Weather in Caiçara do Norte

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 2:00 am (GMT-3)

Now · clear 77 °F

Feels like: 83 °F
Low / high: 77 / 95 °F
Rain: 20% · 0.02 in
Wind: 8 mph ESE

↘ 29.91 inHg · falling UV 11 · very high

Today in Caiçara do Norte: light drizzle, 77 °F to 95 °F, with a 20% chance of rain (0.02 in) and a gentle breeze from the east-southeast (8 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 76 °F to 96 °F and a 15% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Saturday 31, at 97 °F. No significant rain expected over the next 7 days.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

95° 77°
Today
96° 76°
Fri 30
97° 76°
Sat 31
97° 77°
Sun 1
94° 77°
Mon 2
97° 76°
Tue 3
94° 76°
Wed 4
95° 76°
Thu 5
94° 77°
Fri 6
96° 76°
Sat 7
96° 77°
Sun 8
95° 76°
Mon 9
95° 78°
Tue 10
95° 77°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Light drizzle	77 / 95 °F	20% · 0.02 in	13 mph ESE	3.9 ft	6:14 am · 6:25 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Overcast	76 / 96 °F	15%	13 mph E	3.4 ft	7:00 am · 7:11 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Mainly clear	76 / 97 °F	6%	14 mph ESE	3.9 ft	7:53 am · 8:09 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Overcast	77 / 97 °F	6%	14 mph E	3.6 ft	9:11 am · 9:46 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	77 / 94 °F	14% · 0.04 in	13 mph ESE	3.7 ft	10:51 am · 11:28 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Partly cloudy	76 / 97 °F	8%	14 mph ESE	3.9 ft	12:14 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Mainly clear	76 / 94 °F	8%	15 mph ESE	4.2 ft	12:45 am · 1:16 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Mainly clear	76 / 95 °F	6%	15 mph ESE	4.4 ft	1:43 am · 2:05 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Mainly clear	77 / 94 °F	6%	14 mph E	3.6 ft	2:30 am · 2:46 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Mainly clear	76 / 96 °F	6%	13 mph ESE	3.4 ft	3:10 am · 3:23 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Clear sky	77 / 96 °F	18%	13 mph ESE	3.2 ft	3:46 am · 3:56 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Mainly clear	76 / 95 °F	22%	13 mph E	2.8 ft	4:18 am · 4:25 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Mainly clear	78 / 95 °F	25%	15 mph E	3.0 ft	4:46 am · 4:51 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Light drizzle	77 / 95 °F	39% · 0.02 in	15 mph ESE	3.5 ft	5:10 am · 5:14 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Clear sky	Overcast	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Mainly clear	Clear
Temperature	78°	77°	80°	89°	95°	94°	83°	79°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	2%	10%	20%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	8 ESE	8 SE	9 SE	13 ESE	12 ESE	12 ESE	12 ESE	11 E
Humidity	82%	87%	78%	54%	40%	42%	67%	80%
UV	0	0	1	7	10	2	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on temperature on Saturday 31: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	95°	96°	97°	97°	94°	97°	94°
AIFS	94°	92°	93°	92°	93°	94°	94°
GFS	93°	91°	91°	91°	91°	92°	92°
ICON	96°	94°	97°	93°	94°	96°	95°
Confidence	high	high	medium	medium	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.02 in	0	0	0	0.04 in	0	0
AIFS	0	0.02 in	0	0.02 in	0	0	0
GFS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
ICON	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1328	1326	1427	1427	1328	1429	1530
AIFS	13	12	14	15	15	15	15
GFS	1930	1826	2027	1927	1925	1926	1926
ICON	1525	1730	1831	1730	1730	1730	1730
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	20%	15%	6%	6%	14%	8%	8%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	3%	0%	0%	0%	3%	0%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal	Above +1.8 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal	Above +1.8 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.6 °F	84° / 80°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.4 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.4 °F	84° / 80°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.4 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.6 °F	84° / 80°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +1.4 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.4 °F
December	A bit above +2.0 °F	Normal	Above +1.8 °F
January	A bit above +2.5 °F	A bit below −27%	Above +2.2 °F
February	Above +3.1 °F	A bit below −48%	Above +2.0 °F
March	Above +3.4 °F	A bit below −48%	Above +2.0 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Caiçara do Norte climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Caiçara do Norte is from August to November: highs of 85 °F to 88 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

89° 74°

JanJ
90° 75°

FebF
89° 74°

MarM
89° 74°

AprA
87° 72°

MayM
85° 70°

JunJ
84° 69°

JulJ
85° 69°

AugA
87° 71°

SepS
88° 72°

OctO
88° 72°

NovN
89° 74°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	89°	74°	1.61 in	7	6.2	83°	4.0 ft
FebruaryFeb	90°	75°	2.15 in	11	5.8	83°	4.1 ft
MarchMar	89°	74°	4.06 in	16	5.4	84°	3.8 ft
AprilApr	89°	74°	5.75 in	18	5.1	84°	3.6 ft
MayMay	87°	72°	3.67 in	13	5.6	83°	3.2 ft
JuneJun	85°	70°	5.30 in	11	5.7	82°	3.1 ft
JulyJul	84°	69°	4.15 in	6	6.2	80°	3.2 ft
AugustAug	85°	69°	0.63 in	2	7.6	79°	3.5 ft
SeptemberSep	87°	71°	0.26 in	0	7.8	80°	3.8 ft
OctoberOct	88°	72°	0.05 in	0	7.8	80°	4.0 ft
NovemberNov	88°	72°	0.06 in	1	7.3	81°	4.1 ft
DecemberDec	89°	74°	0.31 in	1	6.6	82°	4.2 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	83°	4.0 ft
Feb	83°	4.1 ft
Mar	84°	3.8 ft
Apr	84°	3.6 ft
May	83°	3.2 ft
Jun	82°	3.1 ft
Jul	80°	3.2 ft
Aug	79°	3.5 ft
Sep	80°	3.8 ft
Oct	80°	4.0 ft
Nov	81°	4.1 ft
Dec	82°	4.2 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 27.99 in of rain on about 87 days and about 2,350 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now77 °Ffeels like 83 °F

Tomorrow76 / 96 °F

It's 77 °F now (feels like 83 °F). Today, 77 °F to 95 °F; tomorrow, 76 °F to 96 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 20% 0.02 in
Fri 30 15%
Sat 31 6%
Sun 1 6%
Mon 2 14% 0.04 in
Tue 3 8%
Wed 4 8%

Today the chance of rain reaches 20%, with 0.02 in in total. No significant rain expected this week.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.01 in; last 3 days, 0.02 in; last 7 days, 0.07 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity86%

Dew point73 °F

Humidity is 86% now and the dew point is 73 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds8%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak11very high

Fri 30: 11 · Sat 31: 10 · Sun 1: 10

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling · now Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.82

Falling now (−0.04 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.06 inHg. Falling pressure: anglers say fish feed more before the change. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 21

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light drizzle	77 / 95 °F	0.01 in	15 mph ESE
Tue 27	Overcast	77 / 95 °F	0	11 mph E
Mon 26	Light drizzle	74 / 93 °F	0.01 in	11 mph ENE
Sun 25	Overcast	77 / 93 °F	0	13 mph E
Sat 24	Overcast	77 / 95 °F	0	16 mph ESE
Fri 23	Light drizzle	77 / 94 °F	0.01 in	17 mph ESE
Thu 22	Light drizzle	77 / 94 °F	0.04 in	16 mph ESE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Light drizzle	77 / 93 °F	0.02 in	17 mph ESE
Tue 20	Light drizzle	76 / 94 °F	0.01 in	14 mph ESE
Mon 19	Overcast	75 / 94 °F	0	13 mph ESE
Sun 18	Overcast	75 / 93 °F	0	12 mph E
Sat 17	Overcast	77 / 93 °F	0	13 mph E
Fri 16	Overcast	76 / 92 °F	0	13 mph ESE
Thu 15	Partly cloudy	76 / 95 °F	0	13 mph ESE
Wed 14	Overcast	76 / 94 °F	0	14 mph ESE
Tue 13	Overcast	76 / 94 °F	0	15 mph ESE
Mon 12	Light drizzle	74 / 93 °F	0.05 in	15 mph ESE
Sun 11	Overcast	75 / 92 °F	0	15 mph ESE
Sat 10	Partly cloudy	76 / 94 °F	0	16 mph ESE
Fri 9	Mainly clear	76 / 95 °F	0	14 mph ESE
Thu 8	Overcast	76 / 95 °F	0	15 mph ESE
Wed 7	Mainly clear	76 / 93 °F	0	18 mph SE
Tue 6	Light drizzle	76 / 91 °F	0.01 in	19 mph SE
Mon 5	Overcast	75 / 92 °F	0	16 mph SE
Sun 4	Partly cloudy	75 / 94 °F	0	16 mph SE
Sat 3	Heavy drizzle	76 / 89 °F	0.15 in	13 mph E
Fri 2	Light drizzle	75 / 90 °F	0.11 in	11 mph E
Thu 1	Overcast	76 / 92 °F	0	14 mph ESE
Wed 30	Light drizzle	77 / 92 °F	0.07 in	14 mph ESE
Tue 29	Light drizzle	76 / 92 °F	0.02 in	14 mph ESE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Caiçara do NorteQuestions

What's the weather like today in Caiçara do Norte?

Light drizzle, from 77 °F to 95 °F, with a gentle breeze from the east-southeast (8 mph) and a 20% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Caiçara do Norte?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 15% (0.00 in): overcast.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 76 °F and a high of 97 °F; the warmest day, Saturday 31.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 11 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.91 inHg and falling: −0.04 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Caiçara do Norte?

The best time to visit Caiçara do Norte is from August to November: highs of 85 °F to 88 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Caiçara do Norte in October?

In October, Caiçara do Norte normally sees highs of 88 °F and lows of 72 °F, with about 0 rainy days (0.05 in for the month) and 8 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 80 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Caiçara do Norte?

The warmest is February, with average highs of 90 °F, and the coldest July, with lows of 69 °F. The wettest is April (5.75 in) and the driest, October.

More about Caiçara do Norte today

Weather near Caiçara do Norte

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 13 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 2:00 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from