Weather in Ayla Patakata

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 9:18 am (GMT+6)

Now · overcast 84 °F

Feels like: 92 °F
Low / high: 76 / 87 °F
Rain: 45% · 0.17 in
Wind: 7 mph ESE

↗ 29.97 inHg · rising UV 6 · high

Today in Ayla Patakata: light showers, 76 °F to 87 °F, with a 45% chance of rain (0.17 in) and a light breeze from the east-southeast (7 mph). Tomorrow, light showers, 75 °F to 85 °F and a 78% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Sunday 1, at 88 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

87° 76°
Today
85° 75°
Fri 30
87° 75°
Sat 31
88° 76°
Sun 1
88° 77°
Mon 2
87° 78°
Tue 3
87° 77°
Wed 4
87° 76°
Thu 5
85° 72°
Fri 6
85° 71°
Sat 7
86° 71°
Sun 8
86° 71°
Mon 9
83° 72°
Tue 10
83° 70°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	Model
Today · 29	Light showers	76 / 87 °F	45% · 0.17 in	8 mph SE	0.9 ft	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light showers	75 / 85 °F	78% · 0.40 in	3 mph E	0.7 ft	ECMWF
Sat 31	Partly cloudy	75 / 87 °F	51%	4 mph NNW	0.5 ft	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	76 / 88 °F	29% · 0.04 in	4 mph NW	0.4 ft	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	77 / 88 °F	45% · 0.01 in	5 mph NW	0.4 ft	ECMWF
Tue 3	Drizzle	78 / 87 °F	39% · 0.13 in	4 mph NW	0.4 ft	ECMWF
Wed 4	Partly cloudy	77 / 87 °F	25%	4 mph NW	0.3 ft	ECMWF
Thu 5	Clear sky	76 / 87 °F	12%	6 mph NNW	0.4 ft	ECMWF
Fri 6	Clear sky	72 / 85 °F	6%	6 mph NNW	0.4 ft	ECMWF
Sat 7	Clear sky	71 / 85 °F	6%	5 mph NNW	0.4 ft	ECMWF
Sun 8	Clear sky	71 / 86 °F	8%	7 mph NNW	—	ECMWF
Mon 9	Overcast	71 / 86 °F	22%	5 mph NNW	—	ECMWF
Tue 10	Heavy drizzle	72 / 83 °F	35% · 0.35 in	5 mph SW	—	ECMWF
Wed 11	Light drizzle	70 / 83 °F	37% · 0.03 in	4 mph NE	—	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Partly cloudy	Mainly clear	Clear	Overcast	Overcast	Light drizzle	Overcast	Overcast
Temperature	81°	76°	77°	83°	87°	86°	81°	80°
Chance of rain	39%	39%	12%	0%	8%	31%	27%	39%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.01 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	3 SE	8 E	6 E	7 ESE	6 SE	8 S	4 S	2 SE
Humidity	83%	89%	91%	80%	69%	65%	82%	88%
UV	0	0	0	2	6	2	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain tomorrow: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	87°	85°	87°	88°	88°	87°	87°
AIFS	89°	86°	90°	91°	90°	89°	89°
GFS	89°	82°	90°	91°	91°	86°	87°
ICON	89°	90°	91°	92°	85°	89°	89°
Confidence	high	medium	high	high	medium	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.17 in	0.40 in	0	0.04 in	0.01 in	0.13 in	0
AIFS	0.22 in	0.35 in	0.07 in	0.02 in	0.09 in	0	0
GFS	0.07 in	0.09 in	0	0	0.00 in	0.17 in	0.08 in
ICON	0.14 in	0.06 in	0.07 in	0	0	0.01 in	0
Confidence	high	medium	medium	high	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	823	317	413	411	513	413	412
AIFS	9	5	3	3	5	6	6
GFS	1012	812	89	79	710	1315	1214
ICON	517	413	39	39	410	513	514
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	medium	medium

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	45%	78%	51%	29%	45%	39%	25%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	22%	32%	3%	10%	29%	29%	29%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Above +3.6 °F	A bit above +22%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +2.3 °F	Above +76%	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal	82° / 69°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +0.9 °F	Below −76%	81° / 66°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +0.9 °F	Below −80%	81° / 65°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +2.5 °F	A bit below −21%
December	Above +2.7 °F	Normal
January	Above +3.1 °F	Normal
February	Above +3.2 °F	Normal
March	A bit above +2.2 °F	Above +70%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Ayla Patakata climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Ayla Patakata is from November to February: highs of 77 °F to 85 °F, about 2 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

Cyclone season: from May to November. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 25 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Ayla Patakata, about 8 every 10 years; 5 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: in May 2025.

77° 55°

JanJ
84° 61°

FebF
90° 70°

MarM
92° 76°

AprA
92° 78°

MayM
90° 80°

JunJ
88° 79°

JulJ
88° 79°

AugA
89° 79°

SepS
89° 76°

OctO
85° 68°

NovN
79° 59°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	77°	55°	0.52 in	1	8.3	71°	0.8 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	84°	61°	1.08 in	2	8.5	74°	0.8 ft	–
MarchMar	90°	70°	1.38 in	4	8.2	80°	1.1 ft	–
AprilApr	92°	76°	2.98 in	8	8.0	83°	1.5 ft	1
MayMay	92°	78°	9.18 in	17	7.1	85°	1.9 ft	6
JuneJun	90°	80°	20.88 in	23	4.3	85°	2.3 ft	2
JulyJul	88°	79°	22.97 in	27	4.1	84°	2.4 ft	1
AugustAug	88°	79°	19.63 in	27	4.1	84°	2.3 ft	2
SeptemberSep	89°	79°	13.85 in	23	5.5	85°	1.9 ft	2
OctoberOct	89°	76°	8.75 in	13	6.6	85°	1.4 ft	6
NovemberNov	85°	68°	1.77 in	3	8.4	81°	1.0 ft	5
DecemberDec	79°	59°	0.46 in	1	8.7	75°	0.8 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	71°	0.8 ft	–
Feb	74°	0.8 ft	–
Mar	80°	1.1 ft	–
Apr	83°	1.5 ft	1
May	85°	1.9 ft	6
Jun	85°	2.3 ft	2
Jul	84°	2.4 ft	1
Aug	84°	2.3 ft	2
Sep	85°	1.9 ft	2
Oct	85°	1.4 ft	6
Nov	81°	1.0 ft	5
Dec	75°	0.8 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 103.46 in of rain on about 149 days and about 2,500 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now84 °Ffeels like 92 °F

Tomorrow75 / 85 °F

It's 84 °F now (feels like 92 °F). Today, 76 °F to 87 °F; tomorrow, 75 °F to 85 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 45% 0.17 in
Fri 30 78% 0.40 in
Sat 31 51%
Sun 1 29% 0.04 in
Mon 2 45% 0.01 in
Tue 3 39% 0.13 in
Wed 4 25%

Today the chance of rain reaches 45%, with 0.17 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 78% and 0.40 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.04 in; last 3 days, 0.25 in; last 7 days, 0.27 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity79%

Dew point76 °F

Humidity is 79% now and the dew point is 76 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds100%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now2

Today's peak6high

Fri 30: 7 · Sat 31: 8 · Sun 1: 7

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.0030.10 29.88

Rising now (+0.04 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.07 inHg. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 33

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light drizzle	76 / 90 °F	0.09 in	7 mph ESE
Tue 27	Drizzle	76 / 91 °F	0.15 in	6 mph NNE
Mon 26	Light drizzle	77 / 91 °F	0.01 in	6 mph N
Sun 25	Overcast	76 / 88 °F	0	6 mph NNW
Sat 24	Overcast	78 / 88 °F	0	6 mph NNW
Fri 23	Light drizzle	78 / 89 °F	0.02 in	6 mph NNW
Thu 22	Partly cloudy	78 / 90 °F	0	4 mph NNW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Clear sky	75 / 89 °F	0	5 mph N
Tue 20	Clear sky	75 / 88 °F	0	6 mph NNW
Mon 19	Overcast	76 / 90 °F	0	7 mph N
Sun 18	Overcast	79 / 91 °F	0	8 mph N
Sat 17	Overcast	77 / 90 °F	0	5 mph NNE
Fri 16	Light drizzle	76 / 87 °F	0.08 in	6 mph NNE
Thu 15	Light drizzle	78 / 87 °F	0.07 in	4 mph WSW
Wed 14	Drizzle	78 / 88 °F	0.11 in	4 mph W
Tue 13	Light drizzle	79 / 90 °F	0.01 in	6 mph NNE
Mon 12	Clear sky	76 / 90 °F	0	6 mph N
Sun 11	Mainly clear	77 / 90 °F	0	4 mph NNE
Sat 10	Light drizzle	74 / 87 °F	0.02 in	3 mph NNE
Fri 9	Heavy drizzle	74 / 83 °F	0.17 in	5 mph E
Thu 8	Light drizzle	78 / 88 °F	0.07 in	8 mph SW
Wed 7	Light drizzle	78 / 89 °F	0.06 in	4 mph S
Tue 6	Light drizzle	79 / 89 °F	0.06 in	6 mph S
Mon 5	Light drizzle	78 / 89 °F	0.02 in	4 mph S
Sun 4	Light drizzle	80 / 90 °F	0.04 in	4 mph SW
Sat 3	Light drizzle	80 / 91 °F	0.04 in	5 mph SW
Fri 2	Light drizzle	79 / 89 °F	0.06 in	6 mph SW
Thu 1	Light drizzle	80 / 88 °F	0.09 in	5 mph S
Wed 30	Light drizzle	80 / 90 °F	0.01 in	7 mph W
Tue 29	Overcast	81 / 91 °F	0	8 mph NW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Ayla PatakataQuestions

What's the weather like today in Ayla Patakata?

Light showers, from 76 °F to 87 °F, with a light breeze from the east-southeast (7 mph) and a 45% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Ayla Patakata?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 78% (0.40 in): light showers.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 75 °F and a high of 88 °F; the warmest day, Sunday 1.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 6 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.97 inHg and rising: +0.02 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Ayla Patakata?

The best time to visit Ayla Patakata is from November to February: highs of 77 °F to 85 °F, about 2 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Ayla Patakata in October?

In October, Ayla Patakata normally sees highs of 89 °F and lows of 76 °F, with about 13 rainy days (8.75 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 85 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Ayla Patakata?

The warmest is May, with average highs of 92 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 55 °F. The wettest is July (22.97 in) and the driest, December.

When is cyclone season in Ayla Patakata?

Cyclone season: from May to November. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 25 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Ayla Patakata, about 8 every 10 years; 5 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: in May 2025.

More about Ayla Patakata today

Weather near Ayla Patakata

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 3.4 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 9:18 am (local time).

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