Weather in The Bottom

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 5:56 pm (AST)

Now · clear sky 84 °F

Feels like: 89 °F
Low / high: 84 / 84 °F
Rain: 27% · 0.02 in
Wind: 13 mph E

→ 29.95 inHg · steady UV 9 · very high

Today in The Bottom: light drizzle, 84 °F to 84 °F, with a 27% chance of rain (0.02 in) and a moderate breeze from the east (13 mph). Tomorrow, partly cloudy, 83 °F to 85 °F and a 45% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Sunday 1, at 85 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

84° 84°
Today
85° 83°
Thu 29
84° 80°
Fri 30
84° 81°
Sat 31
85° 83°
Sun 1
84° 80°
Mon 2
83° 77°
Tue 3
84° 83°
Wed 4
84° 83°
Thu 5
84° 82°
Fri 6
84° 83°
Sat 7
84° 83°
Sun 8
83° 83°
Mon 9
83° 83°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	Model
Today · 28	Light drizzle	84 / 84 °F	27% · 0.02 in	16 mph ESE	4.0 ft	ECMWF
Thu 29	Partly cloudy	83 / 85 °F	45%	18 mph ESE	3.9 ft	ECMWF
Fri 30	Drizzle	80 / 84 °F	53% · 0.13 in	17 mph ESE	3.7 ft	ECMWF
Sat 31	Drizzle	81 / 84 °F	67% · 0.21 in	16 mph E	3.6 ft	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	83 / 85 °F	43% · 0.05 in	18 mph E	3.7 ft	ECMWF
Mon 2	Drizzle	80 / 84 °F	59% · 0.33 in	18 mph ESE	3.7 ft	ECMWF
Tue 3	Heavy drizzle	77 / 83 °F	57% · 0.27 in	21 mph ESE	3.9 ft	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	83 / 84 °F	59% · 0.05 in	15 mph ESE	3.3 ft	ECMWF
Thu 5	Overcast	83 / 84 °F	57%	13 mph ESE	2.9 ft	ECMWF
Fri 6	Partly cloudy	82 / 84 °F	55%	12 mph ESE	2.6 ft	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light drizzle	83 / 84 °F	51% · 0.02 in	14 mph E	2.9 ft	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light drizzle	83 / 84 °F	39% · 0.05 in	15 mph ENE	3.0 ft	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light drizzle	83 / 83 °F	37% · 0.07 in	11 mph ENE	2.4 ft	ECMWF
Tue 10	Partly cloudy	83 / 83 °F	36%	11 mph E	2.5 ft	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Clear	Clear sky	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Clear	Mainly clear
Temperature	84°	84°	84°	84°	84°	84°	84°	84°
Chance of rain	11%	11%	6%	5%	10%	20%	25%	16%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	14 ESE	13 E	14 E	13 ESE	13 ESE	13 ESE	13 E	15 ESE
Humidity	70%	72%	73%	72%	72%	72%	72%	71%
UV	0	0	0	4	9	3	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	84°	85°	84°	84°	85°	84°	83°
AIFS	85°	84°	84°	83°	83°	84°	84°
GFS	84°	84°	84°	84°	84°	84°	84°
ICON	84°	84°	84°	84°	85°	84°	84°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0.02 in	0	0.13 in	0.21 in	0.05 in	0.33 in	0.27 in
AIFS	0	0.05 in	0.08 in	0.12 in	0.11 in	0.11 in	0.11 in
GFS	0.03 in	0.06 in	0.05 in	0.11 in	0.03 in	0.17 in	0.25 in
ICON	0.06 in	0.02 in	0.04 in	0.06 in	0.15 in	0.04 in	0.06 in
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	high	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	1621	1823	1724	1621	1826	1828	2126
AIFS	13	15	14	14	16	16	16
GFS	1615	1817	1819	1717	1920	1921	1718
ICON	1216	1418	1419	1318	1520	1521	1520
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	27%	45%	53%	67%	43%	59%	57%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	84%	30%	60%	61%	45%	55%	56%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.1 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.8 °F	A bit below −46%	A bit above +1.4 °F	83° / 82°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.4 °F	83° / 81°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.6 °F	83° / 81°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.6 °F	82° / 80°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +2.0 °F	A bit below −32%	Above +1.8 °F
December	A bit above +2.3 °F	Normal	Above +2.0 °F
January	Above +2.7 °F	Normal	Above +2.2 °F
February	Above +2.7 °F	Normal	Above +2.3 °F
March	Above +2.7 °F	A bit above +43%	Above +2.5 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

The Bottom climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit The Bottom is from January to April: highs of 82 °F to 83 °F, about 3 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from August to October, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 25 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of The Bottom, about 8 every 10 years; 12 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Ernesto, in August 2024.

82° 70°

JanJ
82° 70°

FebF
82° 71°

MarM
83° 73°

AprA
85° 74°

MayM
86° 76°

JunJ
86° 76°

JulJ
87° 76°

AugA
87° 76°

SepS
86° 75°

OctO
85° 73°

NovN
83° 72°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	82°	70°	4.04 in	3	7.8	80°	5.4 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	82°	70°	2.11 in	2	8.0	79°	5.4 ft	–
MarchMar	82°	71°	1.89 in	2	8.4	79°	5.0 ft	–
AprilApr	83°	73°	2.30 in	4	8.5	80°	4.5 ft	–
MayMay	85°	74°	3.30 in	8	8.4	82°	4.2 ft	–
JuneJun	86°	76°	3.29 in	7	8.3	82°	4.1 ft	–
JulyJul	86°	76°	3.97 in	8	8.5	83°	4.3 ft	1
AugustAug	87°	76°	5.27 in	9	8.5	84°	4.1 ft	9
SeptemberSep	87°	76°	5.38 in	13	7.6	84°	4.0 ft	7
OctoberOct	86°	75°	5.16 in	12	7.7	84°	4.1 ft	6
NovemberNov	85°	73°	5.58 in	9	7.6	83°	4.6 ft	1
DecemberDec	83°	72°	4.18 in	5	7.6	81°	5.3 ft	1

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	80°	5.4 ft	–
Feb	79°	5.4 ft	–
Mar	79°	5.0 ft	–
Apr	80°	4.5 ft	–
May	82°	4.2 ft	–
Jun	82°	4.1 ft	–
Jul	83°	4.3 ft	1
Aug	84°	4.1 ft	9
Sep	84°	4.0 ft	7
Oct	84°	4.1 ft	6
Nov	83°	4.6 ft	1
Dec	81°	5.3 ft	1

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 46.46 in of rain on about 80 days and about 2,950 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now84 °Ffeels like 89 °F

Tomorrow83 / 85 °F

It's 84 °F now (feels like 89 °F). Today, 84 °F to 84 °F; tomorrow, 83 °F to 85 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 27% 0.02 in
Thu 29 45%
Fri 30 53% 0.13 in
Sat 31 67% 0.21 in
Sun 1 43% 0.05 in
Mon 2 59% 0.33 in
Tue 3 57% 0.27 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 27%, with 0.02 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 29: 45% and 0.00 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.02 in; last 3 days, 0.02 in; last 7 days, 0.09 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity72%

Dew point74 °F

Humidity is 72% now and the dew point is 74 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds7%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak9very high

Thu 29: 9 · Fri 30: 8 · Sat 31: 8

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.9030.00 29.88

Steady now (+0.01 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.04 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 17

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Partly cloudy	83 / 86 °F	0	17 mph ESE
Mon 26	Partly cloudy	84 / 86 °F	0	23 mph ESE
Sun 25	Light drizzle	84 / 86 °F	0.01 in	24 mph ESE
Sat 24	Light drizzle	84 / 86 °F	0.02 in	20 mph ESE
Fri 23	Light drizzle	83 / 86 °F	0.02 in	20 mph ESE
Thu 22	Light drizzle	82 / 86 °F	0.01 in	13 mph ESE
Wed 21	Light drizzle	82 / 86 °F	0.02 in	11 mph SE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Partly cloudy	82 / 85 °F	0	11 mph ESE
Mon 19	Light drizzle	81 / 85 °F	0.11 in	12 mph E
Sun 18	Light drizzle	82 / 85 °F	0.02 in	12 mph E
Sat 17	Light drizzle	83 / 85 °F	0.01 in	13 mph E
Fri 16	Clear sky	83 / 85 °F	0	16 mph ENE
Thu 15	Light drizzle	84 / 85 °F	0.04 in	17 mph ENE
Wed 14	Light drizzle	83 / 85 °F	0.01 in	17 mph ENE
Tue 13	Light drizzle	83 / 85 °F	0.05 in	15 mph ENE
Mon 12	Light drizzle	83 / 85 °F	0.07 in	17 mph E
Sun 11	Drizzle	80 / 85 °F	0.14 in	21 mph E
Sat 10	Drizzle	80 / 84 °F	0.21 in	20 mph E
Fri 9	Light drizzle	82 / 85 °F	0.07 in	21 mph ENE
Thu 8	Overcast	83 / 86 °F	0	18 mph E
Wed 7	Light showers	82 / 85 °F	0.32 in	17 mph E
Tue 6	Drizzle	83 / 85 °F	0.14 in	19 mph E
Mon 5	Overcast	83 / 85 °F	0	20 mph E
Sun 4	Drizzle	84 / 85 °F	0.12 in	15 mph E
Sat 3	Light drizzle	83 / 85 °F	0.01 in	15 mph E
Fri 2	Mainly clear	83 / 85 °F	0	16 mph E
Thu 1	Light drizzle	84 / 85 °F	0.06 in	20 mph E
Wed 30	Drizzle	83 / 85 °F	0.18 in	21 mph E
Tue 29	Light drizzle	84 / 85 °F	0.05 in	20 mph ENE
Mon 28	Light drizzle	83 / 85 °F	0.02 in	15 mph E

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in The BottomQuestions

What's the weather like today in The Bottom?

Light drizzle, from 84 °F to 84 °F, with a moderate breeze from the east (13 mph) and a 27% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in The Bottom?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 45% (0.00 in): partly cloudy.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 77 °F and a high of 85 °F; the warmest day, Sunday 1.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 9 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.95 inHg and steady: +0.02 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit The Bottom?

The best time to visit The Bottom is from January to April: highs of 82 °F to 83 °F, about 3 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in The Bottom in October?

In October, The Bottom normally sees highs of 86 °F and lows of 75 °F, with about 12 rainy days (5.16 in for the month) and 8 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 84 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in The Bottom?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 87 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 70 °F. The wettest is November (5.58 in) and the driest, March.

When is hurricane season in The Bottom?

Hurricane season: from August to October, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 25 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of The Bottom, about 8 every 10 years; 12 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Ernesto, in August 2024.

More about The Bottom today

Weather near The Bottom

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 8.5 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 5:56 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from