Weather in Rocinha

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 11:03 pm (GMT-3)

Now · overcast 71 °F

Feels like: 75 °F
Low / high: 68 / 77 °F
Rain: 8%
Wind: 5 mph ENE

→ 30.08 inHg · steady UV 6 · high

Today in Rocinha: overcast, 68 °F to 77 °F, with a 8% chance of rain and a light breeze from the east-northeast (5 mph). Tomorrow, light rain, 70 °F to 74 °F and a 100% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Tuesday 3, at 82 °F.

Measured now at the airport

Rio de Janeiro/Dumont (SBRJ), 7.7 mi away · 4 min ago

Visibility6.2 mi or more

WeatherNothing to note

Temperature72 °F

Wind2 mph from the east

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

77° 68°
Today
74° 70°
Thu 29
79° 71°
Fri 30
75° 69°
Sat 31
75° 71°
Sun 1
80° 70°
Mon 2
82° 72°
Tue 3
83° 74°
Wed 4
87° 76°
Thu 5
92° 77°
Fri 6
90° 77°
Sat 7
83° 73°
Sun 8
75° 71°
Mon 9
73° 70°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Overcast	68 / 77 °F	8%	11 mph E	5.9 ft	3:48 am · 3:39 pm	ECMWF
Thu 29	Light rain	70 / 74 °F	100% · 0.48 in	5 mph E	4.7 ft	4:31 am · 4:14 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light rain	71 / 79 °F	100% · 0.47 in	7 mph SSW	4.2 ft	5:17 am · 4:52 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light drizzle	69 / 75 °F	90% · 0.09 in	10 mph SW	4.1 ft	6:09 am · 10:50 am · 5:38 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	71 / 75 °F	22% · 0.04 in	7 mph SSW	4.0 ft	11:46 am · 6:37 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	70 / 80 °F	41% · 0.09 in	11 mph E	3.8 ft	12:26 pm · 7:59 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	72 / 82 °F	34% · 0.01 in	7 mph SW	3.7 ft	12:52 pm · 9:56 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Overcast	74 / 83 °F	22%	8 mph ENE	3.0 ft	12:54 pm · 11:18 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Overcast	76 / 87 °F	29%	4 mph W	2.1 ft	12:29 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Overcast	77 / 92 °F	41%	6 mph NE	2.4 ft	12:04 am · 12:39 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light drizzle	77 / 90 °F	61% · 0.07 in	14 mph NNW	2.0 ft	12:45 am · 1:06 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light showers	73 / 83 °F	58% · 0.65 in	17 mph SW	4.1 ft	1:25 am · 1:38 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light drizzle	71 / 75 °F	47% · 0.10 in	10 mph SSW	4.1 ft	2:05 am · 2:11 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	70 / 73 °F	41% · 0.06 in	9 mph SE	3.3 ft	2:44 am · 2:44 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Overcast
Temperature	69°	69°	68°	75°	77°	76°	73°	72°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	8%	0%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	7 ENE	7 ENE	5 ENE	5 NE	6 ESE	11 ESE	10 E	7 E
Humidity	74%	76%	77%	64%	64%	73%	80%	83%
UV	0	0	0	6	6	2	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain on Saturday 31: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	77°	74°	79°	75°	75°	80°	82°
AIFS	77°	74°	77°	76°	76°	81°	82°
GFS	81°	79°	80°	78°	80°	86°	87°
ICON	82°	79°	83°	83°	80°	85°	92°
Confidence	high	high	high	medium	high	medium	low

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0	0.48 in	0.47 in	0.09 in	0.04 in	0.09 in	0.01 in
AIFS	0	0.42 in	0.49 in	0.09 in	0.20 in	0.32 in	0.20 in
GFS	0	0.26 in	0.37 in	0.04 in	0.41 in	1.79 in	0
ICON	0	0.37 in	0.55 in	0.01 in	0.02 in	0	0.11 in
Confidence	high	high	high	medium	medium	medium	low

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	1124	512	717	1021	720	1125	718
AIFS	9	7	9	9	10	9	5
GFS	611	48	69	79	713	68	810
ICON	614	410	417	618	617	720	417
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	8%	100%	100%	90%	22%	41%	34%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	97%	100%	83%	91%	77%	55%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +2.0 °F	Normal	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal −0.5 °F	Normal	81° / 69°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +2.5 °F	Normal	85° / 71°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +2.0 °F	Normal	84° / 71°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal	83° / 71°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	Above +2.7 °F	Normal
December	Above +2.9 °F	Normal
January	A bit above +2.3 °F	Normal
February	A bit above +2.5 °F	Normal
March	A bit above +2.3 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Rocinha climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Rocinha is from June to August: highs of 79 °F to 80 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 5 hours of sunshine a day.

87° 69°

JanJ
88° 69°

FebF
86° 69°

MarM
83° 66°

AprA
80° 62°

MayM
80° 60°

JunJ
79° 59°

JulJ
80° 59°

AugA
80° 62°

SepS
81° 64°

OctO
82° 65°

NovN
85° 68°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	87°	69°	5.89 in	18	4.8	78°	3.1 ft
FebruaryFeb	88°	69°	5.73 in	13	5.6	78°	3.0 ft
MarchMar	86°	69°	6.89 in	16	4.8	78°	3.7 ft
AprilApr	83°	66°	4.34 in	10	5.5	77°	3.8 ft
MayMay	80°	62°	3.47 in	8	4.9	74°	4.4 ft
JuneJun	80°	60°	1.93 in	6	5.1	73°	3.9 ft
JulyJul	79°	59°	1.80 in	6	5.2	71°	4.0 ft
AugustAug	80°	59°	1.17 in	5	5.9	70°	4.3 ft
SeptemberSep	80°	62°	1.50 in	9	4.8	70°	4.1 ft
OctoberOct	81°	64°	2.40 in	11	4.4	71°	3.9 ft
NovemberNov	82°	65°	3.20 in	16	3.2	72°	3.7 ft
DecemberDec	85°	68°	4.57 in	18	4.0	75°	3.2 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	78°	3.1 ft
Feb	78°	3.0 ft
Mar	78°	3.7 ft
Apr	77°	3.8 ft
May	74°	4.4 ft
Jun	73°	3.9 ft
Jul	71°	4.0 ft
Aug	70°	4.3 ft
Sep	70°	4.1 ft
Oct	71°	3.9 ft
Nov	72°	3.7 ft
Dec	75°	3.2 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 42.89 in of rain on about 138 days and about 1,750 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now71 °Ffeels like 75 °F

Tomorrow70 / 74 °F

It's 71 °F now (feels like 75 °F). Today, 68 °F to 77 °F; tomorrow, 70 °F to 74 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 8%
Thu 29 100% 0.48 in
Fri 30 100% 0.47 in
Sat 31 90% 0.09 in
Sun 1 22% 0.04 in
Mon 2 41% 0.09 in
Tue 3 34% 0.01 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 8%. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 29: 100% and 0.48 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.81 in; last 7 days, 2.00 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity87%

Dew point66 °F

Humidity is 87% now and the dew point is 66 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds94%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak6high

Thu 29: 6 · Fri 30: 10 · Sat 31: 7

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8030.0030.20 29.82

Steady now (−0.01 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.19 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityModerate · 46

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Light drizzle	67 / 73 °F	0.11 in	10 mph SE
Mon 26	Light rain	67 / 72 °F	0.70 in	13 mph SW
Sun 25	Light rain	72 / 76 °F	0.91 in	13 mph WNW
Sat 24	Overcast	71 / 82 °F	0	6 mph ENE
Fri 23	Drizzle	69 / 79 °F	0.14 in	5 mph ENE
Thu 22	Drizzle	69 / 74 °F	0.15 in	12 mph E
Wed 21	Light drizzle	68 / 74 °F	0.06 in	12 mph E

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Heavy drizzle	67 / 73 °F	0.30 in	7 mph ESE
Mon 19	Rain	67 / 72 °F	0.31 in	10 mph S
Sun 18	Rain	68 / 76 °F	0.50 in	9 mph SSE
Sat 17	Light showers	71 / 75 °F	0.86 in	11 mph SW
Fri 16	Light rain	72 / 83 °F	0.39 in	6 mph NW
Thu 15	Light rain	72 / 80 °F	0.16 in	7 mph ESE
Wed 14	Light drizzle	74 / 83 °F	0.02 in	9 mph WNW
Tue 13	Light drizzle	72 / 80 °F	0.03 in	6 mph E
Mon 12	Light drizzle	72 / 78 °F	0.06 in	9 mph WSW
Sun 11	Heavy drizzle	73 / 81 °F	0.10 in	8 mph W
Sat 10	Heavy drizzle	72 / 83 °F	0.11 in	9 mph ESE
Fri 9	Overcast	71 / 84 °F	0	10 mph ESE
Thu 8	Partly cloudy	71 / 77 °F	0	10 mph SW
Wed 7	Rain	72 / 78 °F	0.21 in	13 mph WSW
Tue 6	Rain	70 / 77 °F	0.51 in	9 mph ESE
Mon 5	Rain	70 / 77 °F	0.54 in	11 mph W
Sun 4	Light drizzle	68 / 87 °F	0.01 in	12 mph N
Sat 3	Rain	68 / 71 °F	0.94 in	9 mph E
Fri 2	Rain	69 / 74 °F	0.63 in	11 mph S
Thu 1	Rain	71 / 83 °F	0.45 in	11 mph W
Wed 30	Light showers	73 / 85 °F	0.12 in	15 mph NW
Tue 29	Thunderstorm	71 / 84 °F	0.17 in	11 mph ENE
Mon 28	Light drizzle	71 / 78 °F	0.05 in	12 mph ESE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in RocinhaQuestions

What's the weather like today in Rocinha?

Overcast, from 68 °F to 77 °F, with a light breeze from the east-northeast (5 mph) and a 8% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Rocinha?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 100% (0.48 in): light rain.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 68 °F and a high of 82 °F; the warmest day, Tuesday 3.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 6 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.08 inHg and steady: −0.13 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Rocinha?

The best time to visit Rocinha is from June to August: highs of 79 °F to 80 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 5 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Rocinha in October?

In October, Rocinha normally sees highs of 81 °F and lows of 64 °F, with about 11 rainy days (2.40 in for the month) and 4 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 71 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Rocinha?

The warmest is February, with average highs of 88 °F, and the coldest July, with lows of 59 °F. The wettest is March (6.89 in) and the driest, August.

More about Rocinha today

Weather near Rocinha

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 16 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 11:03 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from