Weather in Baie-Saint-Paul

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 11:27 pm (EDT)

Now · mainly clear 42 °F

Feels like: 36 °F
Low / high: 26 / 46 °F
Rain: 10%
Wind: 4 mph SSW

↘ 30.14 inHg · falling

Today in Baie-Saint-Paul: overcast, 26 °F to 46 °F, with a 10% chance of rain and a light breeze from the south-southwest (4 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 40 °F to 57 °F and a 20% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 57 °F. Next likely rain: Tuesday 3 (23%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

46° 26°
Today
57° 40°
Thu 29
52° 39°
Fri 30
44° 33°
Sat 31
51° 34°
Sun 1
52° 40°
Mon 2
45° 35°
Tue 3
48° 38°
Wed 4
49° 40°
Thu 5
49° 41°
Fri 6
44° 38°
Sat 7
45° 32°
Sun 8
45° 34°
Mon 9
41° 28°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Overcast	26 / 46 °F	10%	9 mph SSE	5:59 am · 6:11 pm	HRRR
Thu 29	Light drizzle	40 / 57 °F	20%	14 mph S	6:43 am · 6:57 pm	HRRR + NBM
Fri 30	Overcast	39 / 52 °F	25% · 0.01 in	6 mph NW	7:33 am · 7:50 pm	NBM
Sat 31	Partly cloudy	33 / 44 °F	0%	7 mph WNW	8:31 am · 8:51 pm	NBM
Sun 1	Overcast	34 / 51 °F	2%	12 mph SW	8:40 am · 9:02 pm	NBM
Mon 2	Light drizzle	40 / 52 °F	6%	11 mph WSW	10:03 am · 10:26 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Light rain	35 / 45 °F	23% · 0.04 in	4 mph WNW	11:26 am · 11:49 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Heavy drizzle	38 / 48 °F	25% · 0.05 in	5 mph SW	12:34 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Light drizzle	40 / 49 °F	40% · 0.51 in	5 mph SSW	12:58 am · 1:28 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Light drizzle	41 / 49 °F	41% · 0.57 in	7 mph NW	1:54 am · 2:12 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Drizzle	38 / 44 °F	31% · 0.35 in	7 mph NNW	2:40 am · 2:49 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Drizzle	32 / 45 °F	20% · 0.03 in	6 mph NW	3:19 am · 3:24 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9	Overcast	34 / 45 °F	25%	3 mph NW	3:55 am · 3:58 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	28 / 41 °F	20%	3 mph NNE	4:29 am · 4:32 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 6:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 8:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 10:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Mainly clear	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Mainly clear
Temperature	30°	28°	26°	32°	40°	45°	43°	44°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	6%	3%	2%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	5 NW	4 NW	3 NW	3 N	8 SE	6 SSE	6 SSE	8 S
Humidity	55%	64%	62%	71%	72%	59%	52%	49%
UV	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on temperature today: take it with some caution.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	42°	57°	49°	44°	52°	54°	47°
AIFS	44°	58°	53°	42°	51°	55°	56°
GFS	53°	61°	55°	46°	54°	52°	45°
ICON	47°	61°	55°	42°	51°	55°	45°
HRRR	46°	57°	52°	—	—	—	—
NBM	47°	57°	52°	44°	51°	52°	45°
Confidence	medium	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0	0.07 in	0	0	0	0.02 in	0.56 in
AIFS	0	0.02 in	0.05 in	0	0	0.02 in	0.48 in
GFS	0	0.03 in	0.01 in	0	0	0.04 in	0.01 in
ICON	0	0.03 in	0.00 in	0	0	0	0
HRRR	0	0	0	—	—	—	—
NBM	0	0	0.01 in	0	0	0	0.04 in
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	low

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	615	727	1024	1026	815	723	413
AIFS	10	14	9	8	11	11	16
GFS	611	1137	1123	1025	1330	1333	1121
ICON	516	1234	1126	1025	1023	1025	819
HRRR	915	1427	1432	—	—	—	—
NBM	813	1524	611	713	1217	1121	47
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	24%	80%	2%	2%	0%	24%	48%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	58%	34%	2%	4%	16%	3%
NBM (NOAA)	10%	20%	25%	0%	2%	6%	23%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	0%	0%	2%	2%	0%	1%	0%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: warmer, normal rain and a near-normal sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Above +3.8 °F	Normal	Normal −0.4 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.8 °F	Normal	Normal 0.0 °F	38° / 33°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Above +2.7 °F	Normal	Normal +0.4 °F	37° / 31°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Above +3.1 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.5 °F	34° / 30°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Above +2.9 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.7 °F	32° / 27°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.7 °F
December	Above +5.0 °F	A bit above +24%	Normal 0.0 °F
January	Well above +7.0 °F	A bit above +44%	Normal 0.0 °F
February	Well above +5.6 °F	A bit above +27%	Normal 0.0 °F
March	Above +4.1 °F	Normal	Normal 0.0 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Baie-Saint-Paul climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Baie-Saint-Paul is from June to August: highs of 70 °F to 75 °F, about 13 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

19° 1°

JanJ
21° 2°

FebF
31° 13°

MarM
44° 28°

AprA
60° 40°

MayM
70° 50°

JunJ
75° 56°

JulJ
74° 55°

AugA
66° 47°

SepS
52° 37°

OctO
40° 27°

NovN
27° 12°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)
JanuaryJan	19°	1°	2.74 in	8	4.7
FebruaryFeb	21°	2°	2.61 in	7	6.0
MarchMar	31°	13°	2.97 in	8	6.7
AprilApr	44°	28°	3.95 in	10	6.8
MayMay	60°	40°	3.88 in	11	7.1
JuneJun	70°	50°	4.20 in	12	7.3
JulyJul	75°	56°	3.76 in	14	7.3
AugustAug	74°	55°	3.62 in	12	6.8
SeptemberSep	66°	47°	3.22 in	10	6.0
OctoberOct	52°	37°	4.09 in	10	3.5
NovemberNov	40°	27°	3.37 in	9	2.8
DecemberDec	27°	12°	2.94 in	9	3.2

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 41.35 in of rain on about 120 days and about 2,050 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now42 °Ffeels like 36 °F

Tomorrow40 / 57 °F

It's 42 °F now (feels like 36 °F). Today, 26 °F to 46 °F; tomorrow, 40 °F to 57 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 10%
Thu 29 20%
Fri 30 25% 0.01 in
Sat 31 0%
Sun 1 2%
Mon 2 6%
Tue 3 23% 0.04 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 10%. The next day with likely rain is Tuesday 3: 23% and 0.04 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.07 in; last 7 days, 0.08 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity64%

Dew point31 °F

Humidity is 64% now and the dew point is 31 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now17 migood

Clouds42%

Visibility is good now (17 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak2low

Thu 29: 2 · Fri 30: 1 · Sat 31: 1

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling · now Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8030.0030.2030.40 29.73

Falling now (−0.05 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.06 inHg. Falling pressure: anglers say fish feed more before the change. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 19

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Overcast	31 / 43 °F	0	10 mph NW
Mon 26	Light drizzle	39 / 56 °F	0.07 in	10 mph NW
Sun 25	Light drizzle	31 / 61 °F	0.01 in	6 mph E
Sat 24	Clear sky	28 / 53 °F	0	6 mph NW
Fri 23	Clear sky	31 / 51 °F	0	9 mph NNW
Thu 22	Overcast	30 / 55 °F	0	11 mph NNW
Wed 21	Clear sky	28 / 52 °F	0	5 mph W

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Clear sky	35 / 56 °F	0	9 mph NNW
Mon 19	Partly cloudy	37 / 65 °F	0	4 mph SE
Sun 18	Overcast	31 / 47 °F	0	7 mph SE
Sat 17	Overcast	31 / 41 °F	0	14 mph NW
Fri 16	Light rain	31 / 40 °F	0.63 in	12 mph NW
Thu 15	Overcast	34 / 51 °F	0	13 mph NW
Wed 14	Light rain	36 / 44 °F	0.32 in	4 mph NNW
Tue 13	Heavy drizzle	35 / 40 °F	0.39 in	6 mph ENE
Mon 12	Rain	39 / 52 °F	0.53 in	10 mph NE
Sun 11	Light drizzle	35 / 64 °F	0.02 in	6 mph ESE
Sat 10	Overcast	37 / 54 °F	0	10 mph NW
Fri 9	Overcast	43 / 52 °F	0	11 mph WNW
Thu 8	Drizzle	45 / 58 °F	0.21 in	5 mph SW
Wed 7	Light drizzle	37 / 51 °F	0.08 in	7 mph SE
Tue 6	Light drizzle	43 / 51 °F	0.01 in	13 mph WNW
Mon 5	Drizzle	45 / 60 °F	0.20 in	9 mph SW
Sun 4	Light drizzle	32 / 58 °F	0.01 in	9 mph SSE
Sat 3	Partly cloudy	40 / 60 °F	0	9 mph NW
Fri 2	Light drizzle	53 / 65 °F	0.06 in	9 mph NNW
Thu 1	Overcast	52 / 74 °F	0	8 mph SSE
Wed 30	Overcast	45 / 64 °F	0	5 mph ENE
Tue 29	Overcast	46 / 60 °F	0	5 mph NW
Mon 28	Light drizzle	47 / 58 °F	0.13 in	6 mph NW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Baie-Saint-PaulQuestions

What's the weather like today in Baie-Saint-Paul?

Overcast, from 26 °F to 46 °F, with a light breeze from the south-southwest (4 mph) and a 10% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Baie-Saint-Paul?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 20% (0.00 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 26 °F and a high of 57 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 2 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.14 inHg and falling: −0.25 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Baie-Saint-Paul?

The best time to visit Baie-Saint-Paul is from June to August: highs of 70 °F to 75 °F, about 13 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Baie-Saint-Paul in October?

In October, Baie-Saint-Paul normally sees highs of 52 °F and lows of 37 °F, with about 10 rainy days (4.09 in for the month) and 4 hours of sunshine a day. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Baie-Saint-Paul?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 75 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 1 °F. The wettest is June (4.20 in) and the driest, February.

More about Baie-Saint-Paul today

Weather near Baie-Saint-Paul

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 4.1 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 11:27 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from