Weather in Baracoa

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 7:41 pm (GMT-4)

Now · clear 77 °F

Feels like: 85 °F
Low / high: 73 / 89 °F
Rain: 24%
Wind: 5 mph SSW

↗ 29.93 inHg · rising UV 8 · very high

Today in Baracoa: mainly clear, 73 °F to 89 °F, with a 24% chance of rain and a light breeze from the south-southwest (5 mph). Tomorrow, light showers, 73 °F to 85 °F and a 100% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 28, at 89 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

89° 73°
Today
85° 73°
Thu 29
87° 73°
Fri 30
85° 74°
Sat 31
85° 73°
Sun 1
87° 72°
Mon 2
85° 71°
Tue 3
85° 73°
Wed 4
85° 74°
Thu 5
84° 74°
Fri 6
86° 75°
Sat 7
80° 75°
Sun 8
81° 75°
Mon 9
82° 76°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Mainly clear	73 / 89 °F	24%	6 mph SSW	3.0 ft	9:56 am · 10:16 pm	ECMWF
Thu 29	Light showers	73 / 85 °F	100% · 0.28 in	9 mph SSW	2.2 ft	10:48 am · 11:10 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Heavy drizzle	73 / 87 °F	100% · 0.28 in	3 mph WSW	1.9 ft	11:45 am	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light drizzle	74 / 85 °F	92% · 0.11 in	7 mph N	2.3 ft	12:09 am · 12:46 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Drizzle	73 / 85 °F	89% · 0.32 in	5 mph N	3.0 ft	12:12 am · 12:48 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Drizzle	72 / 87 °F	88% · 0.16 in	6 mph SW	2.8 ft	1:21 am · 1:56 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	71 / 85 °F	98% · 0.19 in	5 mph SSW	2.3 ft	2:36 am · 3:06 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	73 / 85 °F	99% · 0.14 in	4 mph SW	2.2 ft	3:47 am · 4:08 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light drizzle	74 / 85 °F	95% · 0.13 in	4 mph SSW	2.4 ft	4:43 am · 5:00 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light drizzle	74 / 84 °F	81% · 0.10 in	4 mph SSW	2.4 ft	5:32 am · 5:46 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light drizzle	75 / 86 °F	83% · 0.17 in	4 mph SSW	1.4 ft	6:16 am · 6:30 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Heavy drizzle	75 / 80 °F	80% · 0.50 in	3 mph W	1.3 ft	6:57 am · 7:11 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Drizzle	75 / 81 °F	78% · 0.33 in	4 mph NW	1.6 ft	7:34 am · 7:51 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Drizzle	76 / 82 °F	76% · 0.19 in	4 mph NW	1.5 ft	8:10 am · 8:29 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Clear	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear
Temperature	74°	73°	74°	80°	88°	88°	82°	75°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	8%	22%	6%	1%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	5 SSW	5 SSW	5 SSW	4 SSW	4 SSE	5 S	6 S	5 SSW
Humidity	97%	99%	96%	80%	59%	57%	77%	96%
UV	0	0	0	2	8	5	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain tomorrow: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	89°	85°	87°	85°	85°	87°	85°
AIFS	89°	86°	87°	87°	86°	87°	85°
GFS	91°	88°	86°	85°	85°	87°	85°
ICON	88°	87°	87°	84°	86°	90°	91°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0	0.28 in	0.28 in	0.11 in	0.32 in	0.16 in	0.19 in
AIFS	0.02 in	0.27 in	0.24 in	0.15 in	0.35 in	0.25 in	0.31 in
GFS	0	0.43 in	0.03 in	0.15 in	0.38 in	0.32 in	0.08 in
ICON	0	0.06 in	0.05 in	0.02 in	0.05 in	0	0.01 in
Confidence	high	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	616	919	313	720	520	615	516
AIFS	4	3	3	6	7	3	5
GFS	611	55	66	69	810	74	54
ICON	617	414	513	618	718	28	39
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	24%	100%	100%	92%	89%	88%	98%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	96%	88%	44%	55%	71%	52%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +1.4 °F	A bit below −36%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.8 °F	Normal	83° / 72°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal	82° / 71°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +2.0 °F	A bit below −23%	82° / 71°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +2.0 °F	A bit below −28%	82° / 70°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +2.5 °F	Normal
December	A bit above +2.5 °F	Normal
January	A bit above +2.2 °F	A bit above +49%
February	A bit above +2.0 °F	Above +60%
March	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Baracoa climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Baracoa is from February to April: highs of 81 °F to 84 °F, about 5 rainy days a month and 9 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from August to October, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 16 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Baracoa, about 5 every 10 years; 8 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Melissa, in October 2025.

82° 69°

JanJ
81° 68°

FebF
82° 69°

MarM
84° 72°

AprA
86° 74°

MayM
87° 75°

JunJ
88° 76°

JulJ
89° 76°

AugA
88° 76°

SepS
87° 74°

OctO
83° 72°

NovN
82° 70°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	82°	69°	9.71 in	6	7.2	80°	4.5 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	81°	68°	4.44 in	4	7.8	79°	4.5 ft	–
MarchMar	82°	69°	5.26 in	5	8.8	79°	4.2 ft	–
AprilApr	84°	72°	5.00 in	5	9.4	80°	3.6 ft	–
MayMay	86°	74°	11.16 in	12	8.1	81°	3.4 ft	–
JuneJun	87°	75°	5.52 in	12	8.6	83°	3.2 ft	–
JulyJul	88°	76°	7.70 in	12	9.1	83°	3.9 ft	1
AugustAug	89°	76°	8.02 in	16	8.3	84°	3.7 ft	6
SeptemberSep	88°	76°	7.67 in	16	7.4	85°	3.0 ft	2
OctoberOct	87°	74°	15.04 in	17	7.2	84°	3.1 ft	5
NovemberNov	83°	72°	13.66 in	11	7.0	83°	4.0 ft	1
DecemberDec	82°	70°	15.49 in	6	6.8	81°	4.5 ft	1

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	80°	4.5 ft	–
Feb	79°	4.5 ft	–
Mar	79°	4.2 ft	–
Apr	80°	3.6 ft	–
May	81°	3.4 ft	–
Jun	83°	3.2 ft	–
Jul	83°	3.9 ft	1
Aug	84°	3.7 ft	6
Sep	85°	3.0 ft	2
Oct	84°	3.1 ft	5
Nov	83°	4.0 ft	1
Dec	81°	4.5 ft	1

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 108.65 in of rain on about 121 days and about 2,900 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now77 °Ffeels like 85 °F

Tomorrow73 / 85 °F

It's 77 °F now (feels like 85 °F). Today, 73 °F to 89 °F; tomorrow, 73 °F to 85 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 24%
Thu 29 100% 0.28 in
Fri 30 100% 0.28 in
Sat 31 92% 0.11 in
Sun 1 89% 0.32 in
Mon 2 88% 0.16 in
Tue 3 98% 0.19 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 24%. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 29: 100% and 0.28 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.57 in; last 7 days, 6.91 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity92%

Dew point74 °F

Humidity is 92% now and the dew point is 74 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds5%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak8very high

Thu 29: 7 · Fri 30: 7 · Sat 31: 6

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.9030.00 30.00

Rising now (+0.05 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 17

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Light drizzle	73 / 87 °F	0.04 in	8 mph SSW
Mon 26	Drizzle	74 / 83 °F	0.35 in	7 mph S
Sun 25	Showers	74 / 78 °F	2.03 in	8 mph S
Sat 24	Showers	74 / 83 °F	3.37 in	5 mph E
Fri 23	Showers	72 / 85 °F	1.04 in	4 mph NW
Thu 22	Light drizzle	71 / 87 °F	0.08 in	3 mph SSW
Wed 21	Light showers	73 / 83 °F	0.25 in	3 mph WNW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Showers	74 / 86 °F	0.43 in	4 mph WNW
Mon 19	Light drizzle	76 / 85 °F	0.12 in	5 mph NNW
Sun 18	Drizzle	74 / 87 °F	0.14 in	6 mph N
Sat 17	Drizzle	77 / 89 °F	0.22 in	4 mph NNW
Fri 16	Light drizzle	78 / 88 °F	0.11 in	7 mph NE
Thu 15	Thunderstorm	75 / 83 °F	0.61 in	6 mph NE
Wed 14	Showers	73 / 85 °F	0.53 in	2 mph NW
Tue 13	Light showers	75 / 87 °F	0.40 in	5 mph N
Mon 12	Drizzle	76 / 89 °F	0.19 in	6 mph ENE
Sun 11	Light drizzle	79 / 88 °F	0.21 in	11 mph ENE
Sat 10	Light drizzle	77 / 90 °F	0.17 in	9 mph ENE
Fri 9	Light showers	76 / 89 °F	0.27 in	5 mph SSW
Thu 8	Light drizzle	76 / 86 °F	0.05 in	6 mph SSW
Wed 7	Light drizzle	74 / 89 °F	0.06 in	6 mph N
Tue 6	Light showers	72 / 87 °F	0.26 in	2 mph WSW
Mon 5	Heavy drizzle	74 / 85 °F	0.33 in	4 mph WNW
Sun 4	Light showers	75 / 86 °F	0.34 in	5 mph SSW
Sat 3	Light showers	75 / 86 °F	0.69 in	4 mph NNW
Fri 2	Light drizzle	78 / 90 °F	0.19 in	9 mph ENE
Thu 1	Drizzle	79 / 90 °F	0.12 in	9 mph ENE
Wed 30	Light drizzle	78 / 90 °F	0.15 in	9 mph ENE
Tue 29	Drizzle	76 / 86 °F	0.20 in	8 mph NE
Mon 28	Drizzle	73 / 87 °F	0.14 in	5 mph N

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in BaracoaQuestions

What's the weather like today in Baracoa?

Mainly clear, from 73 °F to 89 °F, with a light breeze from the south-southwest (5 mph) and a 24% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Baracoa?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 100% (0.28 in): light showers.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 71 °F and a high of 89 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 28.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 8 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.93 inHg and rising: +0.02 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Baracoa?

The best time to visit Baracoa is from February to April: highs of 81 °F to 84 °F, about 5 rainy days a month and 9 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Baracoa in October?

In October, Baracoa normally sees highs of 87 °F and lows of 74 °F, with about 17 rainy days (15.04 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 84 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Baracoa?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 89 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 68 °F. The wettest is December (15.49 in) and the driest, February.

When is hurricane season in Baracoa?

Hurricane season: from August to October, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 16 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Baracoa, about 5 every 10 years; 8 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Melissa, in October 2025.

More about Baracoa today

Weather near Baracoa

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 6.8 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 7:41 pm (local time).

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