Weather in Tolú

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 12:57 am (GMT-5)

Now · mainly clear 78 °F

Feels like: 88 °F
Low / high: 78 / 86 °F
Rain: 100% · 0.17 in
Wind: 4 mph N

→ 29.83 inHg · steady UV 10 · very high

Today in Tolú: heavy drizzle, 78 °F to 86 °F, with a 100% chance of rain (0.17 in) and a light breeze from the north (4 mph). Tomorrow, light showers, 75 °F to 87 °F and a 94% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 87 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

86° 78°
Today
87° 75°
Fri 30
85° 75°
Sat 31
84° 75°
Sun 1
84° 74°
Mon 2
86° 74°
Tue 3
85° 74°
Wed 4
87° 74°
Thu 5
82° 74°
Fri 6
86° 75°
Sat 7
89° 76°
Sun 8
89° 77°
Mon 9
87° 77°
Tue 10
89° 75°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	Model
Today · 29	Heavy drizzle	78 / 86 °F	100% · 0.17 in	5 mph NNW	1.5 ft	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light showers	75 / 87 °F	94% · 0.51 in	7 mph SSW	1.0 ft	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light showers	75 / 85 °F	90% · 0.51 in	6 mph SSE	0.7 ft	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light showers	75 / 84 °F	82% · 0.45 in	7 mph SSW	0.7 ft	ECMWF
Mon 2	Showers	74 / 84 °F	78% · 0.35 in	8 mph WSW	0.5 ft	ECMWF
Tue 3	Showers	74 / 86 °F	80% · 0.72 in	6 mph SSW	0.5 ft	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light showers	74 / 85 °F	82% · 0.43 in	5 mph SSE	0.4 ft	ECMWF
Thu 5	Drizzle	74 / 87 °F	77% · 0.35 in	6 mph SSW	0.3 ft	ECMWF
Fri 6	Drizzle	74 / 82 °F	68% · 0.32 in	6 mph W	0.6 ft	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light drizzle	75 / 86 °F	64% · 0.12 in	6 mph NNE	1.2 ft	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light drizzle	76 / 89 °F	68% · 0.05 in	4 mph SW	1.1 ft	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light drizzle	77 / 89 °F	55% · 0.07 in	6 mph SE	1.6 ft	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	77 / 87 °F	63% · 0.17 in	6 mph WNW	1.8 ft	ECMWF
Wed 11	Drizzle	75 / 89 °F	60% · 0.20 in	6 mph S	1.9 ft	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Light drizzle	Drizzle	Light drizzle	Partly cloudy	Overcast
Temperature	78°	78°	78°	84°	86°	84°	82°	80°
Chance of rain	5%	9%	4%	13%	76%	99%	59%	26%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.01 in	0.02 in	0.02 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	4 N	3 N	2 SE	1 S	4 WNW	5 NW	4 NNW	3 E
Humidity	95%	96%	95%	80%	79%	85%	90%	96%
UV	0	0	0	5	9	2	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	86°	87°	85°	84°	84°	86°	85°
AIFS	91°	90°	90°	86°	86°	86°	85°
GFS	85°	83°	84°	85°	85°	83°	81°
ICON	91°	90°	91°	91°	86°	85°	85°
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	medium	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.17 in	0.51 in	0.51 in	0.45 in	0.35 in	0.72 in	0.43 in
AIFS	0.13 in	0.24 in	0.30 in	0.35 in	0.45 in	0.51 in	0.55 in
GFS	0.57 in	0.75 in	0.20 in	0.47 in	0.74 in	0.12 in	0.33 in
ICON	0.03 in	0.14 in	0.16 in	0.31 in	0.37 in	0.18 in	0.19 in
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	high	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	517	718	615	718	815	619	515
AIFS	6	6	5	5	4	6	5
GFS	1315	1416	88	87	98	88	66
ICON	915	716	716	715	611	714	611
Confidence	medium	medium	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	100%	94%	90%	82%	78%	80%	82%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	65%	87%	71%	82%	48%	55%	56%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +2.2 °F	Normal	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Above +3.2 °F	A bit below −25%	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Above +3.2 °F	A bit below −29%	89° / 76°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Above +3.6 °F	Normal	89° / 77°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Above +4.1 °F	A bit below −32%	90° / 77°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	Above +4.3 °F	A bit below −39%
December	Well above +5.6 °F	Normal
January	Above +5.0 °F	Normal
February	Above +4.3 °F	Above +70%
March	Above +4.1 °F	Above +51%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Tolú climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Tolú is from January to March: highs of 94 °F, about 2 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

93° 73°

JanJ
94° 74°

FebF
94° 75°

MarM
93° 76°

AprA
91° 76°

MayM
91° 76°

JunJ
91° 76°

JulJ
91° 76°

AugA
90° 75°

SepS
90° 75°

OctO
90° 75°

NovN
92° 74°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	93°	73°	0.47 in	2	8.4	84°	3.5 ft
FebruaryFeb	94°	74°	0.44 in	1	8.8	83°	3.8 ft
MarchMar	94°	75°	0.72 in	3	8.2	83°	3.6 ft
AprilApr	93°	76°	3.84 in	12	7.0	83°	2.6 ft
MayMay	91°	76°	6.09 in	22	6.1	85°	1.9 ft
JuneJun	91°	76°	6.46 in	21	6.9	86°	2.1 ft
JulyJul	91°	76°	7.74 in	23	7.1	86°	2.4 ft
AugustAug	91°	76°	6.79 in	22	7.1	86°	2.0 ft
SeptemberSep	90°	75°	6.15 in	23	6.9	85°	1.6 ft
OctoberOct	90°	75°	9.31 in	23	6.1	85°	1.6 ft
NovemberNov	90°	75°	6.34 in	19	6.7	85°	2.1 ft
DecemberDec	92°	74°	2.21 in	8	7.7	84°	2.9 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	84°	3.5 ft
Feb	83°	3.8 ft
Mar	83°	3.6 ft
Apr	83°	2.6 ft
May	85°	1.9 ft
Jun	86°	2.1 ft
Jul	86°	2.4 ft
Aug	86°	2.0 ft
Sep	85°	1.6 ft
Oct	85°	1.6 ft
Nov	85°	2.1 ft
Dec	84°	2.9 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 56.57 in of rain on about 179 days and about 2,650 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now78 °Ffeels like 88 °F

Tomorrow75 / 87 °F

It's 78 °F now (feels like 88 °F). Today, 78 °F to 86 °F; tomorrow, 75 °F to 87 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 100% 0.17 in
Fri 30 94% 0.51 in
Sat 31 90% 0.51 in
Sun 1 82% 0.45 in
Mon 2 78% 0.35 in
Tue 3 80% 0.72 in
Wed 4 82% 0.43 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 100%, with 0.17 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 94% and 0.51 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.11 in; last 3 days, 1.02 in; last 7 days, 1.76 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity96%

Dew point77 °F

Humidity is 96% now and the dew point is 77 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds39%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak10very high

Fri 30: 9 · Sat 31: 10 · Sun 1: 7

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.7029.8029.9030.00 29.72

Steady now (−0.03 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.04 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 14

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light drizzle	78 / 88 °F	0.11 in	7 mph N
Tue 27	Showers	77 / 83 °F	0.36 in	6 mph NW
Mon 26	Showers	78 / 84 °F	0.56 in	7 mph W
Sun 25	Light showers	75 / 86 °F	0.35 in	9 mph W
Sat 24	Drizzle	77 / 84 °F	0.18 in	5 mph S
Fri 23	Heavy drizzle	78 / 89 °F	0.20 in	9 mph NNW
Thu 22	Light drizzle	76 / 88 °F	0.01 in	8 mph NNE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Showers	75 / 83 °F	1.17 in	6 mph S
Tue 20	Light showers	76 / 86 °F	0.64 in	5 mph NW
Mon 19	Showers	77 / 88 °F	0.35 in	7 mph NNW
Sun 18	Drizzle	76 / 85 °F	0.29 in	6 mph ENE
Sat 17	Showers	75 / 88 °F	0.83 in	5 mph SW
Fri 16	Light showers	80 / 89 °F	0.19 in	6 mph WSW
Thu 15	Overcast	77 / 93 °F	0	7 mph NNW
Wed 14	Light drizzle	76 / 89 °F	0.04 in	7 mph N
Tue 13	Light showers	75 / 86 °F	0.63 in	7 mph SSE
Mon 12	Showers	75 / 89 °F	0.81 in	9 mph SSW
Sun 11	Drizzle	79 / 91 °F	0.18 in	8 mph W
Sat 10	Showers	78 / 90 °F	0.48 in	7 mph SSW
Fri 9	Showers	78 / 92 °F	0.17 in	8 mph NNE
Thu 8	Heavy drizzle	76 / 85 °F	0.31 in	4 mph N
Wed 7	Drizzle	77 / 85 °F	0.15 in	6 mph SSW
Tue 6	Drizzle	75 / 86 °F	0.11 in	7 mph SW
Mon 5	Drizzle	80 / 89 °F	0.18 in	6 mph WSW
Sun 4	Light drizzle	77 / 88 °F	0.02 in	6 mph E
Sat 3	Light showers	77 / 80 °F	0.20 in	8 mph S
Fri 2	Light showers	78 / 88 °F	0.41 in	8 mph WNW
Thu 1	Light showers	76 / 89 °F	0.35 in	9 mph WNW
Wed 30	Drizzle	78 / 88 °F	0.16 in	8 mph W
Tue 29	Light drizzle	76 / 90 °F	0.04 in	7 mph NW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in TolúQuestions

What's the weather like today in Tolú?

Heavy drizzle, from 78 °F to 86 °F, with a light breeze from the north (4 mph) and a 100% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Tolú?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 94% (0.51 in): light showers.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 74 °F and a high of 87 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 10 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.83 inHg and steady: −0.07 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Tolú?

The best time to visit Tolú is from January to March: highs of 94 °F, about 2 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Tolú in October?

In October, Tolú normally sees highs of 90 °F and lows of 75 °F, with about 23 rainy days (9.31 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 85 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Tolú?

The warmest is February, with average highs of 94 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 73 °F. The wettest is October (9.31 in) and the driest, February.

More about Tolú today

Weather near Tolú

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 5.8 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 12:57 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from