Weather in Port Elgin

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 10:07 am (ADT)

Now · clear sky 47 °F

Feels like: 39 °F
Low / high: 38 / 57 °F
Rain: 0%
Wind: 9 mph SW

↘ 30.10 inHg · falling

Today in Port Elgin: partly cloudy, 38 °F to 57 °F, with a 0% chance of rain and a gentle breeze from the southwest (9 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 47 °F to 61 °F and a 84% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 61 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

57° 38°
Today
61° 47°
Fri 30
46° 33°
Sat 31
47° 30°
Sun 1
56° 38°
Mon 2
42° 28°
Tue 3
46° 27°
Wed 4
52° 33°
Thu 5
61° 42°
Fri 6
62° 40°
Sat 7
64° 47°
Sun 8
53° 46°
Mon 9
49° 42°
Tue 10
44° 42°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Partly cloudy	38 / 57 °F	0%	17 mph SW	12:44 am · 2:27 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light drizzle	47 / 61 °F	84% · 0.13 in	16 mph WSW	1:25 am · 3:19 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light drizzle	33 / 46 °F	31% · 0.02 in	12 mph NW	2:11 am · 4:14 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Overcast	30 / 47 °F	0%	11 mph W	2:04 am · 4:11 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Drizzle	38 / 56 °F	24% · 0.09 in	12 mph WSW	3:07 am · 5:07 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Mainly clear	28 / 42 °F	23%	9 mph NW	4:23 am · 6:00 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Overcast	27 / 46 °F	28%	7 mph W	5:47 am · 6:52 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Overcast	33 / 52 °F	26%	13 mph SSW	7:13 am · 7:43 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Overcast	42 / 61 °F	37%	8 mph SW	8:30 am · 8:32 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Overcast	40 / 62 °F	37%	8 mph S	9:34 am · 9:19 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light drizzle	47 / 64 °F	36% · 0.02 in	12 mph S	10:28 am · 10:02 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Overcast	46 / 53 °F	20%	13 mph WSW	11:17 am · 10:43 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	42 / 49 °F	21% · 0.05 in	8 mph ENE	12:02 pm · 11:19 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Light drizzle	42 / 44 °F	25% · 0.12 in	9 mph NE	12:46 pm · 11:52 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Mainly clear	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear sky	Partly cloudy	Partly cloudy
Temperature	38°	39°	40°	42°	55°	57°	51°	51°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	8 SW	8 SW	9 SW	9 SW	10 SW	13 SSW	15 SW	17 SW
Humidity	63%	60%	64%	65%	54%	67%	88%	91%
UV	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain on Saturday 31: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	57°	61°	46°	47°	56°	42°	46°
AIFS	60°	61°	45°	47°	59°	56°	55°
GFS	60°	59°	46°	47°	59°	47°	46°
ICON	59°	62°	46°	46°	59°	47°	50°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	low	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0	0.13 in	0.02 in	0	0.09 in	0	0
AIFS	0	0.31 in	0.16 in	0	0.01 in	0.20 in	0.26 in
GFS	0	0.33 in	0.04 in	0	0.02 in	0.00 in	0
ICON	0	0.33 in	0.15 in	0	0	0	0.07 in
Confidence	high	high	medium	high	medium	medium	low

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1734	1634	1227	1128	1230	918	723
AIFS	15	15	13	11	11	8	6
GFS	1942	1840	1724	1233	1539	1321	820
ICON	1533	1432	1430	921	1228	819	1023
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	0%	84%	31%	0%	24%	23%	28%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	97%	74%	0%	16%	14%	20%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, normal rain and a near-normal sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +1.3 °F	A bit below −24%	Below −2.0 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	A bit below −0.5 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal	Normal +0.2 °F	43° / 38°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +2.5 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.7 °F	42° / 37°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +2.5 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.3 °F	39° / 34°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +1.8 °F	Normal	—
December	Above +4.7 °F	Normal	—
January	Well above +7.6 °F	A bit above +21%	—
February	Well above +6.5 °F	Normal	—
March	Above +4.9 °F	Normal	—

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Port Elgin climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Port Elgin is from July to August: highs of 75 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 4 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Port Elgin, about one every 10 years; 2 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Earl, in September 2010.

27° 11°

JanJ
29° 11°

FebF
35° 20°

MarM
46° 31°

AprA
58° 40°

MayM
68° 49°

JunJ
75° 56°

JulJ
75° 56°

AugA
67° 50°

SepS
56° 40°

OctO
44° 31°

NovN
33° 20°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	27°	11°	4.09 in	8	3.5	31°	2.9 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	29°	11°	3.39 in	7	5.5	31°	2.5 ft	–
MarchMar	35°	20°	3.47 in	8	6.0	31°	2.3 ft	–
AprilApr	46°	31°	3.02 in	9	6.0	34°	1.9 ft	–
MayMay	58°	40°	3.37 in	10	6.4	41°	1.6 ft	–
JuneJun	68°	49°	3.81 in	10	6.9	53°	1.5 ft	–
JulyJul	75°	56°	3.02 in	9	7.4	62°	1.3 ft	–
AugustAug	75°	56°	3.07 in	8	7.3	66°	1.5 ft	–
SeptemberSep	67°	50°	3.75 in	9	6.0	62°	2.0 ft	3
OctoberOct	56°	40°	4.69 in	10	4.1	55°	2.5 ft	1
NovemberNov	44°	31°	4.30 in	9	2.5	45°	2.6 ft	–
DecemberDec	33°	20°	4.58 in	10	2.2	36°	2.8 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	31°	2.9 ft	–
Feb	31°	2.5 ft	–
Mar	31°	2.3 ft	–
Apr	34°	1.9 ft	–
May	41°	1.6 ft	–
Jun	53°	1.5 ft	–
Jul	62°	1.3 ft	–
Aug	66°	1.5 ft	–
Sep	62°	2.0 ft	3
Oct	55°	2.5 ft	1
Nov	45°	2.6 ft	–
Dec	36°	2.8 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 44.56 in of rain on about 108 days and about 1,950 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now47 °Ffeels like 39 °F

Tomorrow47 / 61 °F

It's 47 °F now (feels like 39 °F). Today, 38 °F to 57 °F; tomorrow, 47 °F to 61 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 0%
Fri 30 84% 0.13 in
Sat 31 31% 0.02 in
Sun 1 0%
Mon 2 24% 0.09 in
Tue 3 23%
Wed 4 28%

Today the chance of rain reaches 0%. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 84% and 0.13 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.00 in; last 7 days, 0.02 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity60%

Dew point34 °F

Humidity is 60% now and the dew point is 34 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds8%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now1

Today's peak2low

Fri 30: 2 · Sat 31: 1 · Sun 1: 2

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling · now Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8030.0030.2030.40 29.75

Falling now (−0.03 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Falling pressure: anglers say fish feed more before the change. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 21

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Partly cloudy	29 / 47 °F	0	9 mph W
Tue 27	Overcast	33 / 49 °F	0	13 mph NW
Mon 26	Overcast	44 / 61 °F	0	11 mph SW
Sun 25	Mainly clear	36 / 64 °F	0	12 mph WSW
Sat 24	Overcast	36 / 49 °F	0	11 mph NW
Fri 23	Light drizzle	39 / 46 °F	0.02 in	21 mph N
Thu 22	Overcast	38 / 50 °F	0	15 mph NNE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Overcast	38 / 56 °F	0	7 mph NNE
Tue 20	Overcast	40 / 56 °F	0	12 mph NNW
Mon 19	Overcast	33 / 56 °F	0	15 mph SSW
Sun 18	Clear sky	29 / 48 °F	0	9 mph W
Sat 17	Drizzle	35 / 55 °F	0.08 in	14 mph W
Fri 16	Heavy drizzle	32 / 52 °F	0.18 in	15 mph SSW
Thu 15	Overcast	41 / 53 °F	0	19 mph NW
Wed 14	Heavy drizzle	41 / 52 °F	0.37 in	12 mph ESE
Tue 13	Light drizzle	42 / 48 °F	0.02 in	12 mph NE
Mon 12	Drizzle	44 / 62 °F	0.07 in	16 mph W
Sun 11	Overcast	36 / 53 °F	0	16 mph WSW
Sat 10	Clear sky	41 / 56 °F	0	16 mph WNW
Fri 9	Light drizzle	46 / 62 °F	0.04 in	11 mph WSW
Thu 8	Light rain	47 / 64 °F	0.41 in	20 mph SSW
Wed 7	Drizzle	42 / 58 °F	0.06 in	11 mph WSW
Tue 6	Overcast	42 / 55 °F	0	21 mph WSW
Mon 5	Drizzle	46 / 61 °F	0.22 in	10 mph SSE
Sun 4	Overcast	39 / 62 °F	0	9 mph ESE
Sat 3	Light drizzle	47 / 63 °F	0.01 in	9 mph NW
Fri 2	Light rain	55 / 67 °F	0.24 in	14 mph SW
Thu 1	Overcast	50 / 67 °F	0	13 mph SW
Wed 30	Light drizzle	52 / 60 °F	0.04 in	7 mph N
Tue 29	Drizzle	55 / 62 °F	0.22 in	9 mph NE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Port ElginQuestions

What's the weather like today in Port Elgin?

Partly cloudy, from 38 °F to 57 °F, with a gentle breeze from the southwest (9 mph) and a 0% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Port Elgin?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 84% (0.13 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 27 °F and a high of 61 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 2 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.10 inHg and falling: −0.32 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Port Elgin?

The best time to visit Port Elgin is from July to August: highs of 75 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Port Elgin in October?

In October, Port Elgin normally sees highs of 56 °F and lows of 40 °F, with about 10 rainy days (4.69 in for the month) and 4 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 55 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Port Elgin?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 75 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 11 °F. The wettest is October (4.69 in) and the driest, April.

When is hurricane season in Port Elgin?

Hurricane season: in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 4 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Port Elgin, about one every 10 years; 2 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Earl, in September 2010.

More about Port Elgin today

Weather near Port Elgin

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 8.5 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 10:07 am (local time).

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