Weather in Machala

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 6:42 pm (GMT-5)

Now · heavy drizzle 76 °F

Feels like: 85 °F
Low / high: 75 / 89 °F
Rain: 96% · 0.78 in
Wind: 7 mph SSE

↗ 29.83 inHg · rising UV 11 · very high

Today in Machala: light showers, 75 °F to 89 °F, with a 96% chance of rain (0.78 in) and a light breeze from the south-southeast (7 mph). Tomorrow, light showers, 74 °F to 89 °F and a 91% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 28, at 89 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

89° 75°
Today
89° 74°
Thu 29
87° 74°
Fri 30
86° 74°
Sat 31
89° 74°
Sun 1
85° 74°
Mon 2
87° 74°
Tue 3
86° 75°
Wed 4
89° 74°
Thu 5
87° 75°
Fri 6
90° 75°
Sat 7
89° 75°
Sun 8
90° 75°
Mon 9
88° 76°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Light showers	75 / 89 °F	96% · 0.78 in	7 mph S	0.7 ft	5:45 am · 6:22 pm	ECMWF
Thu 29	Light showers	74 / 89 °F	91% · 0.59 in	7 mph NNW	0.7 ft	6:28 am · 7:09 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Showers	74 / 87 °F	100% · 0.96 in	5 mph NE	0.9 ft	7:16 am · 8:01 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Showers	74 / 86 °F	92% · 0.64 in	5 mph ESE	0.9 ft	8:09 am · 9:00 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Showers	74 / 89 °F	98% · 0.87 in	7 mph NE	1.0 ft	9:12 am · 10:08 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Showers	74 / 85 °F	95% · 1.98 in	6 mph ENE	1.0 ft	10:28 am · 11:23 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Showers	74 / 87 °F	100% · 1.17 in	7 mph NNE	0.9 ft	11:52 am	ECMWF
Wed 4	Rain	75 / 86 °F	96% · 0.40 in	6 mph ENE	1.0 ft	12:35 am · 1:10 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light rain	74 / 89 °F	65% · 0.54 in	5 mph NNE	0.9 ft	1:38 am · 2:13 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Drizzle	75 / 87 °F	61% · 0.28 in	7 mph NW	0.7 ft	2:31 am · 3:05 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Drizzle	75 / 90 °F	74% · 0.06 in	6 mph WNW	0.9 ft	3:16 am · 3:50 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light showers	75 / 89 °F	73% · 0.71 in	7 mph NE	0.9 ft	3:55 am · 4:30 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light showers	75 / 90 °F	88% · 0.19 in	6 mph N	1.1 ft	4:32 am · 5:08 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light showers	76 / 88 °F	84% · 0.69 in	7 mph ENE	0.9 ft	5:07 am · 5:44 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Light showers	Light rain	Drizzle	Overcast	Light drizzle	Drizzle	Heavy drizzle	Light showers
Temperature	77°	75°	75°	85°	89°	85°	78°	76°
Chance of rain	68%	90%	85%	66%	68%	70%	80%	75%
Rain	0.07 in	0.06 in	0.02 in	0.00 in	0.01 in	0.03 in	0.04 in	0.05 in
Wind (mph)	2 SE	2 NE	2 E	1 W	7 NW	2 W	7 SSE	2 ESE
Humidity	97%	98%	100%	72%	62%	74%	92%	98%
UV	0	0	0	3	10	4	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	89°	89°	87°	86°	89°	85°	87°
AIFS	87°	85°	85°	86°	85°	84°	85°
GFS	88°	86°	88°	84°	86°	84°	81°
ICON	88°	87°	87°	88°	85°	88°	87°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0.78 in	0.59 in	0.96 in	0.64 in	0.87 in	1.98 in	1.17 in
AIFS	1.06 in	0.76 in	1.13 in	1.16 in	1.50 in	1.66 in	1.37 in
GFS	0.48 in	0.53 in	0.24 in	0.62 in	0.20 in	0.22 in	0.42 in
ICON	2.01 in	0.78 in	0.35 in	0.85 in	0.99 in	0.50 in	0.36 in
Confidence	medium	high	medium	high	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	718	719	515	514	718	615	719
AIFS	6	4	3	4	3	3	3
GFS	87	96	76	910	78	75	25
ICON	513	411	410	512	513	614	614
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	96%	91%	100%	92%	98%	95%	100%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	100%	100%	100%	97%	94%	92%	90%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: much warmer and much wetter.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Well above +6.8 °F	Well above +606%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Well above +7.2 °F	Well above +889%	83° / 74°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Well above +7.4 °F	Well above +670%	83° / 74°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Well above +7.0 °F	Well above +592%	84° / 75°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Well above +6.8 °F	Well above +494%	84° / 75°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	Well above +5.6 °F	Well above +319%
December	Above +5.2 °F	Well above +251%
January	Above +5.0 °F	Well above +211%
February	Above +4.7 °F	Well above +206%
March	Above +4.7 °F	Well above +178%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Machala climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Machala is from June to November: highs of 84 °F to 85 °F, about 2 rainy days a month and 1 hours of sunshine a day.

89° 71°

JanJ
89° 72°

FebF
90° 72°

MarM
90° 72°

AprA
89° 71°

MayM
85° 69°

JunJ
85° 69°

JulJ
84° 68°

AugA
84° 67°

SepS
85° 67°

OctO
85° 68°

NovN
88° 70°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	89°	71°	3.00 in	9	2.4	79°	2.7 ft
FebruaryFeb	89°	72°	3.58 in	16	2.8	80°	2.5 ft
MarchMar	90°	72°	5.43 in	16	2.6	80°	2.6 ft
AprilApr	90°	72°	2.80 in	11	3.8	80°	2.7 ft
MayMay	89°	71°	1.10 in	5	2.0	79°	3.0 ft
JuneJun	85°	69°	0.55 in	1	1.0	76°	3.1 ft
JulyJul	85°	69°	0.47 in	1	0.7	75°	3.0 ft
AugustAug	84°	68°	0.44 in	0	1.7	74°	3.0 ft
SeptemberSep	84°	67°	0.57 in	1	1.7	73°	3.1 ft
OctoberOct	85°	67°	0.67 in	2	0.6	74°	3.1 ft
NovemberNov	85°	68°	0.72 in	3	1.2	75°	3.1 ft
DecemberDec	88°	70°	0.74 in	5	1.7	77°	2.9 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	79°	2.7 ft
Feb	80°	2.5 ft
Mar	80°	2.6 ft
Apr	80°	2.7 ft
May	79°	3.0 ft
Jun	76°	3.1 ft
Jul	75°	3.0 ft
Aug	74°	3.0 ft
Sep	73°	3.1 ft
Oct	74°	3.1 ft
Nov	75°	3.1 ft
Dec	77°	2.9 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 20.07 in of rain on about 70 days and about 650 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now76 °Ffeels like 85 °F

Tomorrow74 / 89 °F

It's 76 °F now (feels like 85 °F). Today, 75 °F to 89 °F; tomorrow, 74 °F to 89 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 96% 0.78 in
Thu 29 91% 0.59 in
Fri 30 100% 0.96 in
Sat 31 92% 0.64 in
Sun 1 98% 0.87 in
Mon 2 95% 1.98 in
Tue 3 100% 1.17 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 96%, with 0.78 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 29: 91% and 0.59 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.68 in; last 3 days, 2.63 in; last 7 days, 5.36 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity96%

Dew point75 °F

Humidity is 96% now and the dew point is 75 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds98%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak11very high

Thu 29: 7 · Fri 30: 10 · Sat 31: 9

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.76

Rising now (+0.06 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 23

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Light showers	75 / 90 °F	0.46 in	6 mph SSE
Mon 26	Showers	75 / 89 °F	1.49 in	6 mph NNE
Sun 25	Showers	76 / 92 °F	1.06 in	9 mph NNW
Sat 24	Showers	76 / 91 °F	1.03 in	7 mph NNE
Fri 23	Light showers	77 / 89 °F	0.35 in	8 mph NE
Thu 22	Light showers	78 / 87 °F	0.41 in	8 mph NNE
Wed 21	Drizzle	76 / 88 °F	0.15 in	7 mph NE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Showers	76 / 89 °F	1.11 in	4 mph W
Mon 19	Showers	75 / 89 °F	0.52 in	8 mph NNW
Sun 18	Light showers	77 / 89 °F	0.23 in	8 mph N
Sat 17	Light drizzle	75 / 88 °F	0.06 in	8 mph N
Fri 16	Light showers	76 / 89 °F	0.27 in	9 mph NNE
Thu 15	Light drizzle	77 / 89 °F	0.04 in	8 mph NNE
Wed 14	Drizzle	76 / 91 °F	0.08 in	7 mph N
Tue 13	Light rain	73 / 88 °F	0.52 in	7 mph N
Mon 12	Light showers	74 / 85 °F	0.63 in	8 mph NNE
Sun 11	Rain	76 / 86 °F	0.61 in	8 mph NNE
Sat 10	Drizzle	76 / 89 °F	0.22 in	7 mph NNE
Fri 9	Light showers	77 / 91 °F	0.43 in	8 mph NE
Thu 8	Drizzle	76 / 91 °F	0.08 in	6 mph N
Wed 7	Light drizzle	76 / 90 °F	0.07 in	8 mph NNE
Tue 6	Heavy drizzle	76 / 89 °F	0.18 in	10 mph NNW
Mon 5	Heavy drizzle	76 / 91 °F	0.34 in	8 mph NNW
Sun 4	Light drizzle	76 / 91 °F	0.04 in	9 mph N
Sat 3	Light drizzle	74 / 88 °F	0.14 in	7 mph NNE
Fri 2	Light showers	76 / 86 °F	0.65 in	6 mph NNE
Thu 1	Light drizzle	76 / 88 °F	0.02 in	7 mph NNW
Wed 30	Light showers	76 / 89 °F	0.35 in	8 mph NNW
Tue 29	Light showers	76 / 87 °F	0.44 in	8 mph NNW
Mon 28	Showers	76 / 90 °F	0.59 in	6 mph NNW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in MachalaQuestions

What's the weather like today in Machala?

Light showers, from 75 °F to 89 °F, with a light breeze from the south-southeast (7 mph) and a 96% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Machala?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 91% (0.59 in): light showers.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 74 °F and a high of 89 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 28.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 11 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.83 inHg and rising: −0.02 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Machala?

The best time to visit Machala is from June to November: highs of 84 °F to 85 °F, about 2 rainy days a month and 1 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Machala in October?

In October, Machala normally sees highs of 85 °F and lows of 67 °F, with about 2 rainy days (0.67 in for the month) and 1 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 74 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Machala?

The warmest is April, with average highs of 90 °F, and the coldest September, with lows of 67 °F. The wettest is March (5.43 in) and the driest, August.

More about Machala today

Weather near Machala

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 17 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 6:42 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from