Weather in Black River-Hardwicke

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 8:09 am (ADT)

Now · clear sky 42 °F

Feels like: 33 °F
Low / high: 39 / 62 °F
Rain: 1%
Wind: 8 mph SW

→ 30.08 inHg · steady

Today in Black River-Hardwicke: overcast, 39 °F to 62 °F, with a 1% chance of rain and a gentle breeze from the southwest (8 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 43 °F to 58 °F and a 15% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 62 °F. Next likely rain: Wednesday 4 (41%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

62° 39°
Today
58° 43°
Fri 30
45° 32°
Sat 31
50° 29°
Sun 1
57° 39°
Mon 2
48° 34°
Tue 3
51° 37°
Wed 4
54° 39°
Thu 5
55° 44°
Fri 6
50° 39°
Sat 7
48° 36°
Sun 8
55° 34°
Mon 9
46° 34°
Tue 10
41° 37°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Overcast	39 / 62 °F	1%	14 mph SW	1.6 ft	7:56 am · 7:04 pm	HRRR
Fri 30	Light drizzle	43 / 58 °F	15%	15 mph W	1.7 ft	8:52 am · 7:54 pm	HRRR + NBM
Sat 31	Light drizzle	32 / 45 °F	15%	9 mph NW	1.4 ft	10:05 am · 8:49 pm	NBM
Sun 1	Partly cloudy	29 / 50 °F	0%	9 mph WSW	0.9 ft	11:42 am · 8:57 pm	NBM
Mon 2	Overcast	39 / 57 °F	2%	10 mph WSW	1.1 ft	12:35 pm · 10:29 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Partly cloudy	34 / 48 °F	24% · 0.02 in	4 mph NW	1.0 ft	12:57 pm · 11:53 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Overcast	37 / 51 °F	41% · 0.22 in	6 mph SW	2.0 ft	1:16 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Overcast	39 / 54 °F	25% · 0.12 in	7 mph SW	1.1 ft	1:04 am · 1:38 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Overcast	44 / 55 °F	35% · 0.38 in	9 mph SSW	0.7 ft	2:11 am · 2:05 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Overcast	39 / 50 °F	38% · 0.41 in	8 mph W	0.5 ft	3:22 am · 2:36 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Light drizzle	36 / 48 °F	31% · 0.12 in	7 mph NW	1.7 ft	4:42 am · 3:09 pm	NBM
Mon 9	Light drizzle	34 / 55 °F	15% · 0.04 in	15 mph WSW	1.4 ft	5:50 am · 3:43 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	34 / 46 °F	18% · 0.01 in	8 mph N	1.0 ft	6:37 am · 4:17 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Light drizzle	37 / 41 °F	22% · 0.05 in	11 mph ENE	2.0 ft	6:13 am · 4:52 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Friday 30 3:00 am; then NBM until Monday 9 3:00 am; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 11:00 pm; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Partly cloudy	Mainly clear	Overcast	Clear sky	Mainly clear	Partly cloudy	Mainly clear	Overcast
Temperature	39°	42°	43°	43°	55°	61°	57°	56°
Chance of rain	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	7 SW	9 SW	9 WSW	8 SW	10 SW	13 SW	9 SW	13 SW
Humidity	41%	41%	40%	44%	29%	38%	47%	63%
UV	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain tomorrow: take it with some caution.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	60°	57°	44°	48°	54°	43°	45°
AIFS	60°	57°	45°	48°	59°	51°	52°
GFS	59°	55°	44°	50°	57°	44°	47°
ICON	62°	59°	44°	47°	59°	44°	48°
HRRR	62°	56°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	62°	58°	45°	50°	57°	48°	51°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0	0.03 in	0.00 in	0	0	0	0
AIFS	0.02 in	0.07 in	0.06 in	0	0	0.19 in	0.19 in
GFS	0	0.00 in	0	0	0.02 in	0	0
ICON	0.02 in	0.15 in	0	0	0	0	0.07 in
HRRR	0	0	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0	0.01 in	0	0	0	0.02 in	0.22 in
Confidence	high	medium	high	high	high	high	low

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1428	1429	1228	1229	1436	919	817
AIFS	15	15	14	11	12	9	5
GFS	1840	1738	1826	1328	1736	1221	1127
ICON	1227	1227	1127	922	1332	617	1025
HRRR	1434	1533	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	1028	1027	921	917	1023	411	614
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	25%	69%	18%	0%	10%	7%	27%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	1%	31%	32%	0%	3%	13%	45%
NBM (NOAA)	1%	15%	15%	0%	2%	24%	41%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	0%	1%	1%	0%	2%	1%	1%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Above +2.7 °F	Normal	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.4 °F	Normal	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +2.2 °F	Normal	42° / 33°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Above +3.1 °F	A bit above +24%	40° / 32°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Above +3.1 °F	Normal	37° / 28°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +1.8 °F	Normal
December	Above +5.2 °F	Normal
January	Well above +7.0 °F	A bit above +26%
February	Well above +5.6 °F	Normal
March	Above +4.0 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Black River-Hardwicke climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Black River-Hardwicke is from July to August: highs of 76 °F, about 10 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Tropical cyclones rarely pass near Black River-Hardwicke: one within 93 mi in the last 30 years (1996–2025), Juan, in September 2003.

24° 6°

JanJ
26° 8°

FebF
35° 17°

MarM
46° 29°

AprA
59° 39°

MayM
69° 49°

JunJ
76° 56°

JulJ
76° 55°

AugA
67° 48°

SepS
55° 38°

OctO
43° 29°

NovN
31° 16°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	24°	6°	4.29 in	8	3.9	32°	4.1 ft
FebruaryFeb	26°	8°	3.62 in	6	5.8	31°	3.2 ft
MarchMar	35°	17°	3.91 in	8	6.4	31°	3.3 ft
AprilApr	46°	29°	3.64 in	9	6.4	34°	2.7 ft
MayMay	59°	39°	3.81 in	9	6.6	42°	2.2 ft
JuneJun	69°	49°	3.53 in	10	7.1	53°	2.1 ft
JulyJul	76°	56°	3.96 in	11	7.4	62°	1.7 ft
AugustAug	76°	55°	3.47 in	9	7.1	65°	1.9 ft
SeptemberSep	67°	48°	3.28 in	8	6.0	60°	2.7 ft
OctoberOct	55°	38°	4.22 in	9	3.9	52°	3.3 ft
NovemberNov	43°	29°	4.10 in	8	2.6	44°	3.7 ft
DecemberDec	31°	16°	4.60 in	9	2.5	36°	3.9 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	32°	4.1 ft
Feb	31°	3.2 ft
Mar	31°	3.3 ft
Apr	34°	2.7 ft
May	42°	2.2 ft
Jun	53°	2.1 ft
Jul	62°	1.7 ft
Aug	65°	1.9 ft
Sep	60°	2.7 ft
Oct	52°	3.3 ft
Nov	44°	3.7 ft
Dec	36°	3.9 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 46.43 in of rain on about 102 days and about 2,000 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now42 °Ffeels like 33 °F

Tomorrow43 / 58 °F

It's 42 °F now (feels like 33 °F). Today, 39 °F to 62 °F; tomorrow, 43 °F to 58 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 1%
Fri 30 15%
Sat 31 15%
Sun 1 0%
Mon 2 2%
Tue 3 24% 0.02 in
Wed 4 41% 0.22 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 1%. The next day with likely rain is Wednesday 4: 41% and 0.22 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.04 in; last 7 days, 0.04 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity45%

Dew point22 °F

Humidity is 45% now and the dew point is 22 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now27 migood

Clouds19%

Visibility is good now (27 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak2low

Fri 30: 2 · Sat 31: 2 · Sun 1: 2

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.00 29.69

Steady now (0.00 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 22

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Partly cloudy	29 / 47 °F	0	11 mph WSW
Tue 27	Partly cloudy	34 / 44 °F	0	13 mph WNW
Mon 26	Light drizzle	45 / 59 °F	0.04 in	14 mph WSW
Sun 25	Partly cloudy	37 / 65 °F	0	14 mph SW
Sat 24	Overcast	31 / 55 °F	0	10 mph WNW
Fri 23	Overcast	34 / 47 °F	0	17 mph N
Thu 22	Overcast	34 / 53 °F	0	15 mph NNW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Partly cloudy	35 / 54 °F	0	6 mph NNE
Tue 20	Clear sky	37 / 57 °F	0	11 mph NW
Mon 19	Mainly clear	33 / 60 °F	0	16 mph SSW
Sun 18	Mainly clear	28 / 48 °F	0	9 mph WSW
Sat 17	Drizzle	33 / 51 °F	0.04 in	16 mph W
Fri 16	Snow	33 / 49 °F	0.29 in	11 mph SSW
Thu 15	Light drizzle	39 / 52 °F	0.04 in	18 mph NW
Wed 14	Heavy drizzle	39 / 49 °F	0.39 in	10 mph ESE
Tue 13	Light drizzle	35 / 46 °F	0.01 in	11 mph N
Mon 12	Light rain	41 / 63 °F	0.27 in	17 mph WNW
Sun 11	Overcast	35 / 55 °F	0	18 mph SW
Sat 10	Mainly clear	40 / 56 °F	0	16 mph WNW
Fri 9	Partly cloudy	44 / 58 °F	0	12 mph WSW
Thu 8	Drizzle	47 / 58 °F	0.26 in	11 mph SSW
Wed 7	Drizzle	42 / 56 °F	0.07 in	12 mph WSW
Tue 6	Light drizzle	41 / 53 °F	0.01 in	23 mph WSW
Mon 5	Light rain	45 / 60 °F	0.27 in	10 mph SSW
Sun 4	Overcast	37 / 61 °F	0	9 mph S
Sat 3	Partly cloudy	45 / 62 °F	0	10 mph WNW
Fri 2	Drizzle	50 / 68 °F	0.13 in	12 mph WSW
Thu 1	Partly cloudy	49 / 74 °F	0	12 mph SW
Wed 30	Overcast	47 / 63 °F	0	6 mph NNE
Tue 29	Light rain	51 / 56 °F	0.43 in	11 mph NE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Black River-HardwickeQuestions

What's the weather like today in Black River-Hardwicke?

Overcast, from 39 °F to 62 °F, with a gentle breeze from the southwest (8 mph) and a 1% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Black River-Hardwicke?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 15% (0.00 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 29 °F and a high of 62 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 2 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.08 inHg and steady: −0.29 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Black River-Hardwicke?

The best time to visit Black River-Hardwicke is from July to August: highs of 76 °F, about 10 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Black River-Hardwicke in October?

In October, Black River-Hardwicke normally sees highs of 55 °F and lows of 38 °F, with about 9 rainy days (4.22 in for the month) and 4 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 52 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Black River-Hardwicke?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 76 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 6 °F. The wettest is December (4.60 in) and the driest, September.

More about Black River-Hardwicke today

Weather near Black River-Hardwicke

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 2.5 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 8:09 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from