Weather in Troense

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 12:35 am (CET)

Now · light rain 51 °F

Feels like: 47 °F
Low / high: 48 / 55 °F
Rain: 88% · 0.01 in
Wind: 9 mph SW

→ 30.23 inHg · steady

Today in Troense: light rain, 48 °F to 55 °F, with a 88% chance of rain (0.01 in) and a gentle breeze from the southwest (9 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 47 °F to 53 °F and a 0% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 55 °F. Next likely rain: Sunday 1 (14%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

55° 48°
Today
53° 47°
Fri 30
51° 49°
Sat 31
49° 48°
Sun 1
50° 48°
Mon 2
49° 44°
Tue 3
51° 41°
Wed 4
51° 46°
Thu 5
50° 45°
Fri 6
49° 45°
Sat 7
46° 43°
Sun 8
48° 40°
Mon 9
49° 48°
Tue 10
53° 49°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Light rain	48 / 55 °F	88% · 0.01 in	10 mph W	1.6 ft	1:42 am · 2:11 pm	ICON-EU
Fri 30	Overcast	47 / 53 °F	0%	8 mph WNW	0.7 ft	2:37 am · 3:03 pm	ICON-EU
Sat 31	Overcast	49 / 51 °F	1%	5 mph NNW	0.4 ft	3:53 am · 4:17 pm	ICON-EU
Sun 1	Light rain	48 / 49 °F	14% · 0.10 in	6 mph S	0.3 ft	6:00 am · 6:06 pm	ICON-EU
Mon 2	Light rain	48 / 50 °F	18% · 0.49 in	17 mph SSE	0.8 ft	7:11 am · 7:11 pm	ICON-EU + ECMWF
Tue 3	Partly cloudy	44 / 49 °F	4%	12 mph NNW	0.7 ft	8:13 am · 8:08 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Overcast	41 / 51 °F	2%	12 mph WNW	0.5 ft	9:14 am · 9:03 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Overcast	46 / 51 °F	2%	12 mph NW	1.0 ft	10:12 am · 9:58 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Overcast	45 / 50 °F	4%	6 mph S	0.1 ft	11:06 am · 10:50 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Overcast	45 / 49 °F	5%	10 mph WSW	0.7 ft	11:55 am · 11:41 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Overcast	43 / 46 °F	14%	10 mph WSW	0.8 ft	12:40 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Overcast	40 / 48 °F	18%	14 mph S	0.9 ft	12:29 am · 1:21 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	48 / 49 °F	23% · 0.18 in	15 mph SE	1.1 ft	1:20 am · 2:00 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Drizzle	49 / 53 °F	22% · 0.38 in	15 mph SSE	1.1 ft	2:20 am · 2:43 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: ICON-EU until Monday 2 8:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 4:00 pm; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Light rain	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Partly cloudy	Mainly clear	Mainly clear
Temperature	51°	51°	51°	51°	55°	55°	50°	48°
Chance of rain	75%	33%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Rain	0.01 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	9 SSW	7 W	5 W	4 W	6 WNW	6 W	3 W	3 WNW
Humidity	91%	97%	97%	95%	80%	78%	94%	96%
UV	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0
Model	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	56°	56°	53°	52°	51°	49°	51°
AIFS	56°	53°	51°	52°	51°	47°	48°
GFS	56°	56°	56°	55°	50°	48°	49°
ICON	55°	54°	51°	49°	49°	49°	50°
ARPEGE	56°	52°	54°	54°	—	—	—
ICON-EU	55°	53°	51°	49°	49°	—	—
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.11 in	0	0	0.04 in	0.10 in	0	0
AIFS	0.04 in	0	0	0.04 in	0.08 in	0	0
GFS	0.04 in	0	0	0	0.01 in	0	0
ICON	0.00 in	0	0	0.13 in	0.49 in	0	0
ARPEGE	0.05 in	0	0	0.02 in	—	—	—
ICON-EU	0.01 in	0	0	0.10 in	0.48 in	—	—
Confidence	medium	high	high	medium	medium	high	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1726	1117	1014	1232	2132	1218	1219
AIFS	14	9	6	10	18	13	8
GFS	1726	914	811	1927	2634	1522	1217
ICON	1019	817	612	714	816	613	37
ARPEGE	1523	1118	913	813	—	—	—
ICON-EU	1021	817	511	613	816	—	—
Confidence	high	high	high	high	low	medium	medium

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	88%	0%	1%	14%	18%	4%	2%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	66%	0%	0%	8%	19%	3%	1%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

The next few weeks look normal for the time of year.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit below −0.9 °F	Below −84%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal −0.2 °F	Normal	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal +0.7 °F	A bit above +30%	45° / 43°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +0.9 °F	A bit above +33%	44° / 42°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal +0.4 °F	Normal	43° / 41°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal
December	A bit above +2.5 °F	Normal
January	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal
February	A bit above +0.9 °F	A bit above +22%
March	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Troense climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Troense is from July to August: highs of 70 °F to 71 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

38° 32°

JanJ
39° 32°

FebF
44° 34°

MarM
53° 40°

AprA
61° 47°

MayM
67° 53°

JunJ
71° 57°

JulJ
70° 57°

AugA
64° 53°

SepS
55° 46°

OctO
47° 40°

NovN
41° 34°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	38°	32°	1.89 in	9	0.9	37°	2.1 ft
FebruaryFeb	39°	32°	1.56 in	8	1.9	36°	2.0 ft
MarchMar	44°	34°	1.33 in	7	4.0	38°	1.6 ft
AprilApr	53°	40°	1.29 in	5	6.4	42°	1.4 ft
MayMay	61°	47°	1.87 in	7	7.8	51°	1.4 ft
JuneJun	67°	53°	2.24 in	8	7.7	59°	1.4 ft
JulyJul	71°	57°	2.68 in	9	7.7	64°	1.3 ft
AugustAug	70°	57°	2.81 in	10	6.6	65°	1.3 ft
SeptemberSep	64°	53°	2.24 in	9	4.7	60°	1.6 ft
OctoberOct	55°	46°	2.50 in	10	2.9	54°	1.9 ft
NovemberNov	47°	40°	2.36 in	10	0.9	47°	1.9 ft
DecemberDec	41°	34°	2.01 in	10	0.4	40°	2.3 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	37°	2.1 ft
Feb	36°	2.0 ft
Mar	38°	1.6 ft
Apr	42°	1.4 ft
May	51°	1.4 ft
Jun	59°	1.4 ft
Jul	64°	1.3 ft
Aug	65°	1.3 ft
Sep	60°	1.6 ft
Oct	54°	1.9 ft
Nov	47°	1.9 ft
Dec	40°	2.3 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 24.77 in of rain on about 100 days and about 1,600 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now51 °Ffeels like 47 °F

Tomorrow47 / 53 °F

It's 51 °F now (feels like 47 °F). Today, 48 °F to 55 °F; tomorrow, 47 °F to 53 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 88% 0.01 in
Fri 30 0%
Sat 31 1%
Sun 1 14% 0.10 in
Mon 2 18% 0.49 in
Tue 3 4%
Wed 4 2%

Today the chance of rain reaches 88%, with 0.01 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Sunday 1: 14% and 0.10 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.07 in; last 3 days, 0.22 in; last 7 days, 1.47 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity91%

Dew point49 °F

Humidity is 91% now and the dew point is 49 °F. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now12 migood

Clouds94%

Visibility is good now (12 mi). There may be fog today at 10:00 am.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak1low

Fri 30: 1 · Sat 31: 1 · Sun 1: 1

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.0030.2030.40 30.48

Steady now (−0.01 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.25 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 18

PollenNoneToday, at most none.

Pollen: Copernicus CAMS model (a rough guide, not a pollen trap). Levels use each type's usual thresholds.

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light rain	49 / 56 °F	0.15 in	17 mph SW
Tue 27	Drizzle	51 / 56 °F	0.12 in	20 mph SSW
Mon 26	Light drizzle	49 / 55 °F	0.02 in	20 mph WSW
Sun 25	Rain	49 / 52 °F	0.70 in	38 mph SSW
Sat 24	Drizzle	50 / 54 °F	0.24 in	28 mph S
Fri 23	Drizzle	48 / 53 °F	0.11 in	22 mph SSE
Thu 22	Heavy drizzle	50 / 53 °F	0.24 in	18 mph SSW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Drizzle	50 / 54 °F	0.25 in	17 mph SSE
Tue 20	Drizzle	48 / 53 °F	0.13 in	20 mph E
Mon 19	Overcast	46 / 53 °F	0	16 mph E
Sun 18	Partly cloudy	45 / 51 °F	0	21 mph ENE
Sat 17	Light drizzle	51 / 55 °F	0.04 in	21 mph N
Fri 16	Light drizzle	53 / 63 °F	0.04 in	16 mph SW
Thu 15	Overcast	51 / 59 °F	0	15 mph SSW
Wed 14	Overcast	51 / 58 °F	0	18 mph W
Tue 13	Light rain	48 / 57 °F	0.19 in	22 mph SSE
Mon 12	Overcast	45 / 53 °F	0	16 mph NW
Sun 11	Overcast	46 / 51 °F	0	16 mph WNW
Sat 10	Heavy drizzle	50 / 58 °F	0.22 in	16 mph WSW
Fri 9	Drizzle	49 / 58 °F	0.27 in	19 mph WSW
Thu 8	Drizzle	51 / 60 °F	0.19 in	20 mph WNW
Wed 7	Light drizzle	56 / 62 °F	0.04 in	13 mph ESE
Tue 6	Overcast	56 / 62 °F	0	16 mph W
Mon 5	Overcast	55 / 65 °F	0	19 mph WSW
Sun 4	Overcast	50 / 61 °F	0	11 mph W
Sat 3	Overcast	53 / 64 °F	0	11 mph SSW
Fri 2	Light rain	55 / 63 °F	0.30 in	11 mph WNW
Thu 1	Heavy drizzle	60 / 64 °F	0.13 in	17 mph SE
Wed 30	Overcast	62 / 65 °F	0	20 mph ESE
Tue 29	Drizzle	60 / 66 °F	0.09 in	17 mph E

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in TroenseQuestions

What's the weather like today in Troense?

Light rain, from 48 °F to 55 °F, with a gentle breeze from the southwest (9 mph) and a 88% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Troense?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 0% (0.00 in): overcast.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 41 °F and a high of 55 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 1 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.23 inHg and steady: +0.22 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Troense?

The best time to visit Troense is from July to August: highs of 70 °F to 71 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Troense in October?

In October, Troense normally sees highs of 55 °F and lows of 46 °F, with about 10 rainy days (2.50 in for the month) and 3 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 54 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Troense?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 71 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 32 °F. The wettest is August (2.81 in) and the driest, April.

More about Troense today

Weather near Troense

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 16 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 12:35 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from