Weather in Conche

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 10:18 pm (GMT-2:30)

Now · overcast 37 °F

Feels like: 29 °F
Low / high: 28 / 38 °F
Rain: 0%
Wind: 9 mph WNW

→ 29.87 inHg · steady

Today in Conche: overcast, 28 °F to 38 °F, with a 0% chance of rain and a gentle breeze from the west-northwest (9 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 34 °F to 42 °F and a 18% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 49 °F. Next likely rain: Friday 30 (86%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

38° 28°
Today
42° 34°
Thu 29
49° 38°
Fri 30
38° 31°
Sat 31
37° 25°
Sun 1
40° 29°
Mon 2
33° 26°
Tue 3
35° 25°
Wed 4
42° 36°
Thu 5
40° 37°
Fri 6
44° 35°
Sat 7
39° 35°
Sun 8
37° 33°
Mon 9
33° 28°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	Model
Today · 28	Overcast	28 / 38 °F	0%	20 mph WNW	3.9 ft	ECMWF
Thu 29	Light drizzle	34 / 42 °F	18% · 0.01 in	13 mph W	2.0 ft	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light drizzle	38 / 49 °F	86% · 0.05 in	13 mph SW	3.0 ft	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light snow	31 / 38 °F	47% · 0.02 in	9 mph N	2.3 ft	ECMWF
Sun 1	Partly cloudy	25 / 37 °F	4%	15 mph WNW	2.3 ft	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light snow	29 / 40 °F	39% · 0.06 in	14 mph W	3.4 ft	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light snow	26 / 33 °F	24% · 0.01 in	13 mph WNW	3.1 ft	ECMWF
Wed 4	Snow	25 / 35 °F	31% · 0.32 in	16 mph SSE	4.1 ft	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light rain	36 / 42 °F	28% · 0.50 in	16 mph SSW	4.7 ft	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light drizzle	37 / 40 °F	35% · 0.02 in	8 mph S	1.8 ft	ECMWF
Sat 7	Drizzle	35 / 44 °F	35% · 0.43 in	9 mph NE	2.8 ft	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light rain	35 / 39 °F	27% · 0.94 in	11 mph NE	3.1 ft	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light snow	33 / 37 °F	23% · 0.14 in	15 mph NNW	4.4 ft	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light snow	28 / 33 °F	29%	11 mph WNW	3.8 ft	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Clear	Clear sky	Clear sky	Partly cloudy	Overcast	Overcast
Temperature	33°	31°	29°	30°	35°	37°	38°	38°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	13 WNW	13 WNW	12 WNW	16 WNW	18 WNW	20 WNW	14 WNW	10 WNW
Humidity	56%	56%	57%	53%	46%	54%	58%	60%
UV	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on wind on Friday 30: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	38°	42°	49°	38°	37°	40°	33°
AIFS	39°	41°	48°	37°	38°	46°	37°
GFS	39°	42°	47°	38°	41°	41°	38°
ICON	39°	41°	50°	38°	38°	41°	41°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0	0.01 in	0.05 in	0.02 in	0	0.06 in	0.01 in
AIFS	0	0.02 in	0.17 in	0.05 in	0	0	0
GFS	0	0.00 in	0.12 in	0.07 in	0	0.09 in	0
ICON	0	0	0.11 in	0.09 in	0	0.11 in	0.18 in
Confidence	high	high	high	medium	high	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	2043	1329	1330	921	1530	1434	1333
AIFS	23	12	9	11	15	13	10
GFS	2031	1628	1831	1224	1426	1637	2735
ICON	1842	1329	1226	1022	1536	1125	1949
Confidence	high	high	medium	high	high	high	low

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	0%	18%	86%	47%	4%	39%	24%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	9%	100%	68%	6%	42%	16%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

The next few weeks look normal for the time of year.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit below −1.6 °F	A bit below −26%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal	37° / 32°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal	35° / 31°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.4 °F	Normal	35° / 30°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.8 °F	Normal	32° / 28°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +2.0 °F	Normal
December	Above +4.5 °F	Normal
January	Well above +6.5 °F	Normal
February	Well above +5.8 °F	Normal
March	Above +3.1 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Conche climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Conche is from July to August: highs of 66 °F, about 12 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

25° 10°

JanJ
25° 9°

FebF
31° 15°

MarM
39° 25°

AprA
47° 33°

MayM
56° 40°

JunJ
65° 49°

JulJ
66° 51°

AugA
59° 45°

SepS
48° 36°

OctO
39° 28°

NovN
31° 19°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	25°	10°	4.15 in	11	2.6	31°	5.8 ft
FebruaryFeb	25°	9°	4.16 in	10	4.0	31°	5.7 ft
MarchMar	31°	15°	3.15 in	11	5.5	31°	6.4 ft
AprilApr	39°	25°	2.61 in	10	6.4	31°	4.2 ft
MayMay	47°	33°	2.97 in	11	5.7	33°	3.9 ft
JuneJun	56°	40°	3.91 in	11	6.2	39°	3.6 ft
JulyJul	65°	49°	4.13 in	12	6.3	48°	2.9 ft
AugustAug	66°	51°	3.83 in	12	5.6	54°	3.3 ft
SeptemberSep	59°	45°	4.50 in	11	4.6	50°	3.9 ft
OctoberOct	48°	36°	4.43 in	11	2.7	42°	4.9 ft
NovemberNov	39°	28°	3.96 in	11	2.1	36°	5.7 ft
DecemberDec	31°	19°	4.33 in	12	1.8	33°	6.0 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	31°	5.8 ft
Feb	31°	5.7 ft
Mar	31°	6.4 ft
Apr	31°	4.2 ft
May	33°	3.9 ft
Jun	39°	3.6 ft
Jul	48°	2.9 ft
Aug	54°	3.3 ft
Sep	50°	3.9 ft
Oct	42°	4.9 ft
Nov	36°	5.7 ft
Dec	33°	6.0 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 46.11 in of rain on about 131 days and about 1,650 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now37 °Ffeels like 29 °F

Tomorrow34 / 42 °F

It's 37 °F now (feels like 29 °F). Today, 28 °F to 38 °F; tomorrow, 34 °F to 42 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 0%
Thu 29 18% 0.01 in
Fri 30 86% 0.05 in
Sat 31 47% 0.02 in
Sun 1 4%
Mon 2 39% 0.06 in
Tue 3 24% 0.01 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 0%. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 86% and 0.05 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.02 in; last 7 days, 0.02 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity61%

Dew point25 °F

Humidity is 61% now and the dew point is 25 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds86%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak1low

Thu 29: 1 · Fri 30: 1 · Sat 31: 1

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.4029.6029.8030.00 29.43

Steady now (−0.02 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.17 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 30

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Overcast	33 / 42 °F	0	19 mph WNW
Mon 26	Light drizzle	43 / 53 °F	0.02 in	15 mph WSW
Sun 25	Overcast	36 / 51 °F	0	17 mph W
Sat 24	Overcast	27 / 47 °F	0	12 mph W
Fri 23	Overcast	31 / 40 °F	0	13 mph NNE
Thu 22	Overcast	34 / 50 °F	0	13 mph WSW
Wed 21	Overcast	35 / 48 °F	0	8 mph WSW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Light drizzle	39 / 52 °F	0.02 in	12 mph W
Mon 19	Overcast	29 / 45 °F	0	16 mph SW
Sun 18	Light snow	31 / 38 °F	0.01 in	15 mph W
Sat 17	Snow	35 / 47 °F	0.40 in	19 mph SSW
Fri 16	Light drizzle	37 / 43 °F	0.01 in	17 mph WNW
Thu 15	Drizzle	36 / 43 °F	0.41 in	17 mph NNW
Wed 14	Overcast	30 / 48 °F	0	7 mph WSW
Tue 13	Overcast	29 / 39 °F	0	16 mph WNW
Mon 12	Snow	30 / 37 °F	0.33 in	9 mph N
Sun 11	Light snow	35 / 42 °F	0.06 in	16 mph WNW
Sat 10	Drizzle	39 / 45 °F	0.23 in	6 mph NNW
Fri 9	Drizzle	45 / 54 °F	0.19 in	14 mph SW
Thu 8	Light drizzle	41 / 50 °F	0.06 in	13 mph S
Wed 7	Light drizzle	42 / 50 °F	0.04 in	19 mph W
Tue 6	Light rain	44 / 56 °F	0.65 in	16 mph S
Mon 5	Light drizzle	42 / 54 °F	0.03 in	14 mph SSE
Sun 4	Overcast	41 / 54 °F	0	13 mph W
Sat 3	Overcast	45 / 56 °F	0	13 mph WNW
Fri 2	Light drizzle	54 / 62 °F	0.06 in	13 mph WSW
Thu 1	Overcast	44 / 63 °F	0	11 mph SW
Wed 30	Overcast	47 / 59 °F	0	6 mph W
Tue 29	Overcast	46 / 60 °F	0	10 mph W
Mon 28	Overcast	39 / 61 °F	0	9 mph WSW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in ConcheQuestions

What's the weather like today in Conche?

Overcast, from 28 °F to 38 °F, with a gentle breeze from the west-northwest (9 mph) and a 0% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Conche?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 18% (0.01 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 25 °F and a high of 49 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 1 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.87 inHg and steady: +0.12 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Conche?

The best time to visit Conche is from July to August: highs of 66 °F, about 12 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Conche in October?

In October, Conche normally sees highs of 48 °F and lows of 36 °F, with about 11 rainy days (4.43 in for the month) and 3 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 42 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Conche?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 66 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 9 °F. The wettest is September (4.50 in) and the driest, April.

More about Conche today

Weather near Conche

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 9.2 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 10:18 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from