Weather in Cockburn Town

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 5:41 am (EDT)

Now · light drizzle 75 °F

Feels like: 82 °F
Low / high: 75 / 84 °F
Rain: 9%
Wind: 3 mph SE

↗ 29.92 inHg · rising UV 7 · high

Today in Cockburn Town: light drizzle, 75 °F to 84 °F, with a 9% chance of rain and a light air from the southeast (3 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 78 °F to 85 °F and a 21% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Saturday 31, at 86 °F.

Measured now at the airport

Cockburn Town (MYSM), 0.9 mi away · 41 min ago

Visibility6.2 mi or more

WeatherNothing to note

Temperature75 °F

Wind2 mph from the east-southeast

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

84° 75°
Today
85° 78°
Fri 30
86° 78°
Sat 31
84° 78°
Sun 1
83° 77°
Mon 2
84° 77°
Tue 3
85° 78°
Wed 4
84° 77°
Thu 5
84° 78°
Fri 6
84° 78°
Sat 7
83° 78°
Sun 8
84° 78°
Mon 9
85° 82°
Tue 10
82° 79°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Light drizzle	75 / 84 °F	9%	7 mph SSW	4.5 ft	10:44 am · 11:04 pm	HRRR
Fri 30	Light drizzle	78 / 85 °F	21% · 0.07 in	7 mph NNW	3.5 ft	11:40 am	NBM
Sat 31	Drizzle	78 / 86 °F	44% · 0.09 in	12 mph ENE	3.3 ft	12:04 am · 12:41 pm	NBM
Sun 1	Light showers	78 / 84 °F	70% · 0.40 in	15 mph ENE	4.3 ft	1:10 am · 12:45 pm	NBM
Mon 2	Light showers	77 / 83 °F	72% · 0.57 in	12 mph E	4.2 ft	1:20 am · 1:51 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Light showers	77 / 84 °F	48% · 0.24 in	11 mph ENE	3.4 ft	2:30 am · 2:54 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Partly cloudy	78 / 85 °F	26% · 0.17 in	11 mph N	3.4 ft	3:33 am · 3:53 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Overcast	77 / 84 °F	23% · 0.18 in	11 mph WSW	3.2 ft	4:29 am · 4:46 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Light drizzle	78 / 84 °F	22% · 0.19 in	11 mph WSW	2.9 ft	5:19 am · 5:35 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Light drizzle	78 / 84 °F	25% · 0.28 in	10 mph NNW	2.6 ft	6:04 am · 6:19 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Light drizzle	78 / 83 °F	25% · 0.11 in	11 mph NE	2.6 ft	6:45 am · 7:01 pm	NBM
Mon 9	Light drizzle	78 / 84 °F	43% · 0.10 in	17 mph E	3.2 ft	7:25 am · 7:40 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	82 / 85 °F	47% · 0.04 in	18 mph ESE	3.5 ft	8:03 am · 8:20 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Heavy drizzle	79 / 82 °F	51% · 0.45 in	11 mph ESE	2.8 ft	8:42 am · 8:59 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Friday 30 12:00 am; then NBM until Monday 9 2:00 am; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 10:00 pm; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Light drizzle	Mainly clear	Clear sky	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Clear
Temperature	76°	76°	75°	82°	84°	84°	81°	78°
Chance of rain	2%	2%	4%	6%	1%	4%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	3 SE	4 SSE	3 SE	2 SSW	6 WSW	5 WSW	3 WSW	3 SSE
Humidity	85%	85%	82%	80%	74%	73%	79%	79%
UV	0	0	0	2	7	4	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain tomorrow: take it with some caution.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	84°	82°	84°	83°	82°	81°	82°
AIFS	84°	83°	82°	80°	80°	80°	82°
GFS	83°	82°	82°	82°	82°	82°	82°
ICON	84°	82°	83°	82°	82°	84°	84°
HRRR	84°	83°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	86°	85°	86°	84°	83°	84°	85°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.01 in	0.08 in	0.11 in	0.45 in	0.37 in	0.19 in	0
AIFS	0.02 in	0.06 in	0.15 in	0.76 in	0.83 in	0.35 in	0.10 in
GFS	0.16 in	0	0.07 in	0.29 in	0.82 in	0.12 in	0.11 in
ICON	0.01 in	0.10 in	0.09 in	0.71 in	0.53 in	0.06 in	0
HRRR	0	0	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0.02 in	0.07 in	0.09 in	0.40 in	0.57 in	0.24 in	0.17 in
Confidence	high	medium	high	medium	medium	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	812	811	1217	2027	1921	921	919
AIFS	7	7	16	19	18	13	6
GFS	910	109	1819	2122	1819	1111	1110
ICON	711	68	1622	1724	1520	611	46
HRRR	78	1215	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	911	78	1217	1518	1216	1112	1113
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	11%	27%	69%	80%	75%	50%	33%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	55%	10%	52%	81%	72%	42%	35%
NBM (NOAA)	9%	21%	44%	70%	72%	48%	26%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	6%	21%	30%	29%	32%	20%	17%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, a bit wetter and a warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +2.0 °F	Normal	Above +2.5 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.6 °F	Above +74%	Above +2.5 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.8 °F	Above +64%	Above +2.5 °F	81° / 79°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +2.2 °F	Above +55%	Above +2.5 °F	80° / 79°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +2.2 °F	Above +54%	Above +2.5 °F	80° / 78°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +2.3 °F	Normal	Above +2.5 °F
December	A bit above +2.2 °F	Above +78%	Above +2.3 °F
January	A bit above +1.4 °F	Well above +128%	Above +1.8 °F
February	A bit above +1.3 °F	Above +96%	A bit above +1.3 °F
March	Normal +0.7 °F	Above +74%	A bit above +0.9 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Cockburn Town climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Cockburn Town is from December to April: highs of 78 °F to 81 °F, about 4 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from August to October. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 13 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Cockburn Town, about 4 every 10 years; 9 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Melissa, in October 2025.

78° 67°

JanJ
79° 69°

FebF
81° 69°

MarM
81° 73°

AprA
83° 75°

MayM
86° 77°

JunJ
89° 78°

JulJ
89° 78°

AugA
88° 78°

SepS
85° 75°

OctO
82° 73°

NovN
80° 71°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	78°	67°	2.49 in	5	7.0	77°	5.6 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	79°	69°	1.61 in	3	7.7	77°	5.4 ft	–
MarchMar	81°	69°	1.40 in	3	8.3	77°	5.6 ft	–
AprilApr	81°	73°	1.72 in	4	8.8	78°	4.6 ft	–
MayMay	83°	75°	4.24 in	9	8.4	79°	4.3 ft	–
JuneJun	86°	77°	4.39 in	10	8.4	82°	3.5 ft	–
JulyJul	89°	78°	1.93 in	7	9.1	83°	3.8 ft	1
AugustAug	89°	78°	3.35 in	9	8.5	84°	3.8 ft	3
SeptemberSep	88°	78°	4.76 in	11	7.2	84°	4.3 ft	4
OctoberOct	85°	75°	8.54 in	12	6.8	83°	5.1 ft	4
NovemberNov	82°	73°	3.60 in	8	7.2	81°	5.9 ft	1
DecemberDec	80°	71°	2.56 in	4	6.9	79°	5.6 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	77°	5.6 ft	–
Feb	77°	5.4 ft	–
Mar	77°	5.6 ft	–
Apr	78°	4.6 ft	–
May	79°	4.3 ft	–
Jun	82°	3.5 ft	–
Jul	83°	3.8 ft	1
Aug	84°	3.8 ft	3
Sep	84°	4.3 ft	4
Oct	83°	5.1 ft	4
Nov	81°	5.9 ft	1
Dec	79°	5.6 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 40.59 in of rain on about 86 days and about 2,850 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now75 °Ffeels like 82 °F

Tomorrow78 / 85 °F

It's 75 °F now (feels like 82 °F). Today, 75 °F to 84 °F; tomorrow, 78 °F to 85 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 9%
Fri 30 21% 0.07 in
Sat 31 44% 0.09 in
Sun 1 70% 0.40 in
Mon 2 72% 0.57 in
Tue 3 48% 0.24 in
Wed 4 26% 0.17 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 9%. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 21% and 0.07 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.20 in; last 7 days, 1.28 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity83%

Dew point70 °F

Humidity is 83% now and the dew point is 70 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now9.4 migood

Clouds20%

Visibility is good now (9.4 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak7high

Fri 30: 7 · Sat 31: 7 · Sun 1: 7

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.99

Rising now (+0.04 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.03 inHg. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 24

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light drizzle	83 / 85 °F	0.07 in	11 mph SSE
Tue 27	Drizzle	80 / 85 °F	0.17 in	13 mph S
Mon 26	Light drizzle	77 / 84 °F	0.07 in	13 mph S
Sun 25	Light rain	79 / 82 °F	0.41 in	12 mph E
Sat 24	Heavy drizzle	79 / 83 °F	0.32 in	9 mph SE
Fri 23	Light showers	81 / 84 °F	0.25 in	8 mph WSW
Thu 22	Light drizzle	81 / 84 °F	0.06 in	8 mph SW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Light drizzle	77 / 83 °F	0.06 in	13 mph NE
Tue 20	Light showers	78 / 82 °F	0.71 in	18 mph NE
Mon 19	Heavy drizzle	77 / 83 °F	0.19 in	18 mph NE
Sun 18	Drizzle	81 / 85 °F	0.19 in	14 mph ENE
Sat 17	Clear sky	84 / 87 °F	0	11 mph ESE
Fri 16	Mainly clear	84 / 86 °F	0	16 mph E
Thu 15	Light drizzle	84 / 86 °F	0.01 in	15 mph E
Wed 14	Light drizzle	82 / 86 °F	0.01 in	12 mph ESE
Tue 13	Clear sky	83 / 85 °F	0	12 mph ENE
Mon 12	Light drizzle	84 / 85 °F	0.02 in	18 mph E
Sun 11	Overcast	84 / 86 °F	0	22 mph E
Sat 10	Partly cloudy	85 / 86 °F	0	21 mph ESE
Fri 9	Light drizzle	83 / 85 °F	0.12 in	19 mph SE
Thu 8	Light drizzle	83 / 87 °F	0.02 in	13 mph SE
Wed 7	Light drizzle	82 / 85 °F	0.01 in	8 mph SSE
Tue 6	Light drizzle	82 / 85 °F	0.01 in	11 mph ESE
Mon 5	Light drizzle	82 / 84 °F	0.01 in	15 mph ESE
Sun 4	Light drizzle	82 / 83 °F	0.07 in	15 mph E
Sat 3	Light drizzle	83 / 85 °F	0.06 in	17 mph E
Fri 2	Thunderstorm	80 / 86 °F	0.32 in	21 mph E
Thu 1	Thunderstorm	83 / 87 °F	0.11 in	22 mph E
Wed 30	Light showers	79 / 85 °F	0.46 in	19 mph E
Tue 29	Light drizzle	82 / 85 °F	0.01 in	15 mph E

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Cockburn TownQuestions

What's the weather like today in Cockburn Town?

Light drizzle, from 75 °F to 84 °F, with a light air from the southeast (3 mph) and a 9% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Cockburn Town?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 21% (0.07 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 75 °F and a high of 86 °F; the warmest day, Saturday 31.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 7 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.92 inHg and rising: +0.06 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Cockburn Town?

The best time to visit Cockburn Town is from December to April: highs of 78 °F to 81 °F, about 4 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Cockburn Town in October?

In October, Cockburn Town normally sees highs of 85 °F and lows of 75 °F, with about 12 rainy days (8.54 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 83 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Cockburn Town?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 89 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 67 °F. The wettest is October (8.54 in) and the driest, March.

When is hurricane season in Cockburn Town?

Hurricane season: from August to October. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 13 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Cockburn Town, about 4 every 10 years; 9 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Melissa, in October 2025.

More about Cockburn Town today

Weather near Cockburn Town

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 4.1 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 5:41 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from