Weather in Nueva Armenia
14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 12:28 am (CST)- Feels like
- 77 °F
- Low / high
- 70 / 82 °F
- Rain
- 80% · 0.18 in
- Wind
- 2 mph SSW
Today in Nueva Armenia: drizzle, 70 °F to 82 °F, with a 80% chance of rain (0.18 in) and a light air from the south-southwest (2 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 70 °F to 85 °F and a 31% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 4, at 87 °F. Next likely rain: Saturday 31 (45%).
Temperatures for the next 14 days
- Today
- Fri 30
- Sat 31
- Sun 1
- Mon 2
- Tue 3
- Wed 4
- Thu 5
- Fri 6
- Sat 7
- Sun 8
- Mon 9
- Tue 10
- Wed 11
Day by day
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind | Max wave | Model |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today · 29 | 70 / 82 °F | 80% · 0.18 in | 6 mph W | 1.9 ft | ECMWF | |
| Fri 30 | 70 / 85 °F | 31% · 0.04 in | 6 mph WNW | 1.2 ft | ECMWF | |
| Sat 31 | 69 / 85 °F | 45% · 0.05 in | 5 mph SSE | 0.9 ft | ECMWF | |
| Sun 1 | 72 / 83 °F | 88% · 0.24 in | 7 mph W | 0.9 ft | ECMWF | |
| Mon 2 | 71 / 83 °F | 83% · 0.12 in | 6 mph WNW | 1.0 ft | ECMWF | |
| Tue 3 | 68 / 85 °F | 45% · 0.01 in | 5 mph SW | 0.8 ft | ECMWF | |
| Wed 4 | 71 / 87 °F | 39% · 0.05 in | 5 mph S | 0.9 ft | ECMWF | |
| Thu 5 | 73 / 87 °F | 65% · 0.05 in | 7 mph W | 1.0 ft | ECMWF | |
| Fri 6 | 73 / 75 °F | 68% · 1.87 in | 5 mph WSW | 3.0 ft | ECMWF | |
| Sat 7 | 69 / 77 °F | 61% · 0.40 in | 7 mph WSW | 4.4 ft | ECMWF | |
| Sun 8 | 69 / 76 °F | 65% · 0.07 in | 5 mph W | 3.0 ft | ECMWF | |
| Mon 9 | 70 / 81 °F | 64% | 6 mph WSW | 2.0 ft | ECMWF | |
| Tue 10 | 71 / 77 °F | 70% · 1.19 in | 6 mph WSW | 3.1 ft | ECMWF | |
| Wed 11 | 72 / 76 °F | 64% · 1.28 in | 6 mph W | 3.2 ft | ECMWF |
Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore.
Today, every 3 hours
| Time | 12:00 am | 3:00 am | 6:00 am | 9:00 am | 12:00 pm | 3:00 pm | 6:00 pm | 9:00 pm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky | Overcast | Overcast | Light drizzle | Drizzle | Drizzle | Light drizzle | Mainly clear | Overcast |
| Temperature | 71° | 70° | 70° | 79° | 80° | 82° | 77° | 74° |
| Chance of rain | 2% | 14% | 65% | 51% | 78% | 73% | 35% | 4% |
| Rain | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.01 in | 0.02 in | 0.02 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in |
| Wind (mph) | 2 SSW | 2 S | 2 S | 1 WSW | 5 NNW | 6 NNW | 1 W | 2 S |
| Humidity | 96% | 93% | 98% | 89% | 84% | 77% | 92% | 95% |
| UV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Model | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF |
Do the models agree?
Medium confidenceThey broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.
What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.
| High (°F) | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 82° | 85° | 85° | 83° | 83° | 85° | 87° |
| AIFS | 82° | 85° | 85° | 83° | 83° | 86° | 87° |
| GFS | 87° | 88° | 89° | 86° | 87° | 90° | 89° |
| ICON | 84° | 86° | 86° | 84° | 84° | 86° | 89° |
| Confidence | high | high | high | high | high | high | high |
| Rain | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 0.18 in | 0.04 in | 0.05 in | 0.24 in | 0.12 in | 0.01 in | 0.05 in |
| AIFS | 0.15 in | 0.02 in | 0.04 in | 0.32 in | 0.20 in | 0.03 in | 0.02 in |
| GFS | 0.02 in | 0 | 0 | 0.30 in | 0.00 in | 0 | 0.17 in |
| ICON | 0.01 in | 0 | 0 | 0.09 in | 0.01 in | 0 | 0 |
| Confidence | medium | high | medium | medium | low | high | medium |
| Wind (mph) | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 618 | 619 | 517 | 723 | 619 | 517 | 515 |
| AIFS | 6 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| GFS | 65 | 65 | 65 | 56 | 64 | 66 | 66 |
| ICON | 412 | 514 | 615 | 413 | 414 | 615 | 615 |
| Confidence | high | high | high | high | high | high | high |
Chance of rain from the ensemble models
| Model | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF (51 scenarios) | 80% | 31% | 45% | 88% | 83% | 45% | 39% |
| GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) | 26% | 0% | 29% | 97% | 39% | 10% | 23% |
Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.
Outlook
How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.
Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, a bit drier and a slightly warmer sea.
Next 6 weeks
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain | Sea | Typical high / low |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 | A bit above +2.0 °F | Below −70% | A bit above +1.3 °F | — |
| Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 | A bit above +1.4 °F | Normal | A bit above +1.4 °F | — |
| Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 | A bit above +1.6 °F | A bit below −23% | A bit above +1.1 °F | 80° / 77° |
| Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 | A bit above +2.0 °F | A bit below −30% | A bit above +1.4 °F | 81° / 77° |
| Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 | A bit above +2.0 °F | Normal | A bit above +1.4 °F | 81° / 77° |
Coming months
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain | Sea |
|---|---|---|---|
| November | A bit above +2.5 °F | Normal | Above +2.3 °F |
| December | A bit above +2.2 °F | Normal | Above +2.0 °F |
| January | A bit above +1.8 °F | Normal | A bit above +1.6 °F |
| February | A bit above +2.2 °F | Normal | Above +1.8 °F |
| March | A bit above +2.2 °F | Normal | Above +2.0 °F |
Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.
Nueva Armenia climate by monthClimate by month
Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)The best time to visit Nueva Armenia is from February to April: highs of 87 °F to 92 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.
Hurricane season: from September to November, peaking in October. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 12 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Nueva Armenia, about 4 every 10 years; 4 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Sara, in November 2024.
- JanJ
- FebF
- MarM
- AprA
- MayM
- JunJ
- JulJ
- AugA
- SepS
- OctO
- NovN
- DecD
- Highs and lows
- Monthly rainfall
- Best time
| Month | High | Low | Rain | Rainy daysDays | Sun (h/day) | Water | Waves | Cyclones |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JanuaryJan | 85° | 70° | 8.47 in | 12 | 6.9 | 80° | 2.7 ft | – |
| FebruaryFeb | 87° | 70° | 4.68 in | 7 | 8.0 | 80° | 2.7 ft | – |
| MarchMar | 89° | 72° | 3.82 in | 6 | 8.4 | 81° | 2.6 ft | – |
| AprilApr | 92° | 75° | 1.99 in | 4 | 8.3 | 82° | 2.5 ft | – |
| MayMay | 93° | 76° | 3.11 in | 10 | 8.3 | 83° | 2.4 ft | – |
| JuneJun | 92° | 77° | 4.56 in | 15 | 7.5 | 84° | 2.5 ft | 1 |
| JulyJul | 91° | 76° | 4.08 in | 16 | 7.6 | 84° | 2.4 ft | – |
| AugustAug | 92° | 76° | 4.65 in | 14 | 7.9 | 85° | 2.1 ft | 1 |
| SeptemberSep | 92° | 76° | 5.41 in | 15 | 7.7 | 86° | 1.7 ft | 3 |
| OctoberOct | 90° | 75° | 11.24 in | 18 | 6.7 | 85° | 2.0 ft | 4 |
| NovemberNov | 87° | 72° | 12.62 in | 16 | 6.8 | 83° | 2.4 ft | 3 |
| DecemberDec | 85° | 71° | 10.18 in | 13 | 6.6 | 81° | 2.5 ft | – |
| Month | Water | Waves | Cyclones |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 80° | 2.7 ft | – |
| Feb | 80° | 2.7 ft | – |
| Mar | 81° | 2.6 ft | – |
| Apr | 82° | 2.5 ft | – |
| May | 83° | 2.4 ft | – |
| Jun | 84° | 2.5 ft | 1 |
| Jul | 84° | 2.4 ft | – |
| Aug | 85° | 2.1 ft | 1 |
| Sep | 86° | 1.7 ft | 3 |
| Oct | 85° | 2.0 ft | 4 |
| Nov | 83° | 2.4 ft | 3 |
| Dec | 81° | 2.5 ft | – |
Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.
A normal year brings 74.81 in of rain on about 147 days and about 2,750 hours of sunshine.
Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).
1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses
Temperature
It's 70 °F now (feels like 77 °F). Today, 70 °F to 82 °F; tomorrow, 70 °F to 85 °F.
Chance of rain
Today the chance of rain reaches 80%, with 0.18 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Saturday 31: 45% and 0.05 in.
Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.04 in; last 3 days, 0.20 in; last 7 days, 3.37 in.
Humidity and dew point
Humidity is 95% now and the dew point is 69 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.
The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.
Visibility and fog
Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.
The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.
UV index
Fri 30: 10 · Sat 31: 10 · Sun 1: 8
| Index | Level | What to do |
|---|---|---|
| 0–2 | low | No special protection needed. |
| 3–5 | moderate | Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday. |
| 6–7 | high | Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm. |
| 8–10 | very high | Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it. |
| 11+ | extreme | Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy. |
Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.
Barometric pressure
- ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
- → Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
- ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change
Steady now (−0.03 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.
Air and pollen
Previous days
The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 28 | Light drizzle | 69 / 83 °F | 0.04 in | 7 mph W |
| Tue 27 | Partly cloudy | 67 / 84 °F | 0 | 9 mph W |
| Mon 26 | Drizzle | 69 / 81 °F | 0.17 in | 9 mph WSW |
| Sun 25 | Drizzle | 70 / 84 °F | 0.13 in | 9 mph W |
| Sat 24 | Drizzle | 72 / 84 °F | 0.24 in | 8 mph W |
| Fri 23 | Showers | 74 / 78 °F | 2.56 in | 7 mph W |
| Thu 22 | Drizzle | 73 / 85 °F | 0.23 in | 9 mph WNW |
Show all 30 days
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 21 | Light drizzle | 73 / 89 °F | 0.01 in | 6 mph NNE |
| Tue 20 | Drizzle | 74 / 87 °F | 0.20 in | 6 mph SSE |
| Mon 19 | Drizzle | 75 / 88 °F | 0.20 in | 5 mph SSE |
| Sun 18 | Light showers | 75 / 82 °F | 0.49 in | 4 mph SSE |
| Sat 17 | Showers | 76 / 80 °F | 1.13 in | 4 mph SE |
| Fri 16 | Light showers | 76 / 83 °F | 0.69 in | 4 mph SSE |
| Thu 15 | Light showers | 74 / 88 °F | 0.51 in | 5 mph SE |
| Wed 14 | Light showers | 75 / 87 °F | 0.39 in | 5 mph SE |
| Tue 13 | Light drizzle | 75 / 87 °F | 0.12 in | 6 mph WNW |
| Mon 12 | Light drizzle | 74 / 89 °F | 0.09 in | 6 mph E |
| Sun 11 | Heavy drizzle | 75 / 91 °F | 0.20 in | 6 mph S |
| Sat 10 | Light showers | 74 / 90 °F | 0.24 in | 7 mph SE |
| Fri 9 | Drizzle | 76 / 90 °F | 0.09 in | 6 mph SW |
| Thu 8 | Drizzle | 75 / 88 °F | 0.21 in | 6 mph W |
| Wed 7 | Drizzle | 75 / 88 °F | 0.17 in | 6 mph WSW |
| Tue 6 | Light drizzle | 74 / 91 °F | 0.05 in | 6 mph S |
| Mon 5 | Light showers | 75 / 89 °F | 0.35 in | 6 mph SSW |
| Sun 4 | Light showers | 74 / 89 °F | 0.28 in | 6 mph S |
| Sat 3 | Thunderstorm | 78 / 90 °F | 0.80 in | 5 mph SSE |
| Fri 2 | Light drizzle | 75 / 91 °F | 0.08 in | 5 mph SSW |
| Thu 1 | Drizzle | 74 / 89 °F | 0.18 in | 6 mph S |
| Wed 30 | Drizzle | 75 / 91 °F | 0.11 in | 6 mph SW |
| Tue 29 | Light showers | 74 / 88 °F | 0.28 in | 5 mph S |
These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.
Questions about the weather in Nueva ArmeniaQuestions
What's the weather like today in Nueva Armenia?
Drizzle, from 70 °F to 82 °F, with a light air from the south-southwest (2 mph) and a 80% chance of rain.
Will it rain tomorrow in Nueva Armenia?
On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 31% (0.04 in): light drizzle.
How warm will it be this week?
Between a low of 68 °F and a high of 87 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 4.
What's the UV index today?
It reaches 10 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
Is the pressure rising or falling?
It's 29.95 inHg and steady: −0.02 inHg over the last 24 hours.
When is the best time to visit Nueva Armenia?
The best time to visit Nueva Armenia is from February to April: highs of 87 °F to 92 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.
What is the weather like in Nueva Armenia in October?
In October, Nueva Armenia normally sees highs of 90 °F and lows of 75 °F, with about 18 rainy days (11.24 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 85 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.
What are the warmest and wettest months in Nueva Armenia?
The warmest is May, with average highs of 93 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 70 °F. The wettest is November (12.62 in) and the driest, April.
When is hurricane season in Nueva Armenia?
Hurricane season: from September to November, peaking in October. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 12 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Nueva Armenia, about 4 every 10 years; 4 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Sara, in November 2024.
More about Nueva Armenia today
Weather near Nueva Armenia
- Río Esteban 73 °F · partly cloudy · 13 mi
- Corozal 72 °F · partly cloudy · 15 mi
- El Porvenir 75 °F · light drizzle · 29 mi
- Coxen Hole 82 °F · light drizzle · 36 mi
- Trujillo 71 °F · partly cloudy · 37 mi
- Santa Rosa de Aguán 72 °F · partly cloudy · 53 mi
Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.
Learn more
Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 3.1 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).
Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 12:28 am (local time).
Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from