TidePlanet

Weather in Miragoâne

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 3:06 am (EDT)
Now · light drizzle 76 °F
Feels like
85 °F
Low / high
75 / 83 °F
Rain
73% · 0.22 in
Wind
4 mph SE
→ 29.93 inHg · steady UV 7 · high

Today in Miragoâne: heavy drizzle, 75 °F to 83 °F, with a 73% chance of rain (0.22 in) and a light breeze from the southeast (4 mph). Tomorrow, drizzle, 73 °F to 85 °F and a 67% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Saturday 31, at 87 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

Day by day

Day Sky Low / high Rain Max wind Max wave Model
Today · 29 Heavy drizzle 75 / 83 °F 73% · 0.22 in 6 mph ESE 0.3 ft ECMWF
Fri 30 Drizzle 73 / 85 °F 67% · 0.13 in 4 mph ENE 0.1 ft ECMWF
Sat 31 Light drizzle 74 / 87 °F 57% · 0.07 in 5 mph NE 0.1 ft ECMWF
Sun 1 Light drizzle 73 / 86 °F 39% · 0.02 in 6 mph NE 0.2 ft ECMWF
Mon 2 Showers 74 / 82 °F 61% · 0.42 in 5 mph ENE 0.1 ft ECMWF
Tue 3 Light showers 75 / 80 °F 71% · 0.81 in 6 mph ESE 0.1 ft ECMWF
Wed 4 Light drizzle 75 / 82 °F 72% · 0.22 in 6 mph ESE 0.1 ft ECMWF
Thu 5 Drizzle 75 / 81 °F 73% · 0.32 in 5 mph ESE 0.1 ft ECMWF
Fri 6 Drizzle 76 / 82 °F 78% · 0.31 in 7 mph ESE 0.2 ft ECMWF
Sat 7 Drizzle 75 / 81 °F 54% · 0.24 in 7 mph E 0.3 ft ECMWF
Sun 8 Partly cloudy 74 / 85 °F 43% 5 mph NNE 0.5 ft ECMWF
Mon 9 Partly cloudy 75 / 86 °F 36% 6 mph NNE 0.7 ft ECMWF
Tue 10 Partly cloudy 74 / 85 °F 39% 6 mph NE 0.6 ft ECMWF
Wed 11 Light drizzle 74 / 86 °F 44% · 0.02 in 7 mph E 0.4 ft ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore.

Today, every 3 hours

Time 12:00 am3:00 am6:00 am9:00 am12:00 pm3:00 pm6:00 pm9:00 pm
Sky Light drizzleLight drizzlePartly cloudyLight drizzleLight drizzleHeavy drizzlePartly cloudyPartly cloudy
Temperature 77°76°76°78°82°82°78°76°
Chance of rain 30%49%66%49%72%71%62%23%
Rain 0.01 in0.02 in0.00 in0.01 in0.00 in0.04 in0.00 in0.00 in
Wind (mph) 2 E5 SE4 ESE4 ESE6 ESE5 SE2 SE2 NNE
Humidity 96%96%98%94%83%84%97%98%
UV 00027300
Model ECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F) TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 83°85°87°86°82°80°82°
AIFS 84°85°85°85°85°82°82°
GFS 88°88°88°87°83°78°84°
ICON 87°88°88°90°89°89°89°
Confidence highhighhighhighmediumlowmedium
Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 0.22 in0.13 in0.07 in0.02 in0.42 in0.81 in0.22 in
AIFS 0.20 in0.11 in0.11 in0.11 in0.11 in0.51 in0.40 in
GFS 0.02 in0.09 in0.67 in0.73 in0.33 in0.09 in0.21 in
ICON 0.05 in0.02 in0.00 in0.05 in0.03 in00.15 in
Confidence mediummediummediummediummediummediummedium
Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph) TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 622414514617521619620
AIFS 8433554
GFS 1310454554666877
ICON 52161561338617313412
Confidence mediumhighhighhighhighhighhigh

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios) 73%67%57%39%61%71%72%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) 79%68%84%61%61%47%39%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When TemperatureTemp. Rain Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 Normal +0.5 °F Normal —
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 A bit above +1.4 °F Normal —
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 A bit above +1.1 °F Normal 85° / 76°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 A bit above +1.3 °F A bit above +44% 86° / 76°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 A bit above +1.4 °F Above +62% 86° / 76°

Coming months

When TemperatureTemp. Rain
November Above +3.2 °F A bit below −36%
December Above +2.9 °F Above +53%
January A bit above +2.3 °F Well above +151%
February A bit above +2.2 °F Above +77%
March A bit above +2.2 °F Above +71%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Miragoâne climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Miragoâne is from December to March: highs of 86 °F to 87 °F, about 3 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from August to October, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 13 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Miragoâne, about 4 every 10 years; 3 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Grace, in August 2021.

Month High Low Rain Rainy daysDays Sun (h/day) Water Waves Cyclones
JanuaryJan 86° 64° 1.09 in 3 7.0 82° 3.5 ft –
FebruaryFeb 87° 65° 0.98 in 2 7.9 81° 3.5 ft –
MarchMar 87° 67° 1.90 in 3 7.9 81° 3.1 ft –
AprilApr 88° 69° 3.77 in 4 8.1 82° 3.1 ft –
MayMay 88° 71° 6.86 in 7 6.7 83° 3.5 ft –
JuneJun 89° 72° 4.58 in 4 7.4 84° 4.0 ft –
JulyJul 90° 72° 6.12 in 3 7.8 85° 3.7 ft 1
AugustAug 91° 72° 6.79 in 5 7.7 86° 3.4 ft 7
SeptemberSep 90° 72° 6.35 in 6 6.5 86° 2.7 ft 1
OctoberOct 89° 71° 6.81 in 8 6.3 86° 2.8 ft 3
NovemberNov 87° 69° 3.03 in 6 6.3 85° 2.5 ft –
DecemberDec 86° 67° 1.00 in 3 6.2 83° 3.3 ft 1
Month Water Waves Cyclones
Jan 82° 3.5 ft –
Feb 81° 3.5 ft –
Mar 81° 3.1 ft –
Apr 82° 3.1 ft –
May 83° 3.5 ft –
Jun 84° 4.0 ft –
Jul 85° 3.7 ft 1
Aug 86° 3.4 ft 7
Sep 86° 2.7 ft 1
Oct 86° 2.8 ft 3
Nov 85° 2.5 ft –
Dec 83° 3.3 ft 1

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 49.30 in of rain on about 54 days and about 2,600 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now76 °Ffeels like 85 °F
Tomorrow73 / 85 °F

It's 76 °F now (feels like 85 °F). Today, 75 °F to 83 °F; tomorrow, 73 °F to 85 °F.

Chance of rain

  • Today 73% 0.22 in
  • Fri 30 67% 0.13 in
  • Sat 31 57% 0.07 in
  • Sun 1 39% 0.02 in
  • Mon 2 61% 0.42 in
  • Tue 3 71% 0.81 in
  • Wed 4 72% 0.22 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 73%, with 0.22 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 67% and 0.13 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.16 in; last 3 days, 6.46 in; last 7 days, 11.97 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity96%
Dew point75 °F

Humidity is 96% now and the dew point is 75 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood
Clouds88%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0
Today's peak7high

Fri 30: 8 · Sat 31: 8 · Sun 1: 8

IndexLevelWhat to do
0–2lowNo special protection needed.
3–5moderateHat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7highSunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10very highAvoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+extremeAvoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

  • ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
  • → Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
  • ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

Steady now (−0.02 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 36
Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Wed 28 Light drizzle74 / 85 °F0.12 in10 mph ESE
Tue 27 Light showers75 / 82 °F0.61 in10 mph SE
Mon 26 Heavy showers75 / 77 °F6.28 in14 mph SE
Sun 25 Heavy showers75 / 80 °F3.39 in16 mph ESE
Sat 24 Showers75 / 87 °F0.83 in16 mph ESE
Fri 23 Light showers75 / 84 °F0.43 in12 mph E
Thu 22 Heavy drizzle73 / 87 °F0.27 in13 mph ESE
Show all 30 days
DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Wed 21 Partly cloudy75 / 90 °F07 mph ESE
Tue 20 Light drizzle76 / 89 °F0.02 in9 mph E
Mon 19 Light drizzle78 / 88 °F0.02 in8 mph ESE
Sun 18 Light drizzle77 / 89 °F0.02 in6 mph ESE
Sat 17 Light drizzle76 / 88 °F0.05 in9 mph ESE
Fri 16 Light drizzle76 / 89 °F0.05 in7 mph SE
Thu 15 Light drizzle76 / 89 °F0.05 in7 mph E
Wed 14 Light showers75 / 85 °F0.43 in9 mph ENE
Tue 13 Showers75 / 87 °F0.77 in11 mph ESE
Mon 12 Light drizzle78 / 89 °F0.05 in13 mph ESE
Sun 11 Drizzle77 / 87 °F0.14 in7 mph ESE
Sat 10 Light drizzle76 / 89 °F0.02 in10 mph E
Fri 9 Light drizzle76 / 87 °F0.11 in13 mph E
Thu 8 Showers77 / 80 °F0.92 in12 mph ESE
Wed 7 Light drizzle76 / 90 °F0.06 in5 mph NW
Tue 6 Light drizzle73 / 88 °F0.06 in6 mph E
Mon 5 Drizzle76 / 87 °F0.13 in6 mph E
Sun 4 Light showers75 / 85 °F0.58 in8 mph ESE
Sat 3 Drizzle77 / 91 °F0.21 in10 mph ESE
Fri 2 Drizzle80 / 90 °F0.13 in14 mph ESE
Thu 1 Drizzle81 / 91 °F0.11 in13 mph ESE
Wed 30 Drizzle79 / 91 °F0.17 in6 mph ESE
Tue 29 Light drizzle78 / 92 °F0.06 in8 mph ESE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in MiragoâneQuestions

What's the weather like today in Miragoâne?

Heavy drizzle, from 75 °F to 83 °F, with a light breeze from the southeast (4 mph) and a 73% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Miragoâne?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 67% (0.13 in): drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 73 °F and a high of 87 °F; the warmest day, Saturday 31.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 7 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.93 inHg and steady: +0.01 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Miragoâne?

The best time to visit Miragoâne is from December to March: highs of 86 °F to 87 °F, about 3 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Miragoâne in October?

In October, Miragoâne normally sees highs of 89 °F and lows of 71 °F, with about 8 rainy days (6.81 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 86 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Miragoâne?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 91 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 64 °F. The wettest is May (6.86 in) and the driest, February.

When is hurricane season in Miragoâne?

Hurricane season: from August to October, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 13 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Miragoâne, about 4 every 10 years; 3 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Grace, in August 2021.

More about Miragoâne today

Weather near Miragoâne

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 17 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 3:06 am (local time).

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