Weather in Arsuk

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 11:48 pm (GMT-2)

Now · overcast 28 °F

Feels like: 18 °F
Low / high: 22 / 30 °F
Rain: 26%
Wind: 9 mph NW

↘ 28.83 inHg · falling

Today in Arsuk: overcast, 22 °F to 30 °F, with a 26% chance of rain and a gentle breeze from the northwest (9 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 28 °F to 36 °F and a 36% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Monday 2, at 40 °F. Next likely rain: Friday 30 (97%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

30° 22°
Today
36° 28°
Thu 29
36° 31°
Fri 30
32° 27°
Sat 31
31° 21°
Sun 1
40° 33°
Mon 2
37° 24°
Tue 3
32° 23°
Wed 4
32° 24°
Thu 5
35° 32°
Fri 6
37° 32°
Sat 7
33° 30°
Sun 8
30° 17°
Mon 9
19° 13°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Overcast	22 / 30 °F	26%	7 mph N	5.5 ft	8:36 am · 8:52 pm	ECMWF
Thu 29	Light drizzle	28 / 36 °F	36% · 0.01 in	16 mph NW	11 ft	9:18 am · 9:36 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Drizzle	31 / 36 °F	97% · 0.11 in	16 mph WNW	8.4 ft	10:04 am · 10:26 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Snow	27 / 32 °F	37% · 0.07 in	4 mph ENE	4.1 ft	10:57 am · 11:27 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Snow	21 / 31 °F	38% · 0.07 in	6 mph N	2.5 ft	12:00 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light rain	33 / 40 °F	62% · 0.90 in	13 mph WSW	4.7 ft	12:44 am · 1:16 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Drizzle	24 / 37 °F	59% · 0.07 in	15 mph ESE	5.4 ft	2:12 am · 2:37 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	23 / 32 °F	40% · 0.02 in	4 mph E	4.8 ft	3:31 am · 3:49 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light snow	24 / 32 °F	31% · 0.00 in	4 mph ENE	4.3 ft	4:34 am · 4:48 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light snow	32 / 35 °F	36% · 0.29 in	29 mph ESE	9.6 ft	5:25 am · 5:38 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Rain	32 / 37 °F	37% · 1.65 in	31 mph SE	11 ft	6:08 am · 6:22 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Snow	30 / 33 °F	35% · 0.26 in	8 mph SE	7.7 ft	6:48 am · 7:02 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light snow	17 / 30 °F	34% · 0.04 in	7 mph N	6.8 ft	7:25 am · 7:39 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	13 / 19 °F	33%	10 mph NNW	8.1 ft	8:00 am · 8:14 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Overcast	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Clear	Partly cloudy
Temperature	30°	27°	23°	23°	28°	30°	26°	25°
Chance of rain	26%	5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	3 NNE	3 NNE	4 NNE	4 NNE	4 N	4 NNW	3 N	4 N
Humidity	85%	84%	83%	78%	69%	67%	73%	72%
UV	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on temperature today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	30°	36°	36°	32°	31°	40°	37°
AIFS	31°	33°	32°	31°	33°	34°	33°
GFS	34°	35°	33°	33°	30°	35°	37°
ICON	37°	36°	35°	32°	35°	45°	42°
Confidence	medium	high	high	high	high	low	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0	0.01 in	0.11 in	0.07 in	0.07 in	0.90 in	0.07 in
AIFS	0.02 in	0.02 in	0.12 in	0.14 in	0.13 in	0.49 in	0.12 in
GFS	0	0.05 in	0.08 in	0	0	0.00 in	0.57 in
ICON	0	0	0.05 in	0	0.23 in	0.81 in	0.18 in
Confidence	high	medium	high	medium	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	715	1629	1628	48	610	1313	1523
AIFS	13	17	12	5	11	11	10
GFS	1114	1529	1627	88	912	109	3140
ICON	815	1218	1624	57	69	1222	1826
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	low

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	26%	36%	97%	37%	38%	62%	59%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	1%	66%	72%	16%	39%	56%	66%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and a bit drier.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Above +3.2 °F	Normal	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Above +3.2 °F	A bit below −20%	24° / 18°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal +0.7 °F	A bit below −42%	20° / 15°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Normal +0.5 °F	A bit below −30%	21° / 16°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.6 °F	A bit below −27%	20° / 16°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +2.0 °F	Normal
December	A bit above +2.2 °F	Normal
January	A bit above +2.0 °F	Normal
February	A bit above +2.5 °F	Normal
March	A bit above +1.4 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Arsuk climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Arsuk is in July and from April to May: highs of 37 °F to 53 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

28° 19°

JanJ
28° 20°

FebF
30° 21°

MarM
37° 29°

AprA
43° 35°

MayM
50° 41°

JunJ
53° 44°

JulJ
52° 44°

AugA
47° 40°

SepS
41° 34°

OctO
34° 26°

NovN
30° 22°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	28°	19°	2.24 in	12	3.3	32°	5.7 ft
FebruaryFeb	28°	20°	2.33 in	11	3.4	32°	6.0 ft
MarchMar	30°	21°	1.86 in	9	6.3	31°	5.2 ft
AprilApr	37°	29°	1.84 in	9	7.8	32°	4.9 ft
MayMay	43°	35°	1.97 in	9	8.6	34°	3.4 ft
JuneJun	50°	41°	2.56 in	10	7.1	36°	2.8 ft
JulyJul	53°	44°	3.02 in	9	7.0	38°	2.7 ft
AugustAug	52°	44°	3.91 in	11	4.8	39°	2.9 ft
SeptemberSep	47°	40°	3.92 in	12	3.2	38°	4.5 ft
OctoberOct	41°	34°	2.59 in	10	2.0	36°	4.8 ft
NovemberNov	34°	26°	2.96 in	11	2.5	34°	5.8 ft
DecemberDec	30°	22°	2.21 in	11	3.0	33°	5.6 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	32°	5.7 ft
Feb	32°	6.0 ft
Mar	31°	5.2 ft
Apr	32°	4.9 ft
May	34°	3.4 ft
Jun	36°	2.8 ft
Jul	38°	2.7 ft
Aug	39°	2.9 ft
Sep	38°	4.5 ft
Oct	36°	4.8 ft
Nov	34°	5.8 ft
Dec	33°	5.6 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 31.40 in of rain on about 123 days and about 1,800 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now28 °Ffeels like 18 °F

Tomorrow28 / 36 °F

It's 28 °F now (feels like 18 °F). Today, 22 °F to 30 °F; tomorrow, 28 °F to 36 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 26%
Thu 29 36% 0.01 in
Fri 30 97% 0.11 in
Sat 31 37% 0.07 in
Sun 1 38% 0.07 in
Mon 2 62% 0.90 in
Tue 3 59% 0.07 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 26%. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 97% and 0.11 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.57 in; last 7 days, 0.73 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity68%

Dew point18 °F

Humidity is 68% now and the dew point is 18 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds88%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak1low

Thu 29: 1 · Fri 30: 1 · Sat 31: 0

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling · now Anglers say fish feed more before the change

28.5029.0029.50 29.64

Falling now (−0.14 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.82 inHg. Falling pressure: anglers say fish feed more before the change. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 24

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Light snow	31 / 36 °F	0.33 in	17 mph ESE
Mon 26	Snow	19 / 33 °F	0.24 in	23 mph ESE
Sun 25	Partly cloudy	18 / 29 °F	0	4 mph NNW
Sat 24	Light snow	26 / 31 °F	0.07 in	10 mph N
Fri 23	Light snow	27 / 32 °F	0.05 in	8 mph NW
Thu 22	Snow	14 / 29 °F	0.05 in	4 mph NNE
Wed 21	Mainly clear	17 / 26 °F	0	9 mph NNW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Overcast	24 / 30 °F	0	9 mph NNW
Mon 19	Light snow	27 / 31 °F	0.01 in	13 mph NW
Sun 18	Light snow	29 / 33 °F	0.02 in	15 mph NW
Sat 17	Light rain	34 / 44 °F	0.51 in	17 mph WNW
Fri 16	Rain	36 / 44 °F	1.46 in	17 mph ESE
Thu 15	Overcast	30 / 39 °F	0	16 mph E
Wed 14	Overcast	33 / 38 °F	0	19 mph NW
Tue 13	Overcast	31 / 40 °F	0	14 mph NW
Mon 12	Overcast	33 / 39 °F	0	14 mph NW
Sun 11	Overcast	35 / 40 °F	0	11 mph NW
Sat 10	Drizzle	40 / 44 °F	0.43 in	9 mph ENE
Fri 9	Drizzle	38 / 43 °F	0.19 in	14 mph ESE
Thu 8	Light drizzle	37 / 44 °F	0.02 in	10 mph NW
Wed 7	Drizzle	36 / 47 °F	0.13 in	15 mph ENE
Tue 6	Overcast	29 / 43 °F	0	4 mph ENE
Mon 5	Light drizzle	35 / 39 °F	0.07 in	10 mph WNW
Sun 4	Light drizzle	36 / 42 °F	0.08 in	3 mph SE
Sat 3	Heavy drizzle	38 / 44 °F	0.31 in	7 mph SE
Fri 2	Drizzle	38 / 45 °F	0.34 in	15 mph ESE
Thu 1	Overcast	29 / 43 °F	0	10 mph NNW
Wed 30	Drizzle	34 / 40 °F	0.30 in	11 mph NNW
Tue 29	Drizzle	34 / 38 °F	0.25 in	11 mph ESE
Mon 28	Partly cloudy	34 / 41 °F	0	17 mph NW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in ArsukQuestions

What's the weather like today in Arsuk?

Overcast, from 22 °F to 30 °F, with a gentle breeze from the northwest (9 mph) and a 26% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Arsuk?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 36% (0.01 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 21 °F and a high of 40 °F; the warmest day, Monday 2.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 1 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 28.83 inHg and falling: −0.25 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Arsuk?

The best time to visit Arsuk is in July and from April to May: highs of 37 °F to 53 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Arsuk in October?

In October, Arsuk normally sees highs of 41 °F and lows of 34 °F, with about 10 rainy days (2.59 in for the month) and 2 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 36 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Arsuk?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 53 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 19 °F. The wettest is September (3.92 in) and the driest, April.

More about Arsuk today

Weather near Arsuk

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 5.5 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 11:48 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from