Weather in Neils Harbour

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 12:56 am (ADT)

Now · partly cloudy 45 °F

Feels like: 37 °F
Low / high: 44 / 55 °F
Rain: 0%
Wind: 11 mph W

↘ 30.14 inHg · falling

Today in Neils Harbour: overcast, 44 °F to 55 °F, with a 0% chance of rain and a gentle breeze from the west (11 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 46 °F to 54 °F and a 86% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 55 °F.

Measured now at the airport

Ingonish Beach (CXIB), 11 mi away · 56 min ago

Visibility—

WeatherNothing to note

Temperature42 °F

Wind6 mph from the west-southwest

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

55° 44°
Today
54° 46°
Fri 30
46° 38°
Sat 31
44° 38°
Sun 1
52° 44°
Mon 2
49° 40°
Tue 3
53° 42°
Wed 4
53° 45°
Thu 5
51° 45°
Fri 6
53° 48°
Sat 7
51° 43°
Sun 8
45° 42°
Mon 9
43° 37°
Tue 10
48° 37°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	Model
Today · 29	Overcast	44 / 55 °F	0%	20 mph WSW	2.2 ft	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light drizzle	46 / 54 °F	86% · 0.08 in	17 mph WSW	2.1 ft	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light drizzle	38 / 46 °F	59% · 0.11 in	21 mph NW	2.0 ft	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	38 / 44 °F	31% · 0.02 in	16 mph WNW	1.9 ft	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	44 / 52 °F	33% · 0.04 in	16 mph SW	2.8 ft	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	40 / 49 °F	34% · 0.02 in	14 mph NNW	1.6 ft	ECMWF
Wed 4	Drizzle	42 / 53 °F	43% · 0.22 in	22 mph S	3.3 ft	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light drizzle	45 / 53 °F	37% · 0.04 in	11 mph W	3.0 ft	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light drizzle	45 / 51 °F	29% · 0.01 in	14 mph S	2.0 ft	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light rain	48 / 53 °F	34% · 1.36 in	16 mph E	5.2 ft	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light drizzle	43 / 51 °F	31% · 0.14 in	16 mph NW	5.4 ft	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light drizzle	42 / 45 °F	25% · 0.02 in	18 mph NW	6.3 ft	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	37 / 43 °F	25%	17 mph NNW	4.4 ft	ECMWF
Wed 11	Overcast	37 / 48 °F	21%	12 mph SSW	2.2 ft	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Mainly clear	Overcast	Overcast	Mainly clear	Partly cloudy	Mainly clear	Clear	Partly cloudy
Temperature	44°	45°	46°	47°	51°	54°	53°	55°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	12 W	8 WSW	7 SW	8 SW	11 W	15 W	16 WSW	20 WSW
Humidity	66%	65%	63%	59%	58%	53%	62%	64%
UV	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on wind today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	55°	54°	46°	44°	52°	49°	53°
AIFS	52°	53°	45°	42°	51°	49°	55°
GFS	55°	54°	43°	45°	52°	42°	43°
ICON	56°	58°	48°	45°	55°	50°	42°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	medium	low

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0	0.08 in	0.11 in	0.02 in	0.04 in	0.02 in	0.21 in
AIFS	0	0.20 in	0.13 in	0.02 in	0	0.09 in	0.50 in
GFS	0	0.09 in	0.34 in	0	0.14 in	0.04 in	0
ICON	0	0.06 in	0.14 in	0	0.01 in	0.02 in	0
Confidence	high	high	medium	high	medium	medium	low

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	2029	1725	2132	1625	1626	1430	2235
AIFS	14	16	20	17	14	11	17
GFS	2235	2439	2530	2023	3047	2633	1723
ICON	1828	2031	2845	2134	2641	3050	2031
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	high	low	low	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	0%	86%	59%	31%	33%	34%	43%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	72%	61%	10%	32%	33%	3%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Normal +0.4 °F	A bit below −29%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	42° / 38°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.8 °F	Normal	42° / 37°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal	39° / 35°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +2.0 °F	Normal
December	Above +4.1 °F	Normal
January	Well above +5.6 °F	Normal
February	Well above +5.8 °F	Normal
March	Above +4.7 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Neils Harbour climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Neils Harbour is from July to August: highs of 72 °F, about 10 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: in January and from August to September, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 5 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Neils Harbour, about 2 every 10 years; 3 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: in January 2023.

30° 17°

JanJ
29° 14°

FebF
34° 20°

MarM
42° 29°

AprA
54° 38°

MayM
64° 46°

JunJ
72° 55°

JulJ
72° 56°

AugA
65° 50°

SepS
54° 41°

OctO
45° 33°

NovN
36° 25°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	30°	17°	6.24 in	11	2.2	34°	6.0 ft	1
FebruaryFeb	29°	14°	5.42 in	10	3.8	31°	6.0 ft	–
MarchMar	34°	20°	4.82 in	10	5.4	31°	5.4 ft	–
AprilApr	42°	29°	5.11 in	11	5.7	33°	4.2 ft	–
MayMay	54°	38°	3.91 in	10	6.3	39°	3.0 ft	–
JuneJun	64°	46°	3.95 in	11	6.4	49°	2.8 ft	–
JulyJul	72°	55°	3.61 in	10	6.9	60°	2.4 ft	–
AugustAug	72°	56°	4.11 in	10	6.7	65°	2.8 ft	1
SeptemberSep	65°	50°	5.46 in	10	5.7	61°	3.7 ft	3
OctoberOct	54°	41°	6.18 in	11	3.7	53°	4.5 ft	–
NovemberNov	45°	33°	6.13 in	12	2.2	45°	5.5 ft	–
DecemberDec	36°	25°	6.46 in	13	1.3	39°	6.0 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	34°	6.0 ft	1
Feb	31°	6.0 ft	–
Mar	31°	5.4 ft	–
Apr	33°	4.2 ft	–
May	39°	3.0 ft	–
Jun	49°	2.8 ft	–
Jul	60°	2.4 ft	–
Aug	65°	2.8 ft	1
Sep	61°	3.7 ft	3
Oct	53°	4.5 ft	–
Nov	45°	5.5 ft	–
Dec	39°	6.0 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 61.41 in of rain on about 129 days and about 1,700 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now45 °Ffeels like 37 °F

Tomorrow46 / 54 °F

It's 45 °F now (feels like 37 °F). Today, 44 °F to 55 °F; tomorrow, 46 °F to 54 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 0%
Fri 30 86% 0.08 in
Sat 31 59% 0.11 in
Sun 1 31% 0.02 in
Mon 2 33% 0.04 in
Tue 3 34% 0.02 in
Wed 4 43% 0.22 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 0%. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 86% and 0.08 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.01 in; last 3 days, 0.13 in; last 7 days, 1.10 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity66%

Dew point34 °F

Humidity is 66% now and the dew point is 34 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds54%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak2low

Fri 30: 1 · Sat 31: 1 · Sun 1: 1

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling · now Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8030.0030.20 29.73

Falling now (−0.04 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.35 inHg. Falling pressure: anglers say fish feed more before the change. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 24

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light drizzle	39 / 45 °F	0.02 in	21 mph WNW
Tue 27	Light snow	39 / 48 °F	0.03 in	25 mph NW
Mon 26	Drizzle	49 / 58 °F	0.08 in	20 mph W
Sun 25	Mainly clear	47 / 55 °F	0	12 mph SW
Sat 24	Light drizzle	42 / 47 °F	0.00 in	27 mph NNW
Fri 23	Light rain	43 / 48 °F	0.69 in	33 mph NNE
Thu 22	Light rain	48 / 49 °F	0.28 in	17 mph ESE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Overcast	46 / 49 °F	0	12 mph NE
Tue 20	Overcast	47 / 54 °F	0	15 mph NW
Mon 19	Overcast	38 / 52 °F	0	21 mph SSW
Sun 18	Light drizzle	39 / 45 °F	0.02 in	19 mph WNW
Sat 17	Drizzle	42 / 58 °F	0.21 in	26 mph WSW
Fri 16	Drizzle	45 / 49 °F	0.12 in	25 mph WNW
Thu 15	Light rain	46 / 54 °F	0.35 in	30 mph NW
Wed 14	Light rain	41 / 53 °F	0.53 in	25 mph SSE
Tue 13	Overcast	40 / 46 °F	0	25 mph N
Mon 12	Light drizzle	45 / 59 °F	0.08 in	27 mph NW
Sun 11	Overcast	48 / 52 °F	0	16 mph W
Sat 10	Drizzle	46 / 51 °F	0.19 in	21 mph WNW
Fri 9	Drizzle	51 / 59 °F	0.12 in	18 mph WSW
Thu 8	Light drizzle	50 / 60 °F	0.02 in	22 mph S
Wed 7	Light drizzle	50 / 56 °F	0.02 in	16 mph WSW
Tue 6	Drizzle	49 / 57 °F	0.18 in	24 mph WSW
Mon 5	Light rain	53 / 57 °F	0.45 in	21 mph SSE
Sun 4	Overcast	47 / 56 °F	0	14 mph S
Sat 3	Light rain	51 / 60 °F	0.25 in	18 mph NW
Fri 2	Light rain	58 / 65 °F	0.14 in	16 mph S
Thu 1	Overcast	57 / 64 °F	0	11 mph S
Wed 30	Light drizzle	57 / 58 °F	0.09 in	5 mph SE
Tue 29	Light rain	55 / 58 °F	0.35 in	15 mph SE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Neils HarbourQuestions

What's the weather like today in Neils Harbour?

Overcast, from 44 °F to 55 °F, with a gentle breeze from the west (11 mph) and a 0% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Neils Harbour?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 86% (0.08 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 38 °F and a high of 55 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 2 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.14 inHg and falling: +0.01 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Neils Harbour?

The best time to visit Neils Harbour is from July to August: highs of 72 °F, about 10 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Neils Harbour in October?

In October, Neils Harbour normally sees highs of 54 °F and lows of 41 °F, with about 11 rainy days (6.18 in for the month) and 4 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 53 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Neils Harbour?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 72 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 14 °F. The wettest is December (6.46 in) and the driest, July.

When is hurricane season in Neils Harbour?

Hurricane season: in January and from August to September, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 5 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Neils Harbour, about 2 every 10 years; 3 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: in January 2023.

More about Neils Harbour today

Weather near Neils Harbour

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 5.3 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 12:56 am (local time).

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