Weather in Matsumae

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 6:40 pm (GMT+9)

Now · rain 51 °F

Feels like: 47 °F
Low / high: 40 / 54 °F
Rain: 100% · 0.61 in
Wind: 10 mph SSW

↘ 30.09 inHg · falling

Today in Matsumae: rain, 40 °F to 54 °F, with a 100% chance of rain (0.61 in) and a gentle breeze from the south-southwest (10 mph). Tomorrow, light rain, 53 °F to 61 °F and a 100% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 61 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

54° 40°
Today
61° 53°
Fri 30
59° 43°
Sat 31
45° 37°
Sun 1
50° 37°
Mon 2
50° 42°
Tue 3
52° 37°
Wed 4
55° 38°
Thu 5
54° 43°
Fri 6
42° 35°
Sat 7
39° 31°
Sun 8
44° 31°
Mon 9
50° 37°
Tue 10
39° 35°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Rain	40 / 54 °F	100% · 0.61 in	13 mph SW	8.8 ft	6:26 am · 5:15 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light rain	53 / 61 °F	100% · 0.28 in	10 mph SW	6.9 ft	7:16 am · 5:59 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light drizzle	43 / 59 °F	86% · 0.07 in	16 mph WNW	7.5 ft	8:11 am · 6:49 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	37 / 45 °F	45% · 0.05 in	19 mph W	8.9 ft	9:20 am · 7:49 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Heavy drizzle	37 / 50 °F	78% · 0.33 in	10 mph NNE	3.8 ft	10:45 am · 9:09 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Drizzle	42 / 50 °F	45% · 0.07 in	15 mph WNW	5.8 ft	11:55 am · 10:54 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Heavy drizzle	37 / 52 °F	51% · 0.12 in	13 mph W	6.4 ft	12:41 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light drizzle	38 / 55 °F	32% · 0.02 in	9 mph NE	3.2 ft	12:35 am · 1:17 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Heavy drizzle	43 / 54 °F	63% · 0.69 in	18 mph WNW	8.0 ft	1:54 am · 1:50 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light drizzle	35 / 42 °F	59% · 0.13 in	18 mph WNW	8.0 ft	2:55 am · 2:21 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light drizzle	31 / 39 °F	45% · 0.04 in	11 mph NW	—	3:47 am · 2:50 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Heavy drizzle	31 / 44 °F	41% · 0.09 in	14 mph ESE	—	4:32 am · 3:19 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Heavy drizzle	37 / 50 °F	32% · 0.44 in	16 mph W	—	5:13 am · 3:48 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Drizzle	35 / 39 °F	33% · 0.38 in	16 mph NW	—	5:52 am · 4:19 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Mainly clear	Partly cloudy	Clear	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast	Drizzle	Rain
Temperature	43°	43°	40°	49°	53°	54°	51°	53°
Chance of rain	6%	4%	0%	0%	0%	20%	100%	100%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.02 in	0.14 in
Wind (mph)	13 WNW	11 WNW	4 W	6 SSW	12 SSW	11 S	9 S	12 SSW
Humidity	56%	57%	67%	52%	50%	49%	81%	94%
UV	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Low confidence

They don't agree on wind today: it may change, so check again closer to the day.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	54°	61°	59°	45°	50°	50°	52°
AIFS	57°	62°	59°	51°	53°	52°	53°
GFS	59°	62°	60°	48°	57°	54°	52°
ICON	55°	61°	59°	45°	55°	47°	54°
Confidence	high	high	high	medium	medium	medium	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.61 in	0.28 in	0.07 in	0.05 in	0.33 in	0.07 in	0.12 in
AIFS	0.50 in	0.41 in	0.13 in	0.09 in	0.27 in	0.10 in	0.03 in
GFS	0.26 in	0.47 in	0.07 in	0.01 in	0.33 in	0.05 in	0.02 in
ICON	1.17 in	0.13 in	0.03 in	0.05 in	0.22 in	0	0
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	medium	high	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1334	1026	1636	1943	1035	1537	1339
AIFS	18	12	24	24	11	19	19
GFS	3137	2526	3234	3335	2124	2932	2832
ICON	1256	946	1749	1751	1129	1640	1233
Confidence	low	low	low	low	medium	low	low

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	100%	100%	86%	45%	78%	45%	51%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	99%	100%	87%	71%	77%	42%	32%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit cooler, normal rain and a near-normal sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Below −4.3 °F	Normal	A bit below −0.9 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit below −1.3 °F	Normal	Normal −0.4 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal −0.2 °F	Normal	Normal −0.2 °F	48° / 44°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	Normal +0.4 °F	46° / 42°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal	Normal +0.2 °F	43° / 40°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	Above +3.2 °F	Normal	—
December	Above +2.7 °F	Normal	—
January	A bit above +2.5 °F	Normal	—
February	Above +2.7 °F	Normal	—
March	A bit above +1.8 °F	Normal	—

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Matsumae climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Matsumae is from July to September: highs of 72 °F to 77 °F, about 11 rainy days a month and 5 hours of sunshine a day.

Typhoon season: in June and from August to October, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 7 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Matsumae, about 2 every 10 years; one of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Cimaron, in August 2018.

29° 20°

JanJ
32° 23°

FebF
40° 30°

MarM
53° 40°

AprA
61° 49°

MayM
67° 56°

JunJ
73° 63°

JulJ
77° 66°

AugA
72° 60°

SepS
62° 50°

OctO
49° 38°

NovN
35° 25°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	29°	20°	4.34 in	17	1.5	51°	7.1 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	32°	23°	3.34 in	13	2.6	47°	6.4 ft	–
MarchMar	40°	30°	3.29 in	11	4.3	47°	5.3 ft	–
AprilApr	53°	40°	2.97 in	9	5.9	49°	4.2 ft	–
MayMay	61°	49°	3.88 in	9	6.0	53°	3.3 ft	–
JuneJun	67°	56°	3.71 in	8	5.3	61°	2.5 ft	1
JulyJul	73°	63°	5.94 in	10	4.4	69°	2.5 ft	–
AugustAug	77°	66°	5.30 in	11	5.3	75°	2.9 ft	1
SeptemberSep	72°	60°	6.24 in	11	5.1	74°	3.1 ft	4
OctoberOct	62°	50°	4.30 in	12	4.5	67°	4.8 ft	1
NovemberNov	49°	38°	4.35 in	15	2.4	60°	5.8 ft	–
DecemberDec	35°	25°	5.11 in	18	1.4	55°	7.6 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	51°	7.1 ft	–
Feb	47°	6.4 ft	–
Mar	47°	5.3 ft	–
Apr	49°	4.2 ft	–
May	53°	3.3 ft	–
Jun	61°	2.5 ft	1
Jul	69°	2.5 ft	–
Aug	75°	2.9 ft	1
Sep	74°	3.1 ft	4
Oct	67°	4.8 ft	1
Nov	60°	5.8 ft	–
Dec	55°	7.6 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 52.76 in of rain on about 145 days and about 1,500 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now51 °Ffeels like 47 °F

Tomorrow53 / 61 °F

It's 51 °F now (feels like 47 °F). Today, 40 °F to 54 °F; tomorrow, 53 °F to 61 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 100% 0.61 in
Fri 30 100% 0.28 in
Sat 31 86% 0.07 in
Sun 1 45% 0.05 in
Mon 2 78% 0.33 in
Tue 3 45% 0.07 in
Wed 4 51% 0.12 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 100%, with 0.61 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 100% and 0.28 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.07 in; last 3 days, 0.38 in; last 7 days, 0.86 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity85%

Dew point47 °F

Humidity is 85% now and the dew point is 47 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now12 migood

Clouds100%

Visibility is good now (12 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak2low

Fri 30: 2 · Sat 31: 2 · Sun 1: 2

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling · now Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8030.0030.20 29.69

Falling now (−0.04 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.24 inHg. Falling pressure: anglers say fish feed more before the change. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 35

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Drizzle	37 / 43 °F	0.23 in	20 mph WNW
Tue 27	Light drizzle	44 / 58 °F	0.09 in	15 mph NNW
Mon 26	Overcast	44 / 56 °F	0	6 mph N
Sun 25	Light rain	51 / 64 °F	0.31 in	9 mph NW
Sat 24	Light rain	46 / 63 °F	0.17 in	6 mph W
Fri 23	Partly cloudy	47 / 58 °F	0	12 mph W
Thu 22	Light drizzle	45 / 51 °F	0.11 in	19 mph WNW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Light rain	52 / 65 °F	0.63 in	15 mph W
Tue 20	Overcast	48 / 65 °F	0	5 mph WNW
Mon 19	Heavy rain	55 / 68 °F	1.35 in	19 mph WSW
Sun 18	Overcast	46 / 61 °F	0	7 mph ENE
Sat 17	Overcast	51 / 60 °F	0	17 mph WNW
Fri 16	Drizzle	54 / 63 °F	0.17 in	13 mph W
Thu 15	Light drizzle	53 / 61 °F	0.04 in	17 mph W
Wed 14	Rain	54 / 66 °F	0.69 in	20 mph WSW
Tue 13	Light drizzle	59 / 69 °F	0.01 in	11 mph E
Mon 12	Light drizzle	53 / 68 °F	0.02 in	8 mph NE
Sun 11	Light drizzle	52 / 70 °F	0.01 in	5 mph NNW
Sat 10	Partly cloudy	53 / 71 °F	0	4 mph NW
Fri 9	Partly cloudy	56 / 71 °F	0	12 mph W
Thu 8	Clear sky	55 / 68 °F	0	12 mph W
Wed 7	Partly cloudy	54 / 67 °F	0	13 mph WNW
Tue 6	Heavy drizzle	55 / 67 °F	0.09 in	13 mph W
Mon 5	Heavy drizzle	56 / 69 °F	0.22 in	14 mph SE
Sun 4	Overcast	48 / 63 °F	0	8 mph E
Sat 3	Light drizzle	52 / 60 °F	0.05 in	12 mph WNW
Fri 2	Light drizzle	55 / 61 °F	0.04 in	19 mph W
Thu 1	Heavy drizzle	58 / 66 °F	0.19 in	17 mph WSW
Wed 30	Overcast	53 / 69 °F	0	9 mph SSW
Tue 29	Light drizzle	58 / 67 °F	0.12 in	17 mph W

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in MatsumaeQuestions

What's the weather like today in Matsumae?

Rain, from 40 °F to 54 °F, with a gentle breeze from the south-southwest (10 mph) and a 100% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Matsumae?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 100% (0.28 in): light rain.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 37 °F and a high of 61 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 2 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.09 inHg and falling: −0.01 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Matsumae?

The best time to visit Matsumae is from July to September: highs of 72 °F to 77 °F, about 11 rainy days a month and 5 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Matsumae in October?

In October, Matsumae normally sees highs of 62 °F and lows of 50 °F, with about 12 rainy days (4.30 in for the month) and 5 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 67 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Matsumae?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 77 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 20 °F. The wettest is September (6.24 in) and the driest, April.

When is typhoon season in Matsumae?

Typhoon season: in June and from August to October, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 7 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Matsumae, about 2 every 10 years; one of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Cimaron, in August 2018.

More about Matsumae today

Weather near Matsumae

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 9.1 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 6:40 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from