Weather in Mariel

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 7:43 pm (GMT-4)

Now · mainly clear 80 °F

Feels like: 88 °F
Low / high: 78 / 82 °F
Rain: 81% · 0.05 in
Wind: 6 mph NE

→ 29.88 inHg · steady UV 7 · high

Today in Mariel: light drizzle, 78 °F to 82 °F, with a 81% chance of rain (0.05 in) and a light breeze from the northeast (6 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 74 °F to 82 °F and a 75% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Saturday 31, at 83 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

82° 78°
Today
82° 74°
Thu 29
82° 76°
Fri 30
83° 76°
Sat 31
83° 75°
Sun 1
81° 73°
Mon 2
81° 74°
Tue 3
81° 71°
Wed 4
83° 71°
Thu 5
83° 74°
Fri 6
80° 73°
Sat 7
81° 72°
Sun 8
78° 75°
Mon 9
78° 72°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Light drizzle	78 / 82 °F	81% · 0.05 in	12 mph NNE	5.8 ft	11:55 am · 11:05 pm	ECMWF
Thu 29	Light drizzle	74 / 82 °F	75% · 0.02 in	7 mph NE	4.5 ft	12:49 pm · 11:57 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Drizzle	76 / 82 °F	72% · 0.11 in	8 mph ENE	3.4 ft	1:48 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light drizzle	76 / 83 °F	85% · 0.07 in	9 mph ENE	3.3 ft	12:56 am · 2:55 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	75 / 83 °F	73% · 0.07 in	9 mph ENE	2.2 ft	1:06 am · 3:08 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	73 / 81 °F	36% · 0.02 in	9 mph N	1.9 ft	2:29 am · 4:12 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	74 / 81 °F	30% · 0.04 in	9 mph NNE	1.9 ft	3:57 am · 5:02 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Overcast	71 / 81 °F	33%	6 mph NE	1.6 ft	5:15 am · 5:43 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Overcast	71 / 83 °F	29%	6 mph SW	1.1 ft	6:20 am · 6:19 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light drizzle	74 / 83 °F	33% · 0.17 in	13 mph WSW	7.3 ft	7:15 am · 6:53 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Mainly clear	73 / 80 °F	39%	13 mph WSW	4.1 ft	8:03 am · 7:26 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Mainly clear	72 / 81 °F	31%	10 mph WNW	3.3 ft	8:46 am · 7:58 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Mainly clear	75 / 78 °F	41%	10 mph N	2.8 ft	9:26 am · 8:30 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Drizzle	72 / 78 °F	41% · 0.17 in	9 mph NNE	2.7 ft	10:03 am · 9:04 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Light drizzle	Mainly clear	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Clear sky	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Mainly clear
Temperature	79°	78°	80°	78°	80°	82°	82°	79°
Chance of rain	81%	62%	27%	30%	42%	33%	28%	19%
Rain	0.01 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	12 N	9 N	8 N	9 N	8 N	8 N	6 NNE	6 ENE
Humidity	75%	79%	76%	86%	81%	77%	78%	86%
UV	0	0	0	1	6	5	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	82°	82°	82°	83°	83°	81°	81°
AIFS	84°	85°	85°	85°	83°	81°	81°
GFS	87°	89°	89°	88°	89°	86°	88°
ICON	85°	88°	88°	88°	89°	88°	88°
Confidence	high	medium	medium	high	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0.05 in	0.02 in	0.11 in	0.07 in	0.07 in	0.02 in	0.04 in
AIFS	0.06 in	0.08 in	0.09 in	0.14 in	0.26 in	0.33 in	0.08 in
GFS	0.09 in	0.09 in	0	0.36 in	0.16 in	0	0.02 in
ICON	0	0.02 in	0.04 in	0.06 in	0.06 in	0.12 in	0
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	low	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	1219	712	813	914	915	915	916
AIFS	10	6	7	6	7	9	11
GFS	1120	67	87	77	109	119	88
ICON	917	714	611	917	612	1019	1019
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	81%	75%	72%	85%	73%	36%	30%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	47%	65%	35%	39%	62%	46%	30%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

The next few weeks look normal for the time of year.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +1.4 °F	A bit below −36%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal 0.0 °F	A bit above +33%	82° / 74°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal +0.7 °F	Above +52%	82° / 74°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +0.9 °F	Above +94%	82° / 73°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal +0.7 °F	Above +94%	81° / 73°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +1.8 °F	A bit above +32%
December	Normal +0.7 °F	Well above +154%
January	Normal −0.7 °F	Well above +233%
February	A bit below −0.9 °F	Well above +204%
March	A bit below −1.4 °F	Well above +207%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Mariel climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Mariel is from November to April: highs of 79 °F to 85 °F, about 4 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from August to October, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 16 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Mariel, about 5 every 10 years; 10 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Rafael, in November 2024.

79° 64°

JanJ
81° 65°

FebF
82° 66°

MarM
85° 69°

AprA
87° 72°

MayM
89° 74°

JunJ
90° 74°

JulJ
91° 75°

AugA
89° 74°

SepS
87° 73°

OctO
83° 69°

NovN
81° 66°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	79°	64°	2.50 in	4	6.6	79°	2.9 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	81°	65°	1.53 in	3	7.6	79°	2.3 ft	–
MarchMar	82°	66°	1.58 in	3	8.1	79°	2.3 ft	–
AprilApr	85°	69°	2.52 in	4	8.4	80°	1.8 ft	–
MayMay	87°	72°	5.40 in	7	8.7	81°	1.7 ft	–
JuneJun	89°	74°	7.41 in	11	7.3	83°	1.1 ft	–
JulyJul	90°	74°	5.50 in	9	8.6	85°	1.1 ft	2
AugustAug	91°	75°	6.80 in	12	7.8	85°	1.2 ft	6
SeptemberSep	89°	74°	7.50 in	12	7.0	85°	1.3 ft	3
OctoberOct	87°	73°	6.73 in	10	6.3	84°	2.3 ft	4
NovemberNov	83°	69°	2.30 in	5	7.0	82°	2.8 ft	1
DecemberDec	81°	66°	2.33 in	4	6.3	80°	2.5 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	79°	2.9 ft	–
Feb	79°	2.3 ft	–
Mar	79°	2.3 ft	–
Apr	80°	1.8 ft	–
May	81°	1.7 ft	–
Jun	83°	1.1 ft	–
Jul	85°	1.1 ft	2
Aug	85°	1.2 ft	6
Sep	85°	1.3 ft	3
Oct	84°	2.3 ft	4
Nov	82°	2.8 ft	1
Dec	80°	2.5 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 52.09 in of rain on about 83 days and about 2,750 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now80 °Ffeels like 88 °F

Tomorrow74 / 82 °F

It's 80 °F now (feels like 88 °F). Today, 78 °F to 82 °F; tomorrow, 74 °F to 82 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 81% 0.05 in
Thu 29 75% 0.02 in
Fri 30 72% 0.11 in
Sat 31 85% 0.07 in
Sun 1 73% 0.07 in
Mon 2 36% 0.02 in
Tue 3 30% 0.04 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 81%, with 0.05 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 29: 75% and 0.02 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.07 in; last 3 days, 0.94 in; last 7 days, 1.32 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity83%

Dew point74 °F

Humidity is 83% now and the dew point is 74 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds27%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak7high

Thu 29: 7 · Fri 30: 7 · Sat 31: 7

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.98

Steady now (+0.03 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.05 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 26

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Drizzle	77 / 81 °F	0.33 in	17 mph NNE
Mon 26	Drizzle	75 / 82 °F	0.51 in	18 mph NE
Sun 25	Drizzle	78 / 81 °F	0.06 in	13 mph NNE
Sat 24	Drizzle	74 / 80 °F	0.24 in	14 mph NE
Fri 23	Drizzle	74 / 81 °F	0.14 in	13 mph NE
Thu 22	Overcast	75 / 83 °F	0	11 mph NE
Wed 21	Light drizzle	77 / 82 °F	0.01 in	16 mph NE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Mainly clear	79 / 84 °F	0	15 mph ENE
Mon 19	Drizzle	77 / 84 °F	0.25 in	14 mph ENE
Sun 18	Drizzle	78 / 82 °F	0.31 in	12 mph ENE
Sat 17	Light drizzle	78 / 87 °F	0.08 in	7 mph NE
Fri 16	Drizzle	78 / 88 °F	0.08 in	11 mph ESE
Thu 15	Light drizzle	77 / 89 °F	0.07 in	10 mph E
Wed 14	Light drizzle	77 / 87 °F	0.05 in	13 mph E
Tue 13	Drizzle	80 / 85 °F	0.12 in	11 mph ENE
Mon 12	Light drizzle	81 / 87 °F	0.04 in	14 mph NE
Sun 11	Light drizzle	78 / 88 °F	0.02 in	12 mph ENE
Sat 10	Light drizzle	80 / 88 °F	0.06 in	13 mph SSE
Fri 9	Light drizzle	81 / 87 °F	0.07 in	15 mph SSE
Thu 8	Drizzle	78 / 88 °F	0.09 in	13 mph SSE
Wed 7	Drizzle	78 / 87 °F	0.17 in	9 mph S
Tue 6	Light drizzle	75 / 87 °F	0.06 in	9 mph S
Mon 5	Drizzle	77 / 89 °F	0.21 in	9 mph SE
Sun 4	Drizzle	77 / 87 °F	0.09 in	8 mph ESE
Sat 3	Drizzle	79 / 86 °F	0.17 in	9 mph SE
Fri 2	Drizzle	78 / 87 °F	0.12 in	12 mph SE
Thu 1	Light showers	77 / 87 °F	0.38 in	11 mph ESE
Wed 30	Drizzle	75 / 87 °F	0.12 in	11 mph ESE
Tue 29	Drizzle	75 / 83 °F	0.12 in	12 mph SE
Mon 28	Thunderstorm	77 / 85 °F	0.61 in	9 mph SSE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in MarielQuestions

What's the weather like today in Mariel?

Light drizzle, from 78 °F to 82 °F, with a light breeze from the northeast (6 mph) and a 81% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Mariel?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 75% (0.02 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 73 °F and a high of 83 °F; the warmest day, Saturday 31.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 7 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.88 inHg and steady: −0.04 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Mariel?

The best time to visit Mariel is from November to April: highs of 79 °F to 85 °F, about 4 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Mariel in October?

In October, Mariel normally sees highs of 87 °F and lows of 73 °F, with about 10 rainy days (6.73 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 84 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Mariel?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 91 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 64 °F. The wettest is September (7.50 in) and the driest, February.

When is hurricane season in Mariel?

Hurricane season: from August to October, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 16 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Mariel, about 5 every 10 years; 10 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Rafael, in November 2024.

More about Mariel today

Weather near Mariel

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 0.8 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 7:43 pm (local time).

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