Weather in Arctic Bay

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 11:19 pm (CDT)

Now · light snow 13 °F

Feels like: 5 °F
Low / high: 10 / 15 °F
Rain: 40% · 0.05 in
Wind: 4 mph SSW

→ 29.66 inHg · steady

Today in Arctic Bay: light snow, 10 °F to 15 °F, with a 40% chance of rain (0.05 in) and a light breeze from the south-southwest (4 mph). Tomorrow, light snow, 13 °F to 19 °F and a 82% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 19 °F.

Measured now at the airport

Arctic Bay (CXAT), 3.2 mi away · 19 min ago

Visibility—

WeatherNothing to note

Temperature14 °F

Wind3 mph from the east

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

15° 10°
Today
19° 13°
Thu 29
18° 14°
Fri 30
15° 4°
Sat 31
7° 4°
Sun 1
9° 4°
Mon 2
17° 5°
Tue 3
19° 7°
Wed 4
23° 17°
Thu 5
17° 9°
Fri 6
19° 15°
Sat 7
15° -3°
Sun 8
-3° -6°
Mon 9
-2° -7°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	Model
Today · 28	Light snow	10 / 15 °F	40% · 0.05 in	12 mph WNW	0.1 ft	ECMWF
Thu 29	Light snow	13 / 19 °F	82% · 0.11 in	9 mph SSE	0.1 ft	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light snow	14 / 18 °F	16% · 0.04 in	10 mph ESE	0.1 ft	ECMWF
Sat 31	Overcast	4 / 15 °F	3%	9 mph E	0.1 ft	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	4 / 7 °F	2% · 0.01 in	6 mph ESE	0.1 ft	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light snow	4 / 9 °F	12% · 0.01 in	7 mph ESE	0.1 ft	ECMWF
Tue 3	Snow	5 / 17 °F	16% · 0.14 in	12 mph ESE	0.0 ft	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light snow	7 / 19 °F	13% · 0.02 in	6 mph E	0.0 ft	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light snow	17 / 23 °F	12% · 0.07 in	10 mph ESE	0.0 ft	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light snow	9 / 17 °F	10% · 0.04 in	5 mph SE	0.0 ft	ECMWF
Sat 7	Snow	15 / 19 °F	16% · 0.17 in	7 mph W	0.0 ft	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light snow	-3 / 15 °F	14% · 0.00 in	9 mph WSW	0.0 ft	ECMWF
Mon 9	Partly cloudy	-6 / -3 °F	10%	7 mph WSW	0.0 ft	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light snow	-7 / -2 °F	12%	7 mph WSW	0.0 ft	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Light snow	Overcast	Light snow	Partly cloudy	Partly cloudy	Overcast	Light drizzle	Light snow
Temperature	15°	15°	15°	12°	10°	10°	11°	12°
Chance of rain	35%	15%	9%	4%	0%	0%	0%	20%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	8 WNW	10 WNW	12 WNW	10 NW	8 WNW	7 W	7 W	3 WSW
Humidity	81%	78%	75%	77%	82%	83%	82%	82%
UV	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	15°	19°	18°	15°	7°	9°	17°
AIFS	15°	18°	17°	15°	13°	12°	17°
GFS	8°	11°	12°	6°	11°	15°	10°
ICON	15°	15°	15°	14°	10°	16°	16°
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0.05 in	0.11 in	0.04 in	0	0.01 in	0.01 in	0.14 in
AIFS	0.05 in	0.09 in	0.09 in	0.06 in	0	0	0.09 in
GFS	0.04 in	0	0	0	0	0	0
ICON	0.04 in	0.05 in	0	0	0	0	0.01 in
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	medium	high	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	1218	916	1018	915	612	79	1211
AIFS	11	12	11	7	6	9	11
GFS	811	912	68	612	413	813	69
ICON	1218	913	914	814	812	58	69
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	40%	82%	16%	3%	2%	12%	16%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	42%	20%	10%	0%	2%	23%	16%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: much warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Well above +8.8 °F	Normal	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Well above +7.4 °F	Normal	4° / 1°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Above +5.2 °F	Normal	0° / -2°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Above +5.0 °F	Normal	1° / -2°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Above +4.5 °F	Normal	-2° / -5°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	Well above +7.2 °F	Normal
December	Well above +6.1 °F	Normal
January	Above +5.2 °F	Normal
February	Above +5.2 °F	Normal
March	Above +3.6 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Arctic Bay climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Arctic Bay is from February to May: highs of -15 °F to 23 °F, about 2 rainy days a month and 12 hours of sunshine a day.

-16° -26°

JanJ
-15° -26°

FebF
-11° -22°

MarM
5° -7°

AprA
23° 13°

MayM
40° 32°

JunJ
48° 38°

JulJ
45° 37°

AugA
34° 28°

SepS
23° 15°

OctO
5° -4°

NovN
-5° -15°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water
JanuaryJan	-16°	-26°	0.15 in	1	0.0	29°
FebruaryFeb	-15°	-26°	0.13 in	1	5.3	29°
MarchMar	-11°	-22°	0.28 in	2	10.5	29°
AprilApr	5°	-7°	0.33 in	2	15.1	29°
MayMay	23°	13°	0.69 in	3	19.0	29°
JuneJun	40°	32°	0.89 in	7	13.1	30°
JulyJul	48°	38°	1.85 in	9	10.8	31°
AugustAug	45°	37°	1.56 in	10	7.7	34°
SeptemberSep	34°	28°	0.94 in	8	5.0	33°
OctoberOct	23°	15°	1.39 in	6	5.5	31°
NovemberNov	5°	-4°	0.55 in	2	0.0	30°
DecemberDec	-5°	-15°	0.24 in	2	0.0	29°

Month	Water
Jan	29°
Feb	29°
Mar	29°
Apr	29°
May	29°
Jun	30°
Jul	31°
Aug	34°
Sep	33°
Oct	31°
Nov	30°
Dec	29°

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 8.98 in of rain on about 51 days and about 2,800 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now13 °Ffeels like 5 °F

Tomorrow13 / 19 °F

It's 13 °F now (feels like 5 °F). Today, 10 °F to 15 °F; tomorrow, 13 °F to 19 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 40% 0.05 in
Thu 29 82% 0.11 in
Fri 30 16% 0.04 in
Sat 31 3%
Sun 1 2% 0.01 in
Mon 2 12% 0.01 in
Tue 3 16% 0.14 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 40%, with 0.05 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 29: 82% and 0.11 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.05 in; last 3 days, 0.12 in; last 7 days, 0.24 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity82%

Dew point8 °F

Humidity is 82% now and the dew point is 8 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now0.3 mifoggy

Clouds100%

Visibility is foggy now (0.3 mi). There may be fog today at 11:00 pm.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak0low

Thu 29: 0 · Fri 30: 0 · Sat 31: 0

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.2029.4029.60 29.16

Steady now (−0.03 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.43 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 25

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Light snow	11 / 15 °F	0.06 in	9 mph WNW
Mon 26	Light snow	5 / 12 °F	0.01 in	9 mph NNW
Sun 25	Overcast	11 / 18 °F	0	13 mph NW
Sat 24	Overcast	18 / 24 °F	0	13 mph NNW
Fri 23	Light snow	23 / 27 °F	0.02 in	17 mph ESE
Thu 22	Snow	8 / 27 °F	0.10 in	18 mph ESE
Wed 21	Overcast	8 / 12 °F	0	7 mph ESE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Overcast	13 / 14 °F	0	6 mph E
Mon 19	Light snow	14 / 18 °F	0.02 in	15 mph WNW
Sun 18	Light snow	18 / 20 °F	0.01 in	18 mph NW
Sat 17	Light snow	15 / 19 °F	0.02 in	17 mph NW
Fri 16	Light snow	16 / 20 °F	0.02 in	13 mph NNW
Thu 15	Overcast	12 / 18 °F	0	9 mph ENE
Wed 14	Overcast	15 / 18 °F	0	8 mph ESE
Tue 13	Overcast	18 / 24 °F	0	4 mph E
Mon 12	Light snow	20 / 25 °F	0.01 in	16 mph ESE
Sun 11	Light snow	16 / 22 °F	0.07 in	18 mph SSE
Sat 10	Light snow	16 / 18 °F	0.01 in	11 mph NW
Fri 9	Light snow	17 / 20 °F	0.08 in	11 mph NW
Thu 8	Light snow	20 / 25 °F	0.06 in	10 mph WNW
Wed 7	Overcast	16 / 23 °F	0	7 mph SSE
Tue 6	Overcast	17 / 24 °F	0	6 mph SE
Mon 5	Light snow	24 / 25 °F	0.01 in	8 mph WNW
Sun 4	Overcast	24 / 26 °F	0	8 mph NW
Sat 3	Overcast	23 / 28 °F	0	5 mph NW
Fri 2	Overcast	22 / 29 °F	0	4 mph ENE
Thu 1	Overcast	20 / 25 °F	0	6 mph ENE
Wed 30	Clear sky	24 / 33 °F	0	4 mph E
Tue 29	Overcast	26 / 37 °F	0	4 mph E
Mon 28	Overcast	19 / 34 °F	0	5 mph E

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Arctic BayQuestions

What's the weather like today in Arctic Bay?

Light snow, from 10 °F to 15 °F, with a light breeze from the south-southwest (4 mph) and a 40% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Arctic Bay?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 82% (0.11 in): light snow.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 4 °F and a high of 19 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 0 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.66 inHg and steady: −0.01 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Arctic Bay?

The best time to visit Arctic Bay is from February to May: highs of -15 °F to 23 °F, about 2 rainy days a month and 12 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Arctic Bay in October?

In October, Arctic Bay normally sees highs of 23 °F and lows of 15 °F, with about 6 rainy days (1.39 in for the month) and 5 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 31 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Arctic Bay?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 48 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of -26 °F. The wettest is July (1.85 in) and the driest, February.

More about Arctic Bay today

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 4.0 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 11:19 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from