Weather in Flatrock

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 9:21 pm (GMT-2:30)

Now · clear 37 °F

Feels like: 28 °F
Low / high: 34 / 38 °F
Rain: 0%
Wind: 11 mph WNW

→ 30.04 inHg · steady

Today in Flatrock: overcast, 34 °F to 38 °F, with a 0% chance of rain and a gentle breeze from the west-northwest (11 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 35 °F to 47 °F and a 0% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 52 °F. Next likely rain: Friday 30 (56%).

Measured now at the airport

St Johns (CYYT), 5.3 mi away · 51 min ago

Visibility15 mi

WeatherNothing to note

Temperature36 °F

Wind16 mph from the northwest

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

38° 34°
Today
47° 35°
Thu 29
52° 44°
Fri 30
50° 38°
Sat 31
39° 35°
Sun 1
48° 36°
Mon 2
43° 32°
Tue 3
40° 30°
Wed 4
52° 40°
Thu 5
46° 38°
Fri 6
46° 41°
Sat 7
57° 44°
Sun 8
53° 40°
Mon 9
40° 30°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Overcast	34 / 38 °F	0%	19 mph WNW	6.4 ft	9:37 am · 9:54 pm	ECMWF
Thu 29	Overcast	35 / 47 °F	0%	17 mph W	6.3 ft	10:18 am · 10:42 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Drizzle	44 / 52 °F	56% · 0.06 in	19 mph SW	4.6 ft	11:01 am · 11:35 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Drizzle	38 / 50 °F	68% · 0.26 in	19 mph NNW	7.5 ft	11:46 am	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	35 / 39 °F	17% · 0.02 in	22 mph NW	9.2 ft	12:36 am · 11:39 am	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	36 / 48 °F	9% · 0.01 in	23 mph WSW	6.5 ft	12:46 am · 12:53 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Overcast	32 / 43 °F	16%	14 mph WNW	3.9 ft	2:06 am · 2:44 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	30 / 40 °F	18% · 0.04 in	15 mph S	4.4 ft	3:23 am · 4:15 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Drizzle	40 / 52 °F	26% · 0.27 in	19 mph SW	5.4 ft	4:23 am · 5:08 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Overcast	38 / 46 °F	23%	7 mph S	3.9 ft	5:11 am · 5:48 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light drizzle	41 / 46 °F	27% · 0.09 in	10 mph S	2.8 ft	5:53 am · 6:25 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light rain	44 / 57 °F	33% · 0.91 in	16 mph S	4.9 ft	6:32 am · 7:00 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light drizzle	40 / 53 °F	25% · 0.02 in	24 mph WNW	6.2 ft	7:10 am · 7:35 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	30 / 40 °F	28%	15 mph NW	7.3 ft	7:47 am · 8:10 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Mainly clear	Partly cloudy	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Mainly clear	Clear
Temperature	35°	34°	34°	34°	36°	38°	38°	37°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	14 WNW	13 WNW	14 WNW	17 WNW	18 WNW	19 WNW	13 WNW	10 WNW
Humidity	64%	74%	76%	64%	53%	50%	53%	63%
UV	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

High confidence

The models agree for the next few days: the forecast is fairly solid.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	38°	47°	52°	50°	39°	48°	43°
AIFS	39°	48°	53°	51°	40°	49°	47°
GFS	40°	47°	53°	51°	42°	49°	47°
ICON	39°	49°	54°	54°	40°	47°	49°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0	0	0.06 in	0.26 in	0.02 in	0.01 in	0
AIFS	0	0	0.11 in	0.55 in	0.02 in	0	0.02 in
GFS	0	0	0.06 in	0.43 in	0.01 in	0.02 in	0.13 in
ICON	0	0	0.05 in	0.37 in	0.02 in	0.02 in	0
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	1938	1736	1937	1938	2243	2351	1440
AIFS	21	15	19	22	22	18	13
GFS	1726	1832	1842	1627	1326	1940	1832
ICON	1838	1735	2144	2244	2247	2143	2451
Confidence	high	high	high	high	medium	high	medium

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	0%	0%	56%	68%	17%	9%	16%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	0%	86%	98%	37%	16%	37%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

The next few weeks look normal for the time of year.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit below −2.5 °F	A bit below −42%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal −0.2 °F	Normal	44° / 37°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal −0.7 °F	Normal	41° / 35°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Normal +0.2 °F	Normal	41° / 35°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal +0.2 °F	Normal	38° / 33°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +1.4 °F	Normal
December	Above +3.4 °F	Normal
January	Above +4.9 °F	Normal
February	Above +4.5 °F	Normal
March	Above +3.1 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Flatrock climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Flatrock is from July to August: highs of 70 °F, about 11 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from September to October, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 7 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Flatrock, about 2 every 10 years; 3 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Larry, in September 2021.

32° 19°

JanJ
31° 19°

FebF
35° 23°

MarM
43° 30°

AprA
51° 36°

MayM
60° 43°

JunJ
69° 52°

JulJ
70° 54°

AugA
63° 48°

SepS
53° 41°

OctO
45° 34°

NovN
37° 26°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	32°	19°	5.69 in	13	2.3	33°	7.4 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	31°	19°	4.79 in	12	3.5	32°	7.1 ft	–
MarchMar	35°	23°	4.49 in	12	4.8	32°	6.5 ft	–
AprilApr	43°	30°	4.53 in	12	5.4	33°	6.0 ft	–
MayMay	51°	36°	4.07 in	12	5.6	36°	5.1 ft	–
JuneJun	60°	43°	3.89 in	11	6.1	42°	4.5 ft	–
JulyJul	69°	52°	4.02 in	11	6.4	51°	3.7 ft	–
AugustAug	70°	54°	3.99 in	11	5.9	57°	4.0 ft	1
SeptemberSep	63°	48°	4.60 in	11	5.4	54°	5.0 ft	4
OctoberOct	53°	41°	5.96 in	13	3.0	48°	6.2 ft	2
NovemberNov	45°	34°	5.66 in	14	1.8	42°	6.9 ft	–
DecemberDec	37°	26°	6.40 in	15	1.5	37°	7.4 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	33°	7.4 ft	–
Feb	32°	7.1 ft	–
Mar	32°	6.5 ft	–
Apr	33°	6.0 ft	–
May	36°	5.1 ft	–
Jun	42°	4.5 ft	–
Jul	51°	3.7 ft	–
Aug	57°	4.0 ft	1
Sep	54°	5.0 ft	4
Oct	48°	6.2 ft	2
Nov	42°	6.9 ft	–
Dec	37°	7.4 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 58.10 in of rain on about 146 days and about 1,550 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now37 °Ffeels like 28 °F

Tomorrow35 / 47 °F

It's 37 °F now (feels like 28 °F). Today, 34 °F to 38 °F; tomorrow, 35 °F to 47 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 0%
Thu 29 0%
Fri 30 56% 0.06 in
Sat 31 68% 0.26 in
Sun 1 17% 0.02 in
Mon 2 9% 0.01 in
Tue 3 16%

Today the chance of rain reaches 0%. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 56% and 0.06 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.17 in; last 7 days, 1.70 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity64%

Dew point26 °F

Humidity is 64% now and the dew point is 26 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds2%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak1low

Thu 29: 2 · Fri 30: 2 · Sat 31: 1

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8030.00 29.75

Steady now (+0.02 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.24 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 30

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Drizzle	35 / 48 °F	0.16 in	16 mph WNW
Mon 26	Light drizzle	46 / 59 °F	0.00 in	19 mph WSW
Sun 25	Partly cloudy	35 / 51 °F	0	13 mph WNW
Sat 24	Drizzle	39 / 42 °F	0.24 in	25 mph NE
Fri 23	Light rain	39 / 42 °F	1.11 in	28 mph NE
Thu 22	Light rain	37 / 46 °F	0.19 in	11 mph ESE
Wed 21	Overcast	38 / 45 °F	0	12 mph NNE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Overcast	39 / 54 °F	0	14 mph WSW
Mon 19	Overcast	33 / 45 °F	0	15 mph WSW
Sun 18	Drizzle	39 / 46 °F	0.14 in	16 mph W
Sat 17	Drizzle	41 / 59 °F	0.12 in	24 mph SW
Fri 16	Light rain	40 / 46 °F	0.24 in	26 mph WNW
Thu 15	Rain	42 / 58 °F	1.18 in	25 mph S
Wed 14	Overcast	33 / 50 °F	0	13 mph SW
Tue 13	Heavy drizzle	34 / 40 °F	0.08 in	19 mph NNW
Mon 12	Heavy drizzle	39 / 58 °F	0.25 in	21 mph W
Sun 11	Light drizzle	40 / 49 °F	0.01 in	17 mph WNW
Sat 10	Light drizzle	44 / 54 °F	0.08 in	15 mph WNW
Fri 9	Heavy drizzle	51 / 62 °F	0.21 in	15 mph SSW
Thu 8	Overcast	43 / 57 °F	0	13 mph SSW
Wed 7	Overcast	47 / 57 °F	0	24 mph WSW
Tue 6	Rain	51 / 62 °F	0.64 in	21 mph SSW
Mon 5	Rain	46 / 53 °F	0.22 in	21 mph SE
Sun 4	Mainly clear	45 / 58 °F	0	9 mph WNW
Sat 3	Drizzle	53 / 64 °F	0.08 in	17 mph WSW
Fri 2	Light drizzle	56 / 64 °F	0.01 in	19 mph SW
Thu 1	Overcast	46 / 59 °F	0	10 mph SSW
Wed 30	Light drizzle	47 / 57 °F	0.01 in	10 mph NNE
Tue 29	Light drizzle	42 / 55 °F	0.00 in	11 mph SSW
Mon 28	Overcast	43 / 52 °F	0	12 mph NNE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in FlatrockQuestions

What's the weather like today in Flatrock?

Overcast, from 34 °F to 38 °F, with a gentle breeze from the west-northwest (11 mph) and a 0% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Flatrock?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 0% (0.00 in): overcast.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 32 °F and a high of 52 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 1 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.04 inHg and steady: +0.25 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Flatrock?

The best time to visit Flatrock is from July to August: highs of 70 °F, about 11 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Flatrock in October?

In October, Flatrock normally sees highs of 53 °F and lows of 41 °F, with about 13 rainy days (5.96 in for the month) and 3 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 48 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Flatrock?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 70 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 19 °F. The wettest is December (6.40 in) and the driest, June.

When is hurricane season in Flatrock?

Hurricane season: from September to October, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 7 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Flatrock, about 2 every 10 years; 3 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Larry, in September 2021.

More about Flatrock today

Weather near Flatrock

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 14 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 9:21 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from