Weather in North Cowichan

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 7:13 pm (PDT)

Now · partly cloudy 46 °F

Feels like: 41 °F
Low / high: 39 / 52 °F
Rain: 36%
Wind: 4 mph W

→ 29.96 inHg · steady

Today in North Cowichan: light drizzle, 39 °F to 52 °F, with a 36% chance of rain and a light breeze from the west (4 mph). Tomorrow, heavy drizzle, 40 °F to 49 °F and a 51% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Tuesday 3, at 54 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

52° 39°
Today
49° 40°
Thu 29
49° 38°
Fri 30
50° 37°
Sat 31
52° 35°
Sun 1
51° 37°
Mon 2
54° 38°
Tue 3
54° 38°
Wed 4
53° 40°
Thu 5
52° 40°
Fri 6
52° 42°
Sat 7
58° 42°
Sun 8
53° 46°
Mon 9
58° 48°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Light drizzle	39 / 52 °F	36%	6 mph S	0.5 ft	8:24 am · 5:55 pm	HRRR
Thu 29	Heavy drizzle	40 / 49 °F	51% · 0.20 in	9 mph SE	1.0 ft	9:24 am · 6:29 pm	HRRR + NBM
Fri 30	Light drizzle	38 / 49 °F	41% · 0.10 in	5 mph NNE	0.5 ft	10:27 am · 7:09 pm	NBM
Sat 31	Overcast	37 / 50 °F	14%	4 mph NNE	0.3 ft	11:29 am · 8:06 pm	NBM
Sun 1	Overcast	35 / 52 °F	6%	4 mph SSE	0.4 ft	12:25 pm · 9:34 pm	NBM
Mon 2	Light drizzle	37 / 51 °F	14%	2 mph E	0.1 ft	1:14 pm · 11:29 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Overcast	38 / 54 °F	8%	3 mph N	0.1 ft	1:56 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Overcast	38 / 54 °F	12%	2 mph NE	0.3 ft	1:36 am · 2:30 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Light drizzle	40 / 53 °F	18%	2 mph ESE	0.1 ft	3:18 am · 2:59 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Overcast	40 / 52 °F	29% · 0.09 in	4 mph SE	0.1 ft	4:32 am · 3:24 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Heavy drizzle	42 / 52 °F	31% · 0.28 in	4 mph SSE	0.7 ft	5:32 am · 3:47 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Light drizzle	42 / 58 °F	43% · 0.14 in	6 mph S	0.7 ft	6:23 am · 4:10 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9	Light rain	46 / 53 °F	43% · 0.94 in	3 mph NNW	0.9 ft	7:08 am · 4:31 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	48 / 58 °F	55%	2 mph NW	0.5 ft	7:51 am · 4:51 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 2:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 12:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 8:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Mainly clear	Partly cloudy	Overcast	Overcast	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Mainly clear	Light drizzle
Temperature	44°	44°	40°	41°	50°	51°	47°	44°
Chance of rain	22%	2%	3%	2%	3%	5%	4%	13%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	6 SSE	2 S	3 SSE	4 S	2 E	3 SW	2 NNW	2 NW
Humidity	87%	94%	91%	90%	77%	63%	80%	77%
UV	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR

Do the models agree?

High confidence

The models agree for the next few days: the forecast is fairly solid.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	52°	45°	47°	53°	56°	58°	56°
AIFS	48°	47°	46°	50°	51°	49°	53°
GFS	53°	45°	48°	50°	54°	53°	58°
ICON	49°	48°	49°	51°	55°	52°	58°
HRRR	52°	49°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	50°	49°	49°	50°	52°	51°	54°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0.07 in	0.56 in	0.06 in	0	0	0.02 in	0
AIFS	0.17 in	0.43 in	0.21 in	0	0	0.05 in	0.07 in
GFS	0.06 in	0.59 in	0.02 in	0.02 in	0	0	0
ICON	0.24 in	0.56 in	0.09 in	0	0.01 in	0.01 in	0
HRRR	0	0.11 in	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0.04 in	0.37 in	0.10 in	0	0	0	0
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	514	615	413	513	514	413	415
AIFS	5	4	3	2	2	1	2
GFS	49	69	55	45	54	44	43
ICON	614	917	615	613	610	49	610
HRRR	616	716	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	49	1118	59	46	46	25	35
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	79%	96%	84%	6%	6%	20%	10%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	100%	100%	40%	32%	27%	24%	17%
NBM (NOAA)	36%	51%	41%	14%	6%	14%	8%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	1%	1%	2%	1%	0%	0%	0%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Normal +0.7 °F	A bit below −37%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Above +3.4 °F	A bit above +45%	50° / 48°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Above +2.7 °F	A bit above +22%	48° / 46°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Above +2.7 °F	Normal	47° / 44°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +2.2 °F	Normal	45° / 43°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +1.4 °F	Normal
December	Above +3.1 °F	Normal
January	Above +3.4 °F	Normal
February	Above +2.9 °F	Normal
March	Above +3.6 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

North Cowichan climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit North Cowichan is from July to August: highs of 74 °F, about 4 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

44° 34°

JanJ
47° 34°

FebF
51° 36°

MarM
56° 39°

AprA
63° 45°

MayM
67° 50°

JunJ
73° 54°

JulJ
74° 53°

AugA
68° 49°

SepS
57° 43°

OctO
49° 37°

NovN
43° 34°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	44°	34°	9.60 in	16	1.2	45°	0.6 ft
FebruaryFeb	47°	34°	4.06 in	11	3.3	45°	0.5 ft
MarchMar	51°	36°	4.88 in	13	3.9	46°	0.5 ft
AprilApr	56°	39°	2.91 in	10	5.7	49°	0.5 ft
MayMay	63°	45°	1.73 in	7	7.1	54°	0.3 ft
JuneJun	67°	50°	1.48 in	6	7.2	58°	0.3 ft
JulyJul	73°	54°	0.76 in	4	8.7	61°	0.3 ft
AugustAug	74°	53°	1.18 in	4	7.7	61°	0.3 ft
SeptemberSep	68°	49°	1.43 in	7	6.0	58°	0.4 ft
OctoberOct	57°	43°	5.14 in	11	2.9	52°	0.5 ft
NovemberNov	49°	37°	8.11 in	16	1.4	48°	0.6 ft
DecemberDec	43°	34°	7.72 in	16	0.8	46°	0.6 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	45°	0.6 ft
Feb	45°	0.5 ft
Mar	46°	0.5 ft
Apr	49°	0.5 ft
May	54°	0.3 ft
Jun	58°	0.3 ft
Jul	61°	0.3 ft
Aug	61°	0.3 ft
Sep	58°	0.4 ft
Oct	52°	0.5 ft
Nov	48°	0.6 ft
Dec	46°	0.6 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 49.00 in of rain on about 120 days and about 1,700 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now46 °Ffeels like 41 °F

Tomorrow40 / 49 °F

It's 46 °F now (feels like 41 °F). Today, 39 °F to 52 °F; tomorrow, 40 °F to 49 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 36%
Thu 29 51% 0.20 in
Fri 30 41% 0.10 in
Sat 31 14%
Sun 1 6%
Mon 2 14%
Tue 3 8%

Today the chance of rain reaches 36%. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 29: 51% and 0.20 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.09 in; last 7 days, 1.23 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity77%

Dew point38 °F

Humidity is 77% now and the dew point is 38 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now12 migood

Clouds61%

Visibility is good now (12 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak1low

Thu 29: 1 · Fri 30: 1 · Sat 31: 1

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.91

Steady now (+0.00 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 27

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Drizzle	42 / 52 °F	0.20 in	7 mph WSW
Mon 26	Light drizzle	42 / 57 °F	0.05 in	3 mph SW
Sun 25	Light rain	44 / 52 °F	0.51 in	6 mph NNE
Sat 24	Light rain	36 / 46 °F	0.60 in	4 mph NW
Fri 23	Overcast	34 / 58 °F	0	5 mph SW
Thu 22	Drizzle	38 / 59 °F	0.07 in	5 mph WSW
Wed 21	Overcast	38 / 63 °F	0	4 mph W

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Overcast	34 / 63 °F	0	4 mph WSW
Mon 19	Overcast	39 / 59 °F	0	3 mph WNW
Sun 18	Overcast	34 / 58 °F	0	6 mph WSW
Sat 17	Light drizzle	42 / 63 °F	0.02 in	11 mph W
Fri 16	Overcast	47 / 71 °F	0	4 mph WSW
Thu 15	Overcast	45 / 66 °F	0	5 mph WSW
Wed 14	Light drizzle	45 / 62 °F	0.02 in	2 mph NNW
Tue 13	Light drizzle	46 / 56 °F	0.01 in	4 mph W
Mon 12	Overcast	33 / 62 °F	0	5 mph WSW
Sun 11	Clear sky	35 / 61 °F	0	3 mph WSW
Sat 10	Overcast	37 / 58 °F	0	4 mph N
Fri 9	Drizzle	44 / 61 °F	0.14 in	8 mph W
Thu 8	Overcast	48 / 71 °F	0	9 mph WSW
Wed 7	Overcast	45 / 70 °F	0	4 mph WSW
Tue 6	Overcast	47 / 67 °F	0	6 mph WSW
Mon 5	Overcast	48 / 71 °F	0	6 mph WSW
Sun 4	Overcast	46 / 72 °F	0	4 mph WSW
Sat 3	Overcast	51 / 71 °F	0	4 mph W
Fri 2	Drizzle	53 / 66 °F	0.12 in	2 mph NW
Thu 1	Light drizzle	49 / 59 °F	0.07 in	3 mph WNW
Wed 30	Overcast	39 / 62 °F	0	5 mph WSW
Tue 29	Heavy drizzle	49 / 64 °F	0.32 in	5 mph WSW
Mon 28	Rain	43 / 62 °F	0.51 in	6 mph SW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in North CowichanQuestions

What's the weather like today in North Cowichan?

Light drizzle, from 39 °F to 52 °F, with a light breeze from the west (4 mph) and a 36% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in North Cowichan?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 51% (0.20 in): heavy drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 35 °F and a high of 54 °F; the warmest day, Tuesday 3.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 1 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.96 inHg and steady: +0.10 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit North Cowichan?

The best time to visit North Cowichan is from July to August: highs of 74 °F, about 4 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in North Cowichan in October?

In October, North Cowichan normally sees highs of 57 °F and lows of 43 °F, with about 11 rainy days (5.14 in for the month) and 3 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 52 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in North Cowichan?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 74 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 34 °F. The wettest is January (9.60 in) and the driest, July.

More about North Cowichan today

Weather near North Cowichan

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 7.0 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 7:13 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from