Weather in Tobelo
14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 3:11 pm (GMT+9)- Feels like
- 96 °F
- Low / high
- 80 / 86 °F
- Rain
- 71% · 0.10 in
- Wind
- 5 mph NE
Today in Tobelo: drizzle, 80 °F to 86 °F, with a 71% chance of rain (0.10 in) and a light breeze from the northeast (5 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 80 °F to 87 °F and a 61% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 87 °F.
Temperatures for the next 14 days
- Today
- Fri 30
- Sat 31
- Sun 1
- Mon 2
- Tue 3
- Wed 4
- Thu 5
- Fri 6
- Sat 7
- Sun 8
- Mon 9
- Tue 10
- Wed 11
Day by day
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind | Max wave | High tides | Model |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today · 29 | 80 / 86 °F | 71% · 0.10 in | 6 mph ENE | 1.4 ft | 8:38 am · 8:04 pm | ECMWF | |
| Fri 30 | 80 / 87 °F | 61% · 0.06 in | 6 mph NE | 1.1 ft | 9:27 am · 8:46 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sat 31 | 77 / 85 °F | 84% · 0.25 in | 6 mph E | 1.4 ft | 10:25 am · 9:36 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sun 1 | 77 / 84 °F | 59% · 0.13 in | 5 mph ENE | 1.8 ft | 11:42 am · 10:44 pm | ECMWF | |
| Mon 2 | 78 / 86 °F | 64% · 0.13 in | 6 mph E | 1.7 ft | 1:16 pm | ECMWF | |
| Tue 3 | 75 / 86 °F | 46% · 0.06 in | 5 mph WNW | 1.9 ft | 12:26 am · 2:34 pm | ECMWF | |
| Wed 4 | 78 / 87 °F | 45% | 6 mph SSE | 1.8 ft | 2:17 am · 3:27 pm | ECMWF | |
| Thu 5 | 78 / 84 °F | 49% | 6 mph ENE | 1.1 ft | 3:38 am · 4:07 pm | ECMWF | |
| Fri 6 | 77 / 85 °F | 71% · 0.09 in | 4 mph NNW | 1.0 ft | 4:37 am · 4:42 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sat 7 | 77 / 83 °F | 71% · 0.09 in | 3 mph NW | 2.0 ft | 5:24 am · 5:14 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sun 8 | 77 / 85 °F | 76% · 0.09 in | 5 mph E | 2.0 ft | 6:05 am · 5:44 pm | ECMWF | |
| Mon 9 | 76 / 86 °F | 68% · 0.06 in | 5 mph NE | 2.2 ft | 6:43 am · 6:13 pm | ECMWF | |
| Tue 10 | 78 / 85 °F | 67% · 0.17 in | 3 mph NE | 2.2 ft | 7:18 am · 6:41 pm | ECMWF | |
| Wed 11 | 78 / 85 °F | 73% · 0.26 in | 7 mph ENE | 2.2 ft | 7:51 am · 7:09 pm | ECMWF |
Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.
Today, every 3 hours
| Time | 12:00 am | 3:00 am | 6:00 am | 9:00 am | 12:00 pm | 3:00 pm | 6:00 pm | 9:00 pm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky | Light drizzle | Mainly clear | Overcast | Overcast | Partly cloudy | Light drizzle | Overcast | Drizzle |
| Temperature | 82° | 81° | 80° | 85° | 86° | 85° | 83° | 80° |
| Chance of rain | 71% | 45% | 33% | 2% | 24% | 33% | 45% | 57% |
| Rain | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.03 in |
| Wind (mph) | 3 E | 1 SE | 2 WSW | 2 ESE | 6 ENE | 5 NE | 4 NNE | 1 ENE |
| Humidity | 79% | 81% | 85% | 71% | 72% | 77% | 81% | 89% |
| UV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Model | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF |
Do the models agree?
Medium confidenceThey broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.
What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.
| High (°F) | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 86° | 87° | 85° | 84° | 86° | 86° | 87° |
| AIFS | 86° | 85° | 84° | 83° | 84° | 87° | 86° |
| GFS | 89° | 88° | 88° | 87° | 89° | 87° | 87° |
| ICON | 91° | 89° | 88° | 86° | 88° | 90° | 89° |
| Confidence | high | high | high | high | medium | high | high |
| Rain | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 0.10 in | 0.06 in | 0.25 in | 0.13 in | 0.13 in | 0.06 in | 0 |
| AIFS | 0.11 in | 0.22 in | 0.36 in | 0.25 in | 0.25 in | 0.06 in | 0.07 in |
| GFS | 0.13 in | 0.16 in | 0.24 in | 0.13 in | 0.03 in | 0.03 in | 0.06 in |
| ICON | 0.01 in | 0.17 in | 0.40 in | 0.15 in | 0.00 in | 0.01 in | 0 |
| Confidence | medium | high | high | high | low | medium | medium |
| Wind (mph) | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 614 | 613 | 614 | 513 | 614 | 514 | 613 |
| AIFS | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| GFS | 79 | 77 | 68 | 88 | 76 | 910 | 910 |
| ICON | 714 | 512 | 413 | 612 | 613 | 816 | 612 |
| Confidence | high | high | high | high | high | high | high |
Chance of rain from the ensemble models
| Model | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF (51 scenarios) | 71% | 61% | 84% | 59% | 64% | 46% | 45% |
| GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) | 92% | 100% | 99% | 94% | 77% | 64% | 81% |
Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.
Outlook
How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.
Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, a bit drier and a near-normal sea.
Next 6 weeks
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain | Sea | Typical high / low |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 | A bit above +1.1 °F | A bit below −33% | A bit above +0.5 °F | — |
| Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 | A bit above +1.1 °F | A bit below −27% | A bit above +0.5 °F | — |
| Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 | A bit above +1.1 °F | A bit below −32% | Normal +0.4 °F | 85° / 80° |
| Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 | A bit above +1.3 °F | A bit below −33% | Normal +0.4 °F | 85° / 80° |
| Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 | A bit above +1.4 °F | A bit below −24% | A bit above +0.5 °F | 85° / 80° |
Coming months
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain | Sea |
|---|---|---|---|
| November | A bit above +1.6 °F | A bit below −39% | Normal +0.4 °F |
| December | A bit above +1.6 °F | A bit below −38% | Normal 0.0 °F |
| January | A bit above +2.0 °F | Below −60% | Normal −0.4 °F |
| February | A bit above +2.2 °F | Below −61% | A bit below −0.5 °F |
| March | A bit above +2.3 °F | Below −54% | Normal −0.4 °F |
Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.
Tobelo climate by monthClimate by month
Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)The best time to visit Tobelo is from July to December: highs of 87 °F to 89 °F, about 15 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.
- JanJ
- FebF
- MarM
- AprA
- MayM
- JunJ
- JulJ
- AugA
- SepS
- OctO
- NovN
- DecD
- Highs and lows
- Monthly rainfall
- Best time
| Month | High | Low | Rain | Rainy daysDays | Sun (h/day) | Water | Waves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JanuaryJan | 87° | 73° | 8.18 in | 17 | 4.8 | 83° | 3.0 ft |
| FebruaryFeb | 87° | 73° | 7.37 in | 15 | 5.4 | 83° | 3.0 ft |
| MarchMar | 87° | 73° | 7.32 in | 15 | 5.8 | 84° | 2.7 ft |
| AprilApr | 88° | 74° | 8.95 in | 17 | 5.5 | 85° | 2.1 ft |
| MayMay | 89° | 74° | 8.93 in | 19 | 5.7 | 85° | 1.6 ft |
| JuneJun | 87° | 73° | 9.37 in | 18 | 4.8 | 85° | 1.5 ft |
| JulyJul | 87° | 73° | 5.63 in | 15 | 5.5 | 84° | 1.5 ft |
| AugustAug | 88° | 73° | 5.61 in | 13 | 6.2 | 84° | 1.6 ft |
| SeptemberSep | 89° | 73° | 4.26 in | 11 | 6.2 | 84° | 1.6 ft |
| OctoberOct | 89° | 73° | 4.48 in | 14 | 6.4 | 85° | 1.9 ft |
| NovemberNov | 88° | 73° | 5.99 in | 16 | 6.1 | 85° | 2.1 ft |
| DecemberDec | 88° | 74° | 5.87 in | 18 | 5.6 | 84° | 2.7 ft |
| Month | Water | Waves |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | 83° | 3.0 ft |
| Feb | 83° | 3.0 ft |
| Mar | 84° | 2.7 ft |
| Apr | 85° | 2.1 ft |
| May | 85° | 1.6 ft |
| Jun | 85° | 1.5 ft |
| Jul | 84° | 1.5 ft |
| Aug | 84° | 1.6 ft |
| Sep | 84° | 1.6 ft |
| Oct | 85° | 1.9 ft |
| Nov | 85° | 2.1 ft |
| Dec | 84° | 2.7 ft |
Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.
A normal year brings 81.96 in of rain on about 189 days and about 2,050 hours of sunshine.
1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses
Temperature
It's 85 °F now (feels like 96 °F). Today, 80 °F to 86 °F; tomorrow, 80 °F to 87 °F.
Chance of rain
Today the chance of rain reaches 71%, with 0.10 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 61% and 0.06 in.
Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.06 in; last 3 days, 0.31 in; last 7 days, 0.39 in.
Humidity and dew point
Humidity is 77% now and the dew point is 77 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.
The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.
Visibility and fog
Visibility is good now (12 mi). No fog expected today.
UV index
Fri 30: 10 · Sat 31: 7 · Sun 1: 9
| Index | Level | What to do |
|---|---|---|
| 0–2 | low | No special protection needed. |
| 3–5 | moderate | Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday. |
| 6–7 | high | Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm. |
| 8–10 | very high | Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it. |
| 11+ | extreme | Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy. |
Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.
Barometric pressure
- ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
- → Steady Anglers expect normal activity
- ↘ Falling · now Anglers say fish feed more before the change
Falling now (−0.04 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.03 inHg. Falling pressure: anglers say fish feed more before the change. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.
Air and pollen
Previous days
The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 28 | Light drizzle | 77 / 88 °F | 0.07 in | 6 mph NNE |
| Tue 27 | Light showers | 80 / 87 °F | 0.22 in | 5 mph ENE |
| Mon 26 | Light drizzle | 81 / 87 °F | 0.01 in | 6 mph NE |
| Sun 25 | Light drizzle | 80 / 87 °F | 0.06 in | 7 mph ENE |
| Sat 24 | Light drizzle | 80 / 87 °F | 0.01 in | 6 mph ENE |
| Fri 23 | Overcast | 80 / 86 °F | 0 | 7 mph ENE |
| Thu 22 | Light drizzle | 78 / 86 °F | 0.02 in | 6 mph ENE |
Show all 30 days
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 21 | Overcast | 76 / 87 °F | 0 | 7 mph NE |
| Tue 20 | Light drizzle | 75 / 87 °F | 0.09 in | 7 mph W |
| Mon 19 | Drizzle | 77 / 87 °F | 0.09 in | 6 mph WSW |
| Sun 18 | Light showers | 79 / 88 °F | 0.20 in | 5 mph N |
| Sat 17 | Light showers | 79 / 89 °F | 0.30 in | 4 mph SE |
| Fri 16 | Light drizzle | 79 / 86 °F | 0.09 in | 5 mph NE |
| Thu 15 | Light drizzle | 78 / 86 °F | 0.10 in | 6 mph NE |
| Wed 14 | Showers | 78 / 87 °F | 0.48 in | 6 mph ENE |
| Tue 13 | Light showers | 77 / 82 °F | 0.33 in | 5 mph E |
| Mon 12 | Heavy drizzle | 75 / 86 °F | 0.20 in | 8 mph ENE |
| Sun 11 | Light drizzle | 79 / 86 °F | 0.04 in | 8 mph NNE |
| Sat 10 | Light drizzle | 78 / 88 °F | 0.01 in | 8 mph NE |
| Fri 9 | Light drizzle | 78 / 87 °F | 0.08 in | 7 mph NNE |
| Thu 8 | Light drizzle | 78 / 89 °F | 0.08 in | 6 mph NE |
| Wed 7 | Light drizzle | 76 / 88 °F | 0.02 in | 8 mph ENE |
| Tue 6 | Light drizzle | 75 / 89 °F | 0.02 in | 9 mph ENE |
| Mon 5 | Drizzle | 75 / 88 °F | 0.08 in | 7 mph ENE |
| Sun 4 | Overcast | 75 / 91 °F | 0 | 8 mph ENE |
| Sat 3 | Light drizzle | 76 / 90 °F | 0.01 in | 8 mph SSE |
| Fri 2 | Light drizzle | 74 / 89 °F | 0.01 in | 9 mph SW |
| Thu 1 | Drizzle | 76 / 87 °F | 0.07 in | 6 mph NW |
| Wed 30 | Light drizzle | 76 / 88 °F | 0.01 in | 7 mph NNE |
| Tue 29 | Light drizzle | 76 / 87 °F | 0.07 in | 4 mph E |
These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.
Questions about the weather in TobeloQuestions
What's the weather like today in Tobelo?
Drizzle, from 80 °F to 86 °F, with a light breeze from the northeast (5 mph) and a 71% chance of rain.
Will it rain tomorrow in Tobelo?
On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 61% (0.06 in): light drizzle.
How warm will it be this week?
Between a low of 75 °F and a high of 87 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.
What's the UV index today?
It reaches 11 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
Is the pressure rising or falling?
It's 29.86 inHg and falling: +0.05 inHg over the last 24 hours.
When is the best time to visit Tobelo?
The best time to visit Tobelo is from July to December: highs of 87 °F to 89 °F, about 15 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.
What is the weather like in Tobelo in October?
In October, Tobelo normally sees highs of 89 °F and lows of 73 °F, with about 14 rainy days (4.48 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 85 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.
What are the warmest and wettest months in Tobelo?
The warmest is October, with average highs of 89 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 73 °F. The wettest is June (9.37 in) and the driest, September.
More about Tobelo today
Weather near Tobelo
- Daruba 82 °F · light drizzle · 30 mi
- Maba 86 °F · light drizzle · 74 mi
- Sofifi 87 °F · drizzle · 75 mi
Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.
Learn more
Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 1.6 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).
Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 3:11 pm (local time).
Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from