TidePlanet

Weather in Hakodate

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 10:06 am (GMT+9)
Now · overcast 51 °F
Feels like
44 °F
Low / high
40 / 55 °F
Rain
100% · 0.54 in
Wind
8 mph SSW
→ 30.26 inHg · steady

Today in Hakodate: rain, 40 °F to 55 °F, with a 100% chance of rain (0.54 in) and a gentle breeze from the south-southwest (8 mph). Tomorrow, rain, 49 °F to 61 °F and a 100% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 61 °F.

Measured now at the airport

Hakodate (RJCH), 4.4 mi away · 1 h 6 min ago

Visibility6.2 mi or more
WeatherNothing to note
Temperature48 °F
Wind3 mph from the west-northwest

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

Day by day

Day Sky Low / high Rain Max wind Max wave High tides Model
Today · 29 Rain 40 / 55 °F 100% · 0.54 in 11 mph SW 3.3 ft 5:34 am · 4:26 pm ECMWF
Fri 30 Rain 49 / 61 °F 100% · 0.41 in 9 mph SSW 3.4 ft 6:23 am · 5:03 pm ECMWF
Sat 31 Heavy drizzle 43 / 58 °F 60% · 0.15 in 16 mph WNW 3.3 ft 7:20 am · 5:44 pm ECMWF
Sun 1 Light drizzle 36 / 46 °F 51% · 0.05 in 20 mph WNW 3.6 ft 8:31 am · 6:34 pm ECMWF
Mon 2 Drizzle 36 / 50 °F 65% · 0.25 in 7 mph ENE 2.2 ft 9:58 am · 7:45 pm ECMWF
Tue 3 Drizzle 39 / 48 °F 51% · 0.19 in 17 mph WNW 2.7 ft 11:13 am · 10:05 pm ECMWF
Wed 4 Drizzle 35 / 49 °F 63% · 0.14 in 14 mph WNW 2.4 ft 12:03 pm ECMWF
Thu 5 Light drizzle 35 / 58 °F 32% · 0.02 in 4 mph ESE 1.4 ft 12:08 am · 12:40 pm ECMWF
Fri 6 Drizzle 38 / 51 °F 61% · 0.29 in 18 mph WNW 3.4 ft 1:21 am · 1:11 pm ECMWF
Sat 7 Light drizzle 37 / 40 °F 55% · 0.07 in 17 mph WNW 3.3 ft 2:16 am · 1:40 pm ECMWF
Sun 8 Heavy snow 34 / 40 °F 53% · 0.50 in 8 mph NNW 2.4 ft 3:02 am · 2:08 pm ECMWF
Mon 9 Light snow 31 / 37 °F 47% · 0.02 in 11 mph NW 1.9 ft 3:43 am · 2:36 pm ECMWF
Tue 10 Heavy snow 31 / 39 °F 31% · 0.79 in 15 mph NW 3.4 ft 4:22 am · 3:04 pm ECMWF
Wed 11 Light snow 30 / 41 °F 28% · 0.09 in 11 mph WNW 2.4 ft 4:59 am · 3:34 pm ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time 12:00 am3:00 am6:00 am9:00 am12:00 pm3:00 pm6:00 pm9:00 pm
Sky Light drizzleLight drizzleClearOvercastOvercastOvercastLight drizzleRain
Temperature 40°41°40°49°54°54°50°51°
Chance of rain 41%24%0%0%0%10%80%100%
Rain 0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.01 in0.10 in
Wind (mph) 9 WNW9 WNW0 WNW6 SSW11 SSW11 S9 S7 SSW
Humidity 61%62%62%48%43%50%83%95%
UV 00012000
Model ECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWF

Do the models agree?

Low confidence

They don't agree on wind today: it may change, so check again closer to the day.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F) TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 55°61°58°46°50°48°49°
AIFS 52°60°55°47°50°48°51°
GFS 57°61°59°47°49°50°49°
ICON 52°59°59°44°49°49°50°
Confidence highhighhighhighhighhighhigh
Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 0.54 in0.41 in0.15 in0.05 in0.25 in0.19 in0.14 in
AIFS 0.50 in0.42 in0.14 in0.09 in0.26 in0.05 in0
GFS 00.94 in0.11 in0.01 in0.04 in00
ICON 0.50 in0.23 in0.00 in0.03 in0.59 in00
Confidence mediummediummediummediummediummediummedium
Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph) TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 11329231638204473117411435
AIFS 116151661411
GFS 2533193722362141112020381834
ICON 1250949153916406301536832
Confidence lowmediummediumhighhighhighmedium

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios) 100%100%60%51%65%51%63%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) 53%95%71%32%55%19%19%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit cooler, normal rain and a slightly cooler sea.

Next 6 weeks

When TemperatureTemp. Rain Sea Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 Below −4.5 °F A bit below −21% Below −3.1 °F —
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 A bit below −1.4 °F Normal A bit below −1.1 °F —
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 Normal −0.4 °F A bit above +21% Normal −0.2 °F 46° / 42°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 Normal +0.7 °F Normal A bit above +0.7 °F 44° / 40°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 Normal +0.5 °F A bit above +23% Normal +0.4 °F 41° / 37°

Coming months

When TemperatureTemp. Rain Sea
November Above +3.4 °F Normal Well above +4.1 °F
December Above +2.9 °F Normal Above +3.1 °F
January Above +2.9 °F Normal Above +2.7 °F
February Above +3.1 °F Normal Above +2.0 °F
March A bit above +2.0 °F Normal Above +1.8 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Hakodate climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Hakodate is from June to September: highs of 68 °F to 78 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 4 hours of sunshine a day.

Typhoon season: from August to September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 7 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Hakodate, about 2 every 10 years; 2 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Cimaron, in August 2018.

Month High Low Rain Rainy daysDays Sun (h/day) Water Waves Cyclones
JanuaryJan 35° 22° 3.34 in 14 3.2 49° 2.1 ft –
FebruaryFeb 36° 23° 2.73 in 11 4.4 45° 2.0 ft –
MarchMar 43° 29° 2.79 in 9 5.1 45° 1.8 ft –
AprilApr 55° 39° 3.24 in 8 5.7 48° 1.8 ft –
MayMay 62° 47° 3.94 in 9 5.8 52° 1.7 ft –
JuneJun 68° 55° 3.78 in 8 5.1 58° 1.7 ft –
JulyJul 75° 63° 5.87 in 10 3.9 66° 1.6 ft –
AugustAug 78° 66° 6.29 in 10 4.5 73° 1.9 ft 3
SeptemberSep 74° 59° 7.02 in 11 4.7 72° 2.1 ft 3
OctoberOct 64° 47° 4.44 in 12 4.7 66° 2.1 ft 1
NovemberNov 52° 37° 4.44 in 13 2.9 60° 1.9 ft –
DecemberDec 40° 27° 4.20 in 15 2.3 55° 2.0 ft –
Month Water Waves Cyclones
Jan 49° 2.1 ft –
Feb 45° 2.0 ft –
Mar 45° 1.8 ft –
Apr 48° 1.8 ft –
May 52° 1.7 ft –
Jun 58° 1.7 ft –
Jul 66° 1.6 ft –
Aug 73° 1.9 ft 3
Sep 72° 2.1 ft 3
Oct 66° 2.1 ft 1
Nov 60° 1.9 ft –
Dec 55° 2.0 ft –

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 52.09 in of rain on about 129 days and about 1,600 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now51 °Ffeels like 44 °F
Tomorrow49 / 61 °F

It's 51 °F now (feels like 44 °F). Today, 40 °F to 55 °F; tomorrow, 49 °F to 61 °F.

Chance of rain

  • Today 100% 0.54 in
  • Fri 30 100% 0.41 in
  • Sat 31 60% 0.15 in
  • Sun 1 51% 0.05 in
  • Mon 2 65% 0.25 in
  • Tue 3 51% 0.19 in
  • Wed 4 63% 0.14 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 100%, with 0.54 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 100% and 0.41 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.12 in; last 3 days, 0.44 in; last 7 days, 0.62 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity45%
Dew point31 °F

Humidity is 45% now and the dew point is 31 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood
Clouds99%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now2
Today's peak3low

Fri 30: 2 · Sat 31: 2 · Sun 1: 2

IndexLevelWhat to do
0–2lowNo special protection needed.
3–5moderateHat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7highSunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10very highAvoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+extremeAvoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

  • ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
  • → Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
  • ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

Steady now (−0.00 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.54 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 29
Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Wed 28 Snow37 / 41 °F0.26 in21 mph WNW
Tue 27 Drizzle43 / 58 °F0.16 in15 mph NW
Mon 26 Overcast41 / 55 °F07 mph NW
Sun 25 Drizzle49 / 65 °F0.12 in12 mph WNW
Sat 24 Light drizzle41 / 61 °F0.02 in4 mph WNW
Fri 23 Overcast43 / 59 °F09 mph W
Thu 22 Light drizzle44 / 49 °F0.19 in20 mph WNW
Show all 30 days
DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Wed 21 Light rain51 / 64 °F0.61 in15 mph WNW
Tue 20 Overcast47 / 63 °F05 mph NW
Mon 19 Rain54 / 68 °F0.67 in15 mph W
Sun 18 Overcast41 / 60 °F08 mph E
Sat 17 Partly cloudy48 / 60 °F019 mph WNW
Fri 16 Light drizzle54 / 62 °F0.08 in13 mph WNW
Thu 15 Light drizzle53 / 61 °F0.03 in17 mph W
Wed 14 Light rain54 / 66 °F0.62 in16 mph W
Tue 13 Light drizzle59 / 69 °F0.06 in10 mph ESE
Mon 12 Partly cloudy50 / 68 °F08 mph E
Sun 11 Overcast52 / 71 °F08 mph NW
Sat 10 Overcast49 / 71 °F05 mph NW
Fri 9 Mainly clear55 / 72 °F012 mph W
Thu 8 Clear sky55 / 69 °F013 mph W
Wed 7 Mainly clear51 / 67 °F015 mph WNW
Tue 6 Drizzle54 / 68 °F0.04 in13 mph WNW
Mon 5 Drizzle56 / 69 °F0.13 in14 mph SE
Sun 4 Overcast45 / 65 °F07 mph E
Sat 3 Light drizzle51 / 61 °F0.09 in13 mph WNW
Fri 2 Light drizzle53 / 60 °F0.07 in20 mph WNW
Thu 1 Light rain58 / 67 °F0.19 in14 mph W
Wed 30 Overcast52 / 69 °F09 mph S
Tue 29 Light drizzle57 / 68 °F0.12 in15 mph WNW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in HakodateQuestions

What's the weather like today in Hakodate?

Rain, from 40 °F to 55 °F, with a gentle breeze from the south-southwest (8 mph) and a 100% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Hakodate?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 100% (0.41 in): rain.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 35 °F and a high of 61 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 3 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.26 inHg and steady: +0.39 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Hakodate?

The best time to visit Hakodate is from June to September: highs of 68 °F to 78 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 4 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Hakodate in October?

In October, Hakodate normally sees highs of 64 °F and lows of 47 °F, with about 12 rainy days (4.44 in for the month) and 5 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 66 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Hakodate?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 78 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 22 °F. The wettest is September (7.02 in) and the driest, February.

When is typhoon season in Hakodate?

Typhoon season: from August to September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 7 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Hakodate, about 2 every 10 years; 2 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Cimaron, in August 2018.

More about Hakodate today

Weather near Hakodate

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 12 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 10:06 am (local time).

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