Weather in El Caney

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 10:30 pm (GMT-4)

Now · clear 78 °F

Feels like: 86 °F
Low / high: 74 / 86 °F
Rain: 75% · 0.08 in
Wind: 7 mph SSE

→ 29.91 inHg · steady UV 8 · high

Today in El Caney: light drizzle, 74 °F to 86 °F, with a 75% chance of rain (0.08 in) and a light breeze from the south-southeast (7 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 76 °F to 85 °F and a 63% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Saturday 31, at 89 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

86° 74°
Today
85° 76°
Thu 29
85° 73°
Fri 30
89° 73°
Sat 31
88° 75°
Sun 1
86° 72°
Mon 2
83° 73°
Tue 3
84° 74°
Wed 4
84° 72°
Thu 5
86° 75°
Fri 6
84° 76°
Sat 7
82° 75°
Sun 8
87° 75°
Mon 9
85° 75°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	Model
Today · 28	Light drizzle	74 / 86 °F	75% · 0.08 in	8 mph SSE	0.6 ft	ECMWF
Thu 29	Light drizzle	76 / 85 °F	63% · 0.11 in	8 mph SSE	1.0 ft	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light drizzle	73 / 85 °F	41% · 0.02 in	6 mph NE	0.6 ft	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light drizzle	73 / 89 °F	61% · 0.05 in	8 mph ENE	0.7 ft	ECMWF
Sun 1	Heavy drizzle	75 / 88 °F	88% · 0.17 in	8 mph NE	0.7 ft	ECMWF
Mon 2	Drizzle	72 / 86 °F	73% · 0.12 in	6 mph NE	0.5 ft	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	73 / 83 °F	35% · 0.02 in	7 mph NNW	0.1 ft	ECMWF
Wed 4	Overcast	74 / 84 °F	33%	7 mph WSW	0.1 ft	ECMWF
Thu 5	Overcast	72 / 84 °F	27%	8 mph SSW	0.1 ft	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light drizzle	75 / 86 °F	35% · 0.02 in	11 mph SSW	2.0 ft	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light drizzle	76 / 84 °F	41% · 0.08 in	8 mph SSW	1.6 ft	ECMWF
Sun 8	Overcast	75 / 82 °F	42%	6 mph NNE	1.4 ft	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light drizzle	75 / 87 °F	45% · 0.07 in	8 mph NNE	2.3 ft	ECMWF
Tue 10	Drizzle	75 / 85 °F	53% · 0.26 in	8 mph NNE	2.1 ft	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Mainly clear	Clear	Clear	Clear sky	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Clear
Temperature	75°	74°	74°	78°	85°	85°	82°	79°
Chance of rain	0%	2%	4%	0%	28%	75%	65%	42%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.01 in	0.02 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	5 E	5 ESE	5 ESE	4 ESE	5 SSW	8 SSW	5 SSE	5 SSE
Humidity	93%	90%	92%	84%	64%	67%	76%	85%
UV	0	0	0	1	7	4	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain tomorrow: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	86°	85°	85°	89°	88°	86°	83°
AIFS	85°	85°	87°	88°	87°	85°	83°
GFS	85°	83°	88°	88°	89°	87°	85°
ICON	86°	86°	91°	92°	91°	88°	88°
Confidence	high	high	medium	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0.08 in	0.11 in	0.02 in	0.05 in	0.17 in	0.12 in	0.02 in
AIFS	0.07 in	0.14 in	0.02 in	0.02 in	0.11 in	0.19 in	0.22 in
GFS	0.17 in	0.44 in	0	0.02 in	0.09 in	0.15 in	0.04 in
ICON	0.05 in	0.03 in	0	0	0.07 in	0	0.01 in
Confidence	high	medium	high	medium	high	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	814	816	611	815	815	614	717
AIFS	8	7	6	8	9	9	6
GFS	1011	1117	813	1021	820	610	87
ICON	815	714	712	917	1019	715	815
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	75%	63%	41%	61%	88%	73%	35%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	93%	74%	31%	54%	74%	36%	35%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: normal temperatures and a bit wetter.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +0.9 °F	A bit below −33%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal +0.5 °F	Well above +105%	85° / 73°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal +0.5 °F	Above +67%	86° / 73°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	86° / 73°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +0.9 °F	Above +52%	86° / 72°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +2.0 °F	Normal
December	A bit above +1.3 °F	Well above +197%
January	Normal −0.2 °F	Well above +309%
February	Normal −0.4 °F	Well above +313%
March	Normal −0.5 °F	Well above +157%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

El Caney climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit El Caney is from November to March: highs of 82 °F to 85 °F, about 4 rainy days a month and 9 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from July to November, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 12 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of El Caney, about 4 every 10 years; 5 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Elsa, in July 2021.

82° 65°

JanJ
83° 65°

FebF
85° 67°

MarM
87° 70°

AprA
89° 73°

MayM
90° 74°

JunJ
92° 75°

JulJ
92° 76°

AugA
91° 75°

SepS
88° 74°

OctO
85° 70°

NovN
83° 67°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	82°	65°	0.75 in	3	8.6	76°	1.9 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	83°	65°	0.98 in	2	8.8	76°	1.8 ft	–
MarchMar	85°	67°	0.82 in	4	10.0	78°	1.9 ft	–
AprilApr	87°	70°	2.74 in	5	9.9	81°	1.6 ft	–
MayMay	89°	73°	7.17 in	10	8.9	83°	1.6 ft	–
JuneJun	90°	74°	6.96 in	10	8.6	85°	1.5 ft	–
JulyJul	92°	75°	7.07 in	8	9.7	86°	1.4 ft	2
AugustAug	92°	76°	6.84 in	10	8.6	87°	1.4 ft	4
SeptemberSep	91°	75°	8.11 in	11	8.4	87°	1.2 ft	3
OctoberOct	88°	74°	8.63 in	10	7.6	85°	1.6 ft	1
NovemberNov	85°	70°	1.31 in	5	8.4	81°	1.9 ft	2
DecemberDec	83°	67°	0.77 in	3	7.9	78°	1.8 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	76°	1.9 ft	–
Feb	76°	1.8 ft	–
Mar	78°	1.9 ft	–
Apr	81°	1.6 ft	–
May	83°	1.6 ft	–
Jun	85°	1.5 ft	–
Jul	86°	1.4 ft	2
Aug	87°	1.4 ft	4
Sep	87°	1.2 ft	3
Oct	85°	1.6 ft	1
Nov	81°	1.9 ft	2
Dec	78°	1.8 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 52.15 in of rain on about 80 days and about 3,200 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now78 °Ffeels like 86 °F

Tomorrow76 / 85 °F

It's 78 °F now (feels like 86 °F). Today, 74 °F to 86 °F; tomorrow, 76 °F to 85 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 75% 0.08 in
Thu 29 63% 0.11 in
Fri 30 41% 0.02 in
Sat 31 61% 0.05 in
Sun 1 88% 0.17 in
Mon 2 73% 0.12 in
Tue 3 35% 0.02 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 75%, with 0.08 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 29: 63% and 0.11 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.08 in; last 3 days, 0.12 in; last 7 days, 1.00 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity87%

Dew point74 °F

Humidity is 87% now and the dew point is 74 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now9.7 migood

Clouds9%

Visibility is good now (9.7 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak8high

Thu 29: 7 · Fri 30: 7 · Sat 31: 7

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.98

Steady now (+0.03 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.05 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 15

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Light drizzle	70 / 85 °F	0.01 in	6 mph SSE
Mon 26	Light drizzle	71 / 84 °F	0.02 in	7 mph N
Sun 25	Drizzle	72 / 84 °F	0.12 in	8 mph NNE
Sat 24	Light showers	72 / 84 °F	0.40 in	7 mph NNE
Fri 23	Light drizzle	71 / 85 °F	0.08 in	7 mph NE
Thu 22	Light showers	72 / 85 °F	0.28 in	6 mph NE
Wed 21	Drizzle	72 / 86 °F	0.12 in	8 mph NE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Heavy drizzle	74 / 86 °F	0.27 in	9 mph NE
Mon 19	Light showers	74 / 85 °F	0.22 in	8 mph NE
Sun 18	Heavy drizzle	75 / 86 °F	0.14 in	6 mph ENE
Sat 17	Drizzle	76 / 90 °F	0.14 in	6 mph E
Fri 16	Light drizzle	76 / 90 °F	0.05 in	10 mph ENE
Thu 15	Light showers	75 / 86 °F	0.35 in	10 mph ENE
Wed 14	Light showers	75 / 90 °F	0.45 in	7 mph ENE
Tue 13	Drizzle	76 / 89 °F	0.14 in	5 mph ENE
Mon 12	Light drizzle	78 / 91 °F	0.07 in	10 mph ENE
Sun 11	Light drizzle	77 / 91 °F	0.01 in	12 mph ENE
Sat 10	Drizzle	75 / 88 °F	0.22 in	7 mph ENE
Fri 9	Heavy drizzle	77 / 86 °F	0.31 in	9 mph SE
Thu 8	Light drizzle	75 / 91 °F	0.05 in	6 mph E
Wed 7	Light drizzle	74 / 87 °F	0.01 in	7 mph S
Tue 6	Light drizzle	74 / 87 °F	0.05 in	6 mph SE
Mon 5	Light drizzle	76 / 86 °F	0.09 in	7 mph ESE
Sun 4	Light drizzle	76 / 88 °F	0.08 in	7 mph E
Sat 3	Light showers	76 / 87 °F	0.27 in	7 mph E
Fri 2	Heavy drizzle	78 / 90 °F	0.26 in	9 mph E
Thu 1	Light showers	76 / 91 °F	0.20 in	9 mph E
Wed 30	Showers	75 / 84 °F	0.51 in	11 mph ENE
Tue 29	Light drizzle	75 / 91 °F	0.01 in	10 mph ENE
Mon 28	Light drizzle	76 / 89 °F	0.05 in	8 mph SE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in El CaneyQuestions

What's the weather like today in El Caney?

Light drizzle, from 74 °F to 86 °F, with a light breeze from the south-southeast (7 mph) and a 75% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in El Caney?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 63% (0.11 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 72 °F and a high of 89 °F; the warmest day, Saturday 31.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 8 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.91 inHg and steady: +0.01 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit El Caney?

The best time to visit El Caney is from November to March: highs of 82 °F to 85 °F, about 4 rainy days a month and 9 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in El Caney in October?

In October, El Caney normally sees highs of 88 °F and lows of 74 °F, with about 10 rainy days (8.63 in for the month) and 8 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 85 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in El Caney?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 92 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 65 °F. The wettest is October (8.63 in) and the driest, January.

When is hurricane season in El Caney?

Hurricane season: from July to November, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 12 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of El Caney, about 4 every 10 years; 5 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Elsa, in July 2021.

More about El Caney today

Weather near El Caney

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 3.6 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 10:30 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from