TidePlanet

Weather in Arroyo Salado

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 7:05 pm (AST)
Now · mainly clear 80 °F
Feels like
89 °F
Low / high
72 / 90 °F
Rain
86% · 0.05 in
Wind
6 mph SSE
↗ 29.92 inHg · rising UV 8 · high

Today in Arroyo Salado: light drizzle, 72 °F to 90 °F, with a 86% chance of rain (0.05 in) and a light breeze from the south-southeast (6 mph). Tomorrow, drizzle, 73 °F to 85 °F and a 93% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 28, at 90 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

Day by day

Day Sky Low / high Rain Max wind Max wave High tides Model
Today · 28 Light drizzle 72 / 90 °F 86% · 0.05 in 8 mph SSE 3.6 ft 10:08 am · 9:16 pm ECMWF
Thu 29 Drizzle 73 / 85 °F 93% · 0.21 in 7 mph SE 3.1 ft 11:03 am · 10:07 pm ECMWF
Fri 30 Drizzle 71 / 86 °F 75% · 0.15 in 6 mph SSE 2.8 ft 12:02 pm · 11:06 pm ECMWF
Sat 31 Light drizzle 70 / 86 °F 67% · 0.09 in 6 mph ENE 2.6 ft 1:03 pm ECMWF
Sun 1 Light showers 72 / 84 °F 91% · 0.37 in 6 mph SE 2.9 ft 12:17 am · 2:04 pm ECMWF
Mon 2 Light showers 71 / 84 °F 76% · 0.56 in 7 mph SSE 3.3 ft 1:39 am · 3:00 pm ECMWF
Tue 3 Light showers 72 / 83 °F 92% · 0.40 in 7 mph S 3.3 ft 3:00 am · 3:50 pm ECMWF
Wed 4 Light showers 72 / 89 °F 88% · 0.53 in 6 mph SSW 3.2 ft 4:12 am · 4:34 pm ECMWF
Thu 5 Light showers 72 / 87 °F 93% · 0.38 in 6 mph S 3.5 ft 5:15 am · 5:15 pm ECMWF
Fri 6 Light drizzle 73 / 87 °F 86% · 0.07 in 5 mph S 3.5 ft 6:12 am · 5:54 pm ECMWF
Sat 7 Light drizzle 74 / 87 °F 81% · 0.09 in 6 mph SE 2.6 ft 7:04 am · 6:32 pm ECMWF
Sun 8 Light drizzle 73 / 86 °F 69% · 0.13 in 6 mph SE 3.0 ft 7:51 am · 7:09 pm ECMWF
Mon 9 Drizzle 73 / 87 °F 65% · 0.27 in 6 mph SE 2.8 ft 8:34 am · 7:45 pm ECMWF
Tue 10 Drizzle 73 / 85 °F 68% · 0.17 in 8 mph ESE 2.3 ft 9:16 am · 8:22 pm ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time 12:00 am3:00 am6:00 am9:00 am12:00 pm3:00 pm6:00 pm9:00 pm
Sky Light drizzleOvercastOvercastOvercastPartly cloudyLight drizzleMainly clearMainly clear
Temperature 74°73°73°78°87°89°83°78°
Chance of rain 61%44%26%4%22%85%57%0%
Rain 0.01 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.01 in0.00 in0.00 in
Wind (mph) 1 SE3 S3 SSW4 SSE8 SSE7 SSE7 SSE4 SSE
Humidity 99%98%100%92%69%65%81%92%
UV 00027300
Model ECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F) TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF 90°85°86°86°84°84°83°
AIFS 89°87°89°86°84°86°87°
GFS 92°90°89°86°87°84°90°
ICON 89°89°88°87°85°88°89°
Confidence highhighhighhighhighhighmedium
Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF 0.05 in0.21 in0.15 in0.09 in0.37 in0.56 in0.40 in
AIFS 0.09 in0.27 in0.14 in0.20 in0.46 in0.31 in0.38 in
GFS 0.03 in0.13 in0.22 in0.06 in0.20 in0.00 in0.18 in
ICON 00.13 in000.05 in00.02 in
Confidence mediumhighmediummediummediumlowmedium
Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph) TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF 818716615616618719721
AIFS 9646566
GFS 12131217111399911917817
ICON 10197147138167151020918
Confidence highhighmediumhighhighhighhigh

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios) 86%93%75%67%91%76%92%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) 55%71%49%71%76%55%52%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When TemperatureTemp. Rain Sea Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 A bit above +1.4 °F Normal — —
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 A bit above +2.3 °F A bit below −35% — 87° / 75°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 A bit above +2.2 °F Normal — 86° / 75°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 A bit above +2.3 °F A bit below −20% — 86° / 74°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 A bit above +2.5 °F Normal — 85° / 74°

Coming months

When TemperatureTemp. Rain Sea
November A bit above +2.5 °F Normal Above +2.3 °F
December Above +2.9 °F Normal Above +2.7 °F
January Above +3.1 °F Normal Above +2.5 °F
February Above +3.1 °F Normal Above +2.2 °F
March Above +2.7 °F Normal Above +2.0 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Arroyo Salado climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Arroyo Salado is from January to March: highs of 84 °F to 87 °F, about 4 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from August to October and in December, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 18 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Arroyo Salado, about 6 every 10 years; 8 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Franklin, in August 2023.

Month High Low Rain Rainy daysDays Sun (h/day) Water Waves Cyclones
JanuaryJan 84° 67° 5.00 in 5 6.8 79° 5.1 ft –
FebruaryFeb 85° 68° 2.79 in 3 7.2 79° 5.1 ft –
MarchMar 87° 69° 3.35 in 5 8.0 79° 5.1 ft –
AprilApr 88° 70° 4.85 in 5 7.9 79° 4.3 ft –
MayMay 89° 72° 7.09 in 8 7.3 80° 3.8 ft –
JuneJun 90° 73° 4.16 in 5 8.5 82° 3.3 ft –
JulyJul 91° 74° 5.42 in 6 8.4 82° 3.6 ft 1
AugustAug 91° 74° 6.10 in 7 8.0 83° 3.5 ft 7
SeptemberSep 91° 73° 5.45 in 7 7.6 84° 3.8 ft 6
OctoberOct 90° 73° 6.83 in 8 7.4 84° 4.0 ft 2
NovemberNov 87° 71° 9.52 in 8 6.7 83° 4.8 ft –
DecemberDec 85° 69° 6.40 in 6 6.1 81° 5.1 ft 2
Month Water Waves Cyclones
Jan 79° 5.1 ft –
Feb 79° 5.1 ft –
Mar 79° 5.1 ft –
Apr 79° 4.3 ft –
May 80° 3.8 ft –
Jun 82° 3.3 ft –
Jul 82° 3.6 ft 1
Aug 83° 3.5 ft 7
Sep 84° 3.8 ft 6
Oct 84° 4.0 ft 2
Nov 83° 4.8 ft –
Dec 81° 5.1 ft 2

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 66.98 in of rain on about 72 days and about 2,750 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now80 °Ffeels like 89 °F
Tomorrow73 / 85 °F

It's 80 °F now (feels like 89 °F). Today, 72 °F to 90 °F; tomorrow, 73 °F to 85 °F.

Chance of rain

  • Today 86% 0.05 in
  • Thu 29 93% 0.21 in
  • Fri 30 75% 0.15 in
  • Sat 31 67% 0.09 in
  • Sun 1 91% 0.37 in
  • Mon 2 76% 0.56 in
  • Tue 3 92% 0.40 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 86%, with 0.05 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 29: 93% and 0.21 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.11 in; last 3 days, 0.80 in; last 7 days, 1.02 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity86%
Dew point76 °F

Humidity is 86% now and the dew point is 76 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood
Clouds42%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0
Today's peak8high

Thu 29: 8 · Fri 30: 9 · Sat 31: 8

IndexLevelWhat to do
0–2lowNo special protection needed.
3–5moderateHat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7highSunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10very highAvoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+extremeAvoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

  • ↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
  • → Steady Anglers expect normal activity
  • ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

Rising now (+0.04 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 21
Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Tue 27 Light showers74 / 81 °F0.37 in9 mph SSE
Mon 26 Light showers76 / 88 °F0.39 in12 mph SSE
Sun 25 Overcast76 / 87 °F013 mph SSE
Sat 24 Light drizzle74 / 86 °F0.09 in9 mph ESE
Fri 23 Light drizzle73 / 89 °F0.02 in10 mph SSE
Thu 22 Light drizzle70 / 89 °F0.04 in8 mph S
Wed 21 Drizzle71 / 92 °F0.08 in8 mph SSW
Show all 30 days
DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Tue 20 Light showers73 / 90 °F0.30 in7 mph SE
Mon 19 Light drizzle74 / 89 °F0.01 in7 mph ESE
Sun 18 Light drizzle74 / 88 °F0.05 in6 mph ESE
Sat 17 Light drizzle74 / 88 °F0.07 in9 mph SE
Fri 16 Light drizzle74 / 88 °F0.09 in8 mph E
Thu 15 Light drizzle76 / 88 °F0.07 in9 mph ESE
Wed 14 Light drizzle71 / 88 °F0.05 in7 mph SE
Tue 13 Thunderstorm72 / 89 °F0.60 in7 mph SE
Mon 12 Light drizzle73 / 87 °F0.15 in8 mph SE
Sun 11 Heavy drizzle74 / 88 °F0.28 in11 mph SE
Sat 10 Drizzle74 / 87 °F0.27 in10 mph E
Fri 9 Light drizzle75 / 88 °F0.05 in12 mph ESE
Thu 8 Heavy drizzle75 / 88 °F0.15 in10 mph SE
Wed 7 Light drizzle73 / 90 °F0.12 in7 mph SE
Tue 6 Light drizzle74 / 89 °F0.01 in7 mph SE
Mon 5 Light drizzle72 / 90 °F0.07 in6 mph SE
Sun 4 Showers72 / 82 °F1.36 in5 mph SSE
Sat 3 Heavy drizzle74 / 83 °F0.22 in8 mph SE
Fri 2 Drizzle74 / 89 °F0.15 in11 mph SE
Thu 1 Light drizzle75 / 89 °F0.06 in12 mph ESE
Wed 30 Light drizzle76 / 89 °F0.09 in11 mph ESE
Tue 29 Light drizzle75 / 91 °F0.02 in11 mph ESE
Mon 28 Drizzle74 / 91 °F0.13 in8 mph ESE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Arroyo SaladoQuestions

What's the weather like today in Arroyo Salado?

Light drizzle, from 72 °F to 90 °F, with a light breeze from the south-southeast (6 mph) and a 86% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Arroyo Salado?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 93% (0.21 in): drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 70 °F and a high of 90 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 28.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 8 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.92 inHg and rising: +0.02 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Arroyo Salado?

The best time to visit Arroyo Salado is from January to March: highs of 84 °F to 87 °F, about 4 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Arroyo Salado in October?

In October, Arroyo Salado normally sees highs of 90 °F and lows of 73 °F, with about 8 rainy days (6.83 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 84 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Arroyo Salado?

The warmest is September, with average highs of 91 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 67 °F. The wettest is November (9.52 in) and the driest, February.

When is hurricane season in Arroyo Salado?

Hurricane season: from August to October and in December, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 18 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Arroyo Salado, about 6 every 10 years; 8 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Franklin, in August 2023.

More about Arroyo Salado today

Weather near Arroyo Salado

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 6.5 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 7:05 pm (local time).

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