Weather in Fort Liberté
14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 10:51 pm (EDT)- Feels like
- 87 °F
- Low / high
- 73 / 90 °F
- Rain
- 98% · 0.06 in
- Wind
- 1 mph SSW
Today in Fort Liberté: light drizzle, 73 °F to 90 °F, with a 98% chance of rain (0.06 in) and calm. Tomorrow, light showers, 74 °F to 87 °F and a 99% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 28, at 90 °F.
Temperatures for the next 14 days
- Today
- Thu 29
- Fri 30
- Sat 31
- Sun 1
- Mon 2
- Tue 3
- Wed 4
- Thu 5
- Fri 6
- Sat 7
- Sun 8
- Mon 9
- Tue 10
Day by day
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind | High tides | Model |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today · 28 | 73 / 90 °F | 98% · 0.06 in | 2 mph SSW | 9:44 am · 8:52 pm | ECMWF | |
| Thu 29 | 74 / 87 °F | 99% · 0.44 in | 5 mph SSW | 10:39 am · 9:43 pm | ECMWF | |
| Fri 30 | 73 / 87 °F | 88% · 0.04 in | 5 mph WNW | 11:38 am · 10:42 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sat 31 | 75 / 90 °F | 75% · 0.05 in | 4 mph SW | 12:39 pm · 11:53 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sun 1 | 73 / 85 °F | 79% · 0.35 in | 7 mph NNW | 12:40 pm | ECMWF | |
| Mon 2 | 73 / 85 °F | 85% · 0.24 in | 5 mph WNW | 12:15 am · 1:36 pm | ECMWF | |
| Tue 3 | 74 / 83 °F | 92% · 0.78 in | 3 mph ESE | 1:36 am · 2:26 pm | ECMWF | |
| Wed 4 | 74 / 85 °F | 94% · 0.17 in | 2 mph S | 2:48 am · 3:10 pm | ECMWF | |
| Thu 5 | 74 / 84 °F | 86% · 0.39 in | 2 mph S | 3:51 am · 3:51 pm | ECMWF | |
| Fri 6 | 75 / 88 °F | 82% · 0.24 in | 2 mph NW | 4:48 am · 4:30 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sat 7 | 75 / 87 °F | 73% · 0.27 in | 3 mph WSW | 5:40 am · 5:08 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sun 8 | 75 / 87 °F | 69% · 0.02 in | 5 mph WNW | 6:27 am · 5:45 pm | ECMWF | |
| Mon 9 | 75 / 89 °F | 59% | 4 mph WNW | 7:10 am · 6:21 pm | ECMWF | |
| Tue 10 | 75 / 88 °F | 65% | 4 mph WSW | 7:52 am · 6:58 pm | ECMWF |
Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.
Today, every 3 hours
| Time | 12:00 am | 3:00 am | 6:00 am | 9:00 am | 12:00 pm | 3:00 pm | 6:00 pm | 9:00 pm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky | Partly cloudy | Mainly clear | Clear | Clear sky | Light drizzle | Light drizzle | Light drizzle | Clear |
| Temperature | 74° | 74° | 73° | 79° | 88° | 88° | 82° | 78° |
| Chance of rain | 9% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 6% | 49% | 90% | 34% |
| Rain | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.01 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in |
| Wind (mph) | 2 S | 2 S | 2 SSW | 2 S | 2 NNE | 1 NNW | 1 SSE | 1 S |
| Humidity | 94% | 92% | 96% | 90% | 67% | 65% | 83% | 92% |
| UV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Model | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF |
Do the models agree?
Medium confidenceThey broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.
What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.
| High (°F) | Today | Thu 29 | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 90° | 87° | 87° | 90° | 85° | 85° | 83° |
| AIFS | 92° | 91° | 90° | 91° | 90° | 91° | 88° |
| GFS | 88° | 87° | 87° | 87° | 87° | 84° | 85° |
| ICON | 89° | 87° | 88° | 87° | 89° | 89° | 88° |
| Confidence | high | high | high | high | high | medium | high |
| Rain | Today | Thu 29 | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 0.06 in | 0.44 in | 0.04 in | 0.05 in | 0.35 in | 0.24 in | 0.78 in |
| AIFS | 0.07 in | 0.14 in | 0.09 in | 0.12 in | 0.31 in | 0.22 in | 0.28 in |
| GFS | 0.09 in | 0.38 in | 0.08 in | 0.15 in | 0.19 in | 0.08 in | 0.63 in |
| ICON | 0 | 0.20 in | 0.10 in | 0.04 in | 0.04 in | 0.19 in | 0 |
| Confidence | medium | medium | medium | high | medium | high | medium |
| Wind (mph) | Today | Thu 29 | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 210 | 512 | 513 | 415 | 718 | 515 | 315 |
| AIFS | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
| GFS | 1011 | 1017 | 910 | 1320 | 817 | 613 | 89 |
| ICON | 48 | 510 | 713 | 816 | 917 | 510 | 611 |
| Confidence | medium | medium | high | medium | high | high | high |
Chance of rain from the ensemble models
| Model | Today | Thu 29 | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF (51 scenarios) | 98% | 99% | 88% | 75% | 79% | 85% | 92% |
| GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) | 94% | 75% | 38% | 42% | 97% | 65% | 44% |
Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.
Outlook
How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.
Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, normal rain and a warmer sea.
Next 6 weeks
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain | Sea | Typical high / low |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 | A bit above +1.1 °F | A bit below −26% | A bit above +1.4 °F | — |
| Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 | A bit above +2.0 °F | A bit below −22% | Above +2.0 °F | 84° / 77° |
| Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 | A bit above +2.0 °F | Normal | Above +2.2 °F | 84° / 76° |
| Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 | A bit above +2.2 °F | A bit below −24% | Above +2.2 °F | 83° / 76° |
| Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 | A bit above +2.3 °F | Normal | Above +2.2 °F | 83° / 75° |
Coming months
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain | Sea |
|---|---|---|---|
| November | Above +2.7 °F | Normal | Above +2.3 °F |
| December | Above +3.1 °F | A bit above +33% | Above +2.7 °F |
| January | Above +2.7 °F | A bit above +37% | Above +2.5 °F |
| February | A bit above +2.5 °F | A bit above +23% | Above +2.3 °F |
| March | A bit above +2.2 °F | A bit above +31% | Above +2.0 °F |
Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.
Fort Liberté climate by monthClimate by month
Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)The best time to visit Fort Liberté is from December to March: highs of 87 °F to 89 °F, about 4 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.
Hurricane season: from August to October, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 13 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Fort Liberté, about 4 every 10 years; 3 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Franklin, in August 2023.
- JanJ
- FebF
- MarM
- AprA
- MayM
- JunJ
- JulJ
- AugA
- SepS
- OctO
- NovN
- DecD
- Highs and lows
- Monthly rainfall
- Best time
| Month | High | Low | Rain | Rainy daysDays | Sun (h/day) | Water | Waves | Cyclones |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JanuaryJan | 87° | 66° | 2.41 in | 5 | 5.9 | 80° | 4.2 ft | – |
| FebruaryFeb | 88° | 67° | 1.55 in | 3 | 6.7 | 79° | 4.3 ft | – |
| MarchMar | 89° | 68° | 2.09 in | 4 | 7.2 | 79° | 4.1 ft | – |
| AprilApr | 90° | 71° | 2.79 in | 4 | 7.4 | 80° | 3.6 ft | – |
| MayMay | 91° | 72° | 5.04 in | 6 | 6.8 | 81° | 3.3 ft | – |
| JuneJun | 92° | 73° | 3.52 in | 4 | 7.4 | 83° | 3.2 ft | – |
| JulyJul | 93° | 73° | 3.06 in | 3 | 7.6 | 83° | 3.8 ft | 1 |
| AugustAug | 94° | 74° | 3.69 in | 5 | 7.0 | 84° | 3.6 ft | 5 |
| SeptemberSep | 93° | 73° | 4.46 in | 5 | 6.2 | 85° | 3.1 ft | 3 |
| OctoberOct | 92° | 73° | 4.06 in | 7 | 6.0 | 84° | 3.1 ft | 2 |
| NovemberNov | 89° | 70° | 5.55 in | 7 | 5.5 | 83° | 3.8 ft | 1 |
| DecemberDec | 87° | 67° | 2.63 in | 5 | 5.5 | 81° | 4.3 ft | 1 |
| Month | Water | Waves | Cyclones |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 80° | 4.2 ft | – |
| Feb | 79° | 4.3 ft | – |
| Mar | 79° | 4.1 ft | – |
| Apr | 80° | 3.6 ft | – |
| May | 81° | 3.3 ft | – |
| Jun | 83° | 3.2 ft | – |
| Jul | 83° | 3.8 ft | 1 |
| Aug | 84° | 3.6 ft | 5 |
| Sep | 85° | 3.1 ft | 3 |
| Oct | 84° | 3.1 ft | 2 |
| Nov | 83° | 3.8 ft | 1 |
| Dec | 81° | 4.3 ft | 1 |
Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.
A normal year brings 40.85 in of rain on about 56 days and about 2,400 hours of sunshine.
Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).
1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses
Temperature
It's 77 °F now (feels like 87 °F). Today, 73 °F to 90 °F; tomorrow, 74 °F to 87 °F.
Chance of rain
Today the chance of rain reaches 98%, with 0.06 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 29: 99% and 0.44 in.
Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.06 in; last 3 days, 1.23 in; last 7 days, 2.64 in.
Humidity and dew point
Humidity is 90% now and the dew point is 74 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.
The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.
Visibility and fog
Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.
The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.
UV index
Thu 29: 8 · Fri 30: 8 · Sat 31: 8
| Index | Level | What to do |
|---|---|---|
| 0–2 | low | No special protection needed. |
| 3–5 | moderate | Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday. |
| 6–7 | high | Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm. |
| 8–10 | very high | Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it. |
| 11+ | extreme | Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy. |
Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.
Barometric pressure
- ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
- → Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
- ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change
Steady now (0.00 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.
Air and pollen
Previous days
The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 27 | Light showers | 73 / 89 °F | 0.25 in | 2 mph SSE |
| Mon 26 | Showers | 76 / 81 °F | 0.90 in | 4 mph SW |
| Sun 25 | Light showers | 76 / 85 °F | 0.65 in | 6 mph NE |
| Sat 24 | Drizzle | 74 / 90 °F | 0.20 in | 8 mph S |
| Fri 23 | Light showers | 74 / 89 °F | 0.48 in | 4 mph WNW |
| Thu 22 | Drizzle | 71 / 91 °F | 0.09 in | 2 mph SSW |
| Wed 21 | Light drizzle | 73 / 89 °F | 0.12 in | 8 mph WNW |
Show all 30 days
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 20 | Showers | 75 / 90 °F | 1.00 in | 10 mph WSW |
| Mon 19 | Drizzle | 76 / 92 °F | 0.07 in | 3 mph W |
| Sun 18 | Drizzle | 76 / 91 °F | 0.08 in | 4 mph WSW |
| Sat 17 | Mainly clear | 77 / 93 °F | 0 | 9 mph W |
| Fri 16 | Drizzle | 77 / 96 °F | 0.08 in | 6 mph SW |
| Thu 15 | Light drizzle | 78 / 94 °F | 0.02 in | 9 mph NE |
| Wed 14 | Heavy drizzle | 76 / 88 °F | 0.15 in | 5 mph WSW |
| Tue 13 | Drizzle | 74 / 90 °F | 0.11 in | 7 mph WNW |
| Mon 12 | Light drizzle | 75 / 92 °F | 0.04 in | 4 mph NW |
| Sun 11 | Light drizzle | 76 / 94 °F | 0.04 in | 12 mph ENE |
| Sat 10 | Light drizzle | 76 / 95 °F | 0.02 in | 11 mph ENE |
| Fri 9 | Light drizzle | 76 / 90 °F | 0.02 in | 6 mph W |
| Thu 8 | Drizzle | 78 / 91 °F | 0.15 in | 4 mph E |
| Wed 7 | Light drizzle | 75 / 93 °F | 0.05 in | 4 mph W |
| Tue 6 | Light drizzle | 74 / 91 °F | 0.06 in | 7 mph NNW |
| Mon 5 | Light drizzle | 74 / 91 °F | 0.04 in | 5 mph W |
| Sun 4 | Drizzle | 74 / 89 °F | 0.08 in | 4 mph WNW |
| Sat 3 | Thunderstorm | 77 / 88 °F | 1.06 in | 4 mph SSW |
| Fri 2 | Drizzle | 77 / 91 °F | 0.11 in | 8 mph W |
| Thu 1 | Light drizzle | 75 / 95 °F | 0.02 in | 8 mph E |
| Wed 30 | Light drizzle | 76 / 96 °F | 0.07 in | 9 mph ENE |
| Tue 29 | Light drizzle | 76 / 96 °F | 0.01 in | 11 mph ENE |
| Mon 28 | Light drizzle | 76 / 93 °F | 0.08 in | 6 mph WSW |
These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.
Questions about the weather in Fort LibertéQuestions
What's the weather like today in Fort Liberté?
Light drizzle, from 73 °F to 90 °F, with calm and a 98% chance of rain.
Will it rain tomorrow in Fort Liberté?
On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 99% (0.44 in): light showers.
How warm will it be this week?
Between a low of 73 °F and a high of 90 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 28.
What's the UV index today?
It reaches 8 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
Is the pressure rising or falling?
It's 29.94 inHg and steady: −0.02 inHg over the last 24 hours.
When is the best time to visit Fort Liberté?
The best time to visit Fort Liberté is from December to March: highs of 87 °F to 89 °F, about 4 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.
What is the weather like in Fort Liberté in October?
In October, Fort Liberté normally sees highs of 92 °F and lows of 73 °F, with about 7 rainy days (4.06 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 84 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.
What are the warmest and wettest months in Fort Liberté?
The warmest is August, with average highs of 94 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 66 °F. The wettest is November (5.55 in) and the driest, February.
When is hurricane season in Fort Liberté?
Hurricane season: from August to October, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 13 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Fort Liberté, about 4 every 10 years; 3 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Franklin, in August 2023.
More about Fort Liberté today
Weather near Fort Liberté
- Phaëton 77 °F · clear · 4.1 mi
- Cap-Haïtien 78 °F · clear · 25 mi
- Estero Hondo 78 °F · partly cloudy · 44 mi
- Borgne 77 °F · clear · 47 mi
- Gonaïves 81 °F · clear · 58 mi
- Luperón 77 °F · partly cloudy · 59 mi
Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.
Learn more
Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 13 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).
Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 10:51 pm (local time).
Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from