Weather in Kavarna

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 8:11 am (EET)

Now · overcast 56 °F

Feels like: 53 °F
Low / high: 55 / 57 °F
Rain: 100% · 0.20 in
Wind: 12 mph N

→ 30.02 inHg · steady

Today in Kavarna: light showers, 55 °F to 57 °F, with a 100% chance of rain (0.20 in) and a gentle breeze from the north (12 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 51 °F to 58 °F and a 9% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Monday 2, at 60 °F. Next likely rain: Monday 2 (76%).

Measured now at the airport

Balchik (LBWB), 8.3 mi away · 11 min ago

Visibility5.0 mi

WeatherDrizzle

Temperature61 °F

Wind18 mph from the north

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

57° 55°
Today
58° 51°
Fri 30
57° 50°
Sat 31
60° 51°
Sun 1
60° 57°
Mon 2
60° 55°
Tue 3
54° 41°
Wed 4
48° 35°
Thu 5
44° 31°
Fri 6
52° 31°
Sat 7
55° 40°
Sun 8
58° 40°
Mon 9
57° 41°
Tue 10
57° 44°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	Model
Today · 29	Light showers	55 / 57 °F	100% · 0.20 in	14 mph N	2.8 ft	ICON-EU
Fri 30	Overcast	51 / 58 °F	9% · 0.00 in	11 mph NNW	2.2 ft	ICON-EU
Sat 31	Overcast	50 / 57 °F	16%	6 mph NNW	1.2 ft	ICON-EU
Sun 1	Overcast	51 / 60 °F	27%	11 mph NE	2.8 ft	ICON-EU
Mon 2	Overcast	57 / 60 °F	76% · 0.01 in	16 mph ENE	5.1 ft	ICON-EU
Tue 3	Light rain	55 / 60 °F	73% · 0.93 in	13 mph NE	4.9 ft	ICON-EU + ECMWF
Wed 4	Drizzle	41 / 54 °F	50% · 0.22 in	18 mph NNW	2.8 ft	ECMWF
Thu 5	Overcast	35 / 48 °F	22%	13 mph NNW	2.0 ft	ECMWF
Fri 6	Clear sky	31 / 44 °F	10%	15 mph NNW	1.8 ft	ECMWF
Sat 7	Partly cloudy	31 / 52 °F	8%	14 mph NW	2.0 ft	ECMWF
Sun 8	Overcast	40 / 55 °F	10%	11 mph NW	2.2 ft	ECMWF
Mon 9	Partly cloudy	40 / 58 °F	12%	9 mph WSW	1.9 ft	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	41 / 57 °F	11%	6 mph NW	1.2 ft	ECMWF
Wed 11	Overcast	44 / 57 °F	16%	11 mph S	2.2 ft	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: ICON-EU until Tuesday 3 3:00 am; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 5:00 pm; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Light showers	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast	Light showers	Light showers	Overcast	Overcast
Temperature	57°	57°	56°	57°	57°	56°	56°	55°
Chance of rain	81%	100%	90%	81%	82%	53%	31%	7%
Rain	0.02 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.02 in	0.01 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	13 NNW	13 N	12 N	13 N	12 N	14 NNW	12 N	11 N
Humidity	97%	97%	98%	91%	88%	89%	90%	90%
UV	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0
Model	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	58°	60°	58°	60°	60°	60°	54°
AIFS	58°	57°	58°	59°	58°	57°	54°
GFS	60°	59°	53°	57°	60°	55°	54°
ICON	57°	58°	56°	60°	60°	62°	60°
ARPEGE	56°	54°	53°	57°	—	—	—
ICON-EU	57°	58°	57°	60°	60°	—	—
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.90 in	0	0	0.01 in	0.20 in	1.03 in	0.22 in
AIFS	0.31 in	0.01 in	0	0.07 in	0.28 in	1.03 in	1.00 in
GFS	0.31 in	0.00 in	0.08 in	0.01 in	1.01 in	0	0.04 in
ICON	0.24 in	0	0	0	0	0.39 in	0.30 in
ARPEGE	0.46 in	0	0	0.10 in	—	—	—
ICON-EU	0.20 in	0.00 in	0	0	0.01 in	—	—
Confidence	medium	high	high	medium	low	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1528	1427	711	1326	1738	1334	1833
AIFS	15	15	9	13	18	18	19
GFS	2027	1727	1116	1417	2127	2632	1729
ICON	1325	1224	612	1223	1529	1327	1325
ARPEGE	1927	1827	1218	1725	—	—	—
ICON-EU	1428	1123	612	1124	1632	—	—
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	medium	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	100%	9%	16%	27%	76%	73%	50%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	76%	26%	19%	23%	84%	69%	43%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit cooler, wetter and a slightly cooler sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Well below −5.4 °F	Well above +327%	A bit below −0.9 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit below −2.0 °F	Normal	A bit below −1.4 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal	A bit below −0.7 °F	54° / 51°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Normal +0.4 °F	Normal	Normal −0.4 °F	52° / 49°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal	Normal −0.2 °F	50° / 46°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +1.6 °F	A bit above +27%	Above +2.0 °F
December	Above +2.9 °F	Normal	Above +2.2 °F
January	A bit above +2.3 °F	Normal	Above +2.3 °F
February	Above +2.7 °F	A bit above +22%	Above +2.2 °F
March	A bit above +1.8 °F	Normal	Above +2.0 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Kavarna climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Kavarna is from June to September: highs of 75 °F to 83 °F, about 5 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

41° 29°

JanJ
44° 30°

FebF
50° 35°

MarM
58° 42°

AprA
69° 52°

MayM
77° 61°

JunJ
83° 65°

JulJ
83° 65°

AugA
75° 57°

SepS
64° 49°

OctO
53° 40°

NovN
44° 32°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	41°	29°	1.76 in	5	3.3	45°	3.6 ft
FebruaryFeb	44°	30°	1.26 in	4	4.3	44°	3.8 ft
MarchMar	50°	35°	1.50 in	5	5.4	45°	3.0 ft
AprilApr	58°	42°	1.27 in	5	6.7	50°	2.3 ft
MayMay	69°	52°	1.47 in	6	8.4	60°	1.9 ft
JuneJun	77°	61°	1.73 in	6	9.2	70°	1.8 ft
JulyJul	83°	65°	1.26 in	5	9.9	75°	1.9 ft
AugustAug	83°	65°	1.28 in	4	9.4	77°	2.7 ft
SeptemberSep	75°	57°	2.11 in	5	7.1	72°	2.9 ft
OctoberOct	64°	49°	2.13 in	5	5.4	65°	3.1 ft
NovemberNov	53°	40°	1.91 in	5	3.5	57°	3.2 ft
DecemberDec	44°	32°	1.86 in	6	2.6	50°	3.5 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	45°	3.6 ft
Feb	44°	3.8 ft
Mar	45°	3.0 ft
Apr	50°	2.3 ft
May	60°	1.9 ft
Jun	70°	1.8 ft
Jul	75°	1.9 ft
Aug	77°	2.7 ft
Sep	72°	2.9 ft
Oct	65°	3.1 ft
Nov	57°	3.2 ft
Dec	50°	3.5 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 19.54 in of rain on about 60 days and about 2,300 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now56 °Ffeels like 53 °F

Tomorrow51 / 58 °F

It's 56 °F now (feels like 53 °F). Today, 55 °F to 57 °F; tomorrow, 51 °F to 58 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 100% 0.20 in
Fri 30 9% 0.00 in
Sat 31 16%
Sun 1 27%
Mon 2 76% 0.01 in
Tue 3 73% 0.93 in
Wed 4 50% 0.22 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 100%, with 0.20 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Monday 2: 76% and 0.01 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.09 in; last 3 days, 0.78 in; last 7 days, 1.28 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity94%

Dew point55 °F

Humidity is 94% now and the dew point is 55 °F. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now4.6 mimoderate

Clouds100%

Visibility is moderate now (4.6 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak1low

Fri 30: 2 · Sat 31: 2 · Sun 1: 1

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.0030.1030.20 30.18

Steady now (+0.03 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.17 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 28

PollenNoneToday, at most none.

Pollen: Copernicus CAMS model (a rough guide, not a pollen trap). Levels use each type's usual thresholds.

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light rain	55 / 65 °F	0.44 in	14 mph N
Tue 27	Light rain	50 / 54 °F	0.61 in	15 mph NW
Mon 26	Light drizzle	53 / 66 °F	0.09 in	11 mph NW
Sun 25	Light drizzle	51 / 63 °F	0.01 in	7 mph E
Sat 24	Overcast	48 / 64 °F	0	9 mph W
Fri 23	Rain	51 / 62 °F	0.45 in	15 mph NW
Thu 22	Light drizzle	60 / 69 °F	0.01 in	15 mph SSE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Overcast	56 / 69 °F	0	11 mph SSE
Tue 20	Light drizzle	53 / 67 °F	0.01 in	9 mph WNW
Mon 19	Light drizzle	55 / 63 °F	0.05 in	14 mph WNW
Sun 18	Overcast	46 / 59 °F	0	15 mph WNW
Sat 17	Overcast	45 / 60 °F	0	15 mph NNW
Fri 16	Overcast	47 / 59 °F	0	13 mph NNW
Thu 15	Overcast	46 / 61 °F	0	19 mph NNW
Wed 14	Light drizzle	51 / 55 °F	0.05 in	21 mph N
Tue 13	Light rain	53 / 60 °F	0.50 in	17 mph N
Mon 12	Overcast	61 / 74 °F	0	11 mph NNW
Sun 11	Overcast	62 / 78 °F	0	10 mph SSE
Sat 10	Light drizzle	64 / 81 °F	0.01 in	9 mph WNW
Fri 9	Overcast	58 / 81 °F	0	7 mph SSW
Thu 8	Overcast	59 / 71 °F	0	13 mph S
Wed 7	Overcast	55 / 75 °F	0	10 mph SSW
Tue 6	Overcast	52 / 75 °F	0	9 mph SW
Mon 5	Clear sky	47 / 73 °F	0	7 mph SW
Sun 4	Clear sky	48 / 73 °F	0	7 mph NNW
Sat 3	Clear sky	52 / 68 °F	0	12 mph NNE
Fri 2	Light drizzle	55 / 68 °F	0.01 in	19 mph NNE
Thu 1	Light drizzle	55 / 69 °F	0.02 in	18 mph NNE
Wed 30	Overcast	57 / 70 °F	0	18 mph NNE
Tue 29	Light drizzle	61 / 71 °F	0.04 in	18 mph N

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in KavarnaQuestions

What's the weather like today in Kavarna?

Light showers, from 55 °F to 57 °F, with a gentle breeze from the north (12 mph) and a 100% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Kavarna?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 9% (0.00 in): overcast.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 41 °F and a high of 60 °F; the warmest day, Monday 2.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 1 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.02 inHg and steady: +0.04 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Kavarna?

The best time to visit Kavarna is from June to September: highs of 75 °F to 83 °F, about 5 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Kavarna in October?

In October, Kavarna normally sees highs of 64 °F and lows of 49 °F, with about 5 rainy days (2.13 in for the month) and 5 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 65 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Kavarna?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 83 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 29 °F. The wettest is October (2.13 in) and the driest, February.

More about Kavarna today

Weather near Kavarna

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 6.3 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 8:11 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from