Weather in Black Duck Brook and Winterhouse

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 8:35 pm (GMT-2:30)

Now · overcast 42 °F

Feels like: 25 °F
Low / high: 39 / 43 °F
Rain: 12%
Wind: 32 mph W

→ 30.08 inHg · steady

Today in Black Duck Brook and Winterhouse: overcast, 39 °F to 43 °F, with a 12% chance of rain and a near gale from the west (32 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 42 °F to 47 °F and a 10% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 49 °F. Next likely rain: Friday 30 (92%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

43° 39°
Today
47° 42°
Thu 29
49° 45°
Fri 30
45° 39°
Sat 31
42° 37°
Sun 1
44° 40°
Mon 2
41° 35°
Tue 3
46° 35°
Wed 4
46° 44°
Thu 5
49° 41°
Fri 6
47° 44°
Sat 7
46° 42°
Sun 8
41° 38°
Mon 9
40° 37°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Overcast	39 / 43 °F	12%	34 mph WNW	6.4 ft	12:10 am · 1:07 pm	ECMWF
Thu 29	Overcast	42 / 47 °F	10%	30 mph WSW	5.0 ft	12:52 am · 1:58 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Heavy drizzle	45 / 49 °F	92% · 0.17 in	28 mph SW	4.1 ft	1:38 am · 2:54 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light drizzle	39 / 45 °F	53% · 0.06 in	20 mph N	4.2 ft	2:31 am · 3:56 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light snow	37 / 42 °F	43% · 0.13 in	26 mph WNW	4.7 ft	2:36 am · 4:04 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	40 / 44 °F	24% · 0.05 in	31 mph W	6.2 ft	3:55 am · 5:14 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Partly cloudy	35 / 41 °F	17%	17 mph NW	5.6 ft	5:20 am · 6:20 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Heavy drizzle	35 / 46 °F	35% · 0.45 in	36 mph SSE	4.1 ft	6:38 am · 7:16 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Drizzle	44 / 46 °F	29% · 0.14 in	23 mph WSW	4.1 ft	7:42 am · 8:03 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Overcast	41 / 49 °F	24%	13 mph S	2.3 ft	8:35 am · 8:44 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Rain	44 / 47 °F	36% · 0.83 in	18 mph NE	3.3 ft	9:20 am · 9:21 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Rain	42 / 46 °F	39% · 0.87 in	17 mph NE	4.8 ft	10:03 am · 9:56 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light snow	38 / 41 °F	29% · 0.50 in	30 mph NW	8.1 ft	10:43 am · 10:30 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	37 / 40 °F	30%	22 mph NW	5.5 ft	11:22 am · 11:03 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Mainly clear	Partly cloudy	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast
Temperature	40°	39°	39°	40°	40°	41°	41°	42°
Chance of rain	12%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	30 NW	30 NW	30 NW	27 NW	24 NW	23 WNW	26 W	33 W
Humidity	58%	58%	59%	61%	60%	61%	70%	69%
UV	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Low confidence

They don't agree on wind today: it may change, so check again closer to the day.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	43°	47°	49°	45°	42°	44°	41°
AIFS	43°	46°	49°	44°	43°	46°	44°
GFS	42°	47°	50°	43°	44°	47°	42°
ICON	41°	48°	51°	43°	41°	47°	47°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0	0	0.17 in	0.06 in	0.13 in	0.05 in	0
AIFS	0	0.01 in	0.13 in	0.07 in	0.07 in	0	0.03 in
GFS	0	0	0.13 in	0.18 in	0.02 in	0.13 in	0.03 in
ICON	0.01 in	0	0.18 in	0.29 in	0	0.24 in	0.06 in
Confidence	high	high	high	medium	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	3446	3042	2836	2028	2637	3149	1749
AIFS	29	24	26	21	22	22	9
GFS	2031	1936	2043	1925	1525	1834	1828
ICON	2038	1837	2242	1835	1835	2448	2655
Confidence	low	medium	medium	high	medium	medium	low

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	12%	10%	92%	53%	43%	24%	17%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	6%	3%	100%	35%	12%	42%	35%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: normal temperatures, normal rain and a slightly cooler sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit below −1.4 °F	Normal	Below −2.7 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal +0.2 °F	Normal	A bit below −1.6 °F	42° / 40°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal +0.4 °F	Normal	A bit below −1.1 °F	41° / 39°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	Normal −0.4 °F	41° / 38°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	Normal +0.2 °F	38° / 36°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +1.8 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.9 °F
December	Above +3.6 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.4 °F
January	Above +5.0 °F	Normal	Above +2.5 °F
February	Above +5.2 °F	Normal	Above +3.2 °F
March	Above +4.0 °F	Normal	Well above +3.6 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Black Duck Brook and Winterhouse climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Black Duck Brook and Winterhouse is in August: highs of 69 °F, about 11 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

Tropical cyclones rarely pass near Black Duck Brook and Winterhouse: 2 within 93 mi in the last 30 years (1996–2025), most recently in January 2023.

30° 19°

JanJ
30° 18°

FebF
34° 22°

MarM
40° 29°

AprA
48° 37°

MayM
57° 45°

JunJ
65° 54°

JulJ
69° 58°

AugA
63° 51°

SepS
52° 43°

OctO
43° 34°

NovN
36° 26°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	30°	19°	4.90 in	16	2.1	34°	5.6 ft
FebruaryFeb	30°	18°	4.35 in	13	3.0	32°	5.1 ft
MarchMar	34°	22°	3.36 in	11	5.1	32°	4.2 ft
AprilApr	40°	29°	3.13 in	11	5.6	33°	3.4 ft
MayMay	48°	37°	3.89 in	11	6.3	38°	2.4 ft
JuneJun	57°	45°	3.08 in	10	7.1	46°	2.1 ft
JulyJul	65°	54°	3.84 in	11	6.9	56°	2.0 ft
AugustAug	69°	58°	3.95 in	11	6.2	62°	2.2 ft
SeptemberSep	63°	51°	5.76 in	11	5.0	57°	3.3 ft
OctoberOct	52°	43°	5.27 in	12	3.6	49°	3.8 ft
NovemberNov	43°	34°	4.74 in	14	2.1	42°	5.0 ft
DecemberDec	36°	26°	4.87 in	15	1.4	37°	5.2 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	34°	5.6 ft
Feb	32°	5.1 ft
Mar	32°	4.2 ft
Apr	33°	3.4 ft
May	38°	2.4 ft
Jun	46°	2.1 ft
Jul	56°	2.0 ft
Aug	62°	2.2 ft
Sep	57°	3.3 ft
Oct	49°	3.8 ft
Nov	42°	5.0 ft
Dec	37°	5.2 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 51.13 in of rain on about 146 days and about 1,650 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now42 °Ffeels like 25 °F

Tomorrow42 / 47 °F

It's 42 °F now (feels like 25 °F). Today, 39 °F to 43 °F; tomorrow, 42 °F to 47 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 12%
Thu 29 10%
Fri 30 92% 0.17 in
Sat 31 53% 0.06 in
Sun 1 43% 0.13 in
Mon 2 24% 0.05 in
Tue 3 17%

Today the chance of rain reaches 12%. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 92% and 0.17 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.14 in; last 7 days, 0.14 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity70%

Dew point33 °F

Humidity is 70% now and the dew point is 33 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds87%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak1low

Thu 29: 1 · Fri 30: 1 · Sat 31: 1

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.6029.8030.0030.20 29.60

Steady now (−0.02 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.34 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 32

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Overcast	38 / 46 °F	0	31 mph NW
Mon 26	Drizzle	47 / 50 °F	0.14 in	23 mph SW
Sun 25	Partly cloudy	46 / 48 °F	0	22 mph WSW
Sat 24	Overcast	39 / 46 °F	0	22 mph N
Fri 23	Overcast	41 / 46 °F	0	35 mph NNE
Thu 22	Overcast	45 / 47 °F	0	17 mph SW
Wed 21	Overcast	43 / 47 °F	0	15 mph ESE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Overcast	47 / 48 °F	0	25 mph SW
Mon 19	Partly cloudy	41 / 48 °F	0	30 mph SSW
Sun 18	Light drizzle	39 / 42 °F	0.07 in	32 mph WNW
Sat 17	Light rain	43 / 51 °F	0.40 in	39 mph WSW
Fri 16	Light drizzle	41 / 47 °F	0.02 in	36 mph NW
Thu 15	Light rain	46 / 49 °F	0.41 in	38 mph N
Wed 14	Light rain	43 / 50 °F	0.11 in	24 mph S
Tue 13	Overcast	39 / 44 °F	0	28 mph NNW
Mon 12	Light rain	43 / 52 °F	0.53 in	30 mph NNW
Sun 11	Light drizzle	46 / 50 °F	0.03 in	23 mph WNW
Sat 10	Light drizzle	48 / 50 °F	0.16 in	30 mph WNW
Fri 9	Light rain	50 / 56 °F	0.39 in	28 mph WSW
Thu 8	Light rain	50 / 57 °F	0.19 in	28 mph S
Wed 7	Light drizzle	50 / 52 °F	0.07 in	41 mph W
Tue 6	Drizzle	50 / 56 °F	0.33 in	40 mph SW
Mon 5	Drizzle	49 / 55 °F	0.12 in	29 mph SE
Sun 4	Overcast	52 / 53 °F	0	20 mph W
Sat 3	Light drizzle	53 / 56 °F	0.03 in	20 mph WNW
Fri 2	Heavy drizzle	56 / 58 °F	0.23 in	26 mph SSW
Thu 1	Overcast	51 / 57 °F	0	19 mph SSW
Wed 30	Light drizzle	51 / 54 °F	0.03 in	11 mph NNE
Tue 29	Light drizzle	51 / 54 °F	0.18 in	14 mph SE
Mon 28	Overcast	49 / 54 °F	0	14 mph ESE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Black Duck Brook and WinterhouseQuestions

What's the weather like today in Black Duck Brook and Winterhouse?

Overcast, from 39 °F to 43 °F, with a near gale from the west (32 mph) and a 12% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Black Duck Brook and Winterhouse?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 10% (0.00 in): overcast.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 35 °F and a high of 49 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 1 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.08 inHg and steady: +0.15 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Black Duck Brook and Winterhouse?

The best time to visit Black Duck Brook and Winterhouse is in August: highs of 69 °F, about 11 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Black Duck Brook and Winterhouse in October?

In October, Black Duck Brook and Winterhouse normally sees highs of 52 °F and lows of 43 °F, with about 12 rainy days (5.27 in for the month) and 4 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 49 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Black Duck Brook and Winterhouse?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 69 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 18 °F. The wettest is September (5.76 in) and the driest, June.

More about Black Duck Brook and Winterhouse today

Weather near Black Duck Brook and Winterhouse

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 5.4 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 8:35 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from