Weather in Hawke's Bay

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 4:42 am (GMT-2:30)

Now · partly cloudy 38 °F

Feels like: 28 °F
Low / high: 37 / 43 °F
Rain: 54% · 0.03 in
Wind: 12 mph W

↘ 29.86 inHg · falling

Today in Hawke's Bay: light drizzle, 37 °F to 43 °F, with a 54% chance of rain (0.03 in) and a gentle breeze from the west (12 mph). Tomorrow, drizzle, 41 °F to 48 °F and a 98% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 48 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

43° 37°
Today
48° 41°
Fri 30
40° 35°
Sat 31
40° 30°
Sun 1
44° 37°
Mon 2
35° 29°
Tue 3
40° 29°
Wed 4
43° 39°
Thu 5
50° 35°
Fri 6
45° 37°
Sat 7
43° 37°
Sun 8
39° 34°
Mon 9
35° 29°
Tue 10
40° 31°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	Model
Today · 29	Light drizzle	37 / 43 °F	54% · 0.03 in	15 mph WSW	5.2 ft	ECMWF
Fri 30	Drizzle	41 / 48 °F	98% · 0.16 in	18 mph SW	5.8 ft	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light snow	35 / 40 °F	78% · 0.06 in	8 mph NNE	3.5 ft	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light snow	30 / 40 °F	14% · 0.03 in	14 mph W	3.2 ft	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	37 / 44 °F	69% · 0.10 in	18 mph WSW	6.2 ft	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light snow	29 / 35 °F	35% · 0.01 in	13 mph WNW	5.9 ft	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light snow	29 / 40 °F	38% · 0.43 in	16 mph SSE	2.1 ft	ECMWF
Thu 5	Drizzle	39 / 43 °F	37% · 0.31 in	13 mph SW	5.0 ft	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light drizzle	35 / 50 °F	46% · 0.02 in	6 mph S	2.4 ft	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light rain	37 / 45 °F	46% · 0.33 in	12 mph E	3.1 ft	ECMWF
Sun 8	Rain	37 / 43 °F	36% · 1.01 in	12 mph ENE	4.3 ft	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light snow	34 / 39 °F	27% · 0.25 in	9 mph NW	4.9 ft	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	29 / 35 °F	29%	9 mph NW	3.7 ft	ECMWF
Wed 11	Light drizzle	31 / 40 °F	30% · 0.01 in	13 mph WSW	4.9 ft	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Partly cloudy	Partly cloudy	Partly cloudy	Partly cloudy	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast	Light drizzle
Temperature	40°	38°	37°	38°	40°	42°	42°	43°
Chance of rain	2%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	19%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	14 W	12 W	11 W	11 W	13 WSW	15 WSW	14 WSW	12 SW
Humidity	54%	57%	60%	62%	61%	62%	77%	87%
UV	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	43°	48°	40°	40°	44°	35°	39°
AIFS	41°	47°	39°	37°	44°	39°	40°
GFS	42°	48°	38°	40°	43°	37°	39°
ICON	42°	49°	42°	38°	43°	38°	41°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.03 in	0.16 in	0.06 in	0.03 in	0.10 in	0.01 in	0.39 in
AIFS	0.09 in	0.31 in	0.14 in	0.08 in	0.11 in	0	0
GFS	0.03 in	0.15 in	0.11 in	0	0.24 in	0	0
ICON	0.00 in	0.37 in	0.19 in	0	0.13 in	0.00 in	0
Confidence	medium	medium	high	medium	high	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1532	1837	818	1438	1837	1339	1633
AIFS	17	16	10	15	19	13	6
GFS	1427	1736	1022	1325	1937	1833	1019
ICON	1330	1536	817	1329	1432	1841	1534
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	medium

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	54%	98%	78%	14%	69%	35%	38%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	58%	98%	68%	9%	61%	11%	19%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

The next few weeks look normal for the time of year.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit below −1.4 °F	Normal	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal	33° / 29°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.4 °F	Normal	33° / 28°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.4 °F	Normal	31° / 26°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +2.2 °F	Normal
December	Above +4.7 °F	Normal
January	Well above +6.7 °F	Normal
February	Well above +6.5 °F	Normal
March	Above +3.8 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Hawke's Bay climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Hawke's Bay is from July to August: highs of 68 °F, about 13 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

24° 10°

JanJ
24° 8°

FebF
30° 15°

MarM
39° 26°

AprA
50° 35°

MayM
60° 44°

JunJ
67° 51°

JulJ
68° 53°

AugA
60° 45°

SepS
50° 37°

OctO
40° 29°

NovN
31° 21°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	24°	10°	4.43 in	13	2.1	32°	4.6 ft
FebruaryFeb	24°	8°	3.96 in	12	3.7	31°	5.3 ft
MarchMar	30°	15°	2.68 in	12	5.5	31°	3.4 ft
AprilApr	39°	26°	2.15 in	11	6.2	32°	2.9 ft
MayMay	50°	35°	2.99 in	12	6.4	36°	2.0 ft
JuneJun	60°	44°	3.26 in	12	6.7	43°	1.9 ft
JulyJul	67°	51°	4.54 in	14	6.5	53°	2.1 ft
AugustAug	68°	53°	3.85 in	13	5.8	58°	2.2 ft
SeptemberSep	60°	45°	4.96 in	12	4.6	55°	3.4 ft
OctoberOct	50°	37°	4.03 in	13	3.0	47°	3.3 ft
NovemberNov	40°	29°	3.25 in	13	1.9	40°	4.3 ft
DecemberDec	31°	21°	3.72 in	14	1.3	35°	4.3 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	32°	4.6 ft
Feb	31°	5.3 ft
Mar	31°	3.4 ft
Apr	32°	2.9 ft
May	36°	2.0 ft
Jun	43°	1.9 ft
Jul	53°	2.1 ft
Aug	58°	2.2 ft
Sep	55°	3.4 ft
Oct	47°	3.3 ft
Nov	40°	4.3 ft
Dec	35°	4.3 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 43.83 in of rain on about 149 days and about 1,650 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now38 °Ffeels like 28 °F

Tomorrow41 / 48 °F

It's 38 °F now (feels like 28 °F). Today, 37 °F to 43 °F; tomorrow, 41 °F to 48 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 54% 0.03 in
Fri 30 98% 0.16 in
Sat 31 78% 0.06 in
Sun 1 14% 0.03 in
Mon 2 69% 0.10 in
Tue 3 35% 0.01 in
Wed 4 38% 0.43 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 54%, with 0.03 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 98% and 0.16 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.13 in; last 7 days, 0.15 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity60%

Dew point25 °F

Humidity is 60% now and the dew point is 25 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds61%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak1low

Fri 30: 1 · Sat 31: 1 · Sun 1: 1

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling · now Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.6029.8030.00 29.50

Falling now (−0.04 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.08 inHg. Falling pressure: anglers say fish feed more before the change. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 27

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Overcast	32 / 40 °F	0	19 mph WNW
Tue 27	Overcast	35 / 44 °F	0	18 mph WNW
Mon 26	Drizzle	45 / 49 °F	0.14 in	19 mph SW
Sun 25	Overcast	39 / 49 °F	0	19 mph SW
Sat 24	Overcast	29 / 42 °F	0	12 mph SW
Fri 23	Overcast	32 / 41 °F	0	12 mph NNE
Thu 22	Light drizzle	40 / 47 °F	0.01 in	15 mph SW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Light drizzle	38 / 46 °F	0.01 in	9 mph SW
Tue 20	Overcast	43 / 50 °F	0	20 mph WSW
Mon 19	Overcast	31 / 46 °F	0	23 mph SW
Sun 18	Light snow	34 / 38 °F	0.06 in	18 mph WNW
Sat 17	Snow	36 / 47 °F	0.52 in	24 mph SW
Fri 16	Overcast	38 / 42 °F	0	18 mph WNW
Thu 15	Heavy drizzle	39 / 43 °F	0.59 in	17 mph NNW
Wed 14	Light drizzle	37 / 48 °F	0.01 in	11 mph WSW
Tue 13	Overcast	34 / 40 °F	0	14 mph WNW
Mon 12	Light snow	36 / 40 °F	0.54 in	11 mph N
Sun 11	Light snow	39 / 44 °F	0.19 in	14 mph WNW
Sat 10	Light drizzle	44 / 47 °F	0.11 in	10 mph W
Fri 9	Rain	47 / 53 °F	0.57 in	13 mph SW
Thu 8	Light drizzle	46 / 57 °F	0.08 in	11 mph S
Wed 7	Drizzle	44 / 51 °F	0.15 in	21 mph W
Tue 6	Rain	44 / 53 °F	0.91 in	23 mph S
Mon 5	Heavy drizzle	44 / 58 °F	0.05 in	17 mph SSE
Sun 4	Light drizzle	45 / 53 °F	0.01 in	15 mph WSW
Sat 3	Light drizzle	48 / 54 °F	0.03 in	11 mph WSW
Fri 2	Light rain	54 / 59 °F	0.36 in	19 mph SW
Thu 1	Overcast	48 / 59 °F	0	19 mph SW
Wed 30	Light drizzle	48 / 56 °F	0.01 in	6 mph SW
Tue 29	Light drizzle	47 / 56 °F	0.00 in	11 mph SW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Hawke's BayQuestions

What's the weather like today in Hawke's Bay?

Light drizzle, from 37 °F to 43 °F, with a gentle breeze from the west (12 mph) and a 54% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Hawke's Bay?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 98% (0.16 in): drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 29 °F and a high of 48 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 1 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.86 inHg and falling: −0.06 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Hawke's Bay?

The best time to visit Hawke's Bay is from July to August: highs of 68 °F, about 13 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Hawke's Bay in October?

In October, Hawke's Bay normally sees highs of 50 °F and lows of 37 °F, with about 13 rainy days (4.03 in for the month) and 3 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 47 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Hawke's Bay?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 68 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 8 °F. The wettest is September (4.96 in) and the driest, April.

More about Hawke's Bay today

Weather near Hawke's Bay

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 7.9 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 4:42 am (local time).

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