Weather in Upper Burlington

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 1:47 am (ADT)

Now · clear 37 °F

Feels like: 31 °F
Low / high: 36 / 62 °F
Rain: 0%
Wind: 6 mph WSW

↘ 30.27 inHg · falling

Today in Upper Burlington: clear sky, 36 °F to 62 °F, with a 0% chance of rain and a light breeze from the west-southwest (6 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 48 °F to 57 °F and a 80% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 62 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

62° 36°
Today
57° 48°
Fri 30
47° 35°
Sat 31
47° 32°
Sun 1
60° 39°
Mon 2
53° 46°
Tue 3
60° 47°
Wed 4
61° 45°
Thu 5
62° 45°
Fri 6
56° 47°
Sat 7
46° 40°
Sun 8
49° 37°
Mon 9
47° 34°
Tue 10
51° 34°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Clear sky	36 / 62 °F	0%	12 mph SW	0.9 ft	3:10 am · 3:33 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light drizzle	48 / 57 °F	80% · 0.09 in	12 mph SW	0.7 ft	4:00 am · 4:23 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light drizzle	35 / 47 °F	50% · 0.06 in	14 mph NW	1.2 ft	4:52 am · 5:16 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Partly cloudy	32 / 47 °F	0%	11 mph W	1.4 ft	4:46 am · 5:11 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	39 / 60 °F	2% · 0.01 in	11 mph SW	1.3 ft	5:42 am · 6:10 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	46 / 53 °F	16% · 0.01 in	10 mph SSW	0.7 ft	6:42 am · 7:12 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	47 / 60 °F	33% · 0.01 in	14 mph S	1.1 ft	7:45 am · 8:16 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light drizzle	45 / 61 °F	23% · 0.01 in	8 mph W	1.0 ft	8:50 am · 9:22 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Overcast	45 / 62 °F	31%	7 mph SE	0.3 ft	9:51 am · 10:21 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light drizzle	47 / 56 °F	37% · 0.05 in	12 mph N	1.1 ft	10:44 am · 11:10 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light drizzle	40 / 46 °F	27% · 0.07 in	13 mph NW	1.5 ft	11:27 am · 11:50 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Mainly clear	37 / 49 °F	24%	11 mph WNW	1.3 ft	12:05 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Partly cloudy	34 / 47 °F	20%	6 mph NNW	0.7 ft	12:27 am · 12:42 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Overcast	34 / 51 °F	20%	10 mph S	0.5 ft	1:05 am · 1:21 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Clear	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear
Temperature	36°	38°	40°	43°	56°	62°	56°	51°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	6 SW	6 WSW	6 SW	7 SSW	7 SW	8 SW	7 SW	10 SW
Humidity	82%	89%	94%	90%	61%	55%	73%	88%
UV	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain tomorrow: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	62°	57°	47°	47°	60°	53°	60°
AIFS	62°	60°	48°	47°	60°	63°	63°
GFS	62°	61°	46°	50°	62°	47°	47°
ICON	63°	66°	54°	47°	62°	55°	47°
Confidence	high	medium	medium	high	high	low	low

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0	0.09 in	0.06 in	0	0.01 in	0.01 in	0.01 in
AIFS	0	0.16 in	0.06 in	0	0	0	0.05 in
GFS	0	0.03 in	0.10 in	0	0	0.04 in	0
ICON	0	0	0.04 in	0	0.01 in	0	0
Confidence	high	medium	medium	high	high	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1223	1223	1430	1127	1125	1019	1430
AIFS	10	11	13	11	10	9	12
GFS	1236	1236	1525	1120	1231	1123	56
ICON	1328	1228	1432	1126	1331	1331	512
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	medium

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	0%	80%	50%	0%	2%	16%	33%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	60%	63%	0%	16%	19%	16%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +2.2 °F	A bit below −23%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal	45° / 36°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +2.5 °F	Normal	44° / 36°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +2.0 °F	Normal	40° / 32°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal
December	Above +4.3 °F	Normal
January	Well above +6.3 °F	Normal
February	Above +5.2 °F	Normal
March	Above +4.1 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Upper Burlington climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Upper Burlington is from July to August: highs of 77 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from August to October, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 6 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Upper Burlington, about 2 every 10 years; 4 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Earl, in September 2010.

31° 14°

JanJ
32° 14°

FebF
38° 22°

MarM
49° 32°

AprA
61° 40°

MayM
70° 48°

JunJ
77° 56°

JulJ
77° 56°

AugA
70° 49°

SepS
58° 40°

OctO
47° 32°

NovN
37° 23°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	31°	14°	4.88 in	9	3.0	35°	–
FebruaryFeb	32°	14°	4.00 in	8	4.7	33°	–
MarchMar	38°	22°	4.26 in	9	5.7	34°	–
AprilApr	49°	32°	3.84 in	10	5.6	35°	–
MayMay	61°	40°	3.62 in	9	6.1	38°	–
JuneJun	70°	48°	3.56 in	10	6.7	47°	–
JulyJul	77°	56°	3.00 in	9	7.3	54°	–
AugustAug	77°	56°	2.92 in	9	7.4	57°	1
SeptemberSep	70°	49°	4.36 in	9	6.1	58°	4
OctoberOct	58°	40°	4.59 in	10	4.2	55°	1
NovemberNov	47°	32°	5.39 in	10	2.5	50°	–
DecemberDec	37°	23°	4.97 in	11	1.9	42°	–

Month	Water	Cyclones
Jan	35°	–
Feb	33°	–
Mar	34°	–
Apr	35°	–
May	38°	–
Jun	47°	–
Jul	54°	–
Aug	57°	1
Sep	58°	4
Oct	55°	1
Nov	50°	–
Dec	42°	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 49.39 in of rain on about 111 days and about 1,850 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now37 °Ffeels like 31 °F

Tomorrow48 / 57 °F

It's 37 °F now (feels like 31 °F). Today, 36 °F to 62 °F; tomorrow, 48 °F to 57 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 0%
Fri 30 80% 0.09 in
Sat 31 50% 0.06 in
Sun 1 0%
Mon 2 2% 0.01 in
Tue 3 16% 0.01 in
Wed 4 33% 0.01 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 0%. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 80% and 0.09 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.00 in; last 7 days, 0.35 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity87%

Dew point33 °F

Humidity is 87% now and the dew point is 33 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds10%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak3low

Fri 30: 1 · Sat 31: 2 · Sun 1: 2

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling · now Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8030.0030.2030.40 29.77

Falling now (−0.04 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.36 inHg. Falling pressure: anglers say fish feed more before the change. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 20

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Overcast	31 / 48 °F	0	9 mph WNW
Tue 27	Overcast	36 / 54 °F	0	12 mph NW
Mon 26	Overcast	41 / 65 °F	0	10 mph WSW
Sun 25	Clear sky	37 / 64 °F	0	6 mph W
Sat 24	Overcast	37 / 49 °F	0	12 mph NW
Fri 23	Light drizzle	40 / 47 °F	0.05 in	20 mph N
Thu 22	Light rain	42 / 49 °F	0.31 in	14 mph NNE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Overcast	38 / 58 °F	0	7 mph NE
Tue 20	Overcast	38 / 58 °F	0	8 mph N
Mon 19	Overcast	33 / 54 °F	0	9 mph SSE
Sun 18	Clear sky	31 / 48 °F	0	11 mph WNW
Sat 17	Light drizzle	40 / 60 °F	0.09 in	14 mph WNW
Fri 16	Drizzle	37 / 56 °F	0.15 in	18 mph S
Thu 15	Overcast	43 / 54 °F	0	21 mph NW
Wed 14	Light rain	44 / 60 °F	0.58 in	19 mph SE
Tue 13	Drizzle	42 / 50 °F	0.05 in	11 mph NE
Mon 12	Light drizzle	46 / 59 °F	0.06 in	15 mph WNW
Sun 11	Overcast	38 / 58 °F	0	9 mph WSW
Sat 10	Light drizzle	44 / 55 °F	0.00 in	18 mph WNW
Fri 9	Drizzle	48 / 62 °F	0.07 in	10 mph W
Thu 8	Drizzle	46 / 65 °F	0.09 in	19 mph S
Wed 7	Partly cloudy	45 / 60 °F	0	12 mph WNW
Tue 6	Light drizzle	46 / 57 °F	0.01 in	20 mph W
Mon 5	Light rain	51 / 65 °F	0.26 in	13 mph SE
Sun 4	Overcast	44 / 64 °F	0	7 mph ESE
Sat 3	Light rain	51 / 65 °F	0.11 in	8 mph NW
Fri 2	Light rain	58 / 80 °F	0.16 in	10 mph SW
Thu 1	Overcast	54 / 72 °F	0	8 mph SW
Wed 30	Light drizzle	58 / 62 °F	0.02 in	6 mph NNW
Tue 29	Light rain	58 / 72 °F	0.45 in	10 mph SE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Upper BurlingtonQuestions

What's the weather like today in Upper Burlington?

Clear sky, from 36 °F to 62 °F, with a light breeze from the west-southwest (6 mph) and a 0% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Upper Burlington?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 80% (0.09 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 32 °F and a high of 62 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 3 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.27 inHg and falling: −0.08 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Upper Burlington?

The best time to visit Upper Burlington is from July to August: highs of 77 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Upper Burlington in October?

In October, Upper Burlington normally sees highs of 58 °F and lows of 40 °F, with about 10 rainy days (4.59 in for the month) and 4 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 55 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Upper Burlington?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 77 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 14 °F. The wettest is November (5.39 in) and the driest, August.

When is hurricane season in Upper Burlington?

Hurricane season: from August to October, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 6 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Upper Burlington, about 2 every 10 years; 4 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Earl, in September 2010.

More about Upper Burlington today

Weather near Upper Burlington

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 3.7 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 1:47 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from