TidePlanet

Weather in Ancud

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 2:32 am (GMT-3)
Now · overcast 46 °F
Feels like
42 °F
Low / high
44 / 69 °F
Rain
84% · 0.06 in
Wind
4 mph WSW
↘ 30.04 inHg · falling UV 8 · very high

Today in Ancud: drizzle, 44 °F to 69 °F, with a 84% chance of rain (0.06 in) and a light breeze from the west-southwest (4 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 46 °F to 66 °F and a 12% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 69 °F. Next likely rain: Sunday 1 (78%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

Day by day

Day Sky Low / high Rain Max wind Max wave High tides Model
Today · 29 Drizzle 44 / 69 °F 84% · 0.06 in 12 mph W 4.9 ft 2:55 am · 3:47 pm ECMWF
Fri 30 Overcast 46 / 66 °F 12% 9 mph WSW 5.5 ft 3:46 am · 4:51 pm ECMWF
Sat 31 Overcast 40 / 60 °F 10% 11 mph WNW 5.7 ft 4:49 am · 6:08 pm ECMWF
Sun 1 Light drizzle 46 / 59 °F 78% · 0.11 in 12 mph WNW 6.9 ft 6:06 am · 7:30 pm ECMWF
Mon 2 Light drizzle 46 / 58 °F 50% · 0.07 in 9 mph NNW 6.0 ft 7:28 am · 8:43 pm ECMWF
Tue 3 Light rain 48 / 59 °F 34% · 0.49 in 10 mph NNE 3.7 ft 8:42 am · 9:42 pm ECMWF
Wed 4 Light drizzle 46 / 60 °F 64% · 0.02 in 10 mph W 3.3 ft 9:45 am · 10:30 pm ECMWF
Thu 5 Drizzle 47 / 54 °F 50% · 0.24 in 9 mph SSW 4.1 ft 10:39 am · 11:12 pm ECMWF
Fri 6 Overcast 40 / 64 °F 17% 8 mph WSW 4.3 ft 11:27 am · 11:50 pm ECMWF
Sat 7 Drizzle 50 / 57 °F 27% · 0.06 in 11 mph WNW 3.8 ft 12:12 pm ECMWF
Sun 8 Drizzle 45 / 62 °F 35% · 0.10 in 11 mph WSW 4.9 ft 12:27 am · 12:54 pm ECMWF
Mon 9 Overcast 39 / 58 °F 25% 8 mph WSW 3.5 ft 1:02 am · 1:35 pm ECMWF
Tue 10 Drizzle 43 / 60 °F 17% · 0.05 in 11 mph NW 3.4 ft 1:36 am · 2:14 pm ECMWF
Wed 11 Drizzle 49 / 59 °F 25% · 0.14 in 7 mph WNW 3.5 ft 2:09 am · 2:52 pm ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time 12:00 am3:00 am6:00 am9:00 am12:00 pm3:00 pm6:00 pm9:00 pm
Sky ClearOvercastOvercastOvercastClear skyOvercastPartly cloudyDrizzle
Temperature 48°45°44°50°67°68°62°56°
Chance of rain 0%0%0%0%0%0%10%84%
Rain 0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.02 in
Wind (mph) 3 S4 WSW1 SW1 NW4 NW11 WNW11 W5 WNW
Humidity 95%99%100%95%63%66%72%97%
UV 00017710
Model ECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F) TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 69°66°60°59°58°59°60°
AIFS 64°63°60°60°58°60°59°
GFS 61°61°57°57°59°57°55°
ICON 66°65°60°59°60°64°60°
Confidence mediumhighhighhighhighmediummedium
Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 0.06 in000.11 in0.07 in0.49 in0.02 in
AIFS 0.02 in00.01 in0.25 in0.09 in0.02 in0.16 in
GFS 00.01 in0.00 in0.21 in0.00 in00.44 in
ICON 0.05 in0.01 in00.11 in000.04 in
Confidence mediumhighhighhighmediummediumlow
Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph) TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 12279221125123992710231026
AIFS 11591310912
GFS 12159121215182491013151422
ICON 1124513122711266125131023
Confidence highhighhighhighhighmediumhigh

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios) 84%12%10%78%50%34%64%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) 0%0%7%92%55%20%58%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When TemperatureTemp. Rain Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 A bit above +1.6 °F A bit below −34% —
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 Above +3.6 °F Normal —
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 A bit above +2.0 °F Normal 63° / 47°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 A bit above +2.5 °F Normal 65° / 48°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 A bit above +2.5 °F Normal 66° / 49°

Coming months

When TemperatureTemp. Rain
November A bit above +1.8 °F Normal
December A bit above +2.2 °F Normal
January Above +3.1 °F Normal
February Above +3.1 °F Normal
March Above +2.7 °F Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Ancud climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Ancud is from January to February: highs of 65 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Month High Low Rain Rainy daysDays Sun (h/day) Water Waves
JanuaryJan 65° 51° 4.61 in 9 6.9 58° 5.9 ft
FebruaryFeb 65° 50° 4.23 in 8 6.6 57° 6.2 ft
MarchMar 61° 49° 5.48 in 11 4.9 57° 6.7 ft
AprilApr 58° 47° 8.22 in 13 3.6 55° 6.9 ft
MayMay 54° 44° 11.52 in 16 2.6 54° 7.5 ft
JuneJun 51° 43° 15.00 in 19 1.8 53° 8.1 ft
JulyJul 50° 41° 11.79 in 17 2.5 52° 7.9 ft
AugustAug 51° 41° 12.94 in 17 3.2 51° 8.3 ft
SeptemberSep 53° 42° 7.76 in 14 3.8 52° 7.1 ft
OctoberOct 56° 44° 6.56 in 13 4.9 53° 6.5 ft
NovemberNov 58° 46° 5.95 in 12 4.9 54° 6.6 ft
DecemberDec 61° 49° 5.57 in 11 6.2 56° 6.2 ft
Month Water Waves
Jan 58° 5.9 ft
Feb 57° 6.2 ft
Mar 57° 6.7 ft
Apr 55° 6.9 ft
May 54° 7.5 ft
Jun 53° 8.1 ft
Jul 52° 7.9 ft
Aug 51° 8.3 ft
Sep 52° 7.1 ft
Oct 53° 6.5 ft
Nov 54° 6.6 ft
Dec 56° 6.2 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 99.62 in of rain on about 160 days and about 1,550 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now46 °Ffeels like 42 °F
Tomorrow46 / 66 °F

It's 46 °F now (feels like 42 °F). Today, 44 °F to 69 °F; tomorrow, 46 °F to 66 °F.

Chance of rain

  • Today 84% 0.06 in
  • Fri 30 12%
  • Sat 31 10%
  • Sun 1 78% 0.11 in
  • Mon 2 50% 0.07 in
  • Tue 3 34% 0.49 in
  • Wed 4 64% 0.02 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 84%, with 0.06 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Sunday 1: 78% and 0.11 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.02 in; last 7 days, 1.17 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity99%
Dew point45 °F

Humidity is 99% now and the dew point is 45 °F. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood
Clouds95%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0
Today's peak8very high

Fri 30: 8 · Sat 31: 7 · Sun 1: 6

IndexLevelWhat to do
0–2lowNo special protection needed.
3–5moderateHat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7highSunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10very highAvoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+extremeAvoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

  • ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
  • → Steady Anglers expect normal activity
  • ↘ Falling · now Anglers say fish feed more before the change

Falling now (−0.05 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.07 inHg. Falling pressure: anglers say fish feed more before the change. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 11
Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Wed 28 Clear sky43 / 73 °F06 mph SE
Tue 27 Light drizzle50 / 64 °F0.02 in6 mph WSW
Mon 26 Overcast48 / 67 °F06 mph S
Sun 25 Light drizzle47 / 69 °F0.01 in4 mph SSW
Sat 24 Light drizzle49 / 67 °F0.05 in5 mph SSW
Fri 23 Light rain50 / 61 °F0.54 in6 mph NNW
Thu 22 Rain53 / 65 °F0.59 in8 mph E
Show all 30 days
DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Wed 21 Heavy drizzle52 / 66 °F0.36 in11 mph ENE
Tue 20 Drizzle47 / 66 °F0.14 in8 mph ESE
Mon 19 Light drizzle42 / 68 °F0.02 in7 mph SE
Sun 18 Light drizzle47 / 66 °F0.00 in8 mph SW
Sat 17 Light drizzle51 / 61 °F0.04 in11 mph NW
Fri 16 Mainly clear49 / 74 °F06 mph NE
Thu 15 Mainly clear49 / 74 °F07 mph SE
Wed 14 Overcast47 / 69 °F05 mph ESE
Tue 13 Overcast41 / 68 °F06 mph SE
Mon 12 Heavy drizzle47 / 64 °F0.06 in9 mph SSE
Sun 11 Heavy drizzle50 / 64 °F0.14 in8 mph NW
Sat 10 Light drizzle48 / 62 °F0.02 in7 mph N
Fri 9 Light drizzle47 / 65 °F0.06 in8 mph NNE
Thu 8 Light drizzle46 / 67 °F0.04 in8 mph ESE
Wed 7 Light drizzle49 / 67 °F0.02 in8 mph SE
Tue 6 Drizzle47 / 58 °F0.14 in11 mph SSE
Mon 5 Light drizzle45 / 59 °F0.15 in7 mph N
Sun 4 Drizzle47 / 53 °F0.43 in16 mph NW
Sat 3 Light rain46 / 49 °F0.90 in13 mph NW
Fri 2 Light rain47 / 53 °F0.94 in13 mph NNW
Thu 1 Heavy drizzle47 / 59 °F0.19 in14 mph NNE
Wed 30 Heavy drizzle47 / 58 °F0.42 in11 mph NNE
Tue 29 Light rain45 / 56 °F0.50 in8 mph N

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in AncudQuestions

What's the weather like today in Ancud?

Drizzle, from 44 °F to 69 °F, with a light breeze from the west-southwest (4 mph) and a 84% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Ancud?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 12% (0.00 in): overcast.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 40 °F and a high of 69 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 8 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.04 inHg and falling: −0.25 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Ancud?

The best time to visit Ancud is from January to February: highs of 65 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Ancud in October?

In October, Ancud normally sees highs of 56 °F and lows of 44 °F, with about 13 rainy days (6.56 in for the month) and 5 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 53 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Ancud?

The warmest is January, with average highs of 65 °F, and the coldest August, with lows of 41 °F. The wettest is June (15.00 in) and the driest, February.

More about Ancud today

Weather near Ancud

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 9.6 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 2:32 am (local time).

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