Weather in Guardalavaca

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 8:36 pm (GMT-4)

Now · clear 77 °F

Feels like: 87 °F
Low / high: 72 / 85 °F
Rain: 100% · 0.32 in
Wind: 2 mph S

↗ 29.92 inHg · rising UV 8 · very high

Today in Guardalavaca: light showers, 72 °F to 85 °F, with a 100% chance of rain (0.32 in) and a light air from the south (2 mph). Tomorrow, drizzle, 71 °F to 85 °F and a 78% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Tuesday 3, at 87 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

85° 72°
Today
85° 71°
Thu 29
86° 72°
Fri 30
85° 75°
Sat 31
85° 74°
Sun 1
87° 72°
Mon 2
87° 70°
Tue 3
87° 72°
Wed 4
88° 72°
Thu 5
88° 72°
Fri 6
83° 74°
Sat 7
81° 73°
Sun 8
82° 73°
Mon 9
83° 74°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Light showers	72 / 85 °F	100% · 0.32 in	5 mph SSE	3.1 ft	10:13 am · 10:22 pm	ECMWF
Thu 29	Drizzle	71 / 85 °F	78% · 0.18 in	5 mph S	1.9 ft	11:07 am · 11:17 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Drizzle	72 / 86 °F	99% · 0.15 in	4 mph N	1.4 ft	12:04 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Drizzle	75 / 85 °F	74% · 0.11 in	8 mph ENE	1.8 ft	12:18 am · 1:04 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Heavy drizzle	74 / 85 °F	75% · 0.27 in	9 mph E	2.0 ft	12:25 am · 1:07 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light showers	72 / 87 °F	78% · 0.38 in	6 mph WSW	2.0 ft	1:37 am · 2:10 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	70 / 87 °F	94% · 0.12 in	5 mph WSW	1.6 ft	2:49 am · 3:11 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Drizzle	72 / 87 °F	64% · 0.21 in	6 mph SW	1.4 ft	3:55 am · 4:07 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Drizzle	72 / 88 °F	75% · 0.19 in	6 mph SW	1.2 ft	4:54 am · 4:59 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Overcast	72 / 88 °F	51%	6 mph SSW	1.4 ft	5:45 am · 5:46 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Heavy drizzle	74 / 83 °F	60% · 0.38 in	6 mph SSW	1.2 ft	6:30 am · 6:31 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Heavy drizzle	73 / 81 °F	69% · 0.45 in	4 mph WNW	1.2 ft	7:12 am · 7:13 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Heavy drizzle	73 / 82 °F	61% · 0.31 in	4 mph NW	1.4 ft	7:52 am · 7:53 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Drizzle	74 / 83 °F	66% · 0.23 in	5 mph N	1.6 ft	8:30 am · 8:32 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Mainly clear	Overcast	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Drizzle	Light showers	Mainly clear	Clear
Temperature	75°	73°	72°	77°	85°	80°	77°	77°
Chance of rain	5%	0%	0%	0%	22%	91%	82%	15%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.04 in	0.07 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	3 SSE	2 SSW	1 SSW	3 SSE	4 SSE	1 ESE	3 NE	2 SSW
Humidity	97%	100%	99%	88%	71%	88%	95%	94%
UV	0	0	0	2	8	3	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	85°	85°	86°	85°	85°	87°	87°
AIFS	83°	86°	85°	85°	84°	84°	84°
GFS	89°	88°	86°	86°	86°	88°	85°
ICON	88°	89°	86°	86°	87°	90°	91°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0.32 in	0.18 in	0.15 in	0.11 in	0.27 in	0.38 in	0.12 in
AIFS	0.05 in	0.04 in	0.09 in	0.09 in	0.27 in	0.27 in	0.19 in
GFS	0.08 in	0.02 in	0	0.05 in	0.14 in	0.02 in	0.01 in
ICON	0.02 in	0	0.04 in	0.02 in	0.01 in	0.08 in	0
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	513	513	413	818	919	617	515
AIFS	7	6	6	11	11	9	4
GFS	79	811	1011	1217	1418	1013	98
ICON	615	411	614	921	1023	513	513
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	100%	78%	99%	74%	75%	78%	94%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	84%	32%	23%	17%	44%	61%	47%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, normal rain and a warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +1.3 °F	Below −51%	Above +2.0 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.4 °F	Normal	Above +2.3 °F	83° / 80°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.4 °F	A bit above +32%	Above +2.3 °F	82° / 80°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.8 °F	Normal	Above +2.3 °F	82° / 80°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.8 °F	Normal	Above +2.2 °F	82° / 79°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +2.3 °F	Normal	Above +2.3 °F
December	A bit above +2.2 °F	Normal	Above +2.5 °F
January	A bit above +1.6 °F	Above +52%	Above +2.2 °F
February	A bit above +1.6 °F	A bit above +48%	A bit above +1.6 °F
March	A bit above +1.3 °F	A bit above +42%	A bit above +1.4 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Guardalavaca climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Guardalavaca is from January to April: highs of 80 °F to 85 °F, about 5 rainy days a month and 9 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from August to October, peaking in October. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 13 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Guardalavaca, about 4 every 10 years; 7 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Melissa, in October 2025.

80° 69°

JanJ
81° 69°

FebF
83° 71°

MarM
85° 73°

AprA
87° 74°

MayM
88° 76°

JunJ
90° 77°

JulJ
91° 78°

AugA
90° 76°

SepS
87° 75°

OctO
84° 73°

NovN
82° 71°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	80°	69°	2.29 in	5	7.9	79°	3.6 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	81°	69°	1.21 in	3	8.3	78°	3.6 ft	–
MarchMar	83°	71°	1.60 in	5	9.4	78°	3.5 ft	–
AprilApr	85°	73°	1.73 in	7	9.8	79°	3.0 ft	–
MayMay	87°	74°	4.73 in	13	8.5	80°	2.8 ft	–
JuneJun	88°	76°	3.06 in	12	8.7	82°	2.5 ft	–
JulyJul	90°	77°	1.58 in	12	9.5	83°	3.1 ft	1
AugustAug	91°	78°	2.31 in	15	8.6	84°	2.9 ft	4
SeptemberSep	90°	76°	4.23 in	14	8.0	84°	2.4 ft	3
OctoberOct	87°	75°	6.30 in	16	7.7	84°	2.6 ft	5
NovemberNov	84°	73°	5.64 in	10	7.9	82°	3.3 ft	–
DecemberDec	82°	71°	3.37 in	6	7.6	80°	3.7 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	79°	3.6 ft	–
Feb	78°	3.6 ft	–
Mar	78°	3.5 ft	–
Apr	79°	3.0 ft	–
May	80°	2.8 ft	–
Jun	82°	2.5 ft	–
Jul	83°	3.1 ft	1
Aug	84°	2.9 ft	4
Sep	84°	2.4 ft	3
Oct	84°	2.6 ft	5
Nov	82°	3.3 ft	–
Dec	80°	3.7 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 38.05 in of rain on about 117 days and about 3,100 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now77 °Ffeels like 87 °F

Tomorrow71 / 85 °F

It's 77 °F now (feels like 87 °F). Today, 72 °F to 85 °F; tomorrow, 71 °F to 85 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 100% 0.32 in
Thu 29 78% 0.18 in
Fri 30 99% 0.15 in
Sat 31 74% 0.11 in
Sun 1 75% 0.27 in
Mon 2 78% 0.38 in
Tue 3 94% 0.12 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 100%, with 0.32 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 29: 78% and 0.18 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.32 in; last 3 days, 0.73 in; last 7 days, 3.70 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity94%

Dew point75 °F

Humidity is 94% now and the dew point is 75 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds17%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak8very high

Thu 29: 8 · Fri 30: 8 · Sat 31: 8

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.9030.00 29.88

Rising now (+0.04 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 26

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Heavy drizzle	70 / 86 °F	0.22 in	5 mph SSW
Mon 26	Heavy drizzle	70 / 86 °F	0.14 in	4 mph S
Sun 25	Light rain	72 / 81 °F	0.60 in	11 mph NNE
Sat 24	Showers	73 / 82 °F	1.87 in	6 mph E
Fri 23	Heavy drizzle	73 / 82 °F	0.41 in	5 mph ENE
Thu 22	Heavy drizzle	72 / 87 °F	0.13 in	4 mph S
Wed 21	Light showers	72 / 87 °F	0.30 in	4 mph NNW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Light showers	73 / 83 °F	0.58 in	6 mph NNE
Mon 19	Drizzle	78 / 86 °F	0.22 in	8 mph ENE
Sun 18	Drizzle	74 / 89 °F	0.08 in	9 mph E
Sat 17	Light drizzle	78 / 87 °F	0.07 in	9 mph E
Fri 16	Light drizzle	78 / 89 °F	0.02 in	11 mph ENE
Thu 15	Heavy drizzle	78 / 87 °F	0.19 in	11 mph E
Wed 14	Light drizzle	73 / 87 °F	0.15 in	9 mph E
Tue 13	Light showers	76 / 88 °F	0.34 in	9 mph E
Mon 12	Light drizzle	81 / 89 °F	0.01 in	12 mph E
Sun 11	Light drizzle	82 / 89 °F	0.04 in	14 mph E
Sat 10	Light drizzle	80 / 89 °F	0.01 in	14 mph E
Fri 9	Drizzle	77 / 89 °F	0.15 in	9 mph ESE
Thu 8	Light drizzle	74 / 89 °F	0.02 in	9 mph E
Wed 7	Drizzle	75 / 89 °F	0.15 in	6 mph ESE
Tue 6	Drizzle	74 / 87 °F	0.18 in	5 mph ESE
Mon 5	Light showers	77 / 86 °F	0.40 in	5 mph E
Sun 4	Light drizzle	78 / 89 °F	0.05 in	9 mph E
Sat 3	Light showers	78 / 89 °F	0.37 in	11 mph E
Fri 2	Light drizzle	81 / 89 °F	0.01 in	15 mph E
Thu 1	Light drizzle	80 / 90 °F	0.05 in	15 mph E
Wed 30	Light showers	76 / 87 °F	0.54 in	13 mph E
Tue 29	Light drizzle	75 / 89 °F	0.02 in	12 mph E
Mon 28	Light showers	76 / 90 °F	0.50 in	6 mph E

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in GuardalavacaQuestions

What's the weather like today in Guardalavaca?

Light showers, from 72 °F to 85 °F, with a light air from the south (2 mph) and a 100% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Guardalavaca?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 78% (0.18 in): drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 70 °F and a high of 87 °F; the warmest day, Tuesday 3.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 8 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.92 inHg and rising: +0.02 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Guardalavaca?

The best time to visit Guardalavaca is from January to April: highs of 80 °F to 85 °F, about 5 rainy days a month and 9 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Guardalavaca in October?

In October, Guardalavaca normally sees highs of 87 °F and lows of 75 °F, with about 16 rainy days (6.30 in for the month) and 8 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 84 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Guardalavaca?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 91 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 69 °F. The wettest is October (6.30 in) and the driest, February.

When is hurricane season in Guardalavaca?

Hurricane season: from August to October, peaking in October. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 13 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Guardalavaca, about 4 every 10 years; 7 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Melissa, in October 2025.

More about Guardalavaca today

Weather near Guardalavaca

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 9.9 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 8:36 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from