TidePlanet

Weather in Manali

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 5:30 am (GMT+5:30)
Now · clear 77 °F
Feels like
84 °F
Low / high
77 / 90 °F
Rain
5%
Wind
7 mph SW
↗ 29.78 inHg · rising UV 8 · very high

Today in Manali: mainly clear, 77 °F to 90 °F, with a 5% chance of rain and a light breeze from the southwest (7 mph). Tomorrow, mainly clear, 78 °F to 91 °F and a 14% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 91 °F. Next likely rain: Saturday 31 (69%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

Day by day

Day Sky Low / high Rain Max wind Max wave Model
Today · 29 Mainly clear 77 / 90 °F 5% 9 mph SSW 3.0 ft ECMWF
Fri 30 Mainly clear 78 / 91 °F 14% 7 mph S 3.0 ft ECMWF
Sat 31 Drizzle 76 / 87 °F 69% · 0.08 in 8 mph ESE 2.4 ft ECMWF
Sun 1 Light drizzle 76 / 86 °F 63% · 0.06 in 10 mph NNE 2.2 ft ECMWF
Mon 2 Heavy drizzle 76 / 85 °F 78% · 0.38 in 6 mph W 1.8 ft ECMWF
Tue 3 Drizzle 76 / 87 °F 68% · 0.15 in 7 mph SW 1.8 ft ECMWF
Wed 4 Drizzle 74 / 84 °F 61% · 0.28 in 6 mph SW 1.4 ft ECMWF
Thu 5 Light drizzle 75 / 84 °F 51% · 0.07 in 6 mph E 1.4 ft ECMWF
Fri 6 Light drizzle 76 / 84 °F 59% · 0.09 in 7 mph NNE 1.7 ft ECMWF
Sat 7 Drizzle 76 / 84 °F 63% · 0.35 in 8 mph NNE 2.8 ft ECMWF
Sun 8 Heavy drizzle 76 / 80 °F 65% · 0.47 in 8 mph NNE 3.0 ft ECMWF
Mon 9 Drizzle 75 / 83 °F 67% · 0.45 in 10 mph N 3.3 ft ECMWF
Tue 10 Drizzle 74 / 83 °F 69% · 0.47 in 10 mph N 3.5 ft ECMWF
Wed 11 Light drizzle 74 / 84 °F 66% · 0.14 in 13 mph NNE 4.0 ft ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore.

Today, every 3 hours

Time 12:00 am3:00 am6:00 am9:00 am12:00 pm3:00 pm6:00 pm9:00 pm
Sky ClearMainly clearClear skyMainly clearMainly clearClear skyClearClear
Temperature 80°78°78°84°90°88°83°82°
Chance of rain 5%0%0%0%1%3%0%0%
Rain 0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in
Wind (mph) 8 SSW7 SSW7 SW7 SW4 SSW7 SSE9 SSE6 S
Humidity 75%83%85%64%58%65%84%87%
UV 00058200
Model ECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWF

Do the models agree?

Low confidence

They don't agree on rain on Sunday 1: it may change, so check again closer to the day.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F) TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 90°91°87°86°85°87°84°
AIFS 90°90°88°83°84°86°85°
GFS 96°95°92°90°92°91°87°
ICON 94°93°91°87°87°90°84°
Confidence mediumhighhighmediummediumhighhigh
Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 000.08 in0.06 in0.38 in0.15 in0.28 in
AIFS 000.05 in1.11 in0.76 in0.21 in0.26 in
GFS 0.01 in000.01 in0.02 in0.02 in0.30 in
ICON 000.02 in0.04 in0.09 in0.05 in0.32 in
Confidence highhighmediumlowmediummediumhigh
Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph) TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 9177158181020619716614
AIFS 129810966
GFS 142514191313131613121015811
ICON 714715715716515716614
Confidence mediummediumhighhighmediumhighhigh

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios) 5%14%69%63%78%68%61%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) 10%10%24%68%74%52%34%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and a bit drier.

Next 6 weeks

When TemperatureTemp. Rain Sea Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 A bit above +1.8 °F A bit below −38% — —
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 Normal +0.7 °F Normal — —
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 Normal +0.7 °F A bit below −22% — 84° / 75°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 A bit above +0.9 °F A bit below −41% — 84° / 75°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 A bit above +1.1 °F A bit below −44% — 84° / 74°

Coming months

When TemperatureTemp. Rain Sea
November A bit above +1.8 °F Normal A bit above +1.4 °F
December A bit above +2.3 °F Normal Above +2.0 °F
January Above +2.7 °F A bit below −40% Above +2.3 °F
February Above +2.9 °F Normal Above +2.9 °F
March Above +2.9 °F Normal Above +2.5 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Manali climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Manali is from January to February: highs of 85 °F to 88 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 9 hours of sunshine a day.

Cyclone season: in May and from October to December, peaking in November. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 14 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Manali, about 5 every 10 years; 3 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Fengal, in November 2024.

Month High Low Rain Rainy daysDays Sun (h/day) Water Waves Cyclones
JanuaryJan 85° 70° 0.65 in 2 8.2 80° 3.0 ft –
FebruaryFeb 88° 71° 0.18 in 1 9.4 81° 2.5 ft –
MarchMar 92° 74° 0.17 in 1 9.6 83° 2.3 ft –
AprilApr 96° 79° 0.96 in 2 8.9 85° 2.7 ft –
MayMay 100° 82° 2.16 in 4 8.4 85° 3.5 ft 2
JuneJun 99° 81° 3.01 in 8 7.1 84° 3.5 ft 1
JulyJul 96° 79° 4.23 in 12 5.7 84° 3.3 ft –
AugustAug 94° 78° 6.65 in 15 6.1 83° 3.3 ft –
SeptemberSep 94° 78° 4.93 in 15 6.5 84° 3.1 ft –
OctoberOct 90° 76° 11.46 in 18 5.8 85° 2.9 ft 2
NovemberNov 86° 74° 12.82 in 16 6.1 83° 3.6 ft 5
DecemberDec 84° 71° 4.91 in 8 6.7 81° 3.9 ft 4
Month Water Waves Cyclones
Jan 80° 3.0 ft –
Feb 81° 2.5 ft –
Mar 83° 2.3 ft –
Apr 85° 2.7 ft –
May 85° 3.5 ft 2
Jun 84° 3.5 ft 1
Jul 84° 3.3 ft –
Aug 83° 3.3 ft –
Sep 84° 3.1 ft –
Oct 85° 2.9 ft 2
Nov 83° 3.6 ft 5
Dec 81° 3.9 ft 4

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 52.14 in of rain on about 101 days and about 2,700 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now77 °Ffeels like 84 °F
Tomorrow78 / 91 °F

It's 77 °F now (feels like 84 °F). Today, 77 °F to 90 °F; tomorrow, 78 °F to 91 °F.

Chance of rain

  • Today 5%
  • Fri 30 14%
  • Sat 31 69% 0.08 in
  • Sun 1 63% 0.06 in
  • Mon 2 78% 0.38 in
  • Tue 3 68% 0.15 in
  • Wed 4 61% 0.28 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 5%. The next day with likely rain is Saturday 31: 69% and 0.08 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.04 in; last 7 days, 2.08 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity87%
Dew point73 °F

Humidity is 87% now and the dew point is 73 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood
Clouds5%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0
Today's peak8very high

Fri 30: 8 · Sat 31: 7 · Sun 1: 5

IndexLevelWhat to do
0–2lowNo special protection needed.
3–5moderateHat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7highSunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10very highAvoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+extremeAvoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

  • ↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
  • → Steady Anglers expect normal activity
  • ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

Rising now (+0.03 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.15 inHg. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityModerate · 49
Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Wed 28 Overcast79 / 92 °F011 mph WSW
Tue 27 Overcast77 / 89 °F011 mph WNW
Mon 26 Light drizzle78 / 87 °F0.07 in14 mph N
Sun 25 Light showers77 / 81 °F0.54 in7 mph NNE
Sat 24 Drizzle79 / 89 °F0.20 in6 mph E
Fri 23 Light showers76 / 83 °F0.50 in7 mph N
Thu 22 Showers77 / 82 °F1.55 in10 mph NNE
Show all 30 days
DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Wed 21 Light showers78 / 83 °F0.92 in11 mph NNE
Tue 20 Showers78 / 86 °F0.67 in14 mph NNE
Mon 19 Light showers78 / 87 °F0.56 in11 mph N
Sun 18 Heavy showers77 / 86 °F1.96 in9 mph NNW
Sat 17 Thunderstorm77 / 88 °F1.46 in7 mph WNW
Fri 16 Showers78 / 87 °F1.04 in5 mph WNW
Thu 15 Showers80 / 87 °F0.56 in7 mph E
Wed 14 Showers79 / 91 °F0.54 in10 mph NNE
Tue 13 Overcast83 / 92 °F013 mph NE
Mon 12 Light drizzle83 / 93 °F0.02 in13 mph NE
Sun 11 Partly cloudy82 / 93 °F011 mph NE
Sat 10 Overcast81 / 94 °F010 mph NE
Fri 9 Light drizzle83 / 94 °F0.01 in9 mph E
Thu 8 Light drizzle83 / 92 °F0.06 in9 mph E
Wed 7 Drizzle82 / 94 °F0.11 in8 mph ESE
Tue 6 Light showers76 / 94 °F0.21 in9 mph S
Mon 5 Light drizzle82 / 93 °F0.06 in10 mph S
Sun 4 Light drizzle82 / 93 °F0.06 in9 mph SSE
Sat 3 Light drizzle80 / 92 °F0.07 in7 mph SE
Fri 2 Overcast80 / 92 °F08 mph E
Thu 1 Overcast80 / 95 °F09 mph SE
Wed 30 Light drizzle82 / 96 °F0.02 in8 mph S
Tue 29 Light drizzle80 / 96 °F0.09 in9 mph SSW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in ManaliQuestions

What's the weather like today in Manali?

Mainly clear, from 77 °F to 90 °F, with a light breeze from the southwest (7 mph) and a 5% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Manali?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 14% (0.00 in): mainly clear.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 74 °F and a high of 91 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 8 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.78 inHg and rising: +0.09 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Manali?

The best time to visit Manali is from January to February: highs of 85 °F to 88 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 9 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Manali in October?

In October, Manali normally sees highs of 90 °F and lows of 76 °F, with about 18 rainy days (11.46 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 85 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Manali?

The warmest is May, with average highs of 100 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 70 °F. The wettest is November (12.82 in) and the driest, March.

When is cyclone season in Manali?

Cyclone season: in May and from October to December, peaking in November. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 14 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Manali, about 5 every 10 years; 3 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Fengal, in November 2024.

More about Manali today

Weather near Manali

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 5.9 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 5:30 am (local time).

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