Weather in Moerai
14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 3:38 pm (GMT-10)- Feels like
- 69 °F
- Low / high
- 69 / 72 °F
- Rain
- 46% · 0.05 in
- Wind
- 19 mph ESE
Today in Moerai: light drizzle, 69 °F to 72 °F, with a 46% chance of rain (0.05 in) and a fresh breeze from the east-southeast (19 mph). Tomorrow, mainly clear, 71 °F to 73 °F and a 6% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 73 °F. Next likely rain: Monday 2 (54%).
Temperatures for the next 14 days
- Today
- Thu 29
- Fri 30
- Sat 31
- Sun 1
- Mon 2
- Tue 3
- Wed 4
- Thu 5
- Fri 6
- Sat 7
- Sun 8
- Mon 9
- Tue 10
Day by day
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind | Max wave | High tides | Model |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today · 28 | 69 / 72 °F | 46% · 0.05 in | 22 mph ESE | 9.8 ft | 12:15 pm | ECMWF | |
| Thu 29 | 71 / 73 °F | 6% | 16 mph E | 7.5 ft | 12:12 am · 12:49 pm | ECMWF | |
| Fri 30 | 72 / 73 °F | 4% | 19 mph E | 6.0 ft | 12:48 am · 1:27 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sat 31 | 72 / 73 °F | 8% | 19 mph E | 6.0 ft | 1:29 am · 2:10 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sun 1 | 70 / 73 °F | 27% · 0.02 in | 19 mph SE | 6.6 ft | 2:19 am · 3:08 pm | ECMWF | |
| Mon 2 | 67 / 70 °F | 54% · 0.06 in | 30 mph SSE | 12 ft | 3:36 am · 4:53 pm | ECMWF | |
| Tue 3 | 66 / 69 °F | 19% · 0.01 in | 23 mph SE | 12 ft | 6:06 am · 7:07 pm | ECMWF | |
| Wed 4 | 68 / 69 °F | 35% · 0.05 in | 21 mph ESE | 9.6 ft | 8:00 am · 8:16 pm | ECMWF | |
| Thu 5 | 70 / 72 °F | 22% · 0.05 in | 21 mph ESE | 7.7 ft | 8:58 am · 9:01 pm | ECMWF | |
| Fri 6 | 71 / 72 °F | 37% | 22 mph ESE | 9.2 ft | 9:39 am · 9:36 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sat 7 | 71 / 73 °F | 20% · 0.02 in | 20 mph ESE | 8.9 ft | 10:13 am · 10:07 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sun 8 | 71 / 72 °F | 25% · 0.06 in | 22 mph ESE | 8.4 ft | 10:43 am · 10:37 pm | ECMWF | |
| Mon 9 | 70 / 71 °F | 26% · 0.25 in | 28 mph ESE | 10 ft | 11:11 am · 11:05 pm | ECMWF | |
| Tue 10 | 69 / 71 °F | 22% · 0.02 in | 24 mph SE | 8.3 ft | 11:38 am · 11:32 pm | ECMWF |
Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.
Today, every 3 hours
| Time | 12:00 am | 3:00 am | 6:00 am | 9:00 am | 12:00 pm | 3:00 pm | 6:00 pm | 9:00 pm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky | Light drizzle | Light drizzle | Light drizzle | Clear sky | Mainly clear | Mainly clear | Mainly clear | Partly cloudy |
| Temperature | 71° | 71° | 69° | 70° | 71° | 72° | 72° | 72° |
| Chance of rain | 28% | 43% | 37% | 10% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 2% |
| Rain | 0.01 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in |
| Wind (mph) | 22 E | 21 ESE | 21 ESE | 21 ESE | 19 ESE | 19 ESE | 19 ESE | 19 E |
| Humidity | 73% | 73% | 80% | 80% | 75% | 74% | 76% | 78% |
| UV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Model | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF |
Do the models agree?
Medium confidenceThey broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.
What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.
| High (°F) | Today | Thu 29 | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 72° | 73° | 73° | 73° | 73° | 70° | 69° |
| AIFS | 72° | 73° | 73° | 73° | 73° | 71° | 68° |
| GFS | 72° | 73° | 73° | 73° | 74° | 71° | 68° |
| ICON | 73° | 73° | 73° | 73° | 73° | 71° | 69° |
| Confidence | high | high | high | high | high | high | high |
| Rain | Today | Thu 29 | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 0.05 in | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 in | 0.06 in | 0.01 in |
| AIFS | 0.02 in | 0.04 in | 0.02 in | 0.04 in | 0.05 in | 0.07 in | 0 |
| GFS | 0.04 in | 0.02 in | 0.00 in | 0.01 in | 0.05 in | 0.04 in | 0.05 in |
| ICON | 0 | 0.01 in | 0.01 in | 0.04 in | 0.07 in | 0.01 in | 0.01 in |
| Confidence | medium | high | high | medium | medium | medium | medium |
| Wind (mph) | Today | Thu 29 | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 2228 | 1622 | 1924 | 1924 | 1927 | 3041 | 2336 |
| AIFS | 22 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 26 | 20 |
| GFS | 2122 | 2021 | 1920 | 1719 | 2221 | 2929 | 2323 |
| ICON | 1925 | 1520 | 1722 | 1319 | 2636 | 2841 | 2130 |
| Confidence | high | high | high | high | medium | high | high |
Chance of rain from the ensemble models
| Model | Today | Thu 29 | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF (51 scenarios) | 46% | 6% | 4% | 8% | 27% | 54% | 19% |
| GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) | 58% | 22% | 13% | 19% | 13% | 43% | 23% |
Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.
Outlook
How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.
Next few weeks, compared with normal: cooler, drier and a cooler sea.
Next 6 weeks
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain | Sea | Typical high / low |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 | Below −4.0 °F | Below −67% | Below −2.7 °F | — |
| Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 | Below −2.7 °F | A bit below −47% | Below −3.1 °F | 73° / 71° |
| Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 | A bit below −2.5 °F | Below −56% | Below −3.1 °F | 73° / 72° |
| Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 | A bit below −2.5 °F | Below −64% | Below −2.9 °F | 74° / 73° |
| Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 | A bit below −2.2 °F | Below −63% | Below −2.7 °F | 74° / 73° |
Coming months
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain | Sea |
|---|---|---|---|
| November | A bit below −1.6 °F | Below −61% | A bit below −1.4 °F |
| December | A bit below −1.1 °F | Below −63% | A bit below −1.3 °F |
| January | Normal −0.5 °F | A bit below −46% | A bit below −1.3 °F |
| February | Normal −0.2 °F | A bit below −49% | A bit below −1.1 °F |
| March | Normal +0.2 °F | A bit below −33% | A bit below −0.7 °F |
Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.
Moerai climate by monthClimate by month
Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)The best time to visit Moerai is from June to November: highs of 74 °F to 79 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 5 hours of sunshine a day.
Cyclone season: in June and from December to February, peaking in February. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 7 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Moerai, about 2 every 10 years; one of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Yalo, in February 2016.
- JanJ
- FebF
- MarM
- AprA
- MayM
- JunJ
- JulJ
- AugA
- SepS
- OctO
- NovN
- DecD
- Highs and lows
- Monthly rainfall
- Best time
| Month | High | Low | Rain | Rainy daysDays | Sun (h/day) | Water | Waves | Cyclones |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JanuaryJan | 82° | 72° | 8.17 in | 15 | 5.7 | 80° | 7.0 ft | 2 |
| FebruaryFeb | 82° | 73° | 8.81 in | 14 | 5.5 | 81° | 7.3 ft | 3 |
| MarchMar | 82° | 72° | 8.24 in | 16 | 4.9 | 81° | 7.4 ft | – |
| AprilApr | 80° | 70° | 7.65 in | 13 | 4.4 | 80° | 7.6 ft | – |
| MayMay | 77° | 67° | 6.26 in | 11 | 3.8 | 78° | 8.2 ft | – |
| JuneJun | 75° | 64° | 4.59 in | 8 | 3.2 | 77° | 8.6 ft | 1 |
| JulyJul | 74° | 64° | 3.98 in | 10 | 3.5 | 75° | 8.4 ft | – |
| AugustAug | 74° | 64° | 3.44 in | 8 | 4.0 | 75° | 7.7 ft | – |
| SeptemberSep | 74° | 64° | 3.74 in | 8 | 4.3 | 75° | 7.9 ft | – |
| OctoberOct | 76° | 66° | 3.67 in | 10 | 6.0 | 75° | 7.6 ft | – |
| NovemberNov | 79° | 69° | 5.84 in | 10 | 5.9 | 77° | 6.9 ft | – |
| DecemberDec | 80° | 71° | 9.41 in | 16 | 5.2 | 78° | 6.9 ft | 1 |
| Month | Water | Waves | Cyclones |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 80° | 7.0 ft | 2 |
| Feb | 81° | 7.3 ft | 3 |
| Mar | 81° | 7.4 ft | – |
| Apr | 80° | 7.6 ft | – |
| May | 78° | 8.2 ft | – |
| Jun | 77° | 8.6 ft | 1 |
| Jul | 75° | 8.4 ft | – |
| Aug | 75° | 7.7 ft | – |
| Sep | 75° | 7.9 ft | – |
| Oct | 75° | 7.6 ft | – |
| Nov | 77° | 6.9 ft | – |
| Dec | 78° | 6.9 ft | 1 |
Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.
A normal year brings 73.81 in of rain on about 139 days and about 1,700 hours of sunshine.
Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).
1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses
Temperature
It's 72 °F now (feels like 69 °F). Today, 69 °F to 72 °F; tomorrow, 71 °F to 73 °F.
Chance of rain
Today the chance of rain reaches 46%, with 0.05 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Monday 2: 54% and 0.06 in.
Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.07 in; last 3 days, 0.12 in; last 7 days, 0.12 in.
Humidity and dew point
Humidity is 74% now and the dew point is 64 °F.
The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.
Visibility and fog
Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.
The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.
UV index
Thu 29: 12 · Fri 30: 12 · Sat 31: 12
| Index | Level | What to do |
|---|---|---|
| 0–2 | low | No special protection needed. |
| 3–5 | moderate | Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday. |
| 6–7 | high | Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm. |
| 8–10 | very high | Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it. |
| 11+ | extreme | Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy. |
Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.
Barometric pressure
- ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
- → Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
- ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change
Steady now (−0.03 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.
Air and pollen
Previous days
The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 27 | Light drizzle | 70 / 72 °F | 0.04 in | 22 mph ESE |
| Mon 26 | Light drizzle | 68 / 71 °F | 0.04 in | 20 mph ESE |
| Sun 25 | Overcast | 67 / 70 °F | 0 | 16 mph SSE |
| Sat 24 | Overcast | 69 / 70 °F | 0 | 18 mph S |
| Fri 23 | Overcast | 69 / 72 °F | 0 | 17 mph SW |
| Thu 22 | Partly cloudy | 69 / 71 °F | 0 | 14 mph S |
| Wed 21 | Light drizzle | 67 / 71 °F | 0.01 in | 15 mph S |
Show all 30 days
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 20 | Light drizzle | 68 / 70 °F | 0.04 in | 21 mph SSW |
| Mon 19 | Rain | 71 / 75 °F | 0.53 in | 40 mph WNW |
| Sun 18 | Heavy drizzle | 73 / 74 °F | 0.44 in | 24 mph NE |
| Sat 17 | Overcast | 71 / 73 °F | 0 | 21 mph E |
| Fri 16 | Light drizzle | 70 / 72 °F | 0.02 in | 21 mph ESE |
| Thu 15 | Light drizzle | 69 / 71 °F | 0.02 in | 20 mph SE |
| Wed 14 | Light drizzle | 69 / 71 °F | 0.02 in | 21 mph ESE |
| Tue 13 | Light drizzle | 68 / 70 °F | 0.02 in | 21 mph ESE |
| Mon 12 | Light drizzle | 67 / 70 °F | 0.02 in | 21 mph ESE |
| Sun 11 | Partly cloudy | 67 / 68 °F | 0 | 20 mph SE |
| Sat 10 | Overcast | 67 / 69 °F | 0 | 20 mph SE |
| Fri 9 | Overcast | 68 / 69 °F | 0 | 21 mph SE |
| Thu 8 | Light drizzle | 66 / 69 °F | 0.05 in | 24 mph SE |
| Wed 7 | Light drizzle | 66 / 69 °F | 0.06 in | 26 mph SE |
| Tue 6 | Light drizzle | 66 / 69 °F | 0.01 in | 25 mph SE |
| Mon 5 | Overcast | 67 / 69 °F | 0 | 21 mph SE |
| Sun 4 | Light drizzle | 68 / 69 °F | 0.01 in | 19 mph SE |
| Sat 3 | Light drizzle | 66 / 69 °F | 0.04 in | 17 mph SE |
| Fri 2 | Light drizzle | 66 / 69 °F | 0.07 in | 20 mph SE |
| Thu 1 | Light drizzle | 67 / 69 °F | 0.02 in | 19 mph SSE |
| Wed 30 | Overcast | 68 / 69 °F | 0 | 19 mph SSE |
| Tue 29 | Overcast | 68 / 69 °F | 0 | 17 mph ESE |
| Mon 28 | Overcast | 67 / 70 °F | 0 | 20 mph SE |
These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.
Questions about the weather in MoeraiQuestions
What's the weather like today in Moerai?
Light drizzle, from 69 °F to 72 °F, with a fresh breeze from the east-southeast (19 mph) and a 46% chance of rain.
Will it rain tomorrow in Moerai?
On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 6% (0.00 in): mainly clear.
How warm will it be this week?
Between a low of 66 °F and a high of 73 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.
What's the UV index today?
It reaches 11 (extreme). Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.
Is the pressure rising or falling?
It's 30.11 inHg and steady: −0.03 inHg over the last 24 hours.
When is the best time to visit Moerai?
The best time to visit Moerai is from June to November: highs of 74 °F to 79 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 5 hours of sunshine a day.
What is the weather like in Moerai in October?
In October, Moerai normally sees highs of 76 °F and lows of 66 °F, with about 10 rainy days (3.67 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 75 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.
What are the warmest and wettest months in Moerai?
The warmest is March, with average highs of 82 °F, and the coldest August, with lows of 64 °F. The wettest is December (9.41 in) and the driest, August.
When is cyclone season in Moerai?
Cyclone season: in June and from December to February, peaking in February. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 7 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Moerai, about 2 every 10 years; one of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Yalo, in February 2016.
More about Moerai today
Learn more
Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 6.8 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).
Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 3:38 pm (local time).
Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from