Weather in Xiaochangshan

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 8:53 am (GMT+8)

Now · light drizzle 59 °F

Feels like: 50 °F
Low / high: 59 / 62 °F
Rain: 100% · 0.12 in
Wind: 24 mph WSW

→ 29.99 inHg · steady

Today in Xiaochangshan: drizzle, 59 °F to 62 °F, with a 100% chance of rain (0.12 in) and a fresh breeze from the west-southwest (24 mph). Tomorrow, clear sky, 50 °F to 64 °F and a 2% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 64 °F. Next likely rain: Sunday 1 (97%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

62° 59°
Today
64° 50°
Fri 30
51° 43°
Sat 31
60° 53°
Sun 1
59° 49°
Mon 2
59° 51°
Tue 3
62° 54°
Wed 4
61° 47°
Thu 5
46° 42°
Fri 6
49° 39°
Sat 7
39° 35°
Sun 8
51° 39°
Mon 9
55° 48°
Tue 10
57° 55°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Drizzle	59 / 62 °F	100% · 0.12 in	25 mph WSW	3.3 ft	10:25 am · 11:02 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Clear sky	50 / 64 °F	2%	27 mph WNW	2.6 ft	11:08 am · 11:51 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Overcast	43 / 51 °F	4%	22 mph NNE	2.6 ft	11:58 am	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light rain	53 / 60 °F	97% · 0.51 in	28 mph WSW	3.7 ft	12:49 am · 1:01 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Clear sky	49 / 59 °F	4%	16 mph NW	1.7 ft	1:57 am · 2:25 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Partly cloudy	51 / 59 °F	0%	18 mph NNE	1.5 ft	3:17 am · 4:05 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Drizzle	54 / 62 °F	26% · 0.06 in	23 mph S	2.8 ft	4:38 am · 5:31 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Drizzle	47 / 61 °F	41% · 0.18 in	22 mph NW	2.8 ft	5:48 am · 6:35 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Overcast	42 / 46 °F	11%	19 mph N	1.8 ft	6:45 am · 7:24 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Snow	39 / 49 °F	12% · 1.25 in	29 mph E	5.8 ft	7:32 am · 8:04 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Mainly clear	35 / 39 °F	14%	27 mph NNW	4.9 ft	8:11 am · 8:39 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Clear sky	39 / 51 °F	12%	23 mph WNW	3.2 ft	8:45 am · 9:10 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Clear sky	48 / 55 °F	9%	13 mph WNW	1.2 ft	9:16 am · 9:40 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Overcast	55 / 57 °F	7%	21 mph WSW	2.4 ft	9:45 am · 10:11 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Overcast	Overcast	Drizzle	Light drizzle	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear	Clear
Temperature	62°	61°	60°	59°	61°	62°	61°	60°
Chance of rain	0%	10%	63%	98%	46%	0%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.04 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	23 SW	25 SW	23 SW	24 WSW	22 WSW	19 W	18 W	12 W
Humidity	54%	71%	76%	81%	69%	38%	44%	53%
UV	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on wind today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	62°	64°	51°	60°	59°	59°	62°
AIFS	62°	64°	54°	59°	58°	61°	62°
GFS	62°	63°	49°	58°	58°	58°	60°
ICON	63°	64°	53°	60°	58°	61°	63°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.12 in	0	0	0.51 in	0	0	0.06 in
AIFS	0.09 in	0	0.01 in	0.41 in	0.02 in	0	0.01 in
GFS	0.08 in	0	0	0.56 in	0	0	0.05 in
ICON	0.08 in	0	0	0.31 in	0	0	0.09 in
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	2536	2739	2232	2838	1636	1832	2332
AIFS	26	27	25	24	17	17	19
GFS	2932	2828	2223	2525	2224	2123	1924
ICON	1927	1826	1725	2334	1320	1116	1521
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	high	medium	medium	medium

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	100%	2%	4%	97%	4%	0%	26%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	100%	0%	0%	100%	12%	6%	26%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: normal temperatures, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit below −1.8 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.4 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.3 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.3 °F	48° / 43°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.4 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.4 °F	45° / 40°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.6 °F	42° / 37°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	—
December	Normal 0.0 °F	Normal	—
January	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal	—
February	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	—
March	Normal +0.4 °F	Normal	—

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Xiaochangshan climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Xiaochangshan is in September and in June: highs of 76 °F, about 7 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

Tropical cyclones rarely pass near Xiaochangshan: one within 93 mi in the last 30 years (1996–2025), Muifa, in August 2011.

32° 19°

JanJ
36° 23°

FebF
45° 32°

MarM
57° 43°

AprA
67° 53°

MayM
74° 62°

JunJ
80° 69°

JulJ
82° 71°

AugA
76° 63°

SepS
65° 51°

OctO
51° 37°

NovN
38° 24°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	32°	19°	0.19 in	1	6.7	39°	2.5 ft
FebruaryFeb	36°	23°	0.36 in	2	7.0	36°	2.3 ft
MarchMar	45°	32°	0.44 in	2	8.0	38°	2.0 ft
AprilApr	57°	43°	1.47 in	4	7.9	45°	1.9 ft
MayMay	67°	53°	2.11 in	6	8.1	54°	1.9 ft
JuneJun	74°	62°	3.07 in	8	7.9	63°	1.6 ft
JulyJul	80°	69°	5.94 in	12	6.7	71°	1.7 ft
AugustAug	82°	71°	5.72 in	11	6.5	75°	1.6 ft
SeptemberSep	76°	63°	2.23 in	6	7.6	72°	1.6 ft
OctoberOct	65°	51°	1.30 in	5	7.3	65°	2.1 ft
NovemberNov	51°	37°	0.99 in	3	6.2	56°	2.7 ft
DecemberDec	38°	24°	0.34 in	2	5.9	46°	2.8 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	39°	2.5 ft
Feb	36°	2.3 ft
Mar	38°	2.0 ft
Apr	45°	1.9 ft
May	54°	1.9 ft
Jun	63°	1.6 ft
Jul	71°	1.7 ft
Aug	75°	1.6 ft
Sep	72°	1.6 ft
Oct	65°	2.1 ft
Nov	56°	2.7 ft
Dec	46°	2.8 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 24.17 in of rain on about 59 days and about 2,600 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now59 °Ffeels like 50 °F

Tomorrow50 / 64 °F

It's 59 °F now (feels like 50 °F). Today, 59 °F to 62 °F; tomorrow, 50 °F to 64 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 100% 0.12 in
Fri 30 2%
Sat 31 4%
Sun 1 97% 0.51 in
Mon 2 4%
Tue 3 0%
Wed 4 26% 0.06 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 100%, with 0.12 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Sunday 1: 97% and 0.51 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.11 in; last 3 days, 0.11 in; last 7 days, 0.13 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity81%

Dew point53 °F

Humidity is 81% now and the dew point is 53 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now14 migood

Clouds54%

Visibility is good now (14 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now1

Today's peak2low

Fri 30: 3 · Sat 31: 3 · Sun 1: 1

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.0030.2030.40 30.35

Steady now (0.00 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.37 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityModerate · 48

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Overcast	47 / 62 °F	0	22 mph SW
Tue 27	Partly cloudy	49 / 57 °F	0	26 mph NNW
Mon 26	Overcast	56 / 62 °F	0	19 mph N
Sun 25	Mainly clear	57 / 65 °F	0	19 mph NNE
Sat 24	Overcast	59 / 63 °F	0	16 mph NE
Fri 23	Light drizzle	60 / 61 °F	0.02 in	17 mph SSW
Thu 22	Overcast	53 / 60 °F	0	16 mph S

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Overcast	50 / 54 °F	0	23 mph NW
Tue 20	Light drizzle	52 / 64 °F	0.07 in	21 mph NW
Mon 19	Overcast	57 / 64 °F	0	13 mph SSE
Sun 18	Rain	60 / 69 °F	0.66 in	37 mph NW
Sat 17	Rain	65 / 68 °F	0.64 in	32 mph ESE
Fri 16	Overcast	63 / 67 °F	0	17 mph ENE
Thu 15	Light drizzle	64 / 68 °F	0.01 in	22 mph SW
Wed 14	Overcast	60 / 68 °F	0	22 mph WSW
Tue 13	Drizzle	60 / 67 °F	0.09 in	25 mph NNW
Mon 12	Overcast	62 / 68 °F	0	11 mph WNW
Sun 11	Overcast	60 / 67 °F	0	10 mph WNW
Sat 10	Overcast	66 / 67 °F	0	10 mph S
Fri 9	Overcast	67 / 68 °F	0	14 mph SSW
Thu 8	Clear sky	67 / 70 °F	0	17 mph SSW
Wed 7	Clear sky	63 / 69 °F	0	12 mph WSW
Tue 6	Mainly clear	65 / 70 °F	0	16 mph WNW
Mon 5	Mainly clear	59 / 65 °F	0	26 mph NW
Sun 4	Heavy drizzle	58 / 68 °F	0.18 in	25 mph W
Sat 3	Overcast	62 / 69 °F	0	19 mph SSE
Fri 2	Overcast	63 / 67 °F	0	12 mph NNW
Thu 1	Partly cloudy	63 / 67 °F	0	18 mph NW
Wed 30	Light drizzle	65 / 68 °F	0.07 in	19 mph NNW
Tue 29	Light rain	67 / 73 °F	0.15 in	20 mph SSW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in XiaochangshanQuestions

What's the weather like today in Xiaochangshan?

Drizzle, from 59 °F to 62 °F, with a fresh breeze from the west-southwest (24 mph) and a 100% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Xiaochangshan?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 2% (0.00 in): clear sky.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 43 °F and a high of 64 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 2 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.99 inHg and steady: −0.35 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Xiaochangshan?

The best time to visit Xiaochangshan is in September and in June: highs of 76 °F, about 7 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Xiaochangshan in October?

In October, Xiaochangshan normally sees highs of 65 °F and lows of 51 °F, with about 5 rainy days (1.30 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 65 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Xiaochangshan?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 82 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 19 °F. The wettest is July (5.94 in) and the driest, January.

More about Xiaochangshan today

Weather near Xiaochangshan

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 1.7 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 8:53 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from