TidePlanet

Weather in Victoria

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 1:52 pm (PDT)
Now · drizzle 52 °F
Feels like
46 °F
Low / high
41 / 53 °F
Rain
45% · 0.34 in
Wind
8 mph WSW
→ 29.93 inHg · steady

Today in Victoria: drizzle, 41 °F to 53 °F, with a 45% chance of rain (0.34 in) and a gentle breeze from the west-southwest (8 mph). Tomorrow, drizzle, 42 °F to 51 °F and a 43% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 28, at 53 °F.

Measured now at the airport

Victoria Harbour (CYWH), 1.9 mi away · 54 min ago

Visibility15 mi
WeatherNothing to note
Temperature50 °F
Wind14 mph from the southwest

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

Day by day

Day Sky Low / high Rain Max wind Max wave High tides Model
Today · 28 Drizzle 41 / 53 °F 45% · 0.34 in 8 mph WSW 1.6 ft 8:44 am · 3:08 pm HRRR
Thu 29 Drizzle 42 / 51 °F 43% · 0.05 in 13 mph E 1.7 ft 9:51 am · 3:46 pm HRRR + NBM
Fri 30 Light drizzle 41 / 50 °F 21% · 0.02 in 10 mph NE 1.0 ft 10:46 am · 4:28 pm NBM
Sat 31 Overcast 41 / 51 °F 6% 9 mph NE 0.5 ft 11:31 am · 5:13 pm NBM
Sun 1 Mainly clear 40 / 51 °F 7% 5 mph NE 0.4 ft 12:07 pm · 6:03 pm NBM
Mon 2 Overcast 42 / 51 °F 9% 7 mph NE 0.6 ft 12:33 pm NBM
Tue 3 Overcast 43 / 52 °F 9% 6 mph NNE 0.5 ft 12:46 pm · 10:27 pm NBM
Wed 4 Overcast 43 / 52 °F 8% 6 mph NNE 0.7 ft 12:44 pm NBM
Thu 5 Light drizzle 43 / 52 °F 15% 5 mph NE 0.7 ft 1:09 am · 12:48 pm NBM
Fri 6 Overcast 44 / 53 °F 21% 7 mph E 1.3 ft 3:03 am · 1:01 pm NBM
Sat 7 Drizzle 45 / 53 °F 28% · 0.17 in 7 mph E 2.0 ft 4:58 am · 1:17 pm NBM
Sun 8 Light drizzle 45 / 56 °F 47% · 0.07 in 4 mph S 1.2 ft 6:10 am · 1:31 pm NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9 Drizzle 48 / 53 °F 47% · 0.43 in 16 mph SE 4.8 ft 7:09 am · 1:40 pm ECMWF
Tue 10 Overcast 50 / 57 °F 57% 4 mph N 2.8 ft 8:03 am · 1:46 pm ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 8:00 am; then NBM until Sunday 8 6:00 am; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 8:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time 12:00 am3:00 am6:00 am9:00 am12:00 pm3:00 pm6:00 pm9:00 pm
Sky Light drizzlePartly cloudyPartly cloudyPartly cloudyDrizzleDrizzleLight drizzleLight drizzle
Temperature 46°44°43°42°50°53°47°45°
Chance of rain 45%7%14%10%5%9%7%8%
Rain 0.00 in0.03 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.07 in
Wind (mph) 7 SSW4 S2 WNW1 WNW7 SW7 WSW4 SSE4 NNE
Humidity 92%89%92%94%79%60%80%87%
UV 00001100
Model HRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRR

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain tomorrow: take it with some caution.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F) TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF 49°48°48°53°55°54°55°
AIFS 49°49°47°50°51°49°53°
GFS 52°49°49°50°52°52°55°
ICON 52°52°48°52°52°53°58°
HRRR 53°51°—————
NBM 51°51°50°51°51°51°52°
Confidence highhighhighhighhighhighhigh
Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF 0.20 in0.17 in0.02 in0000
AIFS 0.17 in0.24 in0.19 in000.02 in0.02 in
GFS 0.15 in0.05 in00000
ICON 0.04 in0.43 in00000
HRRR 0.34 in0.03 in—————
NBM 0.15 in0.05 in0.02 in0000
Confidence highmediumhighhighhighhighhigh
Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph) TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF 923922817616414215612
AIFS 7864434
GFS 10211117111781254714710
ICON 101871771361271248612
HRRR 818821—————
NBM 91313151012910557866
Confidence highhighhighhighhighhighhigh

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios) 100%88%34%14%2%12%10%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) 99%100%58%18%16%16%16%
NBM (NOAA) 45%43%21%6%7%9%9%
Thunderstorm (NBM) 1%5%2%1%0%0%0%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When TemperatureTemp. Rain Sea Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 Normal +0.2 °F A bit below −43% A bit above +1.6 °F —
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 Above +3.4 °F Normal A bit above +1.6 °F 51° / 49°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 Above +2.7 °F Normal Above +1.8 °F 50° / 47°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 A bit above +2.5 °F Normal Above +1.8 °F 49° / 46°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 A bit above +2.2 °F Normal Above +1.8 °F 48° / 45°

Coming months

When TemperatureTemp. Rain Sea
November A bit above +1.3 °F Normal A bit above +1.4 °F
December Above +3.1 °F Normal Above +2.0 °F
January Above +3.4 °F Normal Above +2.5 °F
February Above +2.7 °F Normal Above +2.5 °F
March Above +3.2 °F Normal Above +2.9 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Victoria climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Victoria is from July to August: highs of 73 °F, about 3 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

Month High Low Rain Rainy daysDays Sun (h/day) Water Waves
JanuaryJan 45° 37° 4.81 in 17 1.5 46° 1.1 ft
FebruaryFeb 47° 38° 2.63 in 12 3.5 46° 1.1 ft
MarchMar 51° 40° 2.52 in 15 3.9 47° 1.0 ft
AprilApr 56° 43° 1.46 in 11 5.8 48° 0.9 ft
MayMay 63° 48° 1.15 in 8 6.8 50° 0.7 ft
JuneJun 68° 52° 0.88 in 6 7.2 52° 0.7 ft
JulyJul 73° 55° 0.50 in 3 8.6 53° 0.6 ft
AugustAug 73° 55° 0.83 in 4 7.7 54° 0.6 ft
SeptemberSep 67° 51° 1.09 in 7 6.0 52° 0.6 ft
OctoberOct 58° 44° 2.90 in 12 2.9 50° 0.8 ft
NovemberNov 49° 40° 4.97 in 17 1.5 49° 1.1 ft
DecemberDec 45° 37° 4.35 in 16 1.0 47° 1.2 ft
Month Water Waves
Jan 46° 1.1 ft
Feb 46° 1.1 ft
Mar 47° 1.0 ft
Apr 48° 0.9 ft
May 50° 0.7 ft
Jun 52° 0.7 ft
Jul 53° 0.6 ft
Aug 54° 0.6 ft
Sep 52° 0.6 ft
Oct 50° 0.8 ft
Nov 49° 1.1 ft
Dec 47° 1.2 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 28.10 in of rain on about 127 days and about 1,700 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now52 °Ffeels like 46 °F
Tomorrow42 / 51 °F

It's 52 °F now (feels like 46 °F). Today, 41 °F to 53 °F; tomorrow, 42 °F to 51 °F.

Chance of rain

  • Today 45% 0.34 in
  • Thu 29 43% 0.05 in
  • Fri 30 21% 0.02 in
  • Sat 31 6%
  • Sun 1 7%
  • Mon 2 9%
  • Tue 3 9%

Today the chance of rain reaches 45%, with 0.34 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 29: 43% and 0.05 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.11 in; last 3 days, 0.28 in; last 7 days, 0.85 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity65%
Dew point40 °F

Humidity is 65% now and the dew point is 40 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now17 migood
Clouds28%

Visibility is good now (17 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now1
Today's peak1low

Thu 29: 1 · Fri 30: 1 · Sat 31: 1

IndexLevelWhat to do
0–2lowNo special protection needed.
3–5moderateHat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7highSunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10very highAvoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+extremeAvoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

  • ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
  • → Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
  • ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

Steady now (+0.01 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 31
Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Tue 27 Light rain44 / 54 °F0.26 in12 mph SW
Mon 26 Overcast45 / 56 °F010 mph N
Sun 25 Light rain46 / 53 °F0.43 in10 mph NE
Sat 24 Heavy drizzle41 / 47 °F0.28 in8 mph NE
Fri 23 Overcast36 / 57 °F04 mph NW
Thu 22 Light drizzle39 / 56 °F0.04 in4 mph WSW
Wed 21 Overcast45 / 62 °F04 mph N
Show all 30 days
DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Tue 20 Partly cloudy37 / 62 °F08 mph N
Mon 19 Overcast43 / 58 °F05 mph NNE
Sun 18 Overcast41 / 58 °F06 mph N
Sat 17 Drizzle45 / 62 °F0.12 in14 mph WSW
Fri 16 Overcast51 / 67 °F010 mph WNW
Thu 15 Overcast49 / 63 °F06 mph N
Wed 14 Overcast49 / 62 °F06 mph N
Tue 13 Overcast46 / 56 °F04 mph SSW
Mon 12 Overcast44 / 60 °F04 mph WSW
Sun 11 Clear sky44 / 62 °F09 mph NNW
Sat 10 Light drizzle44 / 58 °F0.01 in7 mph N
Fri 9 Drizzle47 / 58 °F0.21 in13 mph WSW
Thu 8 Overcast52 / 68 °F08 mph SW
Wed 7 Overcast48 / 66 °F04 mph NNE
Tue 6 Overcast49 / 64 °F04 mph N
Mon 5 Overcast49 / 68 °F04 mph W
Sun 4 Overcast52 / 67 °F03 mph SSW
Sat 3 Overcast54 / 69 °F06 mph N
Fri 2 Light drizzle54 / 65 °F0.04 in5 mph SW
Thu 1 Drizzle52 / 60 °F0.08 in4 mph N
Wed 30 Overcast44 / 62 °F06 mph N
Tue 29 Light rain49 / 62 °F0.59 in10 mph SW
Mon 28 Rain44 / 62 °F0.47 in7 mph SW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in VictoriaQuestions

What's the weather like today in Victoria?

Drizzle, from 41 °F to 53 °F, with a gentle breeze from the west-southwest (8 mph) and a 45% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Victoria?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 43% (0.05 in): drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 40 °F and a high of 53 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 28.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 1 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.93 inHg and steady: −0.01 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Victoria?

The best time to visit Victoria is from July to August: highs of 73 °F, about 3 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Victoria in October?

In October, Victoria normally sees highs of 58 °F and lows of 44 °F, with about 12 rainy days (2.90 in for the month) and 3 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 50 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Victoria?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 73 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 37 °F. The wettest is November (4.97 in) and the driest, July.

More about Victoria today

Weather near Victoria

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 8.1 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 1:52 pm (local time).

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