Weather in Pilley's Island

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 8:33 pm (GMT-2:30)

Now · partly cloudy 36 °F

Feels like: 26 °F
Low / high: 32 / 40 °F
Rain: 0%
Wind: 12 mph W

→ 29.98 inHg · steady

Today in Pilley's Island: overcast, 32 °F to 40 °F, with a 0% chance of rain and a gentle breeze from the west (12 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 36 °F to 46 °F and a 4% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 55 °F. Next likely rain: Friday 30 (65%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

40° 32°
Today
46° 36°
Thu 29
55° 42°
Fri 30
43° 34°
Sat 31
38° 31°
Sun 1
44° 33°
Mon 2
37° 27°
Tue 3
38° 26°
Wed 4
48° 38°
Thu 5
49° 36°
Fri 6
45° 38°
Sat 7
44° 39°
Sun 8
41° 33°
Mon 9
37° 28°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Overcast	32 / 40 °F	0%	17 mph WNW	2.0 ft	9:21 am · 9:52 pm	ECMWF
Thu 29	Overcast	36 / 46 °F	4%	15 mph WSW	1.3 ft	10:06 am · 10:42 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Drizzle	42 / 55 °F	65% · 0.11 in	18 mph SW	1.3 ft	10:57 am · 11:40 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light snow	34 / 43 °F	86% · 0.07 in	12 mph NNE	2.6 ft	11:57 am	ECMWF
Sun 1	Overcast	31 / 38 °F	28%	14 mph WNW	2.6 ft	12:50 am · 12:08 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	33 / 44 °F	12% · 0.02 in	18 mph WSW	1.6 ft	1:11 am · 1:28 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Mainly clear	27 / 37 °F	14%	10 mph W	1.5 ft	2:33 am · 2:45 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Drizzle	26 / 38 °F	29% · 0.22 in	16 mph SSW	1.3 ft	3:41 am · 3:51 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Drizzle	38 / 48 °F	25% · 0.16 in	21 mph SW	1.2 ft	4:33 am · 4:45 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Overcast	36 / 49 °F	15%	10 mph SSW	0.9 ft	5:15 am · 5:31 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light rain	38 / 45 °F	29% · 0.54 in	10 mph N	1.6 ft	5:53 am · 6:12 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light rain	39 / 44 °F	34% · 0.77 in	9 mph NNE	1.5 ft	6:29 am · 6:50 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light snow	33 / 41 °F	24% · 0.39 in	15 mph NW	4.3 ft	7:04 am · 7:27 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	28 / 37 °F	20%	12 mph NW	4.3 ft	7:37 am · 8:03 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Mainly clear	Partly cloudy	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Partly cloudy	Clear sky	Mainly clear	Partly cloudy
Temperature	34°	33°	33°	33°	37°	40°	37°	37°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	9 WNW	10 W	11 WNW	13 WNW	17 WNW	16 WNW	11 W	13 W
Humidity	65%	66%	61%	55%	45%	41%	52%	61%
UV	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain on Friday 30: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	40°	46°	55°	43°	38°	44°	37°
AIFS	40°	46°	55°	44°	41°	47°	47°
GFS	40°	47°	54°	45°	43°	48°	43°
ICON	41°	47°	57°	44°	40°	48°	47°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0	0	0.11 in	0.07 in	0	0.02 in	0
AIFS	0	0.01 in	0.07 in	0.11 in	0	0.02 in	0.00 in
GFS	0	0	0.02 in	0.24 in	0	0	0.02 in
ICON	0	0	0	0.74 in	0.01 in	0.01 in	0.03 in
Confidence	high	high	medium	medium	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	1739	1532	1840	1226	1426	1838	1034
AIFS	15	13	14	12	14	13	7
GFS	1730	1530	1534	1121	1224	1531	1736
ICON	1532	1327	1430	1226	1431	1431	2149
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	low

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	0%	4%	65%	86%	28%	12%	14%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	4%	55%	66%	22%	23%	23%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

The next few weeks look normal for the time of year.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit below −1.6 °F	A bit below −37%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal +0.4 °F	Normal	40° / 35°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal 0.0 °F	Normal	38° / 33°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	38° / 33°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	35° / 30°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +1.8 °F	Normal
December	Above +4.3 °F	Normal
January	Well above +5.9 °F	Normal
February	Above +5.0 °F	Normal
March	Above +3.2 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Pilley's Island climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Pilley's Island is from July to August: highs of 71 °F, about 11 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

28° 11°

JanJ
29° 10°

FebF
34° 16°

MarM
42° 27°

AprA
51° 35°

MayM
61° 43°

JunJ
70° 51°

JulJ
71° 52°

AugA
63° 46°

SepS
52° 38°

OctO
42° 30°

NovN
33° 20°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	28°	11°	3.42 in	10	2.4	32°	3.0 ft
FebruaryFeb	29°	10°	3.56 in	9	3.7	31°	2.8 ft
MarchMar	34°	16°	2.75 in	10	5.2	31°	3.0 ft
AprilApr	42°	27°	2.63 in	10	6.2	32°	1.9 ft
MayMay	51°	35°	3.22 in	10	5.7	35°	1.8 ft
JuneJun	61°	43°	3.85 in	11	6.2	41°	1.7 ft
JulyJul	70°	51°	3.60 in	12	6.7	51°	1.4 ft
AugustAug	71°	52°	4.48 in	11	5.7	57°	1.6 ft
SeptemberSep	63°	46°	4.29 in	10	4.9	53°	2.1 ft
OctoberOct	52°	38°	3.94 in	11	3.0	46°	2.7 ft
NovemberNov	42°	30°	3.26 in	10	2.0	39°	3.1 ft
DecemberDec	33°	20°	3.41 in	11	1.5	35°	3.1 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	32°	3.0 ft
Feb	31°	2.8 ft
Mar	31°	3.0 ft
Apr	32°	1.9 ft
May	35°	1.8 ft
Jun	41°	1.7 ft
Jul	51°	1.4 ft
Aug	57°	1.6 ft
Sep	53°	2.1 ft
Oct	46°	2.7 ft
Nov	39°	3.1 ft
Dec	35°	3.1 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 42.43 in of rain on about 124 days and about 1,600 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now36 °Ffeels like 26 °F

Tomorrow36 / 46 °F

It's 36 °F now (feels like 26 °F). Today, 32 °F to 40 °F; tomorrow, 36 °F to 46 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 0%
Thu 29 4%
Fri 30 65% 0.11 in
Sat 31 86% 0.07 in
Sun 1 28%
Mon 2 12% 0.02 in
Tue 3 14%

Today the chance of rain reaches 0%. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 65% and 0.11 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.02 in; last 7 days, 0.09 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity61%

Dew point24 °F

Humidity is 61% now and the dew point is 24 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds66%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak1low

Thu 29: 1 · Fri 30: 1 · Sat 31: 0

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.6029.8030.00 29.53

Steady now (0.00 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.29 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 30

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Overcast	35 / 46 °F	0	18 mph WNW
Mon 26	Light drizzle	47 / 52 °F	0.02 in	18 mph WSW
Sun 25	Overcast	38 / 56 °F	0	17 mph WSW
Sat 24	Overcast	35 / 44 °F	0	18 mph NNE
Fri 23	Light drizzle	36 / 44 °F	0.07 in	24 mph NNE
Thu 22	Light drizzle	38 / 51 °F	0.00 in	12 mph SW
Wed 21	Overcast	39 / 48 °F	0	10 mph SW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Overcast	40 / 56 °F	0	15 mph WSW
Mon 19	Partly cloudy	28 / 48 °F	0	18 mph SW
Sun 18	Light snow	33 / 42 °F	0.02 in	18 mph W
Sat 17	Light rain	38 / 58 °F	0.33 in	25 mph SW
Fri 16	Light drizzle	38 / 46 °F	0.01 in	17 mph WNW
Thu 15	Light rain	39 / 48 °F	0.98 in	18 mph NNW
Wed 14	Light drizzle	32 / 52 °F	0.01 in	9 mph SW
Tue 13	Light snow	31 / 42 °F	0.01 in	12 mph WNW
Mon 12	Snow	35 / 42 °F	0.96 in	15 mph N
Sun 11	Drizzle	38 / 47 °F	0.03 in	15 mph W
Sat 10	Light rain	42 / 53 °F	0.21 in	14 mph WNW
Fri 9	Drizzle	48 / 61 °F	0.08 in	18 mph SW
Thu 8	Light drizzle	41 / 59 °F	0.02 in	16 mph SSW
Wed 7	Light drizzle	45 / 53 °F	0.01 in	22 mph WSW
Tue 6	Light drizzle	47 / 58 °F	0.16 in	19 mph SSW
Mon 5	Drizzle	43 / 56 °F	0.09 in	14 mph SSE
Sun 4	Overcast	44 / 59 °F	0	12 mph WSW
Sat 3	Drizzle	47 / 62 °F	0.13 in	13 mph W
Fri 2	Drizzle	56 / 64 °F	0.04 in	17 mph SW
Thu 1	Overcast	47 / 68 °F	0	13 mph SW
Wed 30	Light drizzle	48 / 59 °F	0.03 in	6 mph SW
Tue 29	Drizzle	47 / 57 °F	0.11 in	10 mph SW
Mon 28	Overcast	38 / 61 °F	0	9 mph SW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Pilley's IslandQuestions

What's the weather like today in Pilley's Island?

Overcast, from 32 °F to 40 °F, with a gentle breeze from the west (12 mph) and a 0% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Pilley's Island?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 4% (0.00 in): overcast.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 27 °F and a high of 55 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 1 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.98 inHg and steady: +0.21 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Pilley's Island?

The best time to visit Pilley's Island is from July to August: highs of 71 °F, about 11 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Pilley's Island in October?

In October, Pilley's Island normally sees highs of 52 °F and lows of 38 °F, with about 11 rainy days (3.94 in for the month) and 3 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 46 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Pilley's Island?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 71 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 10 °F. The wettest is August (4.48 in) and the driest, April.

More about Pilley's Island today

Weather near Pilley's Island

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 1.4 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 8:33 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from