Weather in New Carlisle

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 8:49 pm (EDT)

Now · mainly clear 42 °F

Feels like: 32 °F
Low / high: 32 / 45 °F
Rain: 2%
Wind: 12 mph W

→ 30.16 inHg · steady

Today in New Carlisle: partly cloudy, 32 °F to 45 °F, with a 2% chance of rain and a gentle breeze from the west (12 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 41 °F to 54 °F and a 14% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 54 °F. Next likely rain: Wednesday 4 (25%).

Measured now at the airport

New Carlisle (CWOC), 0.3 mi away · 49 min ago

Visibility—

WeatherNothing to note

Temperature42 °F

Wind8 mph from the west

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

45° 32°
Today
54° 41°
Thu 29
54° 40°
Fri 30
44° 34°
Sat 31
47° 32°
Sun 1
50° 37°
Mon 2
44° 34°
Tue 3
45° 35°
Wed 4
47° 36°
Thu 5
48° 40°
Fri 6
46° 37°
Sat 7
45° 36°
Sun 8
44° 39°
Mon 9
42° 34°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Partly cloudy	32 / 45 °F	2%	16 mph WNW	2.8 ft	4:18 am · 4:30 pm	HRRR
Thu 29	Light drizzle	41 / 54 °F	14%	11 mph W	2.0 ft	5:07 am · 5:16 pm	HRRR + NBM
Fri 30	Light drizzle	40 / 54 °F	14% · 0.01 in	9 mph W	2.8 ft	5:59 am · 6:06 pm	NBM
Sat 31	Light drizzle	34 / 44 °F	14%	10 mph WNW	2.8 ft	6:55 am · 7:04 pm	NBM
Sun 1	Overcast	32 / 47 °F	0%	11 mph W	3.0 ft	6:57 am · 7:12 pm	NBM
Mon 2	Overcast	37 / 50 °F	9%	11 mph W	3.7 ft	8:03 am · 8:29 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Light drizzle	34 / 44 °F	18% · 0.02 in	6 mph NW	1.4 ft	9:11 am · 9:45 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Drizzle	35 / 45 °F	25% · 0.13 in	6 mph WSW	2.5 ft	10:14 am · 10:49 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Overcast	36 / 47 °F	24% · 0.17 in	5 mph W	2.2 ft	11:11 am · 11:44 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Drizzle	40 / 48 °F	39% · 0.25 in	6 mph W	1.4 ft	12:01 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Drizzle	37 / 46 °F	39% · 0.18 in	6 mph NNW	3.0 ft	12:34 am · 12:46 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Light rain	36 / 45 °F	18% · 0.20 in	17 mph NW	3.0 ft	1:20 am · 1:28 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9	Clear sky	39 / 44 °F	22%	19 mph WNW	3.4 ft	2:04 am · 2:07 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Clear sky	34 / 42 °F	21%	11 mph WNW	1.4 ft	2:46 am · 2:44 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 3:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 2:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 10:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Clear	Mainly clear	Partly cloudy	Clear sky	Mainly clear	Mainly clear
Temperature	35°	33°	33°	37°	41°	45°	42°	42°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	2%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	9 WNW	9 WNW	11 WNW	11 WNW	15 W	14 W	10 W	12 W
Humidity	46%	51%	64%	59%	60%	41%	46%	55%
UV	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on wind tomorrow: take it with some caution.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	45°	56°	54°	42°	47°	49°	46°
AIFS	45°	59°	55°	42°	47°	56°	51°
GFS	45°	54°	55°	43°	46°	49°	42°
ICON	44°	51°	54°	41°	45°	51°	39°
HRRR	45°	56°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	46°	54°	54°	44°	47°	50°	44°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0	0.02 in	0.01 in	0.02 in	0	0	0.05 in
AIFS	0	0.01 in	0.02 in	0.01 in	0	0	0.40 in
GFS	0	0.02 in	0.00 in	0	0	0.03 in	0
ICON	0	0.04 in	0.07 in	0	0	0.02 in	0
HRRR	0	0.02 in	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0	0	0.01 in	0	0	0	0.02 in
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	low

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	1729	1626	1729	1934	1624	2342	1024
AIFS	15	16	14	16	15	15	9
GFS	1226	1336	1334	1329	1226	1432	1534
ICON	1327	817	1224	1429	1327	1941	1635
HRRR	1628	1524	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	1121	717	919	1019	1122	1123	612
Confidence	high	medium	high	high	high	medium	medium

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	0%	80%	63%	32%	0%	4%	28%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	29%	39%	10%	1%	29%	3%
NBM (NOAA)	2%	14%	14%	14%	0%	9%	18%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	0%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +2.0 °F	Normal	Normal −0.4 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.7 °F	43° / 37°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +2.2 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.3 °F	41° / 35°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Above +2.9 °F	A bit above +25%	A bit above +1.6 °F	39° / 34°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Above +2.9 °F	Normal	Above +1.8 °F	37° / 31°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +1.8 °F	Normal	—
December	Above +4.9 °F	Normal	—
January	Well above +6.7 °F	A bit above +30%	—
February	Well above +5.8 °F	Normal	—
March	Above +4.0 °F	Normal	—

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

New Carlisle climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit New Carlisle is from July to August: highs of 73 °F, about 11 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

22° 5°

JanJ
24° 5°

FebF
32° 15°

MarM
43° 27°

AprA
57° 38°

MayM
67° 48°

JunJ
73° 55°

JulJ
73° 54°

AugA
65° 47°

SepS
53° 37°

OctO
41° 28°

NovN
30° 17°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	22°	5°	3.25 in	8	4.0	31°	1.9 ft
FebruaryFeb	24°	5°	2.45 in	8	5.9	30°	1.3 ft
MarchMar	32°	15°	2.75 in	8	6.8	31°	1.4 ft
AprilApr	43°	27°	2.81 in	9	6.9	33°	1.2 ft
MayMay	57°	38°	4.08 in	10	7.1	40°	0.9 ft
JuneJun	67°	48°	3.91 in	10	7.4	52°	0.8 ft
JulyJul	73°	55°	3.89 in	13	7.3	61°	0.7 ft
AugustAug	73°	54°	4.30 in	10	7.1	63°	0.8 ft
SeptemberSep	65°	47°	3.76 in	9	5.9	58°	1.1 ft
OctoberOct	53°	37°	5.00 in	10	3.7	50°	1.4 ft
NovemberNov	41°	28°	4.15 in	10	2.7	41°	1.3 ft
DecemberDec	30°	17°	3.50 in	10	2.6	34°	1.7 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	31°	1.9 ft
Feb	30°	1.3 ft
Mar	31°	1.4 ft
Apr	33°	1.2 ft
May	40°	0.9 ft
Jun	52°	0.8 ft
Jul	61°	0.7 ft
Aug	63°	0.8 ft
Sep	58°	1.1 ft
Oct	50°	1.4 ft
Nov	41°	1.3 ft
Dec	34°	1.7 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 43.83 in of rain on about 115 days and about 2,050 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now42 °Ffeels like 32 °F

Tomorrow41 / 54 °F

It's 42 °F now (feels like 32 °F). Today, 32 °F to 45 °F; tomorrow, 41 °F to 54 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 2%
Thu 29 14%
Fri 30 14% 0.01 in
Sat 31 14%
Sun 1 0%
Mon 2 9%
Tue 3 18% 0.02 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 2%. The next day with likely rain is Wednesday 4: 25% and 0.13 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.01 in; last 7 days, 0.01 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity55%

Dew point27 °F

Humidity is 55% now and the dew point is 27 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now21 migood

Clouds47%

Visibility is good now (21 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak2low

Thu 29: 2 · Fri 30: 2 · Sat 31: 1

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.00 29.64

Steady now (−0.02 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.29 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 23

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Overcast	38 / 45 °F	0	22 mph NW
Mon 26	Light drizzle	46 / 57 °F	0.01 in	22 mph WNW
Sun 25	Overcast	46 / 61 °F	0	14 mph W
Sat 24	Overcast	38 / 52 °F	0	14 mph WNW
Fri 23	Overcast	39 / 46 °F	0	17 mph N
Thu 22	Overcast	38 / 48 °F	0	14 mph NW
Wed 21	Clear sky	41 / 50 °F	0	9 mph W

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Clear sky	44 / 52 °F	0	16 mph WNW
Mon 19	Mainly clear	37 / 59 °F	0	16 mph SSW
Sun 18	Light snow	35 / 44 °F	0.01 in	18 mph W
Sat 17	Light snow	37 / 47 °F	0.04 in	26 mph WNW
Fri 16	Snow	37 / 48 °F	0.34 in	13 mph SSW
Thu 15	Light drizzle	44 / 50 °F	0.02 in	26 mph NW
Wed 14	Light rain	37 / 49 °F	0.37 in	13 mph E
Tue 13	Overcast	36 / 43 °F	0	9 mph N
Mon 12	Light rain	40 / 56 °F	0.34 in	21 mph N
Sun 11	Overcast	42 / 56 °F	0	16 mph WSW
Sat 10	Overcast	45 / 52 °F	0	25 mph WNW
Fri 9	Mainly clear	47 / 54 °F	0	19 mph W
Thu 8	Light rain	46 / 55 °F	0.48 in	11 mph SSW
Wed 7	Light drizzle	47 / 53 °F	0.01 in	22 mph W
Tue 6	Light drizzle	44 / 52 °F	0.06 in	31 mph W
Mon 5	Drizzle	47 / 57 °F	0.17 in	15 mph SW
Sun 4	Overcast	44 / 57 °F	0	12 mph SW
Sat 3	Mainly clear	50 / 56 °F	0	18 mph WNW
Fri 2	Light drizzle	54 / 63 °F	0.02 in	14 mph W
Thu 1	Overcast	49 / 65 °F	0	14 mph SW
Wed 30	Overcast	50 / 58 °F	0	7 mph W
Tue 29	Light drizzle	53 / 56 °F	0.11 in	10 mph ENE
Mon 28	Light drizzle	48 / 58 °F	0.02 in	13 mph ENE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in New CarlisleQuestions

What's the weather like today in New Carlisle?

Partly cloudy, from 32 °F to 45 °F, with a gentle breeze from the west (12 mph) and a 2% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in New Carlisle?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 14% (0.00 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 32 °F and a high of 54 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 2 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.16 inHg and steady: −0.09 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit New Carlisle?

The best time to visit New Carlisle is from July to August: highs of 73 °F, about 11 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in New Carlisle in October?

In October, New Carlisle normally sees highs of 53 °F and lows of 37 °F, with about 10 rainy days (5.00 in for the month) and 4 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 50 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in New Carlisle?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 73 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 5 °F. The wettest is October (5.00 in) and the driest, February.

More about New Carlisle today

Weather near New Carlisle

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 18 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 8:49 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from