Weather in Conception Bay South

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 1:57 am (GMT-2:30)

Now · mainly clear 38 °F

Feels like: 28 °F
Low / high: 38 / 47 °F
Rain: 0%
Wind: 13 mph W

→ 30.02 inHg · steady

Today in Conception Bay South: partly cloudy, 38 °F to 47 °F, with a 0% chance of rain and a moderate breeze from the west (13 mph). Tomorrow, drizzle, 44 °F to 53 °F and a 80% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 53 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

47° 38°
Today
53° 44°
Fri 30
50° 39°
Sat 31
40° 35°
Sun 1
47° 38°
Mon 2
47° 35°
Tue 3
41° 33°
Wed 4
50° 40°
Thu 5
48° 40°
Fri 6
47° 42°
Sat 7
55° 46°
Sun 8
50° 41°
Mon 9
40° 33°
Tue 10
41° 33°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Partly cloudy	38 / 47 °F	0%	17 mph W	1.5 ft	10:28 am · 10:52 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Drizzle	44 / 53 °F	80% · 0.08 in	18 mph SW	1.8 ft	11:10 am · 11:44 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Drizzle	39 / 50 °F	81% · 0.39 in	22 mph NNW	3.6 ft	11:55 am	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light snow	35 / 40 °F	56% · 0.06 in	25 mph NW	3.9 ft	12:43 am · 11:48 am	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	38 / 47 °F	9% · 0.01 in	22 mph SW	2.6 ft	12:53 am · 1:03 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	35 / 47 °F	25% · 0.06 in	16 mph W	1.3 ft	2:18 am · 3:01 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	33 / 41 °F	24% · 0.03 in	15 mph SSE	0.9 ft	3:42 am · 4:29 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Heavy drizzle	40 / 50 °F	25% · 0.28 in	20 mph SW	1.7 ft	4:41 am · 5:16 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Overcast	40 / 48 °F	20%	7 mph SSE	1.6 ft	5:24 am · 5:54 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light drizzle	42 / 47 °F	31% · 0.17 in	9 mph SSE	1.8 ft	6:03 am · 6:30 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Rain	46 / 55 °F	35% · 1.13 in	21 mph SSE	3.1 ft	6:40 am · 7:04 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Overcast	41 / 50 °F	25%	22 mph W	4.5 ft	7:17 am · 7:39 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light snow	33 / 40 °F	27%	17 mph NW	5.1 ft	7:53 am · 8:13 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Overcast	33 / 41 °F	20%	15 mph WSW	4.9 ft	8:28 am · 8:48 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Partly cloudy	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Partly cloudy	Partly cloudy	Mainly clear	Mainly clear
Temperature	38°	38°	39°	40°	45°	47°	46°	44°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	12 W	14 W	14 W	12 W	15 W	16 W	15 WSW	12 WSW
Humidity	77%	77%	77%	76%	65%	62%	72%	84%
UV	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain on Sunday 1: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	47°	53°	50°	40°	47°	47°	41°
AIFS	47°	52°	50°	40°	48°	47°	47°
GFS	47°	52°	51°	43°	49°	47°	43°
ICON	49°	53°	53°	40°	47°	49°	36°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	low

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0	0.08 in	0.39 in	0.06 in	0.01 in	0.06 in	0.03 in
AIFS	0	0.16 in	0.55 in	0.02 in	0	0	0.79 in
GFS	0	0.09 in	0.56 in	0.01 in	0.02 in	0.19 in	0
ICON	0	0.06 in	0.36 in	0.03 in	0.01 in	0.04 in	0
Confidence	high	high	high	medium	high	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1728	1828	2234	2540	2240	1635	1421
AIFS	16	19	21	21	19	13	18
GFS	1934	2140	2026	1825	2140	2134	1422
ICON	1734	2244	2038	2144	2346	2550	1632
Confidence	high	high	high	medium	high	medium	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	0%	80%	81%	56%	9%	25%	24%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	89%	95%	40%	24%	36%	3%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

The next few weeks look normal for the time of year.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit below −2.5 °F	A bit below −42%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal −0.2 °F	Normal	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal −0.7 °F	Normal	41° / 35°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Normal +0.2 °F	Normal	41° / 35°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal 0.0 °F	Normal	38° / 32°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +1.4 °F	Normal
December	Above +3.4 °F	Normal
January	Above +4.9 °F	Normal
February	Above +4.7 °F	Normal
March	Above +3.4 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Conception Bay South climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Conception Bay South is from July to August: highs of 70 °F to 71 °F, about 11 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from September to October, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 7 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Conception Bay South, about 2 every 10 years; 3 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Larry, in September 2021.

33° 20°

JanJ
32° 19°

FebF
36° 22°

MarM
44° 30°

AprA
53° 37°

MayM
61° 44°

JunJ
70° 53°

JulJ
71° 54°

AugA
64° 48°

SepS
54° 41°

OctO
47° 34°

NovN
38° 26°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	33°	20°	5.31 in	13	2.1	34°	7.4 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	32°	19°	4.16 in	12	3.3	32°	7.1 ft	–
MarchMar	36°	22°	3.91 in	12	4.7	32°	6.5 ft	–
AprilApr	44°	30°	4.04 in	12	5.4	33°	6.0 ft	–
MayMay	53°	37°	3.67 in	12	5.7	37°	5.1 ft	–
JuneJun	61°	44°	3.68 in	11	6.1	43°	4.5 ft	–
JulyJul	70°	53°	4.32 in	11	6.3	51°	3.7 ft	–
AugustAug	71°	54°	3.37 in	11	5.9	57°	4.0 ft	1
SeptemberSep	64°	48°	4.62 in	11	5.3	54°	5.0 ft	4
OctoberOct	54°	41°	5.11 in	13	3.0	49°	6.2 ft	2
NovemberNov	47°	34°	4.86 in	14	1.8	43°	6.9 ft	–
DecemberDec	38°	26°	5.54 in	15	1.4	37°	7.4 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	34°	7.4 ft	–
Feb	32°	7.1 ft	–
Mar	32°	6.5 ft	–
Apr	33°	6.0 ft	–
May	37°	5.1 ft	–
Jun	43°	4.5 ft	–
Jul	51°	3.7 ft	–
Aug	57°	4.0 ft	1
Sep	54°	5.0 ft	4
Oct	49°	6.2 ft	2
Nov	43°	6.9 ft	–
Dec	37°	7.4 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 52.59 in of rain on about 146 days and about 1,550 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now38 °Ffeels like 28 °F

Tomorrow44 / 53 °F

It's 38 °F now (feels like 28 °F). Today, 38 °F to 47 °F; tomorrow, 44 °F to 53 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 0%
Fri 30 80% 0.08 in
Sat 31 81% 0.39 in
Sun 1 56% 0.06 in
Mon 2 9% 0.01 in
Tue 3 25% 0.06 in
Wed 4 24% 0.03 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 0%. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 80% and 0.08 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.13 in; last 7 days, 1.56 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity78%

Dew point32 °F

Humidity is 78% now and the dew point is 32 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds41%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak2low

Fri 30: 2 · Sat 31: 1 · Sun 1: 1

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8030.00 29.76

Steady now (−0.03 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.25 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 28

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Overcast	35 / 40 °F	0	20 mph WNW
Tue 27	Drizzle	37 / 48 °F	0.13 in	19 mph WNW
Mon 26	Mainly clear	45 / 56 °F	0	17 mph SW
Sun 25	Overcast	36 / 50 °F	0	14 mph WNW
Sat 24	Drizzle	40 / 43 °F	0.18 in	24 mph NE
Fri 23	Light snow	40 / 44 °F	1.05 in	26 mph NE
Thu 22	Light rain	38 / 47 °F	0.20 in	10 mph ESE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Overcast	39 / 46 °F	0	14 mph NNE
Tue 20	Overcast	41 / 53 °F	0	16 mph SW
Mon 19	Overcast	36 / 45 °F	0	18 mph WSW
Sun 18	Drizzle	40 / 46 °F	0.11 in	19 mph W
Sat 17	Drizzle	42 / 57 °F	0.16 in	27 mph SSW
Fri 16	Light rain	41 / 47 °F	0.23 in	27 mph WNW
Thu 15	Light rain	43 / 57 °F	0.82 in	29 mph S
Wed 14	Overcast	36 / 49 °F	0	12 mph SW
Tue 13	Light snow	38 / 41 °F	0.11 in	24 mph NNW
Mon 12	Light snow	40 / 56 °F	0.26 in	23 mph W
Sun 11	Light drizzle	42 / 49 °F	0.01 in	19 mph WNW
Sat 10	Drizzle	46 / 52 °F	0.11 in	18 mph WNW
Fri 9	Drizzle	51 / 60 °F	0.15 in	17 mph SSW
Thu 8	Overcast	45 / 58 °F	0	13 mph SSW
Wed 7	Overcast	48 / 55 °F	0	26 mph WSW
Tue 6	Light rain	52 / 62 °F	0.41 in	25 mph SSW
Mon 5	Light rain	47 / 54 °F	0.18 in	24 mph SE
Sun 4	Mainly clear	47 / 56 °F	0	10 mph W
Sat 3	Light drizzle	55 / 61 °F	0.06 in	16 mph WSW
Fri 2	Light drizzle	56 / 61 °F	0.02 in	19 mph SW
Thu 1	Overcast	48 / 60 °F	0	11 mph SSW
Wed 30	Overcast	49 / 55 °F	0	9 mph NE
Tue 29	Overcast	44 / 56 °F	0	10 mph SSW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Conception Bay SouthQuestions

What's the weather like today in Conception Bay South?

Partly cloudy, from 38 °F to 47 °F, with a moderate breeze from the west (13 mph) and a 0% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Conception Bay South?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 80% (0.08 in): drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 33 °F and a high of 53 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 2 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.02 inHg and steady: +0.17 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Conception Bay South?

The best time to visit Conception Bay South is from July to August: highs of 70 °F to 71 °F, about 11 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Conception Bay South in October?

In October, Conception Bay South normally sees highs of 54 °F and lows of 41 °F, with about 13 rainy days (5.11 in for the month) and 3 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 49 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Conception Bay South?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 71 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 19 °F. The wettest is December (5.54 in) and the driest, August.

When is hurricane season in Conception Bay South?

Hurricane season: from September to October, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 7 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Conception Bay South, about 2 every 10 years; 3 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Larry, in September 2021.

More about Conception Bay South today

Weather near Conception Bay South

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 0.1 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 1:57 am (local time).

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