Weather in Årsdale

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 1:05 am (CET)

Now · partly cloudy 51 °F

Feels like: 47 °F
Low / high: 50 / 54 °F
Rain: 8%
Wind: 7 mph WSW

→ 30.26 inHg · steady

Today in Årsdale: overcast, 50 °F to 54 °F, with a 8% chance of rain and a light breeze from the west-southwest (7 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 50 °F to 54 °F and a 0% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 54 °F. Next likely rain: Tuesday 3 (15%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

54° 50°
Today
54° 50°
Fri 30
52° 49°
Sat 31
51° 46°
Sun 1
49° 46°
Mon 2
50° 46°
Tue 3
50° 48°
Wed 4
49° 47°
Thu 5
50° 45°
Fri 6
49° 45°
Sat 7
48° 46°
Sun 8
49° 48°
Mon 9
49° 46°
Tue 10
51° 48°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	Model
Today · 29	Overcast	50 / 54 °F	8%	12 mph W	1.9 ft	ICON-EU
Fri 30	Overcast	50 / 54 °F	0%	11 mph NW	1.4 ft	ICON-EU
Sat 31	Overcast	49 / 52 °F	9% · 0.00 in	14 mph NNE	2.8 ft	ICON-EU
Sun 1	Overcast	46 / 51 °F	19% · 0.00 in	11 mph S	2.8 ft	ICON-EU
Mon 2	Light drizzle	46 / 49 °F	29% · 0.03 in	9 mph WSW	1.4 ft	ICON-EU + ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	46 / 50 °F	15% · 0.04 in	16 mph NNW	1.6 ft	ECMWF
Wed 4	Partly cloudy	48 / 50 °F	6%	16 mph NNW	3.0 ft	ECMWF
Thu 5	Partly cloudy	47 / 49 °F	4%	9 mph NNW	2.8 ft	ECMWF
Fri 6	Partly cloudy	45 / 50 °F	6%	9 mph NW	1.6 ft	ECMWF
Sat 7	Overcast	45 / 49 °F	8%	12 mph WNW	1.6 ft	ECMWF
Sun 8	Overcast	46 / 48 °F	15%	16 mph WSW	2.6 ft	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light drizzle	48 / 49 °F	20% · 0.02 in	12 mph NW	1.8 ft	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	46 / 49 °F	25%	18 mph SSE	3.5 ft	ECMWF
Wed 11	Light drizzle	48 / 51 °F	31% · 0.14 in	17 mph SE	3.3 ft	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: ICON-EU until Monday 2 8:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 4:00 pm; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Partly cloudy	Partly cloudy	Overcast	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Partly cloudy	Mainly clear	Mainly clear
Temperature	50°	51°	51°	51°	54°	53°	51°	50°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	3%	4%	7%	3%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	6 WSW	6 WSW	7 SW	10 WSW	11 WNW	11 WNW	7 W	6 W
Humidity	95%	95%	95%	92%	79%	83%	92%	93%
UV	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0
Model	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain on Sunday 1: take it with some caution.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	54°	53°	52°	51°	49°	50°	50°
AIFS	53°	53°	52°	51°	51°	50°	50°
GFS	55°	54°	53°	51°	51°	48°	50°
ICON	54°	53°	51°	51°	49°	47°	52°
ARPEGE	53°	53°	52°	52°	—	—	—
ICON-EU	54°	54°	52°	51°	49°	—	—
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0	0	0	0.04 in	0.24 in	0.04 in	0
AIFS	0.02 in	0	0	0.04 in	0.21 in	0.01 in	0
GFS	0.01 in	0	0	0.04 in	0.08 in	0	0
ICON	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
ARPEGE	0.01 in	0	0	0	—	—	—
ICON-EU	0	0	0.00 in	0.00 in	0	—	—
Confidence	high	high	high	medium	low	medium	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1317	1216	1519	1226	1438	1620	1622
AIFS	15	14	11	15	22	21	15
GFS	1320	1221	811	1318	2937	1722	1216
ICON	1122	919	1121	917	918	1020	715
ARPEGE	1120	1319	915	58	—	—	—
ICON-EU	1220	1118	1424	1121	916	—	—
Confidence	high	high	high	high	medium	medium	medium

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	8%	0%	9%	19%	29%	15%	6%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	55%	0%	0%	18%	42%	13%	6%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: normal temperatures, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit below −1.1 °F	Below −64%	A bit above +0.9 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal −0.4 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.7 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.5 °F	46° / 44°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.5 °F	46° / 44°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.7 °F	44° / 42°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	Above +2.2 °F
December	A bit above +2.5 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.4 °F
January	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.3 °F
February	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.9 °F
March	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.9 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Årsdale climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Årsdale is from July to August: highs of 71 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

38° 31°

JanJ
38° 31°

FebF
42° 34°

MarM
50° 38°

AprA
59° 46°

MayM
65° 53°

JunJ
70° 58°

JulJ
71° 59°

AugA
64° 54°

SepS
55° 47°

OctO
46° 40°

NovN
41° 35°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	38°	31°	1.54 in	10	0.7	40°	4.6 ft
FebruaryFeb	38°	31°	1.24 in	9	2.1	38°	4.1 ft
MarchMar	42°	34°	0.94 in	8	4.7	38°	3.4 ft
AprilApr	50°	38°	1.00 in	6	7.0	41°	2.8 ft
MayMay	59°	46°	1.36 in	7	8.8	47°	2.4 ft
JuneJun	65°	53°	1.90 in	7	9.2	56°	2.3 ft
JulyJul	70°	58°	2.44 in	9	8.6	62°	2.5 ft
AugustAug	71°	59°	2.61 in	10	7.2	65°	2.5 ft
SeptemberSep	64°	54°	2.24 in	8	4.9	61°	3.2 ft
OctoberOct	55°	47°	2.07 in	11	2.8	54°	4.0 ft
NovemberNov	46°	40°	1.78 in	11	0.8	48°	4.0 ft
DecemberDec	41°	35°	1.78 in	12	0.0	44°	4.9 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	40°	4.6 ft
Feb	38°	4.1 ft
Mar	38°	3.4 ft
Apr	41°	2.8 ft
May	47°	2.4 ft
Jun	56°	2.3 ft
Jul	62°	2.5 ft
Aug	65°	2.5 ft
Sep	61°	3.2 ft
Oct	54°	4.0 ft
Nov	48°	4.0 ft
Dec	44°	4.9 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 20.89 in of rain on about 106 days and about 1,750 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now51 °Ffeels like 47 °F

Tomorrow50 / 54 °F

It's 51 °F now (feels like 47 °F). Today, 50 °F to 54 °F; tomorrow, 50 °F to 54 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 8%
Fri 30 0%
Sat 31 9% 0.00 in
Sun 1 19% 0.00 in
Mon 2 29% 0.03 in
Tue 3 15% 0.04 in
Wed 4 6%

Today the chance of rain reaches 8%. The next day with likely rain is Tuesday 3: 15% and 0.04 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.07 in; last 3 days, 0.12 in; last 7 days, 1.04 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity95%

Dew point49 °F

Humidity is 95% now and the dew point is 49 °F. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now5.0 mimoderate

Clouds52%

Visibility is moderate now (5.0 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak1low

Fri 30: 1 · Sat 31: 1 · Sun 1: 1

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.2030.40 30.41

Steady now (+0.01 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.15 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 21

PollenNoneToday, at most none.

Pollen: Copernicus CAMS model (a rough guide, not a pollen trap). Levels use each type's usual thresholds.

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light drizzle	51 / 54 °F	0.05 in	18 mph WSW
Tue 27	Overcast	51 / 56 °F	0	22 mph S
Mon 26	Light drizzle	51 / 53 °F	0.05 in	28 mph WSW
Sun 25	Heavy drizzle	50 / 54 °F	0.35 in	38 mph SSW
Sat 24	Drizzle	52 / 55 °F	0.14 in	26 mph S
Fri 23	Light drizzle	52 / 55 °F	0.05 in	19 mph SSW
Thu 22	Light rain	53 / 57 °F	0.38 in	18 mph SW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Light drizzle	55 / 58 °F	0.07 in	22 mph SE
Tue 20	Drizzle	52 / 56 °F	0.45 in	22 mph ESE
Mon 19	Overcast	51 / 53 °F	0	23 mph ENE
Sun 18	Overcast	52 / 53 °F	0	29 mph NE
Sat 17	Light rain	53 / 58 °F	0.45 in	30 mph NNE
Fri 16	Overcast	56 / 59 °F	0	14 mph SSW
Thu 15	Overcast	53 / 57 °F	0	15 mph SW
Wed 14	Heavy drizzle	54 / 57 °F	0.14 in	26 mph W
Tue 13	Overcast	51 / 56 °F	0	25 mph SSW
Mon 12	Overcast	49 / 52 °F	0	17 mph NW
Sun 11	Heavy drizzle	51 / 56 °F	0.38 in	21 mph WSW
Sat 10	Light drizzle	56 / 58 °F	0.15 in	27 mph WSW
Fri 9	Light drizzle	53 / 56 °F	0.13 in	31 mph W
Thu 8	Drizzle	53 / 60 °F	0.08 in	24 mph SW
Wed 7	Overcast	56 / 60 °F	0	17 mph ESE
Tue 6	Overcast	57 / 62 °F	0	23 mph W
Mon 5	Overcast	57 / 62 °F	0	23 mph WSW
Sun 4	Light drizzle	57 / 60 °F	0.01 in	14 mph W
Sat 3	Overcast	56 / 58 °F	0	8 mph W
Fri 2	Overcast	59 / 62 °F	0	18 mph S
Thu 1	Overcast	60 / 64 °F	0	19 mph SE
Wed 30	Overcast	59 / 64 °F	0	18 mph ESE
Tue 29	Light drizzle	60 / 64 °F	0.01 in	13 mph SE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in ÅrsdaleQuestions

What's the weather like today in Årsdale?

Overcast, from 50 °F to 54 °F, with a light breeze from the west-southwest (7 mph) and a 8% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Årsdale?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 0% (0.00 in): overcast.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 46 °F and a high of 54 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 1 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.26 inHg and steady: +0.20 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Årsdale?

The best time to visit Årsdale is from July to August: highs of 71 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Årsdale in October?

In October, Årsdale normally sees highs of 55 °F and lows of 47 °F, with about 11 rainy days (2.07 in for the month) and 3 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 54 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Årsdale?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 71 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 31 °F. The wettest is August (2.61 in) and the driest, March.

More about Årsdale today

Weather near Årsdale

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 8.5 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 1:05 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from