Weather in North Saanich

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 6:16 pm (PDT)

Now · light drizzle 47 °F

Feels like: 43 °F
Low / high: 39 / 53 °F
Rain: 37%
Wind: 3 mph S

→ 29.96 inHg · steady

Today in North Saanich: light drizzle, 39 °F to 53 °F, with a 37% chance of rain and a light air from the south (3 mph). Tomorrow, light rain, 44 °F to 49 °F and a 38% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 28, at 53 °F.

Measured now at the airport

Victoria (CYYJ), 1.8 mi away · 16 min ago

Visibility30 mi

WeatherNothing to note

Temperature46 °F

Wind5 mph from the south

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

53° 39°
Today
49° 44°
Thu 29
49° 44°
Fri 30
50° 43°
Sat 31
51° 42°
Sun 1
50° 43°
Mon 2
52° 45°
Tue 3
52° 45°
Wed 4
52° 46°
Thu 5
52° 46°
Fri 6
51° 47°
Sat 7
55° 47°
Sun 8
53° 45°
Mon 9
55° 48°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Light drizzle	39 / 53 °F	37%	10 mph SSW	0.7 ft	8:29 am · 5:00 pm	HRRR
Thu 29	Light rain	44 / 49 °F	38% · 0.04 in	16 mph ESE	1.2 ft	9:28 am · 5:29 pm	HRRR + NBM
Fri 30	Light drizzle	44 / 49 °F	25% · 0.04 in	11 mph NE	0.5 ft	10:29 am · 5:58 pm	NBM
Sat 31	Light drizzle	43 / 50 °F	6%	9 mph NNE	0.5 ft	11:28 am	NBM
Sun 1	Overcast	42 / 51 °F	5%	7 mph ENE	0.5 ft	12:22 pm	NBM
Mon 2	Overcast	43 / 50 °F	13%	6 mph NNE	0.1 ft	1:09 pm · 10:57 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Overcast	45 / 52 °F	7%	7 mph N	0.1 ft	1:49 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Overcast	45 / 52 °F	12%	7 mph NNE	0.6 ft	1:20 am · 2:21 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Light drizzle	46 / 52 °F	17%	5 mph ESE	0.1 ft	3:06 am · 2:45 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Overcast	46 / 52 °F	28% · 0.07 in	9 mph SE	0.3 ft	4:26 am · 2:59 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Drizzle	47 / 51 °F	31% · 0.26 in	9 mph S	2.2 ft	5:29 am · 3:07 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Light rain	47 / 55 °F	39% · 0.12 in	10 mph SSE	1.5 ft	6:22 am · 3:14 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9	Heavy drizzle	45 / 53 °F	37% · 0.64 in	9 mph ESE	3.2 ft	7:10 am · 3:26 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	48 / 55 °F	47%	4 mph E	1.3 ft	7:56 am · 3:42 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 1:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 12:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 8:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Partly cloudy	Clear	Partly cloudy	Overcast	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle
Temperature	45°	45°	42°	41°	50°	53°	48°	43°
Chance of rain	37%	2%	4%	3%	4%	9%	6%	15%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	6 SSE	3 W	4 WNW	5 W	1 ESE	4 WSW	3 SSW	5 SSE
Humidity	91%	86%	89%	90%	80%	55%	70%	81%
UV	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain tomorrow: take it with some caution.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	52°	46°	48°	52°	51°	54°	52°
AIFS	49°	48°	46°	50°	50°	49°	52°
GFS	53°	49°	48°	49°	53°	51°	54°
ICON	51°	51°	49°	51°	54°	53°	58°
HRRR	53°	49°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	50°	49°	49°	50°	51°	50°	52°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0.06 in	0.84 in	0.08 in	0.01 in	0	0	0
AIFS	0.12 in	0.35 in	0.19 in	0	0	0.05 in	0.07 in
GFS	0.11 in	0.16 in	0.07 in	0.03 in	0	0	0
ICON	0.05 in	0.38 in	0.15 in	0.01 in	0.02 in	0	0
HRRR	0	0.02 in	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0.07 in	0.06 in	0.04 in	0	0	0	0
Confidence	high	medium	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	1025	1227	822	616	419	210	511
AIFS	9	8	4	5	4	2	2
GFS	916	814	912	76	54	85	66
ICON	1018	615	714	915	612	48	612
HRRR	1017	1222	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	1114	1620	1111	99	77	67	78
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	88%	94%	87%	11%	4%	14%	8%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	100%	100%	32%	39%	24%	22%	14%
NBM (NOAA)	37%	38%	25%	6%	5%	13%	7%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	1%	1%	2%	1%	0%	0%	0%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Normal +0.5 °F	A bit below −40%	A bit above +1.4 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Above +3.1 °F	A bit above +28%	A bit above +1.4 °F	52° / 49°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +2.5 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.6 °F	51° / 48°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +2.3 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.6 °F	49° / 47°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +2.2 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.6 °F	48° / 45°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.4 °F
December	Above +3.1 °F	Normal	Above +1.8 °F
January	Above +3.4 °F	Normal	Above +2.5 °F
February	Above +2.7 °F	Normal	Above +2.5 °F
March	Above +3.2 °F	Normal	Above +2.7 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

North Saanich climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit North Saanich is from July to August: highs of 73 °F, about 3 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

45° 36°

JanJ
47° 36°

FebF
51° 38°

MarM
56° 41°

AprA
63° 46°

MayM
67° 51°

JunJ
73° 54°

JulJ
73° 54°

AugA
68° 50°

SepS
58° 44°

OctO
50° 39°

NovN
45° 36°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	45°	36°	5.69 in	17	1.4	46°	1.1 ft
FebruaryFeb	47°	36°	3.10 in	12	3.5	46°	1.1 ft
MarchMar	51°	38°	2.99 in	15	4.0	47°	1.0 ft
AprilApr	56°	41°	1.71 in	11	5.9	48°	0.9 ft
MayMay	63°	46°	1.31 in	8	6.9	51°	0.7 ft
JuneJun	67°	51°	1.09 in	6	7.4	54°	0.7 ft
JulyJul	73°	54°	0.55 in	3	8.8	56°	0.6 ft
AugustAug	73°	54°	0.89 in	4	7.8	57°	0.6 ft
SeptemberSep	68°	50°	1.16 in	7	6.1	55°	0.6 ft
OctoberOct	58°	44°	3.32 in	12	2.9	51°	0.8 ft
NovemberNov	50°	39°	5.60 in	17	1.4	49°	1.1 ft
DecemberDec	45°	36°	5.15 in	16	0.9	47°	1.2 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	46°	1.1 ft
Feb	46°	1.1 ft
Mar	47°	1.0 ft
Apr	48°	0.9 ft
May	51°	0.7 ft
Jun	54°	0.7 ft
Jul	56°	0.6 ft
Aug	57°	0.6 ft
Sep	55°	0.6 ft
Oct	51°	0.8 ft
Nov	49°	1.1 ft
Dec	47°	1.2 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 32.56 in of rain on about 127 days and about 1,750 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now47 °Ffeels like 43 °F

Tomorrow44 / 49 °F

It's 47 °F now (feels like 43 °F). Today, 39 °F to 53 °F; tomorrow, 44 °F to 49 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 37%
Thu 29 38% 0.04 in
Fri 30 25% 0.04 in
Sat 31 6%
Sun 1 5%
Mon 2 13%
Tue 3 7%

Today the chance of rain reaches 37%. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 29: 38% and 0.04 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.07 in; last 3 days, 0.43 in; last 7 days, 1.30 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity72%

Dew point38 °F

Humidity is 72% now and the dew point is 38 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now14 migood

Clouds30%

Visibility is good now (14 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak1low

Thu 29: 1 · Fri 30: 1 · Sat 31: 1

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.90

Steady now (+0.01 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 28

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Light rain	43 / 51 °F	0.31 in	11 mph SW
Mon 26	Drizzle	45 / 56 °F	0.06 in	7 mph NNW
Sun 25	Light rain	47 / 55 °F	0.41 in	16 mph ENE
Sat 24	Heavy drizzle	36 / 47 °F	0.43 in	9 mph E
Fri 23	Overcast	36 / 56 °F	0	6 mph NW
Thu 22	Drizzle	37 / 58 °F	0.07 in	4 mph WNW
Wed 21	Overcast	37 / 59 °F	0	4 mph WNW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Overcast	37 / 60 °F	0	8 mph NW
Mon 19	Overcast	40 / 57 °F	0	6 mph NW
Sun 18	Overcast	35 / 56 °F	0	6 mph NW
Sat 17	Light drizzle	43 / 63 °F	0.05 in	9 mph WSW
Fri 16	Light drizzle	43 / 64 °F	0.01 in	5 mph SSE
Thu 15	Overcast	46 / 62 °F	0	4 mph NW
Wed 14	Overcast	47 / 59 °F	0	9 mph ESE
Tue 13	Overcast	45 / 55 °F	0	7 mph SSE
Mon 12	Overcast	35 / 59 °F	0	6 mph W
Sun 11	Clear sky	42 / 59 °F	0	9 mph NW
Sat 10	Overcast	42 / 58 °F	0	8 mph NW
Fri 9	Drizzle	46 / 60 °F	0.11 in	10 mph WSW
Thu 8	Overcast	47 / 62 °F	0	5 mph SSE
Wed 7	Overcast	43 / 65 °F	0	4 mph W
Tue 6	Overcast	48 / 64 °F	0	6 mph NW
Mon 5	Overcast	49 / 65 °F	0	5 mph NNE
Sun 4	Overcast	46 / 67 °F	0	3 mph N
Sat 3	Overcast	51 / 67 °F	0	7 mph NW
Fri 2	Light drizzle	52 / 63 °F	0.09 in	5 mph E
Thu 1	Drizzle	51 / 58 °F	0.17 in	5 mph NW
Wed 30	Overcast	40 / 60 °F	0	7 mph NW
Tue 29	Heavy drizzle	50 / 60 °F	0.31 in	11 mph SSE
Mon 28	Light rain	42 / 61 °F	0.34 in	11 mph SSE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in North SaanichQuestions

What's the weather like today in North Saanich?

Light drizzle, from 39 °F to 53 °F, with a light air from the south (3 mph) and a 37% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in North Saanich?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 38% (0.04 in): light rain.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 39 °F and a high of 53 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 28.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 1 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.96 inHg and steady: +0.09 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit North Saanich?

The best time to visit North Saanich is from July to August: highs of 73 °F, about 3 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in North Saanich in October?

In October, North Saanich normally sees highs of 58 °F and lows of 44 °F, with about 12 rainy days (3.32 in for the month) and 3 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 51 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in North Saanich?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 73 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 36 °F. The wettest is January (5.69 in) and the driest, July.

More about North Saanich today

Weather near North Saanich

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 6.9 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 6:16 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from