Weather in Nassau

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 5:57 pm (EDT)

Now · clear sky 83 °F

Feels like: 89 °F
Low / high: 74 / 86 °F
Rain: 9%
Wind: 5 mph E

→ 29.90 inHg · steady UV 7 · high

Today in Nassau: light drizzle, 74 °F to 86 °F, with a 9% chance of rain and a light breeze from the east (5 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 74 °F to 84 °F and a 24% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 28, at 86 °F.

Measured now at the airport

Nassau (MYNN), 7.9 mi away · 57 min ago

Visibility6.2 mi or more

WeatherNothing to note

Temperature86 °F

Wind9 mph from the southeast

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

86° 74°
Today
84° 74°
Thu 29
84° 77°
Fri 30
85° 78°
Sat 31
84° 77°
Sun 1
83° 76°
Mon 2
83° 76°
Tue 3
84° 77°
Wed 4
83° 77°
Thu 5
83° 77°
Fri 6
82° 76°
Sat 7
82° 76°
Sun 8
80° 79°
Mon 9
80° 78°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Light drizzle	74 / 86 °F	9%	8 mph ESE	2.1 ft	9:52 am · 10:10 pm	HRRR
Thu 29	Light drizzle	74 / 84 °F	24% · 0.25 in	5 mph S	1.5 ft	10:44 am · 11:04 pm	HRRR + NBM
Fri 30	Light drizzle	77 / 84 °F	30% · 0.09 in	6 mph NE	1.2 ft	11:40 am	NBM
Sat 31	Light drizzle	78 / 85 °F	59% · 0.15 in	13 mph ENE	2.4 ft	12:04 am · 12:41 pm	NBM
Sun 1	Heavy drizzle	77 / 84 °F	64% · 0.51 in	17 mph E	3.8 ft	1:10 am · 12:45 pm	NBM
Mon 2	Light showers	76 / 83 °F	64% · 0.44 in	12 mph ESE	3.8 ft	1:20 am · 1:51 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Light drizzle	76 / 83 °F	32% · 0.04 in	11 mph WNW	2.2 ft	2:30 am · 2:54 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Mainly clear	77 / 84 °F	12%	9 mph NNW	1.8 ft	3:33 am · 3:53 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Mainly clear	77 / 83 °F	16%	10 mph S	1.3 ft	4:29 am · 4:46 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Heavy drizzle	77 / 83 °F	18% · 0.02 in	9 mph NW	2.2 ft	5:19 am · 5:35 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Heavy drizzle	76 / 82 °F	16% · 0.05 in	9 mph NE	2.2 ft	6:04 am · 6:19 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Heavy drizzle	76 / 82 °F	26% · 0.31 in	11 mph NE	1.0 ft	6:45 am · 7:01 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9	Mainly clear	79 / 80 °F	29%	9 mph N	0.9 ft	7:25 am · 7:40 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Partly cloudy	78 / 80 °F	27%	9 mph NE	0.9 ft	8:03 am · 8:20 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 12:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 2:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 10:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Light drizzle	Mainly clear	Clear	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear sky	Light drizzle
Temperature	76°	75°	74°	80°	84°	86°	82°	78°
Chance of rain	3%	2%	5%	2%	5%	6%	5%	4%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	4 ESE	2 ENE	3 ESE	5 ESE	7 SE	7 SE	5 E	3 E
Humidity	85%	87%	86%	87%	75%	65%	70%	81%
UV	0	0	0	1	6	4	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	83°	82°	82°	83°	83°	79°	80°
AIFS	83°	82°	82°	81°	80°	78°	80°
GFS	82°	81°	81°	81°	81°	81°	80°
ICON	82°	84°	83°	83°	81°	81°	83°
HRRR	86°	86°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	85°	84°	84°	85°	84°	83°	83°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0.06 in	0.02 in	0.01 in	0.13 in	0.46 in	0.53 in	0.03 in
AIFS	0.07 in	0.09 in	0.07 in	0.26 in	0.89 in	1.25 in	0.40 in
GFS	0.19 in	0.28 in	0.00 in	0.15 in	0.40 in	0.41 in	0.11 in
ICON	0.04 in	0.04 in	0.01 in	0.04 in	0.68 in	0.69 in	0.30 in
HRRR	0	0	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0	0.27 in	0.09 in	0.15 in	0.51 in	0.44 in	0.04 in
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	high	high	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	1015	711	912	1823	2222	2023	722
AIFS	10	6	11	18	20	20	13
GFS	1314	78	1011	1517	1517	1216	56
ICON	914	58	610	1420	1827	1323	913
HRRR	812	59	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	813	57	69	1317	1719	1214	1113
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	medium	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	39%	45%	22%	76%	79%	81%	44%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	100%	74%	59%	65%	87%	76%	28%
NBM (NOAA)	9%	24%	30%	59%	64%	64%	32%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	4%	5%	26%	24%	34%	34%	22%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, a bit wetter and a warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +2.2 °F	Normal	Above +2.2 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.3 °F	A bit above +47%	Above +2.3 °F	80° / 78°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.6 °F	Above +60%	Above +2.0 °F	79° / 78°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.8 °F	A bit above +40%	Above +2.0 °F	79° / 77°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.8 °F	Above +62%	Above +2.2 °F	78° / 76°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +2.0 °F	A bit above +28%	Above +2.2 °F
December	A bit above +1.6 °F	Above +90%	Above +2.2 °F
January	Normal +0.7 °F	Well above +165%	Above +1.8 °F
February	Normal +0.7 °F	Well above +129%	A bit above +1.3 °F
March	Normal +0.4 °F	Well above +100%	A bit above +0.7 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Nassau climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Nassau is from November to April: highs of 78 °F to 84 °F, about 5 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from August to November. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 12 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Nassau, about 4 every 10 years; 8 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Imelda, in September 2025.

78° 64°

JanJ
80° 65°

FebF
82° 65°

MarM
84° 69°

AprA
87° 72°

MayM
89° 75°

JunJ
91° 76°

JulJ
91° 77°

AugA
90° 76°

SepS
87° 73°

OctO
83° 69°

NovN
80° 66°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	78°	64°	1.57 in	5	7.2	76°	3.1 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	80°	65°	1.57 in	4	7.9	75°	2.8 ft	–
MarchMar	82°	65°	1.78 in	4	8.5	76°	2.9 ft	–
AprilApr	84°	69°	2.66 in	6	8.5	77°	2.5 ft	–
MayMay	87°	72°	5.12 in	11	8.4	79°	2.5 ft	–
JuneJun	89°	75°	6.43 in	18	7.4	82°	1.9 ft	–
JulyJul	91°	76°	5.44 in	16	8.2	84°	2.0 ft	1
AugustAug	91°	77°	7.39 in	19	7.8	85°	2.1 ft	3
SeptemberSep	90°	76°	6.70 in	19	6.8	85°	2.2 ft	3
OctoberOct	87°	73°	7.03 in	14	6.6	83°	3.0 ft	2
NovemberNov	83°	69°	2.95 in	6	7.4	80°	3.3 ft	3
DecemberDec	80°	66°	1.83 in	5	7.0	78°	3.0 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	76°	3.1 ft	–
Feb	75°	2.8 ft	–
Mar	76°	2.9 ft	–
Apr	77°	2.5 ft	–
May	79°	2.5 ft	–
Jun	82°	1.9 ft	–
Jul	84°	2.0 ft	1
Aug	85°	2.1 ft	3
Sep	85°	2.2 ft	3
Oct	83°	3.0 ft	2
Nov	80°	3.3 ft	3
Dec	78°	3.0 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 50.46 in of rain on about 127 days and about 2,800 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now83 °Ffeels like 89 °F

Tomorrow74 / 84 °F

It's 83 °F now (feels like 89 °F). Today, 74 °F to 86 °F; tomorrow, 74 °F to 84 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 9%
Thu 29 24% 0.25 in
Fri 30 30% 0.09 in
Sat 31 59% 0.15 in
Sun 1 64% 0.51 in
Mon 2 64% 0.44 in
Tue 3 32% 0.04 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 9%. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 29: 24% and 0.25 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.53 in; last 7 days, 1.31 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity70%

Dew point72 °F

Humidity is 70% now and the dew point is 72 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now14 migood

Clouds1%

Visibility is good now (14 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak7high

Thu 29: 7 · Fri 30: 7 · Sat 31: 7

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.98

Steady now (+0.01 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 28

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Light showers	78 / 83 °F	0.30 in	13 mph SSE
Mon 26	Light showers	78 / 80 °F	0.46 in	20 mph NE
Sun 25	Drizzle	78 / 83 °F	0.18 in	17 mph NE
Sat 24	Heavy drizzle	75 / 82 °F	0.41 in	19 mph NE
Fri 23	Drizzle	76 / 82 °F	0.19 in	19 mph NNE
Thu 22	Light drizzle	77 / 81 °F	0.07 in	12 mph NNE
Wed 21	Drizzle	77 / 82 °F	0.24 in	19 mph NNE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Drizzle	81 / 83 °F	0.09 in	19 mph NNE
Mon 19	Light rain	78 / 82 °F	0.66 in	22 mph NE
Sun 18	Light showers	80 / 83 °F	0.70 in	19 mph NE
Sat 17	Light drizzle	82 / 87 °F	0.11 in	11 mph ESE
Fri 16	Light drizzle	83 / 85 °F	0.05 in	17 mph E
Thu 15	Light drizzle	83 / 86 °F	0.02 in	14 mph E
Wed 14	Light drizzle	81 / 85 °F	0.15 in	14 mph E
Tue 13	Drizzle	80 / 84 °F	0.24 in	14 mph ENE
Mon 12	Light drizzle	84 / 85 °F	0.06 in	14 mph ENE
Sun 11	Light drizzle	85 / 86 °F	0.01 in	18 mph ESE
Sat 10	Drizzle	85 / 87 °F	0.13 in	20 mph SE
Fri 9	Drizzle	84 / 87 °F	0.12 in	21 mph SE
Thu 8	Overcast	83 / 86 °F	0	12 mph SSE
Wed 7	Light drizzle	83 / 85 °F	0.01 in	11 mph S
Tue 6	Overcast	83 / 85 °F	0	10 mph SE
Mon 5	Light drizzle	82 / 85 °F	0.07 in	11 mph SE
Sun 4	Overcast	83 / 85 °F	0	15 mph ESE
Sat 3	Light drizzle	82 / 86 °F	0.04 in	18 mph ESE
Fri 2	Drizzle	82 / 86 °F	0.12 in	20 mph ESE
Thu 1	Thunderstorm	83 / 86 °F	0.27 in	20 mph E
Wed 30	Drizzle	80 / 85 °F	0.32 in	19 mph E
Tue 29	Drizzle	80 / 85 °F	0.11 in	11 mph S
Mon 28	Light drizzle	81 / 84 °F	0.11 in	10 mph SW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in NassauQuestions

What's the weather like today in Nassau?

Light drizzle, from 74 °F to 86 °F, with a light breeze from the east (5 mph) and a 9% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Nassau?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 24% (0.25 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 74 °F and a high of 86 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 28.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 7 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.90 inHg and steady: +0.06 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Nassau?

The best time to visit Nassau is from November to April: highs of 78 °F to 84 °F, about 5 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Nassau in October?

In October, Nassau normally sees highs of 87 °F and lows of 73 °F, with about 14 rainy days (7.03 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 83 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Nassau?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 91 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 64 °F. The wettest is August (7.39 in) and the driest, January.

When is hurricane season in Nassau?

Hurricane season: from August to November. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 12 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Nassau, about 4 every 10 years; 8 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Imelda, in September 2025.

More about Nassau today

Weather near Nassau

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 7.1 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 5:57 pm (local time).

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