Weather in Alcobaça

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 9:55 pm (GMT-3)

Now · overcast 76 °F

Feels like: 78 °F
Low / high: 72 / 80 °F
Rain: 61%
Wind: 7 mph SE

→ 30.09 inHg · steady

Today in Alcobaça: overcast, 72 °F to 80 °F, with a 61% chance of rain and a light breeze from the southeast (7 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 74 °F to 82 °F and a 6% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Saturday 31, at 85 °F. Next likely rain: Friday 30 (71%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

80° 72°
Today
82° 74°
Thu 29
82° 75°
Fri 30
85° 74°
Sat 31
82° 74°
Sun 1
84° 76°
Mon 2
84° 75°
Tue 3
83° 77°
Wed 4
85° 76°
Thu 5
85° 76°
Fri 6
85° 75°
Sat 7
85° 75°
Sun 8
86° 75°
Mon 9
84° 76°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Overcast	72 / 80 °F	61%	11 mph SE	2.3 ft	4:35 am · 4:46 pm	ECMWF
Thu 29	Overcast	74 / 82 °F	6%	9 mph SE	1.7 ft	5:23 am · 5:32 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light drizzle	75 / 82 °F	71% · 0.04 in	10 mph NE	2.0 ft	6:18 am · 6:26 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Drizzle	74 / 85 °F	24% · 0.07 in	12 mph NNE	2.2 ft	7:27 am · 7:37 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Drizzle	74 / 82 °F	47% · 0.29 in	10 mph NNE	1.7 ft	8:55 am · 9:07 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	76 / 84 °F	41% · 0.07 in	11 mph NE	1.7 ft	10:27 am · 10:36 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Overcast	75 / 84 °F	27%	11 mph NE	2.0 ft	11:36 am · 11:43 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Overcast	77 / 83 °F	20%	13 mph NNE	2.3 ft	12:26 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Overcast	76 / 85 °F	4%	15 mph NNE	2.7 ft	12:35 am · 1:07 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Overcast	76 / 85 °F	10%	15 mph NNE	3.8 ft	1:19 am · 1:43 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Partly cloudy	75 / 85 °F	21%	15 mph NNE	4.9 ft	1:58 am · 2:16 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Mainly clear	75 / 85 °F	37%	16 mph NNE	5.2 ft	2:34 am · 2:47 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light drizzle	75 / 86 °F	42% · 0.02 in	13 mph NNE	4.9 ft	3:09 am · 3:18 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	76 / 84 °F	51%	10 mph NE	2.9 ft	3:42 am · 3:49 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast
Temperature	74°	72°	73°	80°	80°	79°	76°	76°
Chance of rain	61%	43%	51%	12%	16%	4%	0%	2%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	10 SSE	8 SSE	7 S	10 SE	9 SE	9 SE	7 SE	7 ESE
Humidity	75%	83%	80%	60%	60%	61%	66%	69%
UV	0	0	0	5	4	1	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	80°	82°	82°	85°	82°	84°	84°
AIFS	79°	80°	82°	83°	82°	83°	83°
GFS	79°	81°	83°	87°	86°	86°	83°
ICON	80°	82°	85°	89°	88°	87°	86°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0	0	0.04 in	0.07 in	0.29 in	0.07 in	0
AIFS	0.06 in	0	0.07 in	0.03 in	0.07 in	0.07 in	0.06 in
GFS	0.03 in	0	0.02 in	0.16 in	0.02 in	0.01 in	0.04 in
ICON	0.01 in	0	0	0	0	0	0
Confidence	medium	high	medium	medium	low	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	1123	923	1023	1228	1024	1127	1125
AIFS	12	9	10	13	9	11	13
GFS	1017	1014	1323	1424	1120	1323	1421
ICON	920	716	615	1022	1023	820	1126
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	61%	6%	71%	24%	47%	41%	27%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	23%	3%	19%	42%	30%	17%	10%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, a bit drier and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +2.5 °F	Below −54%	Above +2.0 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.6 °F	80° / 76°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.6 °F	A bit below −31%	A bit above +1.4 °F	81° / 77°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.6 °F	A bit below −26%	A bit above +1.6 °F	82° / 77°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.4 °F	82° / 77°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +2.3 °F	A bit below −42%	A bit above +1.4 °F
December	A bit above +2.3 °F	A bit below −36%	A bit above +1.3 °F
January	A bit above +2.3 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.4 °F
February	A bit above +2.3 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.6 °F
March	A bit above +2.5 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.6 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Alcobaça climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Alcobaça is from August to October and in January: highs of 81 °F to 88 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

88° 72°

JanJ
89° 73°

FebF
88° 73°

MarM
86° 71°

AprA
83° 69°

MayM
81° 66°

JunJ
80° 65°

JulJ
81° 65°

AugA
82° 67°

SepS
83° 69°

OctO
84° 71°

NovN
87° 72°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	88°	72°	3.17 in	11	7.1	80°	3.1 ft
FebruaryFeb	89°	73°	3.08 in	10	6.6	81°	3.0 ft
MarchMar	88°	73°	6.25 in	14	5.8	81°	3.1 ft
AprilApr	86°	71°	5.14 in	14	5.5	81°	3.2 ft
MayMay	83°	69°	5.18 in	11	4.9	79°	3.6 ft
JuneJun	81°	66°	3.45 in	11	5.0	78°	3.7 ft
JulyJul	80°	65°	4.00 in	12	5.4	76°	4.0 ft
AugustAug	81°	65°	2.61 in	9	6.2	76°	4.0 ft
SeptemberSep	82°	67°	3.00 in	8	5.4	77°	4.1 ft
OctoberOct	83°	69°	4.50 in	11	5.8	78°	4.0 ft
NovemberNov	84°	71°	7.80 in	14	5.1	78°	3.8 ft
DecemberDec	87°	72°	4.24 in	12	5.8	79°	3.4 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	80°	3.1 ft
Feb	81°	3.0 ft
Mar	81°	3.1 ft
Apr	81°	3.2 ft
May	79°	3.6 ft
Jun	78°	3.7 ft
Jul	76°	4.0 ft
Aug	76°	4.0 ft
Sep	77°	4.1 ft
Oct	78°	4.0 ft
Nov	78°	3.8 ft
Dec	79°	3.4 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 52.42 in of rain on about 136 days and about 2,100 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now76 °Ffeels like 78 °F

Tomorrow74 / 82 °F

It's 76 °F now (feels like 78 °F). Today, 72 °F to 80 °F; tomorrow, 74 °F to 82 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 61%
Thu 29 6%
Fri 30 71% 0.04 in
Sat 31 24% 0.07 in
Sun 1 47% 0.29 in
Mon 2 41% 0.07 in
Tue 3 27%

Today the chance of rain reaches 61%. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 71% and 0.04 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 1.09 in; last 7 days, 1.44 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity70%

Dew point65 °F

Humidity is 70% now and the dew point is 65 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds100%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak5moderate

Thu 29: 5 · Fri 30: 8 · Sat 31: 13

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8030.0030.20 29.84

Steady now (+0.01 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.17 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 34

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Showers	73 / 76 °F	0.73 in	14 mph S
Mon 26	Showers	74 / 91 °F	0.33 in	10 mph N
Sun 25	Light drizzle	75 / 87 °F	0.03 in	15 mph N
Sat 24	Light drizzle	77 / 84 °F	0.04 in	15 mph NNE
Fri 23	Light drizzle	74 / 83 °F	0.12 in	11 mph NE
Thu 22	Drizzle	74 / 80 °F	0.20 in	11 mph ESE
Wed 21	Light rain	73 / 76 °F	0.66 in	11 mph SE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Light rain	73 / 77 °F	0.72 in	14 mph SSE
Mon 19	Light drizzle	74 / 87 °F	0.04 in	11 mph E
Sun 18	Light showers	73 / 85 °F	0.09 in	15 mph NNE
Sat 17	Light showers	75 / 87 °F	0.16 in	14 mph NNE
Fri 16	Drizzle	74 / 84 °F	0.25 in	12 mph NNE
Thu 15	Overcast	74 / 86 °F	0	15 mph NNE
Wed 14	Partly cloudy	74 / 86 °F	0	14 mph NNE
Tue 13	Mainly clear	74 / 85 °F	0	14 mph NNE
Mon 12	Light drizzle	74 / 84 °F	0.04 in	14 mph NNE
Sun 11	Mainly clear	75 / 85 °F	0	11 mph NE
Sat 10	Mainly clear	74 / 85 °F	0	11 mph NE
Fri 9	Partly cloudy	75 / 85 °F	0	12 mph NE
Thu 8	Partly cloudy	70 / 85 °F	0	11 mph NE
Wed 7	Partly cloudy	75 / 85 °F	0	12 mph NE
Tue 6	Mainly clear	73 / 84 °F	0	12 mph NNE
Mon 5	Light drizzle	77 / 85 °F	0.02 in	15 mph NE
Sun 4	Light drizzle	76 / 85 °F	0.02 in	13 mph NE
Sat 3	Light drizzle	76 / 85 °F	0.01 in	10 mph ENE
Fri 2	Partly cloudy	75 / 85 °F	0	11 mph NNE
Thu 1	Partly cloudy	74 / 85 °F	0	15 mph NNE
Wed 30	Overcast	76 / 85 °F	0	15 mph NNE
Tue 29	Partly cloudy	75 / 85 °F	0	14 mph NE
Mon 28	Mainly clear	71 / 85 °F	0	11 mph NE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in AlcobaçaQuestions

What's the weather like today in Alcobaça?

Overcast, from 72 °F to 80 °F, with a light breeze from the southeast (7 mph) and a 61% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Alcobaça?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 6% (0.00 in): overcast.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 72 °F and a high of 85 °F; the warmest day, Saturday 31.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 5 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.09 inHg and steady: −0.08 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Alcobaça?

The best time to visit Alcobaça is from August to October and in January: highs of 81 °F to 88 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Alcobaça in October?

In October, Alcobaça normally sees highs of 83 °F and lows of 69 °F, with about 11 rainy days (4.50 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 78 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Alcobaça?

The warmest is February, with average highs of 89 °F, and the coldest July, with lows of 65 °F. The wettest is November (7.80 in) and the driest, August.

More about Alcobaça today

Weather near Alcobaça

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 3.8 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 9:55 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from