fri 6
37° 35°
Sat 7
37° 35°
Sun 8
36° 33°
Mon 9
36° 34°
Tue 10
38° 34°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Snow	38 / 46 °F	100% · 0.69 in	19 mph SW	8.9 ft	4:23 am · 7:30 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Heavy drizzle	47 / 61 °F	81% · 0.32 in	19 mph S	5.4 ft	4:53 am	ECMWF
Sat 31	Snow	39 / 54 °F	100% · 0.35 in	23 mph WSW	7.5 ft	5:23 am	ECMWF
Sun 1	Snow	39 / 41 °F	100% · 0.35 in	28 mph WNW	10 ft	2:08 am	ECMWF
Mon 2	Drizzle	41 / 43 °F	45% · 0.22 in	13 mph SW	5.1 ft	2:08 am	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light snow	40 / 42 °F	84% · 0.33 in	17 mph WNW	4.3 ft	1:19 am	ECMWF
Wed 4	Snow	39 / 42 °F	90% · 0.28 in	19 mph W	5.5 ft	1:08 am · 11:45 am	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light drizzle	37 / 52 °F	31% · 0.02 in	16 mph SSE	4.1 ft	1:23 am · 1:22 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Snow	37 / 51 °F	77% · 0.96 in	21 mph WNW	7.3 ft	1:44 am · 2:34 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Snow	35 / 37 °F	92% · 0.64 in	22 mph WNW	8.7 ft	2:07 am · 3:32 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Snow	35 / 37 °F	91% · 0.23 in	21 mph W	8.6 ft	2:30 am · 4:21 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Snow	33 / 36 °F	75% · 0.25 in	13 mph W	4.3 ft	2:53 am · 5:07 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Snow	34 / 36 °F	63% · 0.42 in	15 mph NNW	3.9 ft	3:14 am · 5:50 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Snow	34 / 38 °F	52% · 0.35 in	14 mph WNW	4.7 ft	3:32 am · 6:34 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Snow	Snow	Light snow	Overcast	Light drizzle	Heavy drizzle	Light rain	Light rain
Temperature	39°	38°	40°	43°	44°	44°	43°	43°
Chance of rain	100%	98%	88%	2%	71%	98%	100%	100%
Rain	0.02 in	0.02 in	0.01 in	0.00 in	0.01 in	0.05 in	0.09 in	0.05 in
Wind (mph)	18 WNW	19 WNW	18 W	15 WSW	14 SW	15 S	19 S	18 SSE
Humidity	62%	71%	55%	53%	69%	88%	91%	93%
UV	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Low confidence

They don't agree on wind on Sunday 1: it may change, so check again closer to the day.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	46°	61°	54°	41°	43°	42°	42°
AIFS	48°	58°	53°	41°	44°	42°	46°
GFS	45°	58°	53°	41°	44°	43°	42°
ICON	48°	61°	55°	41°	46°	45°	44°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.69 in	0.32 in	0.35 in	0.35 in	0.22 in	0.33 in	0.28 in
AIFS	0.51 in	0.30 in	0.40 in	0.27 in	0.11 in	0.35 in	0.13 in
GFS	0.59 in	0.16 in	0.46 in	0.25 in	0.04 in	0.31 in	0.21 in
ICON	0.44 in	0.06 in	0.46 in	0.06 in	0.06 in	0.07 in	0.03 in
Confidence	high	medium	high	medium	high	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1933	1932	2341	2849	1333	1730	1937
AIFS	21	19	24	27	8	17	18
GFS	2136	1427	2532	3343	1117	2023	2127
ICON	1433	1128	1839	1840	817	1737	1635
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	low	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	100%	81%	100%	100%	45%	84%	90%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	88%	90%	89%	90%	76%	77%	81%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit cooler, normal rain and a slightly cooler sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Below −5.0 °F	A bit above +23%	A bit below −0.7 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit below −2.0 °F	Normal	A bit below −0.9 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit below −1.1 °F	Normal	A bit below −0.7 °F	41° / 38°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Normal 0.0 °F	Normal	A bit below −0.5 °F	39° / 35°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal −0.4 °F	Normal	Normal −0.4 °F	36° / 33°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	Above +3.1 °F	Normal	Above +2.7 °F
December	Above +2.7 °F	Normal	Above +3.4 °F
January	Above +2.9 °F	A bit above +26%	Well above +4.0 °F
February	Above +3.2 °F	A bit above +21%	Well above +4.5 °F
March	A bit above +2.2 °F	A bit above +29%	Well above +4.0 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Shosanbetsu climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Shosanbetsu is from July to August: highs of 73 °F to 75 °F, about 11 rainy days a month and 5 hours of sunshine a day.

Typhoon season: in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 4 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Shosanbetsu, about one every 10 years; one of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Nabi, in September 2005.

29° 16°

JanJ
30° 15°

FebF
37° 23°

MarM
48° 35°

AprA
59° 44°

MayM
65° 52°

JunJ
73° 61°

JulJ
75° 63°

AugA
70° 55°

SepS
58° 44°

OctO
45° 33°

NovN
33° 23°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	29°	16°	3.86 in	18	2.5	42°	5.7 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	30°	15°	2.78 in	13	4.1	40°	5.5 ft	–
MarchMar	37°	23°	2.55 in	10	5.7	40°	4.7 ft	–
AprilApr	48°	35°	2.10 in	8	5.9	43°	4.0 ft	–
MayMay	59°	44°	2.43 in	8	6.2	49°	3.0 ft	–
JuneJun	65°	52°	2.52 in	8	5.3	56°	2.2 ft	–
JulyJul	73°	61°	4.31 in	10	5.0	64°	2.0 ft	–
AugustAug	75°	63°	5.07 in	11	4.9	69°	2.3 ft	–
SeptemberSep	70°	55°	5.37 in	13	5.4	68°	3.0 ft	3
OctoberOct	58°	44°	5.12 in	14	4.3	62°	5.2 ft	1
NovemberNov	45°	33°	5.68 in	17	2.1	54°	6.1 ft	–
DecemberDec	33°	23°	5.30 in	20	1.5	47°	6.8 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	42°	5.7 ft	–
Feb	40°	5.5 ft	–
Mar	40°	4.7 ft	–
Apr	43°	4.0 ft	–
May	49°	3.0 ft	–
Jun	56°	2.2 ft	–
Jul	64°	2.0 ft	–
Aug	69°	2.3 ft	–
Sep	68°	3.0 ft	3
Oct	62°	5.2 ft	1
Nov	54°	6.1 ft	–
Dec	47°	6.8 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 47.10 in of rain on about 150 days and about 1,600 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now44 °Ffeels like 36 °F

Tomorrow47 / 61 °F

It's 44 °F now (feels like 36 °F). Today, 38 °F to 46 °F; tomorrow, 47 °F to 61 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 100% 0.69 in
Fri 30 81% 0.32 in
Sat 31 100% 0.35 in
Sun 1 100% 0.35 in
Mon 2 45% 0.22 in
Tue 3 84% 0.33 in
Wed 4 90% 0.28 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 100%, with 0.69 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 81% and 0.32 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.43 in; last 3 days, 1.93 in; last 7 days, 2.11 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity82%

Dew point39 °F

Humidity is 82% now and the dew point is 39 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now2.0 mimisty

Clouds100%

Visibility is misty now (2.0 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now1

Today's peak1low

Fri 30: 2 · Sat 31: 2 · Sun 1: 1

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling · now Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.6029.8030.0030.20 29.60

Falling now (−0.05 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.51 inHg. Falling pressure: anglers say fish feed more before the change. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 32

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Snow	38 / 40 °F	1.06 in	34 mph WNW
Tue 27	Light rain	40 / 50 °F	0.69 in	12 mph SSW
Mon 26	Overcast	48 / 50 °F	0	23 mph WNW
Sun 25	Light drizzle	51 / 59 °F	0.06 in	22 mph W
Sat 24	Light drizzle	54 / 59 °F	0.02 in	23 mph SW
Fri 23	Overcast	50 / 57 °F	0	22 mph WSW
Thu 22	Light snow	43 / 49 °F	0.51 in	23 mph WNW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Rain	48 / 56 °F	0.57 in	27 mph SW
Tue 20	Overcast	50 / 58 °F	0	13 mph SW
Mon 19	Rain	51 / 63 °F	0.52 in	23 mph SSW
Sun 18	Light drizzle	46 / 56 °F	0.01 in	14 mph S
Sat 17	Light drizzle	50 / 53 °F	0.04 in	22 mph WNW
Fri 16	Light drizzle	52 / 55 °F	0.02 in	23 mph W
Thu 15	Light drizzle	52 / 55 °F	0.14 in	29 mph W
Wed 14	Light rain	54 / 64 °F	0.49 in	30 mph SW
Tue 13	Overcast	55 / 68 °F	0	17 mph SSE
Mon 12	Partly cloudy	55 / 63 °F	0	7 mph ENE
Sun 11	Drizzle	55 / 62 °F	0.24 in	9 mph SW
Sat 10	Drizzle	56 / 65 °F	0.44 in	17 mph SW
Fri 9	Overcast	56 / 63 °F	0	17 mph W
Thu 8	Overcast	57 / 62 °F	0	21 mph W
Wed 7	Mainly clear	56 / 63 °F	0	17 mph WNW
Tue 6	Rain	56 / 64 °F	0.65 in	25 mph WSW
Mon 5	Rain	51 / 66 °F	0.58 in	16 mph SE
Sun 4	Overcast	47 / 60 °F	0	11 mph SSW
Sat 3	Light rain	50 / 56 °F	0.39 in	16 mph NW
Fri 2	Heavy drizzle	51 / 57 °F	0.46 in	28 mph W
Thu 1	Light rain	57 / 61 °F	0.43 in	23 mph SSW
Wed 30	Light drizzle	53 / 63 °F	0.05 in	13 mph ENE
Tue 29	Light rain	57 / 63 °F	0.51 in	29 mph WNW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in ShosanbetsuQuestions

What's the weather like today in Shosanbetsu?

Snow, from 38 °F to 46 °F, with a moderate breeze from the south-southwest (14 mph) and a 100% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Shosanbetsu?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 81% (0.32 in): heavy drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 38 °F and a high of 61 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 1 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.11 inHg and falling: +0.35 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Shosanbetsu?

The best time to visit Shosanbetsu is from July to August: highs of 73 °F to 75 °F, about 11 rainy days a month and 5 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Shosanbetsu in October?

In October, Shosanbetsu normally sees highs of 58 °F and lows of 44 °F, with about 14 rainy days (5.12 in for the month) and 4 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 62 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Shosanbetsu?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 75 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 15 °F. The wettest is November (5.68 in) and the driest, April.

When is typhoon season in Shosanbetsu?

Typhoon season: in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 4 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Shosanbetsu, about one every 10 years; one of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Nabi, in September 2005.

More about Shosanbetsu today

Weather near Shosanbetsu

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 2.5 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 1:55 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from