Weather in Manzanillo

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 7:50 pm (GMT-4)

Now · mainly clear 78 °F

Feels like: 87 °F
Low / high: 72 / 87 °F
Rain: 75% · 0.06 in
Wind: 2 mph ESE

↗ 29.89 inHg · rising UV 7 · high

Today in Manzanillo: drizzle, 72 °F to 87 °F, with a 75% chance of rain (0.06 in) and a light air from the east-southeast (2 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 69 °F to 89 °F and a 8% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Saturday 31, at 89 °F. Next likely rain: Friday 30 (69%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

87° 72°
Today
89° 69°
Thu 29
86° 70°
Fri 30
89° 73°
Sat 31
88° 72°
Sun 1
86° 72°
Mon 2
83° 70°
Tue 3
84° 70°
Wed 4
87° 70°
Thu 5
87° 70°
Fri 6
83° 72°
Sat 7
84° 72°
Sun 8
86° 72°
Mon 9
86° 73°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Drizzle	72 / 87 °F	75% · 0.06 in	4 mph ESE	0.4 ft	12:29 pm · 11:37 pm	ECMWF
Thu 29	Overcast	69 / 89 °F	8%	7 mph NE	0.3 ft	1:24 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light drizzle	70 / 86 °F	69% · 0.05 in	5 mph ESE	0.1 ft	12:28 am · 2:23 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Drizzle	73 / 89 °F	80% · 0.12 in	7 mph ENE	0.4 ft	1:27 am · 3:24 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light showers	72 / 88 °F	85% · 0.33 in	6 mph E	0.6 ft	1:38 am · 3:25 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Showers	72 / 86 °F	70% · 0.39 in	5 mph NE	0.5 ft	3:00 am · 4:21 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	70 / 83 °F	75% · 0.10 in	4 mph SSE	0.1 ft	4:21 am · 5:11 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	70 / 84 °F	65% · 0.09 in	5 mph S	0.1 ft	5:33 am · 5:55 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light drizzle	70 / 87 °F	45% · 0.02 in	4 mph WNW	0.1 ft	6:36 am · 6:36 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Overcast	70 / 87 °F	49%	3 mph NE	1.0 ft	7:33 am · 7:15 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Drizzle	72 / 83 °F	59% · 0.24 in	5 mph ESE	1.1 ft	8:25 am · 7:53 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light showers	72 / 84 °F	59% · 0.66 in	5 mph ENE	0.7 ft	9:12 am · 8:30 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light drizzle	72 / 86 °F	57% · 0.05 in	5 mph ENE	0.9 ft	9:55 am · 9:06 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	73 / 86 °F	51% · 0.09 in	5 mph ENE	0.9 ft	10:37 am · 9:43 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Clear	Mainly clear	Clear sky	Drizzle	Mainly clear	Clear
Temperature	73°	72°	72°	77°	86°	87°	83°	76°
Chance of rain	0%	1%	2%	0%	9%	52%	58%	1%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.02 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	3 E	1 ESE	1 E	3 ENE	2 NE	4 SW	1 SSW	3 ESE
Humidity	93%	94%	94%	83%	63%	64%	74%	94%
UV	0	0	0	2	7	3	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	87°	89°	86°	89°	88°	86°	83°
AIFS	85°	86°	85°	87°	86°	85°	82°
GFS	87°	87°	88°	90°	89°	86°	87°
ICON	88°	89°	89°	91°	92°	90°	91°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	medium	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0.06 in	0	0.05 in	0.12 in	0.33 in	0.39 in	0.09 in
AIFS	0.07 in	0.05 in	0.17 in	0.07 in	0.20 in	0.21 in	0.42 in
GFS	0.14 in	0	0.04 in	0.02 in	0.15 in	0.28 in	0.02 in
ICON	0.01 in	0	0.12 in	0	0.11 in	0.03 in	0.03 in
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	low

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	412	713	511	715	619	514	414
AIFS	5	3	4	6	5	4	2
GFS	65	89	89	1120	78	94	84
ICON	512	59	511	1219	915	610	212
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	75%	8%	69%	80%	85%	70%	75%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	100%	6%	96%	83%	89%	66%	69%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, normal rain and a warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +1.8 °F	A bit below −30%	Above +2.9 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +2.0 °F	Above +51%	Above +3.1 °F	85° / 77°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.8 °F	Above +60%	Above +2.7 °F	85° / 76°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +2.2 °F	Normal	Above +2.9 °F	85° / 75°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +2.2 °F	Normal	Above +2.9 °F	84° / 75°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +2.5 °F	Normal	Above +2.9 °F
December	A bit above +2.3 °F	Above +88%	Above +2.7 °F
January	A bit above +1.1 °F	Well above +230%	A bit above +1.6 °F
February	A bit above +0.9 °F	Well above +155%	A bit above +1.1 °F
March	Normal +0.7 °F	Above +65%	A bit above +0.9 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Manzanillo climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Manzanillo is from December to March: highs of 84 °F to 86 °F, about 3 rainy days a month and 9 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from July to October. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 13 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Manzanillo, about 4 every 10 years; 6 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Melissa, in October 2025.

84° 67°

JanJ
85° 67°

FebF
86° 69°

MarM
88° 72°

AprA
89° 73°

MayM
90° 75°

JunJ
91° 76°

JulJ
91° 76°

AugA
90° 76°

SepS
88° 75°

OctO
86° 72°

NovN
84° 69°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	84°	67°	0.74 in	3	8.4	78°	0.9 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	85°	67°	0.65 in	2	9.0	78°	0.9 ft	–
MarchMar	86°	69°	0.83 in	3	9.8	79°	1.0 ft	–
AprilApr	88°	72°	3.21 in	5	9.9	81°	0.8 ft	–
MayMay	89°	73°	7.73 in	9	8.5	84°	0.6 ft	–
JuneJun	90°	75°	6.17 in	7	8.6	85°	0.6 ft	–
JulyJul	91°	76°	6.07 in	6	9.6	86°	0.6 ft	2
AugustAug	91°	76°	6.06 in	7	8.5	87°	0.6 ft	4
SeptemberSep	90°	76°	5.85 in	9	8.2	87°	0.5 ft	2
OctoberOct	88°	75°	6.23 in	10	7.7	86°	0.6 ft	4
NovemberNov	86°	72°	2.09 in	5	8.2	82°	0.8 ft	1
DecemberDec	84°	69°	1.03 in	3	8.0	80°	0.8 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	78°	0.9 ft	–
Feb	78°	0.9 ft	–
Mar	79°	1.0 ft	–
Apr	81°	0.8 ft	–
May	84°	0.6 ft	–
Jun	85°	0.6 ft	–
Jul	86°	0.6 ft	2
Aug	87°	0.6 ft	4
Sep	87°	0.5 ft	2
Oct	86°	0.6 ft	4
Nov	82°	0.8 ft	1
Dec	80°	0.8 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 46.65 in of rain on about 68 days and about 3,150 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now78 °Ffeels like 87 °F

Tomorrow69 / 89 °F

It's 78 °F now (feels like 87 °F). Today, 72 °F to 87 °F; tomorrow, 69 °F to 89 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 75% 0.06 in
Thu 29 8%
Fri 30 69% 0.05 in
Sat 31 80% 0.12 in
Sun 1 85% 0.33 in
Mon 2 70% 0.39 in
Tue 3 75% 0.10 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 75%, with 0.06 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 69% and 0.05 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.06 in; last 3 days, 0.11 in; last 7 days, 1.24 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity90%

Dew point74 °F

Humidity is 90% now and the dew point is 74 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now14 migood

Clouds27%

Visibility is good now (14 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak7high

Thu 29: 8 · Fri 30: 8 · Sat 31: 7

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.97

Rising now (+0.06 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 28

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Light drizzle	69 / 88 °F	0.01 in	8 mph SSW
Mon 26	Light drizzle	69 / 86 °F	0.02 in	6 mph SSW
Sun 25	Rain	72 / 84 °F	0.60 in	8 mph NE
Sat 24	Light rain	71 / 80 °F	0.40 in	4 mph NE
Fri 23	Light drizzle	71 / 84 °F	0.02 in	6 mph ENE
Thu 22	Light drizzle	71 / 86 °F	0.11 in	4 mph E
Wed 21	Drizzle	71 / 88 °F	0.12 in	5 mph NE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Light showers	73 / 87 °F	0.37 in	7 mph ENE
Mon 19	Heavy drizzle	74 / 91 °F	0.21 in	8 mph NE
Sun 18	Drizzle	75 / 89 °F	0.08 in	6 mph NNW
Sat 17	Drizzle	75 / 90 °F	0.06 in	6 mph ESE
Fri 16	Light showers	75 / 93 °F	0.27 in	9 mph ENE
Thu 15	Drizzle	73 / 90 °F	0.12 in	9 mph ENE
Wed 14	Drizzle	73 / 91 °F	0.12 in	4 mph ENE
Tue 13	Light showers	74 / 90 °F	0.33 in	4 mph E
Mon 12	Drizzle	76 / 90 °F	0.13 in	8 mph ENE
Sun 11	Drizzle	74 / 93 °F	0.07 in	11 mph ENE
Sat 10	Drizzle	76 / 91 °F	0.13 in	3 mph SE
Fri 9	Drizzle	75 / 90 °F	0.11 in	3 mph NE
Thu 8	Light drizzle	75 / 92 °F	0.05 in	8 mph E
Wed 7	Drizzle	74 / 91 °F	0.09 in	5 mph E
Tue 6	Drizzle	73 / 92 °F	0.12 in	5 mph W
Mon 5	Drizzle	73 / 89 °F	0.09 in	4 mph ENE
Sun 4	Light showers	73 / 90 °F	0.19 in	5 mph ENE
Sat 3	Drizzle	76 / 88 °F	0.20 in	7 mph NNE
Fri 2	Drizzle	76 / 92 °F	0.09 in	4 mph ENE
Thu 1	Light showers	75 / 88 °F	0.32 in	10 mph ESE
Wed 30	Drizzle	74 / 87 °F	0.12 in	5 mph ENE
Tue 29	Overcast	74 / 94 °F	0	9 mph ENE
Mon 28	Light drizzle	74 / 92 °F	0.01 in	4 mph NNE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in ManzanilloQuestions

What's the weather like today in Manzanillo?

Drizzle, from 72 °F to 87 °F, with a light air from the east-southeast (2 mph) and a 75% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Manzanillo?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 8% (0.00 in): overcast.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 69 °F and a high of 89 °F; the warmest day, Saturday 31.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 7 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.89 inHg and rising: +0.03 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Manzanillo?

The best time to visit Manzanillo is from December to March: highs of 84 °F to 86 °F, about 3 rainy days a month and 9 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Manzanillo in October?

In October, Manzanillo normally sees highs of 88 °F and lows of 75 °F, with about 10 rainy days (6.23 in for the month) and 8 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 86 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Manzanillo?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 91 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 67 °F. The wettest is May (7.73 in) and the driest, February.

When is hurricane season in Manzanillo?

Hurricane season: from July to October. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 13 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Manzanillo, about 4 every 10 years; 6 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Melissa, in October 2025.

More about Manzanillo today

Weather near Manzanillo

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 10 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 7:50 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from